Select Committee on Trade and Industry Written Evidence


APPENDIX 17

Memorandum by the Trades Union Congress

I.  INTRODUCTION

  1.  On 7 May the Trade and Industry Committee announced its intention to conduct an inquiry into UK Employment Regulation that would cover the contribution labour market flexibility makes to the UK economy and consider whether the current degree of flexibility is appropriate or desirable, and, if not, what measures the Government should take.

  2.  This memorandum presents the TUC submission to that inquiry, and argues:

    —  The debate about employment regulation should take into account the positive advantages of employment rights.

    —  Different forms of labour market flexibility interact: any evaluation of measures to promote numerical or wage flexibility must take into account their impact on functional flexibility.

    —  British debates about employment regulation over-state the importance of labour market flexibility, and this is linked to a "low road" business approach, in which success is built on the foundation of low prices and low input costs—including pay, training and capital investment.

    —  In an era of technological change and intense competition UK companies are less likely to succeed using this approach. Instead a "high road" approach is advocated, based on innovation, investment and high-trust relationships. Unions have a great deal to offer in an economy that is taking the high road.

    —  The best business environment for this approach is the European Social and Economic Model, providing social security through generous benefits, a firm foundation of fair employment laws, and social partner involvement at every stage, from the firm, through the regions, to the national level.

    —  Specific reforms proposed in the submission include increases in the national minimum wage, an end to the opt-out from the Working Time Directive, the introduction of the Temporary Agency Worker Directive and reform of the law on employment status, with the presumption that all workers are covered by employment rights and any exclusions must be justified.

  3.  The TUC believes that the debate about employment regulation should take into account the positive advantages of employment rights. Employment rights help labour markets to operate more effectively by creating security, reducing poverty, inequality and social exclusion, and promoting the long-term trust relationships that are essential if the UK is to succeed in internationally competitive markets.

  4.  Different forms of labour market flexibility interact: any evaluation of measures to promote numerical or wage flexibility must take into account their impact on functional flexibility1 and vice versa. Some forms of flexibility beloved of classical economists—such as external numerical flexibility2—are much less attractive when this feedback is taken into account.

  5.  Employment regulation is a matter of more than just laws. The institutional framework—benefits, active labour market policies, collective bargaining—is essential. The TUC has been arguing for some time that the UK's institutions and laws create a "low road" equilibrium, which constrains firms to adopt business strategies that are unsuited for a future of heightened competition. The public policy dimension of that equilibrium is the characteristic British habit of viewing employment rights only as a constraint on employers. Industrial and social relations are seen as a zero-sum game, in which any advance for those at the bottom must mean losses for those at the top. Sheltered markets have allowed firms constrained by these attitudes to muddle through, but this option is disappearing.

  6.  This submission argues that the creation of a modern "flexicurity" labour market is the counterpart of the "high road" business environment we seek to create. This is not a Utopia—other low-unemployment European economies have achieved this, using generous but conditional labour market benefits; active labour market policies; social partner regulation of, and participation in, the labour market and devolved institutions and resources.

  7.  We conclude by arguing for a number of concrete reforms including further increases in the national minimum wage; further tax-benefit reforms to "make work pay"; increased education and training opportunities, especially for people from poorer families; an increase in the real value of out-of-work benefits; increased spending on active labour market policies and (especially) childcare; further measures to improve work-life balance (including an end to the UK opt-out from the Working Time Directive); continued strong support for regional development based on the RDAs; encouragement for the building of High Performance Workplaces; and the reform of the law on employment status. The keynote reform would be for the Government to promote collective bargaining as a key element of flexicurity, using it to address issues of low workplace productivity, training and inequality.

II.  EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION IS A GOOD THING

  8.  It is notable that the title of this inquiry is "employment regulation" but the terms of reference only mention "labour market flexibility". This reflects a tendency among some economists only to see employment regulation as a problem.

  9.  But, of course, the laws, institutions and practices that make up employment regulation do more than simply affect the degree of labour market flexibility in the economy. They were introduced to achieve positive social and economic objectives, which are valuable in themselves, and the extent to which these objectives are achieved should be included in any assessment. As Robert Solow commented in his Keynes lecture:

    "Every one of these regulations or restrictions was intended to promote a desirable social purpose. Some may do so ineffectively or inefficiently. That is worth knowing; but the fact remains that wholesale elimination of these `rigidities' is neither desirable nor feasible."3

  10.  Since 1997 the Government has re-regulated the labour market. Some politicians and economists bitterly opposed the national minimum wage, because it would reduce wage flexibility; it would, we were told, increase unemployment and inflation. In fact, price rises in 1999 (the year the minimum wage was introduced) were lower than in the previous year. Employment rose by 250,000 in that year, and it has continued to rise alongside the minimum wage, so that there are now a million more jobs than there were five years ago. 18% of firms affected by the 2001 increase responded by increasing their use of new technology, and the minimum wage has also been responsible for modest increases in training and improvements in retention and motivation in the low-paying sectors.4

  11.  The national minimum wage has made life better for many low paid workers. 1.2 million received a pay increase, with black and minority ethnic workers and disabled people gaining disproportionately;5 and over a million people have gained from each subsequent increase.6 The national minimum wage has reduced the gender pay gap by about 1.5%.

  12.  It is just as misleading to consider the rights introduced by the Working Time Directive only in terms of reduced flexibility. These rights enhance the efficiency of firms and the country as a whole, through improved health and safety—excessive hours are linked to the likelihood of having a road or industrial accident or of over-exposure to dangerous chemicals and to such conditions as cardiovascular disease, diabetes, stress and depression.7 There is also evidence that the long hours culture restricts women's progress in the labour market, harms parenting and undermines family life and is linked to low productivity, high labour turnover and failure to innovate.8 We know that, despite the severe limitations resulting from the opt-out, the Working Time Regulations 1998 led to 6 million people getting an increase in their holiday entitlement, including 2 million who had previously had no holidays at all. This is a large increase in the total of human happiness, and it is shocking that many politicians and commentators pay it no attention at all.

