Select Committee on Public Accounts Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 140-159)

16 JUNE 2004

DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH

  Q140 Mr Williams: What would you regard as the clinical urgency time span?

  Professor Richards: I consider that the anxiety of the patient is part of the clinical situation, but, in addition to that, in terms of whether a disease is going to progress, it is very difficult to put an exact timescale on that. In setting our targets for cancer, in saying we want people from urgent referral to get through to treatment, and we have set the target of that being two months, I think you can see that for each step in the process, getting to the hospital, getting through diagnosis, getting to treatment, we want that to be a matter of weeks only.

  Q141 Mr Williams: Thank you. One final question, because my time is up. Do you smoke?

  Professor Richards: No. I have said already that I used to.

  Q142 Mr Williams: Do you, Sir Nigel?

  Sir Nigel Crisp: No. I used to smoke. We are reformed at this end of the room.

  Q143 Mr Williams: Do you find that, if possible, you avoid smoke-filled rooms?

  Sir Nigel Crisp: By and large I would, but not always.

  Professor Richards: I tend to avoid smoke-filled rooms.

  Mr Williams: We will draw these comments to the attention of some of our colleagues. Thank you very much.

  Q144 Mr Jenkins: Sir Nigel, do not go away feeling that we are critical of this Report, in fact I think it is quite a good Report in many areas, it shows we are moving forward across a wide front. If we look at figure 23, where it shows, particularly on the north side, the progress we have made, I have worked out that we have dropped a good way down the league table and the only country that has bettered us is Finland, we are almost on a par with Finland, so I think we have done some good work there. We were looking at the chart earlier on and I want to ask a question on figure 19, on page 21, it was quite interesting I thought. If you look at one end of the chart, am I reading this right, South Yorkshire with regard to prostate cancer mortality has got 45 as a rate per 100,000, and the other one, Thames Valley, has got 85, on the incidence scale? Why is South Yorkshire, which has never struck me as a particularly healthy part of the world, so low?[8] Is it a blip, is it an accident in the collection of data, or really is it that they are eating something or doing something up there which I need to know about quick?

  Professor Richards: When we were preparing this Report with the NAO, clearly all of us asked that same question. I do not think I have an absolute answer to it, but with prostate cancer in particular the reported incidence of the disease depends critically on how much PSA testing is done in the locality. What I would want to know, and I do not have an answer to, is whether the PSA testing rate in that part of the country is significantly lower than it is in other parts. I simply do not know that.

  Q145 Mr Jenkins: Would that cause you concern and would you flag up now the need to do some more testing in that area to show us the real figure we are looking at?

  Professor Richards: Certainly we would wish to explore that further. In fact, I believe that during the course of the preparation of the Report we went back to the relevant cancer registry and asked them specifically to check that figure. They checked it and said to the best of their knowledge that was accurate but I am not sure that they were able to tell us the specific reason for it, except the possibility that it relates to low PSA testing rates. I agree that it looks very strange.

  Q146 Mr Jenkins: It could be a hidden condition?

  Professor Richards: It could be, yes.

  Mr Jenkins: Yes, that was what I suspected.

  Q147 Mr Bacon: Professor Richards, going on to this point about Herceptin and the lack of various parts of the system, like pharmacists, chemotherapy suites, nurses, and so on, you said that the training for a nurse was three years. I want to clarify this, because everyone knows that it takes three years to train a nurse. Are you saying that once you have got a trained nurse it is a further three years to have an oncology nurse?

  Professor Richards: No.

  Q148 Mr Bacon: Was that not what you were saying? I was talking about Sir Nigel's point about the lack of nurses. My assumption was, and I need to get this clear, if you have got a nurse and you turn him, or her, into an oncology nurse, how long extra does that take?

  Professor Richards: Usually one would be taking somebody who is already an experienced nurse and at usually at least an E or F grade, so they would have spent three years training to become a nurse, usually at least another couple of years of experience as a registered nurse, and then to become an oncology nurse on top of that takes between nine months and a year to get those skills to be able to deliver chemotherapy.

  Q149 Mr Bacon: It should not take that long. I still do not understand. I find it incredible that the variation in this chart for Herceptin can be explained simply by the lack of things like nurses. I have got two other questions and I do not have a lot of time. Are nurses prohibited from telling patients about Herceptin?

  Professor Richards: No.

  Q150 Mr Bacon: There is a lady at the back of the room who campaigns on Herceptin and she said she was at a conference three weeks ago where a nurse spoke and said that she was prohibited from telling patients about Herceptin. How can you explain that?

  Professor Richards: I certainly cannot explain that because I do not believe that is good practice. I think that all patients should have the advantage of at least having Herceptin discussed with them.

  Q151 Mr Bacon: The survival rates, you mentioned that it increases the length of life for women with this particular kind of breast cancer by six months; what is that, an average?

  Professor Richards: Of course it is an average, yes.

  Q152 Mr Bacon: From where did you get that number?

  Professor Richards: There has been a large, randomised control trial of patients with advanced breast cancer, comparing patients getting standard chemotherapy with Herceptin versus standard chemotherapy on its own.

  Q153 Mr Bacon: What is the range? You say six months is the average; what is the range?

  Professor Richards: The range is from no extra benefit up to several years. Certainly I know of individual patients who have lived for several years when I would not have expected them to.

  Q154 Mr Bacon: So has the lady at the back of the room, she is one of them, she has lived for three years and she says there are cases of four years around. Is this six months a reliable figure?

  Professor Richards: It is a reliable figure as the average, yes, it is absolutely reliable, but I accept that there is a range on this and I know of patients who have lived, let us say, five years or more when I would not have expected them to do so without it.

  Q155 Mr Bacon: How much is a course of Herceptin per month?

  Professor Richards: Off the top of my head, I cannot give you an answer to that, but a total course of Herceptin certainly would run into thousands of pounds.

  Q156 Mr Bacon: Per month?

  Professor Richards: I would have to come back to you on the exact costing.

  Q157 Mr Bacon: If you could send us a note on that, please?

  Professor Richards: Yes, certainly.[9]

  Q158 Chairman: I think we are nearly at the end of our hearing now, Professor, but just to give you a chance to say—and we have very much enjoyed having you here this afternoon, with your obvious dedication to your job and your knowledge—what further improvements in the incidence of mortality and survival do you expect in this country in the next five years?

  Professor Richards: May I say, I have enjoyed being here too. I think there will be very considerable improvements over the next few years in cancer in general. I think there will be further improvements in both mortality and survival rates. In some cases incidence is set to continue to rise because of the ageing of the population, but despite that incidence rising I am confident that we will see both falls in mortality and improvements in survival, and I would attribute that to several different things. I think we will see the prevalence of smoking going down, which will reduce the death rate from smoking-related cancers, particularly lung cancer. We will see the introduction of bowel cancer screening, which will reduce the mortality from bowel cancer. We will see further progress on waits, both for urgently-referred and for routinely-referred patients. We will see all patients being seen by specialist teams and therefore getting the best treatments. We will see the variations decrease in relation to the drugs approved by NICE, and we will see patient experience improved in terms of provision of information and communication and palliative care. I think we will see improvements across the board. I am confident that we will achieve the 20% reduction in the death rate for people under the age of 75 by 2010, as set out in our targets. I am confident also that over time we will catch up with Europe in terms of our survival rates.

  Q159 Chairman: In this Committee, everything you say is noted down and may be used against you, so I hope that is right?

  Professor Richards: I am confident in those statements.


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