Select Committee on Trade and Industry Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 620 - 639)

WEDNESDAY 8 SEPTEMBER 2004

OFFICE OF FAIR TRADING

  Q620  Richard Burden: Something else that has come out of the FSB has been their thinking that you were perhaps mistaken in your 2000 Report on the way you calculated the RPI in that you looked at services in relation to this issue rather than goods when looking at evaluating whether the price of beer had gone up or not. How do you respond to that?

  Mr Vickers: This may have been indicated earlier. I am of the look-at-everything-relevant school. As benchmarks against which to look at pricing trends I for my part would be interested in looking at the broad Retail Price Index and movements in that and I think the service element for pubs probably is more relevant than the goods element, and indeed in taking its view on the appropriate market definition, the European Commission (upheld by the courts applying law which is just the law we have now) has stressed the service element when taking all on licences as the most relevant frame of reference. So I would be eclectic and look at a variety of indicators. When you look at what pubs and other drinking establishments offer I think the service element is very relevant so that should be part of the assessment.

  Q621  Richard Burden: Could there have been different results? Have you ever looked at what the impact would have been had RPI for goods been used rather than this?

  Mr Vickers: I do not know here on the spot what the RPI goods index is showing. Clearly as a general trend the service element has been outstripping the goods element and indeed one would expect that in any event. That has been the trend over many, many years.

  Chairman: Can we suspend the proceedings because we have got to go and vote but we will continue at a quarter past four.

The Committee suspended from 4.00 pm to 4.12 pm for a division in the House.

  Q622  Chairman: We will start three minutes earlier, but that is no bad thing. Richard, you were discussing RPI with Mr MacDowall.

  Mr Vickers: In the OFT's 2000 Report there were comparisons against the all items RPI, everything in the pot, and the service element, and the goods were not reported. I think that makes sense given the subject matter. If it had been about the off-trade, if it had been a can from the off-licence rather than a pint from the pub, then I think goods would have been a much more relevant thing to look at. Of course anyone can compare it with the goods element as well but I do think the more relevant things to look at would be the all items and the service element. This is all public ONS data. We can of course update the charts, or the Committee may in any event have that information, but we are four years on and if you would like that evidence we would be very happy to send a note.

  Q623  Richard Burden: If you were going to produce a similar report now, from what you are saying I take it that you would probably adopt the same kind of approach again?

  Mr Vickers: I think those are the more relevant comparators, yes.

  Q624  Judy Mallaber: We have just received evidence in the last session that the price of beer paid by the pubcos has fallen by 3% since 2001 but at the same time the wholesale price, as paid by pubcos' tenants, we were told has risen by 15%. In your evidence, paragraph 13, you state that "big pub companies are continuing to lead the way in driving down the wholesale price of beer". That statement is important because you use it as one reason to show that some of the issues that have been raised while of concern do not stem from any failure of competition. What you say about prices is used partly in evidence for that. Could you say how you reconcile the different conclusions we have had, on the one hand wholesale prices rising but on the other hand the wholesale price of beer paid by pub companies falling.

  Mr Vickers: Bob or Christiane will correct me if the following statement is wrong but I think the remark that you have quoted from the submission is about the beer prices from brewers and the competitive pressure, that link in the chain and the marketplace that is evolving. The figures you quoted about the wholesale prices paid by the tenants of pubcos is a different link in the chain. You are saying that evidence came to you earlier today. It is not something that I am personally familiar with or in a position to comment on but again it is something we can always look at.

  Q625  Judy Mallaber: It is just you said in this evidence it is likely that the big pub companies as well as supermarkets are continuing to lead the way in driving down the wholesale price of beer, so you are saying that pub companies have had a role in driving down the wholesale price of beer but we have been given evidence as to how in fact those prices have gone up. However, in your submission you quote that as a reason for saying that any problems there are do not stem from a failure of competition.

  Mr Vickers: Forgive me if I have not understood this correctly but I think there are two things here. The first is the price from the brewers to the pubcos. That is one kind of wholesale price, using the word loosely, and there is another kind of wholesale price which is the relationship between the pubcos and the tenants and the tenanted pubs. I thought that on the first of those in terms of the price of beer from the brewers there is a consistency of evidence, not a conflict of evidence, but again forgive me if I misunderstood that.

  Q626  Judy Mallaber: If we are saying that the price of beer when it gets to the pub has gone up substantially that is the price which is going to influence how much when I go to the pub I am paying for my pint.

  Mr Vickers: Of course there are different kinds of pubs but yes.

  Judy Mallaber: A pub company pub.