  13.  We need these rights to have the force of law because there are far too many employers who will do nothing, even when better conditions would be in their interests, helping them to maximise the contribution their workforce can make to the organisation. The Working in Britain Survey found that "managers are pragmatic enough to adapt to change in the way they treat their employees when it is required of them but few seem willing to take any positive initiative to introduce workplace reform to meet worker demands or aspirations."9 The survey was carried out when the Government was considering the right to work family friendly hours, a debate that took place after several years of exhortation and advice; the survey found "precious few signs that most employers in Britain are planning in the near future to improve benefits for employees with specific family responsibilities beyond the bare legal requirement." 10

  14.  Getting rid of employment legislation would not make the problems it addresses go away. Remove rights and workers will try to defend themselves through their unions, weaken the unions and they will turn to the courts. Businesses hate the "compensation culture" that has long been a feature of US employment, where unions have been weak and regulation set at a low level for many years. Its rise in this country has precisely mapped the move to deregulation and attacks on unions.

III.  COMPLEXITIES OF FLEXIBILITY

  15.  The Committee's inquiry focuses on labour market flexibility, and this memorandum therefore does not discuss product or capital markets in detail. But it does refer to them in places, because labour market flexibility is undoubtedly influenced by changes in the product and capital markets. As the Treasury has argued:

    "The overall flexibility of the economy depends on the interaction of flexibility in the labour, product and capital markets . . . the overall flexibility of the economy depends on each market working as effectively as possible." 11

  16.  Equally importantly, just as the labour, capital and product markets influence each other, so to do the different institutions of labour market flexibility. One of the key contentions of this submission is that measures designed to promote numerical or wage flexibility will affect functional flexibility, and vice versa.

  17.  The emergence of labour market flexibility as a common field of study is a comparatively recent development, and the term has been defined in many different ways in the past three decades. As Robert Reich commented when he was the US Secretary of Labor, it went "directly from obscurity to meaninglessness without any intervening period of coherence." 12 In this memorandum we will use the Treasury's categories: 13

    —  Geographical flexibility or the ease with which workers can move across the country to another job.

    —  Employment and numerical flexibility—flexible forms of employment that offer variations in hours and tenure, and the regulation of hiring and firing.

    —  Functional flexibility—the ability of the workers to perform a range of tasks, and thereby allowing them to adapt to different skill requirements or work practices.

    —  Wage flexibility, real and money wages and relative wages.

IV.  NON-WAGE FLEXIBILITY AND THE UK ECONOMY

Geographical flexibility

  18.  The Treasury's 2003 assessment of EMU and labour market flexibility noted that, job mobility is low in the EU generally, 14 but "need not necessarily undermine the flexibility of the labour market as a whole. However, this requires that other characteristics can compensate. That said, more geographic mobility would help adjustment where other labour market adjustment mechanisms are slow." 15 The follow-up report published this Spring added that, with the exception of London, "the net flow between most regions is generally very small over the year," though net flows disguised the ease with which people can move—2% of the population moved from one region to another in 2002. 16 The Treasury believes that geographical mobility is, nonetheless, lower than in the USA, requiring special attention from the Government. 17 The Government is piloting reforms of Housing Benefit to make it easier for unemployed people to move to find work, and commissioned the Barker report on housing. 18

Employment flexibility

  19.  The Treasury has argued that a wide variety of employment forms means more people are able to enter and leave the labour market, and for hours to vary in response to changes in demand. There is a great deal of hype about new flexible working practices. There are changes, but they are long-term trends, such as the growing proportion of women in the labour force. Sorting out the real changes from pundits' inventions, we can say:

    —  Temporary work surged in the mid 1990s, but has been shrinking as a share of employment ever since. Today about 1.5 million employees work in temporary jobs, just over 5% of the all employees. The big change in the recent years has been within the temporary labour market, with fixed term jobs falling and the number and proportion of agency temps increasing. In 2002 the LFS showed 290,000 people, or one temporary worker in 6, saying that they were temping for an agency, and the DTI has said that this is probably an under-estimate, estimating the true number as probably nearer 700,000.

    —  Second jobs/portfolio working has been portrayed as the future of work, with descriptions concentrating on IT literate graduates with a "portfolio" of jobs, not just one. Second jobs are actually more common at the other end of the labour market, where low paid workers need to supplement inadequate earnings in their first job. Although second job holding is more common in the UK than the rest of Europe the number of people affected is falling at the moment. Today, just over 1 million workers have second jobs.

    —  Homeworking is not going to be the typical pattern of the future. There has been no overall rise in the total number of people working at home rather than in an office or factory, though occasional working at home—a day or two a week—is much more common nowadays if we include unpaid overtime by managers and professionals such as teachers.

    —  Teleworking is replacing more traditional forms of homeworking—so although the overall number of people working at home is static the share who say they telework is growing rapidly. But what they often mean is that they are doing some of their work on their own computer—often after the children have gone to bed. People for whom teleworking is their modus operandi are still rare—fewer than 1% of all in work, and most people statistically classified as "teleworkers" are self-employed or home-based workers such as salespeople or consultants.

    —  Specialisation and sub-contracting is becoming more widespread, and has helped drive a big expansion in areas such as business services. Between 2000 and 2003 recruitment services, computer services and marketing and consultancy services have recorded a 20% rise in employment. We expect this trend to continue, with strong demand from both the public and private sectors for bought-in services.

    —  Self-employment is increasingly dominated by white-collar professional jobs in areas such as business services. There are about 3.5 million self-employed people in the workforce today, or just over 12%.

    —  Part time work has grown by 2-3 percentage points in every decade since the start of the 1970s, and we expect this to continue. In recent years the rise in part time work has been related to the increasing number of students, who more frequently combine work and study than in the past. There are several major employers who now depend on student labour.

  20.  The 2003 Treasury study gives the UK generally high marks for labour market flexibility, second only to the USA. Actually, if the task is to Britain's employment picture more like America's we will need a less diverse labour market. Part-time work, temporary work and self-employment are more common in Europe than the US, and the picture for the UK is very similar to that for Europe generally: the UK has higher levels of part-time work but less temporary work. 19

  21.  In fact, British usage of alternative, `atypical' forms of employment probably reflects weaknesses as much as strengths. As in Europe, about one worker in three on a fixed term contract would prefer a permanent job but was unable to get one. 20 The UK has very high levels of `occasional' working at home, but this is likely to be the long hours culture in another guise, rather than evidence of genuine flexibility. Similarly, the large number (by EU standards) of low-hours part-time jobs reflects factors which are unrelated to the flexibility story—lack of childcare, a penal tax-benefit system and the rising number of students taking on jobs to finance their educations.

