Select Committee on Scottish Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 100-119)

CLLR DAVID BRYSON, MS MAUREEN CAMPBELL, MS CHARLENE O'CONNOR AND MR LIAM FENNELL

17 NOVEMBER 2004

  Q100 David Hamilton: Firstly, I would suggest that the dialogue that you have should have a wider base and should include the workforce because the workforce does not just represent Falkirk and Falkirk Council; they come from a much wider area, and it really is quite important that that happens. In July we took evidence from trade unions,[4] and I will come back to Charlene on this because you said earlier that you had been having a dialogue with the site operators and owners in relation to the changes that have taken place, but in July we were informed by the trade unions that no dialogue had taken place up to that point. Have you been in dialogue with the company at all during that period, prior to July?

  Mr Fennell: Not on the changes that were going to be but we knew that some changes were going to be happening. We did not know in advance of the trade unions but we were informed pretty close afterwards, I would suggest.

  Q101 Mr Weir: Just for clarification on figures for the jobs, Charlene I think you said locals 2,500 and Scotland 4,000.

  Ms O'Connor: Yes.

  Q102 Mr Weir: Are most of these additional 1,500 in the immediate vicinity of Grangemouth, or do they go further afield?

  Ms O'Connor: It is actually in a pretty tight travel area. I do not have the figures but we do know the home areas, the post codes of individuals that work there, but it is fairly local.

  Q103 Mr Weir: So you are talking about the Forth Valley area basically?

  Ms O'Connor: Yes. To be fair it is probably generally the higher grades that will travel further, that is the general pattern, so yes, it is the Forth Valley, but you do have impact coming out of Edinburgh as well, so it is a circle.

  Q104 Mr Weir: So it is fair to say you are talking about 4,000 jobs, most of which are in the Forth Valley area?

  Ms O'Connor: Yes, probably about 80-90%.

  Q105 Mr Duncan: Teasing further on this jobs figure, you identified correctly it is a very significant number of jobs in the immediate area. What, though, is the potential? You identified correctly I think that there could be significant positives in this announcement with additional investment coming in. What kind of assessment have you made of the potential for additional jobs creation were that investment now to come forward?

  Ms O'Connor: We have not looked at the BP site as a whole separately but if you look at the projections for the investment on My Future's in Falkirk which is a range of projects through from the port right through the Grangemouth zone up into Westfield/Middlefield, we are talking in excess of 4,000 jobs planned and we are looking for diversification, but we are seeing some success already and more manufacturing companies locating in that area. That is really where I want to see that central part of Scotland back driving growth at the Scottish level, high value add manufacturing, and that is where we are going to be looking to grow jobs and develop supply chain links. We have Avecia who are looking to bring on suppliers, or companies that have synergy or scale or whatever, but also people like Alexander Dennis. We are doing work with them at the moment to look at the location of Falkirk on the manufacturing side. The Westfield/Middlefield area would be mixed service based jobs as well as industrial space, so diversification and a strong manufacturing base going forward, and about 4,000 jobs.

The Committee suspended from 3.30 pm until 3.45 pm for a division in the House

  Q106 Ann McKechin: Just going back to this question of diversification of the chemical industry in the Forth Valley, have you analysed the procurement policy of BP at the site itself, because it would appear that in the last 12 months they spend $600 million at the site but only 17% was spent in Scotland, so do you have any strategy about trying to improve the procurement level spent within Scotland, and have you had any discussions with BP about that? My colleague asked you about when you actually knew about the negotiations that were going on in the plant, but I understand that the group head of BP's procurement department is also the chair of My Future's in Falkirk. Do you not think there is a bit of a conflict of interest there?