  Chairman: Who has been benefiting? It is not the customer, it is not the publican, it is not the brewer, it is the pubco because they are getting the beer at a lower price and selling it at a price that does not reflect the drop that they are receiving.

  Q627  Judy Mallaber: This is one of the key areas of complaint and why people are asking for an inquiry into this whole area of the industry.

  Mr Vickers: I cannot comment on the particular evidence source that you quoted because it is not something I have personal familiarity with. I would however say two things. First, there is a complex contractual arrangement between the pubco and tenant if we are talking about pubco pubs that have tenants in them. There are all sorts of different elements of that which can evolve in different directions through time. The second thing is if the wedge just described is opening up, the key issue for competition law and for us is if that is happening as a result of competitive market forces in a setting where the property prices, property rents and many other elements in the chain are moving around, or is it happening because of anti-competitive collusive agreements between the pubcos for example? If we have evidence of the latter we will be absolutely on the case.

  Q628  Judy Mallaber: Have you carried out any recent analysis of the actual prices in practice of the wholesalers, the retailers and the prices that consumers pay for beer and what the various factors are that lead to those prices? Has any analysis been done by the OFT in the recent past on that?

  Mr Vickers: Bob, do you want to comment on that aspect?

  Mr MacDowall: We have kept track of the prices paid by the consumer in pubs but because we have not found the need to do any in-depth inquiries, as Mr Vickers has explained, we have not found it necessary to go out to the pub companies and everybody else and actually obtain these data. I would say that certainly the data on the prices paid by the pub tenant to the pub company would require a lot of in-depth inquiry.

  Q629  Judy Mallaber: But that is precisely what is being asked. We are being told that because of the distribution system, the power that the pub companies have and so on, in relation both to the brewers, the people they get the beer from, and the people that they are required to buy beer from off that list, it is precisely that relationship that should be investigated because it is creating a problem and is having an influence on what happens to prices to the consumer, to you and me when we go to our local.

  Mr Vickers: I really would want to stress again that the key thing is why this development is happening. If it is collusion on anti-competitive agreements between pubcos, which we do not currently have evidence of, if that is happening we would love to have the evidence of that, and I want to say that loud and clear.

  Ms Kent: I would add, also, the way we have looked at this issue is, well, is the retail market competitive? Is access to the market competitive? The view that we have come to is that the retail market is competitive. We note, and have received evidence in the past about the differences in the wholesale price from the brewer and the price to the tenant but, as my colleagues have said, we have not investigated that in detail because to do that would require significant resources, and we see no need to. We have no evidence that the pubcos are dominant. It would only be if they were dominant and therefore could be excessively pricing that we would look at it. We have no evidence of that. We have to deal with the legislation that we have and the resources that we have and we have to allocate them carefully. Merely because there is this differential that has grown has not given us cause to believe that is a priority for us to look at.

  Q630  Judy Mallaber: So the argument presented just to us, for example, as one element in this range of arguments by the Society of Independent Brewers that they are being squeezed out of the market by the way in which the system operates is not one that you would think should be considered or taken as one part of the reason why you might look at this whole area?

  Mr Vickers: The question of foreclosure of the market to brewers has been at the heart of a series of these competition cases before the European Commission and before the courts and of course in the Crehan case, continuing before the courts in this country, in relation to the pre-existing type of arrangement, that has been looked at very closely. In aggregate there are more brewers and more beers in British pubs today than was the case under the previous arrangements. The fact is there are more beers from more brewers.

  Q631  Chairman: That should mean that the rate of beer inflation should not be so great then, should it, there will be more competition?

  Mr Vickers: Yes, we are all for competition.

  Q632  Chairman: If you have more suppliers and there is competition then prices should fall or they should not rise as much as perhaps they are rising.

  Mr Vickers: Some of the recent price trends updating the 2000 report, we can give you the update on that. It is ONS data.

  Q633  Chairman: I have to say I would have thought you would have had that with you.

  Mr Vickers: We have some of that evidence.

  Q634  Chairman: Yes, I know. The feeblest excuse that we get from civil servants and public bodies is that the information that we want can only be acquired at disproportionate expense. That is the mantra of the civil servant, the public servant, who is hiding. It is a while since your organisation has been here, Mr Vickers, but the OFT came before us on petroleum pricing some years ago—Dr Berry will remember—and at that time it was quite clear that there was not the requisite degree of resource applied to that particular issue. Now I have to say that petroleum prices are perhaps rather more important than beer prices, although if you are a beer drinker you might dispute that, but the point is that in terms of the economy it is a bigger issue.