  22.  The Treasury assumes that the Working Time Directive's lack of bite in the UK is a good thing, but the two most common reasons for long hours have little to do with increased efficiency:

    —  low basic hourly rates for manual workers, who have to rely on overtime; and

    —  unpaid overtime by white collar workers—which grew rapidly in the 1990s, powered by the intensification of work.

Numerical flexibility

  23.  Numerical flexibility is usually taken to have two aspects: internal and external. Internal numerical flexibility is actually much more easily regulated by collective bargaining than by legislation. Unions have long experience of negotiating on overtime, shift premia and annual hours contracts. Business people who resent the intervention of outside regulators in these matters might care to consider the advantages of working with a union to agree mutual gains solutions.

  24.  External numerical flexibility—the extent to which employers are able to hire and fire workers without reference to standards of fairness imposed by the state—has become something of a totem for the free-market right. Regulation in this area, they believe, hampers productivity, because firms are unable to respond to changes signalled by the market. Lower productivity eventually feeds through to lower total employment, which also results from employers' reluctance to take on extra workers for fear that they will be unable to dismiss them, should the need arise. Unemployment will therefore, it is argued, be higher in economies with tougher employment protection standards.

  25.  After the 1997 election Patrick Minford predicted that, together with the minimum wage, the new Government's (very moderate) plans for strengthened employment would cost more than half a million jobs in the first year, and a million by the end of the second. Recalling this prediction highlights the fact that this is not the best time to argue that labour market efficiency depends on less secure employment.

  26.  Far from being a threat to jobs, re-regulation has been accompanied by a significant increase in employment. Total employment has increased by about 1.5 million since 1997: as the Chancellor boasted in his Budget speech, we have the highest employment levels and lowest unemployment for a generation, with new records being set every month, and most of this growth has come from permanent employee jobs, not temporary work and self-employment.

  27.  Most anti-regulation arguments from international evidence rely on comparisons between the USA and the EU. This is interesting—between 1979 and 1997 the UK went as far down the de-regulationist route as the US, but is much less frequently quoted. There is a good reason for this:

Table 1

JOB CREATION RATES 1971-200421
Annual average employment change UKEurozone
1971-80+0.3%+0.3%
1981-90+0.5%+0.5%
1991-2000+0.2%+0.5%
1991-95-1.0%-0.2%
1996-2000+1.4%+1.4%
2001-04 (part forecast)+0.7% +0.8%


  Jobs growth in the UK has consistently been at around the same level as the rest of Western Europe or slightly worse. Our foray into de-regulation has had no effect on this pattern.

  28.  It is a similar story when it comes to unemployment. In the 1960s and 1970s UK unemployment was lower than in the economies than went on to form the current Eurozone, but between 1980 and 1995 the average annual unemployment rate was higher in the UK than in the Eurozone. Only in the second half of the 1990s has the gap widened significantly between UK and average Eurozone unemployment rates, a period when labour market regulation in the UK was increasing.

Table 2

UNEMPLOYMENT PERFORMANCE 1971-200422
Annual averagesUK Eurozone
1971-803.8%4.2%
1981-909.6%8.9%
1991-959.3%9.4%
1996-20006.5%9.9%
2001-04 (forecast)4.9% 8.1%


  29.  And there is no clear relationship between a country's productivity record and their level of labour market regulation. In the chart below, EU member states' levels of regulation and productivity are compared. The unbroken horizontal line divides the seven countries with the highest level of regulation with the seven with the lowest levels. Similarly, the unbroken vertical line divides the higher productivity countries from those with lower productivity. The chart below shows that there is no clear relationship between regulation and productivity: EU member states are scattered equally across all four quarters. The UK is outstanding for low regulation and productivity.


  30.  All this is hard to explain if flexibility is the only route to labour market success. It probably isn't:

    —  A British review of OECD research into the links between employment regulation and labour market performance summarised the results as showing that "employment protection legislation has no significant associations with overall unemployment once other factors are taken into account" and that "it appears more important that the range and type of legislation adopted in a particular country is appropriate and works well with the other labour market institutions and culture in that country".23

    —  A study for the OECD in 1996 by Jackman, Layard and Nickell concluded: "Lower employment protection. . .increases hiring and thus reduces long-term unemployment. But it also increases firing and thus increases short-term unemployment. The first good effect is almost offset by the second bad one. The gains from flexibility are small."

    —  A similar study by Nickell published in 1997 looked at the underlying causes of differences in unemployment rates across Europe and concluded: "Labour market rigidities which do not appear to have serious implications for average levels of unemployment include. . .strict employment protection and general legislation on labour market standards."

    —  A recent study by Nickell concluded: "There is no evidence that employment protection slows productivity growth. Indeed, the reverse is more likely." 24

Functional flexibility

  31.  Workers' ability to take on different tasks quickly and respond to changes has always been valuable, but this is more true than ever in an era characterised by intense international competition and the use of information technology. Intense competition ensures the existence of a premium for firms that can quickly change their products and the way they create them, and information technology speeds up the response, cutting the time lapse between strategic and operational decisions. But the ability to do this depends upon having workers who can rapidly change what they do and the way they do it, and on an organisation of work that allows, encourages and enables them to do this.