  Ms O'Connor: No, I do not think there is directly conflict of interest. Yes, we are aware of their procurement policy and are trying to work in partnership with BP and other partners to try and have a much more secure Scottish supply base. Now, like the decisions they have taken about the overall chemicals business or the refining we cannot control global policy from BP, but what we can do is work with the supply base to do two things: look for opportunity to attract suppliers to the area so it makes more sense to have local companies, and use local companies, but also work with the supply base to make them less dependent on one company like BP, because what you tend to find is a lot of small companies spring up and they are 89-100% dependent and that is critical for the Scottish economy. So we are doing a number of things and I do not believe there is a conflict. The company themselves understand and are very sympathetic towards the local supply chain and have put in people resources, senior management time in developing the supply chain project with us. We have a secondee in from BP who runs that project on our behalf, and we are looking to expand that.

  Q107 Mr Sarwar: BP is a large employer in Grangemouth and Falkirk Council, and obviously any impact on jobs can have serious potential implications for the local economy. What assurances have you had from BP on future capital funding and job security?

  Ms O'Connor: I am pretty sure the Committee will have had the same assurances, to be honest, around the terms and conditions going forward, the duration of which I think is the one area that we will all have concern about, but we do know they are looking to continue to employ at the same level of apprentices and provide the same level of training going forward—I think really that is the key aspect. I have no additional information than what the Committee will have heard from the company themselves. I do not think we can expect more at this point. What we can do is make sure that the right infrastructure, the right training infrastructure, is there to support 20 or 30 apprentices going into the new company and that none of that dissipates in the fallout of the decision.

  Q108 Mr Sarwar: But do you not think that assurances for a year or two are not long-term assurances?

  Ms O'Connor: I would dearly love to have assurances for 10 or twenty years but the world is not like that. I do not think, when we saw the closure of Motorola and NEC in West Lothian, that that was expected. There was a sense that this was a much longer term relationship with Scotland, so even if we had assurances beyond two or five years, how robust would they be as the economic cycle changes? I think the key for us is not to rail against that in itself or alone, but to look to make a more diverse economy so that we are not over-relying on one sector, and make sure that the companies that we do have in Scotland, within the chemical sectors and others, are less easy to remove from the playing field when the cycle becomes tight, as has happened in the Motorolas and NECs. What we are seeing in places like Avecia and we are hopeful to try and achieve in the case of BP or the New Company is more research and development, more headquarter facilities, more  leading edge global projects located in Grangemouth with an integrated supply base that makes it an awful lot harder to lose than just a volume of jobs that are operating to the formula of a parent somewhere else.

  Q109 Mr Sarwar: Do you believe that NewCo will retain the existing contracts with local businesses, or do you think that they will seek to re-negotiate such contracts?

  Ms O'Connor: The information I have at this point is not detailed but I believe they will look to continue.

  Q110 Mr Sarwar: Have you had any indication from BP about what they see as the future for the oil refinery at Grangemouth?

  Ms O'Connor: Not any more than we heard from Mr Conn earlier. Exactly the same position has been relayed to me by the site director. Positive but within our difficult global market place, I would say.

  Q111 John Robertson: The submission from Scottish Enterprise Forth Valley makes quite interesting reading. It says, "The past seven years have seen a poor petrochemicals environment at Grangemouth". [5] Could you explain what is meant by that?

  Mr Fennell: I think that was linked to what Mr Conn said earlier where they were looking to rationalise the plant to achieve more efficiencies in the plant. It was our understanding that the plant itself was in the bottom performance quartiles of BP, and the restructure of the past few years and the introduction of new processes has improved the productivity and profitability of Grangemouth.

  Q112 John Robertson: You must have taken more than just feelings from the company on this?

  Mr Fennell: We have been having discussions with the company about the performance. They have been providing some details on the return of the various parts of the plant and what we are seeing is a very competitive environment. When we have also looked at the gross value added within the chemical sector within Falkirk it is probably a little bit lower than other comparable plants in Scotland, so we see that the chemicals industry within Falkirk has been a little bit disadvantaged and we are hoping that new efficiencies will increase across value added per worker to make it more competitive.