  Mr Vickers: Yes.

  Q635  Chairman: In the past there have, therefore, been questions raised about the priorities for the allocation of resource within your organisation, but that is not for us today to consider. It is the easiest hole into which a civil servant can dive and we have been at this game long enough to know that one. I just make that point to you.

  Mr Vickers: We are a transparent organisation. In time past none of our mergers advice ever saw the light of day at all. Now that is all out there published on the website for everyone to see, form their own views of and so on. You mentioned petrol prices. I get a monthly report on petrol prices which I look at very closely because as you say there are a number of very important questions in that area. On beer prices, including consumer prices, we do have facts and figures with us here now and we can give you that now, I just thought it might be more convenient if you had that later.

  Chairman: It is like the distribution area, I think it is something we are going to be a wee bit more specific about in written form to you. We will discuss the matter. We have aired it here but it is the second area that we are going to have to come back to with you, distribution is one and this price question is another.

  Q636  Mr Clapham: Could I just carry the point on because you have made comparisons between the off-trade price and the on-trade price of beer. I think it is your evidence that suggests the off-trade price as sold from supermarkets has dropped quite considerably whilst at the same time over a three year period we have seen the retail price of beer sold on-trade increase. Surely there it raises questions, the questions being is this because of the suppliers' prices? Is it the suppliers that are driving that increase? Is it the margins of the pubcos or is it the margins of the tenants that are driving the price? Surely there is a need to look very closely at what is driving the retail price of beer because that determines the sales and that determines whether a pub is going to survive. In my particular constituency, which is rural, we are seeing pubs actually closing down. There is a real need, I suggest, to examine this. Given that you have made this point in your evidence, what do you suggest is driving the retail price of beer in the local pub?

  Mr Vickers: If I could just give two facts, and a richer set will be sent later. Price changes in the four years from the end of 1999 to the end of 2003—so close to the four year period since our report—for draught bitter and draught lager have both moved pretty much in line with the all items retail price index. Draught bitter a fraction under, draft lager a fraction over. Against the services price index they have both come down relative to that. The services price index has been moving ahead of the all items one. If you like, that is a snapshot of the picture in recent years. When one goes into a pub, it is not just liquid in a glass, there is more to it than that so in comparing the off-trade and the on-trade and the wider service element, and whether that is getting better or worse, and how that is evolving, from a consumer perspective that is part of the overall picture. When, for example, comparing a pub price to what is the can in the supermarket shelf price, one is comparing different things and needs to be careful in doing that (and of course the can is perhaps more likely to be fizzy inside than what one might personally want to order in a pub). There is that difference too. It is the deal for the consumer overall. Price is the key but price is not the only thing.

  Q637  Mr Clapham: The price being very, very important.

  Mr Vickers: Absolutely.

  Q638  Mr Clapham: In particular in the rural communities. We heard from evidence previously that there is a feeling that some of the small brewers could revive some of the rural public houses if only we were to look at the tied situation. I would suggest that is an area that could be studied.

  Mr Vickers: I completely agree price is the key. Again I refer back to the big change in the market over a 15 year period from sole sourcing being very prevalent to multi-sourcing. Now multi-sourcing obviously does not mean every brewer that wants to get in gets in but it gives a range of opportunities which is perhaps a wider one than existed in the big brewer sole tied arrangement of old.

  Q639  Sir Robert Smith: Can I just pin down one thing in your submission, in paragraph 3, exactly about where your remit is. You talk about what matters to you is a focus on the consumers and " . . . when enforcing competition law, or studying markets, we focus on how competition is working . . . We do not hold a brief for any particular part of the economy . . ." Clearly we have had a lot of concern from tenants of pubcos coming to us in evidence directly and indirectly. Are you saying that as long as the consumer is getting a good deal you have no concern as to what happens between the raw material and the consumer?

  Mr Vickers: The OFT has been given responsibilities by Parliament under quite a wide range of legislation, broadly speaking, competition law and consumer law. The way we try to summarise what is a large and rather diverse range of jobs that we have to do is try to make markets work well for consumers. That is a very summary statement but I think it is in that context that you see the remark there. If in business to business dealings there are cartels, anti-competitive agreements or mergers that are making markets substantially less competitive, it is our job to be in there and doing something. That is also for the consumer benefit. It is not that we are saying "Well, let us ignore that bit of law because we cannot see the immediate flow through to the consumer". I think nearly all we have to do actually does have benefits for the general public as consumers, that thread is constant through that. This is not at all to suggest that we turn a blind eye to responsibilities we have under the law.


 
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