  32.  In the past, UK policy has concentrated on skills shortages (lack of people with the right skills in the labour market generally) and skills gaps (lack of people with the right skills within firms). Skills shortages have meant that the recovery phase of the economic cycle has always seen an increase in inflationary wage pressure, and the Treasury's 2003 EMU assessment pays close attention to this issue. The paper notes that the Employer Skills Survey and the BCC and CBI surveys show that that shortages have at least stabilised since 1997; but skill gaps are more widespread. 25 Where skills shortages can mean higher wage pressure, skills gaps are more likely to show up in poor productivity—and it is certainly true that the UK has made very little progress in closing the skills gap with the Eurozone economies:

Table 3

PRODUCTIVITY IN 1997 AND 200226
EU = 100GDP per hour worked GDP per person employed
19972002 19972002
France110.8113.7 107.5108.8
Germany107.3106.2   99.7  97.4
Italy111.9113.8 112.6113.1
UK  88.2  88.1   94.0  96.1


  This is not a new story. UK Governments have been trying to improve productivity for a long time, but with very poor results:

Table 4

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH IN GDP PER HOUR WORKED, CYCLICALLY ADJUSTED27
1980-901990-2000 1996-2000
France3.2%2.0% 1.8%
Germany2.5%1.9% 1.6%
Italy2.4%2.0% 1.6%
EU average2.7%1.9% 1.6%
UK2.3%1.4% 1.5%


  33.  Skills gaps create a severe limitation in functional flexibility that is experienced at the level of the individual firm, but which is the expression of a systems problem: the UK's low skills equilibrium. Skills gaps are as much a problem of demand as of supply, indeed, the two are roughly in balance. Employers do not recognise the need to increase skills, because the UK's characteristic business strategy is to compete more on the basis of low prices than of added value, and high level skills and empowered workers are more likely to be a problem than an asset for a firm adopting this strategy. As long as firms can survive on this basis there will be little incentive to change voluntarily. This problem, which is essential to understanding labour market flexibility in the UK is expanded on below.

  34.  In our view, the fundamental barriers to workforce reform include:

    —  a lack of the resources and/or money needed to implement change;

    —  excessive workloads, leading to insufficient time for training and the absence of working time flexibility;

    —  reform being focused on restructuring;

    —  targets and priorities making it difficult for managers to focus on the `soft' issues of work-life balance, skills training Employment Tax Credit; and

    —  the fact that a disproportionately large amount of the training budget—even in the public sector—goes to managers (80% of skills spending in local government, for instance, is devoted to 20% of the workforce).

  35.  None of these problems are functions of excessive employment regulation. Indeed, new regulations could help overcome them:

    —  A right to paid time off for training.

    —  Extension of the employer training pilots.

    —  Exploration of the possibility of a skills levy in certain sectors.

V.  WAGE FLEXIBILITY

  36.  There are three broad categories of wage flexibility:

    —  Relative wage flexibility: the ability of wages to adjust across different jobs or regions as demand and supply change (for example, wages in occupations or regions in decline will fall relative to wages in expanding occupations and regions).

    —  Real wage flexibility: the ability of wages in real terms (after adjusting for inflation) to respond to changes in unemployment and labour demand.

    —  Nominal wage flexibility: the ability of wages in cash terms to respond, including overtime, and bonus payments).

  37.  The Treasury's 2003 EMU assessment concluded that regional wages had become more responsive to unemployment rates between the mid 1970s and the mid 1990s—in other words, wages grew more slowly in high unemployment regions, making them more competitive in labour cost terms and helping reduce regional unemployment rate differentials. 28 Our conclusion is that there is no convincing evidence that relative wage flexibility has significantly reduced differences in regional labour market performance:

    —  Regional labour markets are an artificial concept—with the partial exception of London and the South East, pay in the UK is set at the national and local level.

    —  The real economic differences within the UK are not between regions but at the sub-regional level. The UK has relatively small differences in economic prosperity measured at the regional level but huge differences when measured at the sub-regional level.

    —  The Treasury's own regional productivity report concluded that: "relative labour market performance has been remarkably stable since the interwar period".

Wage flexibility across jobs

  38.  According to the Treasury study, in flexible labour markets wages will fall in jobs for which demand is falling, when compared with the wages of workers in jobs in demand. Earnings inequality is therefore a sign of increased flexibility, which we should welcome, not worry about. 29

  39.  It is no surprise that over the past twenty years the wages of, for example, a hotel porter have grown less strongly than a City analyst; this reflects their respective bargaining strengths. But no one could seriously think that the former could move jobs in response to the higher wages offered by the latter. The labour markets at the top and bottom occupy such different worlds that changes in the wage gap between the two tell us nothing about relative wage flexibility.

  40.  The growth of wage inequality is far more likely to be the old story playing out of labour market privilege for those at the top and labour market exploitation at the bottom. The UK has experienced one of the biggest increases in labour market inequality over the past twenty years, behind only the USA and New Zealand. Institutional factors such as the decline of collective bargaining, weaker employment protection laws, and cut backs in the social welfare safety net have all had a major role to play in explaining the rise in wage inequality in the UK.

  41.  Another argument says that demand for better qualified labour in the UK and other OECD economies has meant that the wages of those with education has gone up relative to those without education. The growth in wage inequality is therefore primarily caused by "the returns to education" having risen.

  42.  Widening inequality in education opportunities—with chronic under-investment in state education and a failure to develop a vocational system for those unable to access higher education—must have had an important role to play in wage inequality. In addition, the explosive growth in child poverty in the 1980s and totally inadequate nursery school provision reinforced social divides in educational opportunities especially in the early years. In 1979 only 13% of children lived in poverty, but by 1996 this had increased to 33%.

  43.  A recent study concluded that people born into a poor household in 1970 and therefore entering the labour market from the mid 1980s onwards stood less chance of moving into higher income brackets in later life than someone born into a poor household in 1958 and entering the labour market from the mid 1970s onwards. The study concluded that this fall in social mobility was partly because "a greater share of the rapid educational upgrading of the British population has been focussed on people with richer parents".30

  44.  Higher returns to education can only be part of the explanation. Many graduates are undertaking work for which a degree is not necessary, suggesting that employers are using university education as a filter for other desirable characteristics.

Real wage flexibility

  45.  In principle, labour markets can respond to a sudden economic shock—a sharp and sustained rise in the oil price for example—by slower growth in real wages (wages after allowing for inflation) rather than higher unemployment. This is the logic behind many national agreements, social contracts and the like between governments, unions and employers across Europe and (historically) in the UK.