  Q113 John Robertson: So you are telling me that Scottish Enterprise's submission was just based on everything the company told them?

  Ms O'Connor: No, but what I would say is the best place to get detailed output and various figures is from the company. What we do is look at trends beyond that within the industry and do comparisons, but that is the base source of the up-to-date data on output efficiency for the plant. We do not go and do an independent assessment of a company's production.

  Q114 John Robertson: It does not say you make any assessment; you just take what the company says and you take it verbatim?

  Mr Fennell: Can I just say that the figures we have on the production of the gross value added come from the Scottish Executive and they produced those figures in 2003. They are looking at the Scottish chemical sector so we rely on their statistical department for those figures.

  Q115 Mr Weir: You mention in your submission that BP joined with the Council and Scottish Enterprise in the Falkirk action plan, and you talk about delivering tangible improvements in the local economy through new developments and new job opportunities. How do you think BP's plans might affect the work of the successor initiative My Future's in Falkirk, given that by any stretch of the imagination it must be a major, if not the major employer, in the whole area?

  Ms O'Connor: I think there are two aspects to that. One we have had assurances from BP, from Robin Mcgill, that the My Future's in Falkirk, as it is now known, funding and support in terms of staff resources will be ring-fenced and continued until the end of the project so there is no threat. I also do have to say this: I have worked on a number of regeneration initiatives across Scotland in my time within the enterprise network, and BP is by far and away the most proactive partner from the private sector that we have ever worked with, not just in terms of hard cash coming in—and that is something which we very rarely see—but in terms of people, and explicit management time there, so I think it is worth noting that. The other side, though, is the less fixed and less tangible aspect of what will the future be in five years' time of the decisions that we are seeing in BP today. As I have tried to outline, we see this as a potential positive step. Yes, there are risks and threats but I think it is a more positive basis to go forward than if the company stayed within BP where it was going to be starved of investment. I think it would have been a much more difficult position there. Now I at the moment do not have enough detail or enough understanding of how each of these new developments are going to pan out but, as I say, we will be keeping close to it so until we know exactly the duration of any employment impacts it is going to be difficult to know that side effect immediately, but we will be staying close to it.

  Q116 Mr Weir: That is what we were discussing with Mr Conn earlier, the fact that there is a lack of detail. He talked about the definition of what long term is, and obviously something like My Future's in Falkirk is presumably a fairly long term project for the whole area. BP will be moving out in the relatively near future, however good they have been in the past. Have you any indication how supportive the new management of NewCo are going to be in the future?

  Ms O'Connor: We have those assurances at the moment that they will continue with the level of resource financially and in people terms go forward for the life of the project.

  Q117 Mr Weir: And have they given any indication of the term they are prepared to put these resources in for?

  Ms O'Connor: The duration of the project is 10 years, so when they say the duration of the programme we are taking that to be the end of the project.

  Q118 David Hamilton: Can we go back because I accept the points that are being made and it is difficult to talk to the workforce and so on about what is happening because there are so many employers and we have a finite amount of time, but it is a rarity nowadays to have such a big workforce which is well represented, and I accept there is a good dialogue between the company and yourselves and the Council, but I do think in this site it was such a big workforce in such a vibrant area that it would be very helpful if we were able to draw that information. Just one point, as far as they are concerned, I would suspect the Scottish Executive will have exactly the same information for the same resources that you are getting information for, so again in this particular industry the workforce could help you come to a conclusion on your figures. It is just a suggestion.

  Ms O'Connor: It is a good one.

  Cllr Bryson: On Falkirk Council's involvement we have had a big concession from the management locally and BP and also big concessions from the trade unions which has been extremely helpful. I and the director have met with the management twice and also the trade unions on two occasions as well, and they have been very helpful.

  Q119 David Hamilton: Does that also include the MPs?

  Cllr Bryson: We have not met with the MPs but we are hoping to meet with the MSPs.


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