  46.  The Treasury summarises the results of 23 studies over the past 40 years looking at how real wages respond to changes in unemployment in the UK against other OECD economies. But as they all use different methodologies, different comparators, look at different periods and generate different results it is hard to draw any firm conclusions. The Treasury has developed a statistical measure for the UK that shows real wages have become more responsive to unemployment, but admit that "the change is not statistically significant".31

Nominal (money) wage flexibility

  47.  Real wages could come under pressure because inflation increases sharply or because of cuts in money wages. In practice workers have resisted cuts in money wages and some employers may be reluctant to impose them. So wage flexibility is more likely to occur through changes in real wages rather than money wages.

  48.  However, resistance is likely to be weaker when inflation is very low, so money wages can fall without people experiencing real terms loss of income. This may simply reflect the ability of some employers to exploit workers in weak bargaining positions rather than as an example of genuine negotiated wage flexibility. As recent examples with migrant workers show, those in very weak bargaining positions may have little choice but to accept wage cuts.

  49.  The Treasury argue that the UK has money wage flexibility through the annual bargaining round, allowing pay to respond to changing labour market circumstances. Pay can also be adjusted on an annual, monthly or weekly basis through changes in overtime or bonus payments.

  50.  The Treasury offers no international comparisons to suggest whether nominal wage flexibility is greater in the UK than elsewhere. However, the evidence shows that wage flexibility appears to be as great in Europe as in the UK or in the US.

    —  A recent report by the European Commission undermined claims for the significance of wage flexibility, finding that wage responses to inflationary shocks were "surprisingly similar" in the Eurozone and the USA, that "nominal factors probably do not play a major role in changes in unemployment" and that "the finding of broadly similar degrees of nominal inertia makes it difficult to identify institutional labour market characteristics as the major determinants of nominal rigidities." 32

    —  A recent study found that both France and the UK had annual contract durations, most other European economies between two to three years, but the economy with the longest contracts was the US with deals of between three to five years.

VI.  IS THE CURRENT DEGREE OF FLEXIBILITY APPROPRIATE OR DESIRABLE?

  51.  To some business representatives the obvious answer to this question is no, the UK is losing its competitive edge as increased regulation creates a `red tape burden.' This view has been repeatedly articulated by Digby Jones, Director General of the CBI:

    "Our flexibility has been steadily eroded by ever increasing regulation and there is still more to come onto the statute book. We now face a real danger of our advantage being destroyed and there are clear signals that firms will go elsewhere if they are burdened with more legislation".

    "There is absolutely no room for complacency on this issue. The threat is not so much that jobs will go to France and Germany but to India, China and Brazil. The government must resist pressures to regulate further, much of which is coming from Europe and from trade unions." 33

  52.  Mr Jones' argument assumes that countries have no alternative to social dumping, to cutting taxes and reducing the level of regulation if they want to keep jobs. Indeed, his argument suggests that we must bring our standards down till we can compete with India, China and Brazil; that is, that British prosperity depends on lower wages and less secure jobs. This is nonsense; UK businesses will never be able to compete on labour costs with nations in the developing world, or with the EU accession countries. Nor should they: our continued prosperity depends not on low labour costs and deregulation but on innovation and adding value to products and services. The recipe for this future is improved management, sustained investment in people and capital, a focus on best practice and a business environment that sustains long-term efforts to move up the value chain. The UK's still modest level of regulation and low wages are not the obstacles to this.

  53.  Last year the Department of Trade and Industry published UK Competitiveness: Moving to the Next Stage, a study commissioned from Prof Michael Porter. Prof Porter concluded that British businesses are not being held back by a `red tape burden,' high taxes or too many holidays and rights to time off. In fact:

    —  "The UK has the lowest level of product and labour market regulations in the OECD." 34

    —  There is a "generally competitive system of business taxation with incentives for R&D investments and investments in economically distressed areas. The overall level of taxation is slightly lower than in many other advanced economies; this relative advantage of the UK has, however, decreased in recent years."

    —  "The UK currently has one of the highest levels of labour force utilisation in the OECD," (that is hours worked per employee, employment rate and labour force participation rate) "behind only Japan and the United States."

  54.  Any impartial observer will find the facts persuasive:

    —  An OECD survey35 of business regulation in 1998 ranked the UK 21st out of 21 countries.

    —  And 20th on measures of the severity and costs of employment protection laws.

    —  An independent study36 found that corporate tax rates in the UK were lower than in the US, Japan, Germany, France, Italy and Spain.

    —  A US Bureau of Labor Statistics comparison of labour taxes37 found the UK ranked 20th out of 25 industrialised countries, well below the US.

    —  Comparisons by ONS38 showed average profitability in Britain in 1998-99 was 12% compared with 9% in the US and Spain, 8% in Canada, 5% in Japan and 4% in Germany and the Netherlands.

  55.  But the evidence that convinced a former adviser to Ronald Reagan has not yet persuaded everyone in Government. The DTI's Regulatory Impact Assessments for employment legislation regularly overstate the costs of such measures whilst making no estimation of the likely benefits. When dealing with the Working Time Directive, for instance, the DTI's methodology has been to estimate the total hours that are currently worked above the 48-hour limit and then suppose that new employees will have to be recruited to work all of them. Their Assessment does refer to the personnel and health and safety benefits, but these are given no money value and they are not offset against the costs.

  56.  The Treasury appears to be an even bigger sceptic. Its 2003 assessment includes a new index of labour market flexibility, 39 which claims to measure how responsive to an economic shock a labour market would be. This index awards the best scores to countries with low benefits, less employment protection legislation, low/no minimum wages, low labour taxes and weak unions.

  57.  This index prompts a question: if the Treasury really believes that the route to flexibility is via wage inequality, weak unions, low labour taxes and ineffectual employment regulation, what should we make of a Government that has introduced the national minimum wage, reduced the qualifying period for employment protection to one year and increased National Insurance Contributions? The Treasury's approach should lead them to expect a less efficient labour market, yet their assessment is that flexibility has improved since 1997.

  58.  It is notable how little relationship there is between this supposed determinant of flexibility and the countries' actual labour market performance. 40 What this suggests is that, far from there being a simple blueprint for labour market success, countries have a choice, 41 and it makes sense to aim for an approach that combines high functional flexibility with high productivity and good social and employment outcomes.

  59.  Interestingly, this point is particularly well made by Jonathan Michie and Maura Sheehan, who are quoted in the Treasury's 2004 assessment as supporters of flexibility. 42 Their survey of hundreds of British firms actually led to a much more nuanced conclusion that is worth quoting at length:

    "Any simple-minded view of deregulated labour markets creating a flexible labour market and hence an innovative and dynamic economy is thus found to be dangerously simplistic. Creating the right sort of flexibility can indeed pay dividends. Allow the wrong sort of flexibility and firms may be tempted down a cul-de-sac which allows some short-term pay off by shifting the bargaining power in their favour vis-a"-vis a more insecure workforce. But this is the wrong route to go down for improved productivity and competitiveness based on quality and high value added. In short, the sort of labour flexibility that Government should be encouraging requires investment in people. The real danger that simple minded policies for labour market deregulation pose is undermining the confidence of firms to invest in their own workforce, for fear that increased labour turnover may lead to the returns on such investment being lost. Labour deregulation may thus inadvertently lead to a lower level of the sort of flexibility that is associated with innovation and good corporate performance. A regulated labour market on the other hand can actually underpin the sort of investment by firms in their own workforce that creates the `win win' outcome of positive human resource management practices such as high levels of training and involvement, along with improved corporate outcomes in terms of motivation, productivity and profitability."

VII.  THE WAY AHEAD

  60.  The TUC believes that a key strategic economic task facing the UK is how to achieve a systemic change, moving out of the "low road" rut—competing on price not innovation, with low investment in physical and human capital. As Michael Porter said, this means a transition from being:

    "a location competing on relatively low costs of doing business to a location competing on unique value and innovation. This transition requires investments in different elements of the business environment, upgrading of company strategies, and the creation or strengthening of new types of institutions." 43

  61.  Crucially, this transition will depend upon creating high performance workplaces. In recent years commentators, academics and personnel professionals have come to recognise the importance of the way in which an enterprise organises the work it does. In the UK, a CIPD study of manufacturing companies44 has been influential: in the firms studied, HRM practices relating to employee skills and job design accounted for:

    —  19% of the variation between companies in change in profitability, and

    —  18% of the variation in change in productivity.

  62.  In other words, how a company manages its staff directly affects both firms' profitability objectives and the Government's productivity agenda. The import-ant reforms have been those designed to get the most out of the organisation's employees—by enhancing their capacities, removing barriers to utilising these enhanced capacities and increasing employees' motivation to do apply them.

  63.  Firms that succeed in doing this will become substantially more functionally flexible. A key high performance reform is to enhance employee participation, bringing decision-making closer to the operational level. More decision-making by front-line workers increases the pace of innovation, freeing managers to take a more strategic view and to plan further ahead. Even where decision-making has not been delegated, an organisation that offers more information to employees and is more willing to listen to them will still achieve worthwhile results. Firstly, this is an excellent way to tap into the company's best source of market intelligence—front-line staff are often the first to become aware of problems or opportunities. Secondly, a commitment to employee involvement is the first step on a ladder of business gains:

    —  Involving employees in decision-making and giving them a real influence over decisions leads to higher morale and to staff being more likely to support workplace change.

    —  This in turn means that supervision can be less intensive.

    —  So managers spend less time fire-fighting minor or day-to-day problems.

    —  Freeing them to deal more expertly with serious and strategic issues.

  64.  Obviously, a high level of trust is the essential basis. Decision-making cannot be delegated to people who think they are being exploited, and people who are scared to tell their managers the truth cannot be relied upon. Trust cannot be assumed or coerced, and workers will only trust employers who recognise their right to disagree. Organisations that trust their employees and hope to be trusted in return will accept this, and welcome a genuinely independent voice for their workers:

    —  The more important a decision is, the greater the risk posed by issues where there are real conflicts of interest between employees and their employers.

    —  Representative participation can reassure workers that their interests have been fairly taken into account—but only if they trust their representatives.

    —  Workers are more likely to give that trust to their representatives if they believe they are independent.

    —  TUC research45 suggests that, when employees are confident about their representatives' independence, they will then be happy to see them working in partnership with the employer.

  65.  But the high road's clear business advantage has a price: it reduces the profitability at the level of the firm of crude exploitations of wage and numerical flexibility. Morale and the quality of relationships make more difference to whether an organisation can achieve the high performance model than any set of techniques or policies that can be ticked off a list.

  66.  This conundrum may help to explain why the high performance model is (all commentators agree) comparatively rare. The Workplace Employee Relations Survey suggests that the proportion of companies that have adopted it is no higher than one in seven. 46 The attitudes and assumptions that lead to workers being treated as mere factors of production may also hinder the adoption of the high performance model. This approach requires investment in training, and respect for the workforce.

  67.  The "low road" business model, by contrast, does not require managers to have any respect for their staff—indeed, it is a disadvantage. A study of firms in the pharmaceuticals and aerospace industries described managers failing to consult (or even inform) their staff about major work organisation changes, but still complaining that workers and the union would not get involved. 47 The author of another case study report remarked on how frequently the managers refused to accept the legitimacy of workers' responses to changes, and on how "employees were often seen as the problem rather than as the means through which solutions to problems could be found." 48

  68.  This is why the TUC has strongly welcomed the Information and Consultation Directive and Regulations. One of the advantages of the Directive may well be that when companies have to inform and consult their workers it will encourage them to adopt reforms that will be in their own long-term interests. This enhancement of employees' ability to articulate their interests will encourage the development of high performance workplaces and help achieve a greater degree of fairness at work.

  69.  We want, however, to be clear in this submission that our aim is not to damn the managers of `low road' companies. Like many British business people they are caught in what Finegold and Soskice in an influential 1988 article described as a "low-skills equilibrium, in which the majority of enterprises staffed by poorly trained managers and workers produce low-quality goods and services." 49 Firms caught in this equilibrium would rarely have room to invest in work organisation or upskilling, and indeed such an investment might not be worthwhile for them. Firms producing low-quality goods usually have to compete on the basis of cost, and "Fordist" production remains ideally suited to them: minimally skilled workers, performing standardised tasks can produce cheap goods and services.

  70.  The TUC has elsewhere50 looked at the factors that produce this equilibrium, including the skills and qualifications of managers, the viability of alternative business strategies, the rules relating to ownership and corporate governance, union weakness, the attitudes of stakeholders and the legal environment. What is worth noting here is the connections between, on the one hand, the low road and the worship of labour market flexibility, and on the other hand, between the high performance model and a decided emphasis on functional flexibility.

  71.  The labour market model favoured by the TUC builds on high performance workplaces and the European model of a generous welfare state and investment in active labour market policies. The high road to success is built upon secure jobs with secure wages, and the new rights introduced over the past six years must be the start of reform, not the terminus.

  72.  In today's terms security doesn't just mean freedom from unfair discrimination or dismissal, it also means that every worker must be able to combine their job with their family life. This is not just a matter of "balancing work and family responsibilities"—family life is a right, guaranteed by the European Convention on Human Rights, and that right should be as secure from infringement at the workplace as it is from state restrictions. All this suggests an agenda for strengthening our employment rights:

    —  An adequate minimum wage, providing a foundation for greater equality in original incomes.

    —  A serious attack on the long hours culture.

    —  Substantial public investment in childcare, making it free or at least a great deal cheaper for many more parents.

    —  Basic employment rights for all workers, whatever their status.

  73.  We argued above for the success of the national minimum wage and the Working Time Directive. The minimum wage has already been raised without an adverse impact on unemployment or inflation, and it can be raised again. The long hours culture is not conducive to the causes of health, higher productivity or attracting women into the workforce; the opt-out from the Working Time Directive should be ended as quickly as possible.

  74.  The TUC has welcomed the European Commission's proposals for a Temporary Agency Worker Directive that would give agency temps equal treatment with other workers in such areas as pay, working time and holidays. While significant numbers of people in all forms of temporary job move into permanent work, agency temping can still be a very insecure form of employment. As the OECD warned in a recent survey: 51 "persons spending an extended period of time in temporary jobs may be compromising their long run career prospects, in addition to being subject to considerable employment insecurity". Agencies are expanding and doing well in other European labour markets where regulation is far more extensive and agency workers are often automatically covered by collective agreements. There are no convincing reason why UK agencies and UK employers cannot operate just as effectively with the Directive as European agencies and European employers.

  75.  Finally, it is becoming a matter of urgency that the Government should reform the law on employment status. DTI research says that the status of 30% of the workforce is unclear; they may qualify for employment rights, or they may not—only an Employment Tribunal can determine the issue. The OECD has commented on the blurring of boundaries between different categories, and it is clear that the use of casualised labour is increasing:

    —  In the distribution, hotels and restaurant sector there have been large increases in agency and casual workers. By 2002, 61% of staff working in hotels and restaurants were in "casual" work.

    —  In the banking, finance and insurance sector the use of casual workers has more than doubled since 1992, while the number of agency workers has increased by 150%.

    —  In transport and communications, the numbers of agency workers in this sector have tripled since 1992.

  76.  The Government's intention when introducing the Working Time Regulations was to ensure that all but the genuinely self-employed should benefit. However, union lawyers have reported a series of cases where individuals, mainly freelancers, who are economically dependent on one or a limited number of employers, have been treated as self-employed as opposed to "workers" under these regulations. A piecemeal approach, treating different groups of workers differently, would only add to existing complexity and exacerbate the already unequal treatment of different groups. The TUC believes that employment rights should be extended to a broad category of workers: the presumption should be that all workers are covered by employment rights and any exclusions from the definition must be justified, and the burden of proof should rest on the employer. All employment rights should be extended in this way, including health and safety protections, trade union rights, the right to a written statement of terms and conditions of employment, the full panoply of family friendly rights and unfair dismissal and redundancy protections.

  77.  Above all, we need a new approach to labour market flexibility in the UK that recognises the central importance of collective bargaining and the development of labour market institutions that promote social dialogue between employers and trade unions. High collective bargaining coverage and a strong and systematic role for social partners in labour market institutions give other European economies an in-built advantage. When regulation is needed it can be introduced flexibly and quickly, but often it is the collective bargaining and institutional framework that effectively regulates the majority of the labour market. Moreover, such an approach means that the focus is firmly on how to improve functional flexibility and create high performance workplaces. This is a key reason why in terms of workplace productivity nine out of the world's top 10 economies are European.

NOTES

1.  The ability of workers to undertake new tasks and of organisations to organise themselves in new ways.

2.  Numerical flexibility is usually taken to mean the organisation of the workforce in a way that makes it possible for an organisation to cope with changes in demand. Internal numerical flexibility typically means the use of shift-working, overtime etc, whilst external numerical flexibility often means recruitment and dismissal.

3.  "What is Labour-Market Flexibility? What is it Good For?", Robert M Solow, Proceedings of the British Academy, Dec 1998, pp 189-211.

4.   The National Minimum Wage, Low Pay Commission, 4th report, 2003, pp 61, 231 & 236.

5.  Ibid, para 2.16.

6.  Ibid, para 2.20.

7.   The Use and Abuse of the "Opt-Out" in the UK, TUC, 2003, quoting: The use and necessity of Article 18.1(b)(i) of the Working Time Directive in the United Kingdom, Barnard et al, EC, 2003; Working Long Hours, HSE, 2002; "Married to the Job", Occupational Health and Safety, July 2001; Working Long Hours: A review of the evidence, Kodz et al, DTI Employment Relations Research Series 16, 2003; Living to Work Survey, CIPD, 2003; Reducing at-work road traffic incidents, Work-Related Road Safety Task Group, HSE /DTLGR, 2001; "Working Long Hours and Health", J M Harrington, BMJ Supplement, Vol 308, 1994. TUC analysis of the 2002 Labour Force Survey looking at hours of work and rate of industrial injuries, found a consistent gradient, with people working under 16 hours a week having an accident rate per hundred workers of 1.5, while those who worked more than 60 had a rate of 4.9.

8.  Ibid, quoting: Barnard et al; Parenting in the 1990s, Ferri and Smith, JRF, 1996; Step-parenting in the 1990s, Ferri and Smith, JRF, 1998; How do they find the time?; Dex et al, JRF, 2003; The Business Context of Long hours Working, Hogarth et al, DTI Employment Relations Series 23, 2003.

9.  Taylor, Managing Workplace Change, ESRC, 2002.

10.  Op cit.

11.   Flexibility in the UK Economy, HMT, March 2004, para 3.1.

12.  Quoted in "Unemployment and External and Internal Labor Market Flexibility", David Kucera, Center for Economic Policy Analysis, CEPA Working Paper 11, 1993, p 4.

13.   EMU and Labour Market Flexibility, HMT, 2003, para 2.59.

14.  Ibid, para 2.69.

15.  Ibid, para 2.84.

16.   Flexibility in the UK Economy, HMT, March 2004, para 4.15.

17.  Ibid, para 4.16.

18.  Ibid, paras 4.17-4.18.

19.   Why the French are Right: answering the flexibility myth, TUC, 1999, quoting data from European Commission, European Employment Observatory, US Bureau of Labor Statistics and UK Labour Force Survey.

20.   EMU and Labour Market Flexibility, HMT, 2003, para 2.96.

21.   European Economy 4, annex table 2 and 5, annex table 27, European Commission, 2002.

22.   European Economy 4, annex table 3 and 5, annex table 28, European Commission, 2002.

23.  "Some Labour Market Implications of Employment Legislation", Labour Market Trends, September 2001.

24.   Job Tenure and Labour Reallocation, CEP, 1998.

25.  Ibid, para 2.104.

26.   Productivity, Partnership and Institution Building, TUC, 2003.

27.  Ibid.

28.  Ibid, paras 2.15—16.

29.  Ibid, chart 2.2.

30.   Changes in Intergenerational Mobility in Britain, J Blunden, A Goodman, P Gregg and S Machin, IPPR, 2002, p 18.

31.  Op cit, para 2.31.

32.  "Wage flexibility and wage interdependence in EMU: some lessons from the early years", European Economy, European Commission, June 2003.

33.  CBI Press Notice 24/10/02. We should be careful about claims from business organisations, which may over-state or distort employer concerns. In 1999 the Small Firms Research Trust surveyed firms to find out which regulations took up the most time: 72% said VAT, 57% PAYE, 48% self-assessment, 25% said health and safety and just 5% said the working time directive, 3% the minimum wage and 123% all other employment related legislation. (Quarterly Survey of Small Business in Britain, SBRT, Dec 2000.) Research for the DTI by the Small Business Research Centre at Kingston University (Small Firms' Awareness and Knowledge of Individual Employment Rights, 2002) asked people running small businesses to identify the most important factors affecting performance. The authors concluded that "the impacts of individual employment rights on small firms are not widespread." Just one respondent in six cited any government legislation or regulations (ie not only employment regulation), more popular contenders were competition and financial considerations such as cash flow, debt, rents, interest rates. A substantial minority (about a third) said that employment rights had a positive impact—providing guidelines and clarification in setting terms and conditions for their employees and around 10 per cent said they "raised staff morale and engendered a feeling of security". In other words, more employers saw regulation as good for business than believed that regulation hampered entrepreneurship and business growth.

34.  Op cit, p 25.

35.  Economics Working Paper 226, OECD, April 2000.

36.  "The Case for International Tax Co-ordination Reconsidered," Peter Sorenson, Economic Policy, CEPR October 2000. Tax rates on retained corporate income in 1999 were 30% in the UK, 35% in Spain, 37% in Italy, 38% in the US, 40% in France, 48% in Japan and 52% in Germany.

37.   Social insurance and other labour taxes as a percentage of hourly labour costs for production workers in manufacturing, BoL, September 2000. In 1999 these were 13% in the UK, 21% in the US, 24% average across the EU.

38.   Economic Trends, December 2000.

39.   EMU and Labour Market Flexibility, paras 4.73-4.78, created by pooling replacement ratios, unemployment benefit duration, spending on active labour market policies, employment protection legislation tax wedge and union density, coverage and co-ordination. Actually, the index measures labour market rigidity: the lower a country's score the more flexible it is meant to be.

The index shows the UK having the best score in Europe—only the USA does better among advanced industrial nations—but it produces some idiosyncratic results: Italy and Spain, apparently, have more flexible labour markets than the Netherlands, Sweden or Denmark (not a consensus view.)

40.  Op cit, chart 4.12. If we rank the countries by their unemployment level, giving their flexibility ranking in the second column, we can see how little relationship there is between the two:

Countries and their flexibility rankings, ranked by unemployment

CountryFlexibility ranking
Switzerland3
Ireland6
Austria7
Netherlands14
Norway15
Denmark19
USA1
UK2
Japan4
New Zealand9
Australia10
Sweden13
Canada5
Germany8
Italy11
Spain12
Portugal16
Finland17
France18
Belgium20

41.  As Richard Freeman has observed: "Once a country has a strong tradition of basic market freedoms it has considerable leeway in the precise way it structures its institutions. Advanced capitalism is a sturdy economic system that allows for a diversity in institutional arrangements." (Institutional Differences and Economic Performance Among OECD Countries, Richard B. Freeman, CEP discussion paper 557, 2002.)

42.  Op cit, box 3.2.

43.   UK Competitiveness: Moving to the Next Stage, M Porter, DTI, 2003, p 5.

44.   Impact of People Management Practices on Business Performance, Patterson et al, IPD, 2002.

45.   What Workers Want from Workplace Organisations, Diamond & Freeman, TUC, 2001.

46.   Britain at Work, Cully et al, HMSO, 1999, p 295.

47.   High Involvement Work Systems: The Only Option for UK High Skill Sectors?, C Lloyd, SKOPE research paper 11, 2001, pp 15-16.

48.   People Management in UK Aerospace: Case Studies, M Thompson, Templeton College for SBAC, 1999, p 67.

49.  "The Failure of Training in Britain: Analysis and Prescription", D Finegold & D Soskice, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol 4, no 3, p 22.

50.   The Low Road, TUC, 2002.

51.  Quoted in Agency Work in Britain Today, TUC, 2003.





 
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