Select Committee on Treasury Written Evidence


Memorandum submitted by HM Customs and Excise

  1.  The Government is committed to tackling tax fraud in order to protect the revenue required for investment in public services, to protect legitimate businesses, and to protect society from organised crime.

  2.  Since 2000 HM Customs and Excise (Customs) has taken a new strategic approach towards tackling revenue losses, based on the achievement of outcomes which have a direct and measurable impact on the problems the Government is trying to solve. The approach has a number of key components:

    —  analysis: understanding of the nature of any revenue loss problem is an important first step in measuring its size, analysing the trends in its development, and ensuring the effective deployment of strategies to tackle them;

    —  estimates: it is also important to establish a robust baseline of the size of a problem against which targets can be set and monitored. Estimates of the revenue loss problems facing the indirect tax regimes are now published on a routine basis wherever possible;

    —  targets: the new approach has seen a switch from a focus on outputs to a balanced combination of activities designed to hit outcome targets. Each strategy needs to be geared towards a clear outcome in terms of its impact on the scale of the problem, so that the appropriate operational responses can be drawn up to meet those targets, and so the effectiveness of the strategy can be routinely measured;

    —  responses: each strategy must feature a range of measures which apply proportionate and well-targeted pressure at all levels of the problem. In some cases, where losses occur because of fundamental weaknesses in the way the tax is controlled, the first step must be to establish a sustainable control regime; and

    —  monitoring: performance in meeting the key outcome based targets is measured and reported on a regular basis, accompanied where relevant by operational data which shows progress in individual areas. The development of the problem must also be carefully monitored so that operational responses can be adapted accordingly, and new measures brought forward.

  3.  This memorandum covers fraud in the tobacco, alcohol and oils sectors. It describes the steps taken to reduce the levels of fraud in these sectors, the impact these have had on the level of fraud, and on the compliance costs of businesses in those sectors.

MEASURING EXCISE FRAUD

  4.  Measuring the scale of, and trends in, excise fraud is inherently problematic because of the difficulties in estimating total consumption from survey data. Customs first published an estimate of the scale of excise fraud for spirits, cigarettes and hydrocarbon oils, along with an explanation of our methodology, in 2001.[28] We have updated our estimates and explained developments in our methodology annually since then. A complete set of the latest estimates are contained within the Customs' paper "Measuring and Tackling Indirect Tax Losses" published at the time of Pre-Budget report (PBR) 2003, which is submitted here as part of our evidence to the Committee. The UK government is the first to produce systematic estimates for fraud in this way.

TACKLING TOBACCO SMUGGLING

  5.  Customs' Public Service Agreement (PSA) target for the 2003-04 to 2005-06 period is to reduce the illicit cigarette market to 17% by 2005-06. The joint Revenue and Customs PSA target for the years 2005-06 to 2007-08 extends this target to reduce the illicit market to 13% by 2007-08. We have made good progress towards our targets. Since the introduction of the Tackling Tobacco Smuggling Strategy in 2000 we have reduced the illicit market to little more than half that projected for 2002-03 in the absence of a strategy—see Table 1 below. At this intermediate stage, we believe we are on course to meet our target to reduce the illicit market to 17% by 2005-06.

TABLE 1


MEASURING THE TOBACCO GAP

  6.  Estimates of consumption of cigarettes and HRT are calculated using the trend in the population and the trends in smoking prevalence for these products. The prevalence rates are taken from the General Household Survey (GHS), and from 1999 are combined with those from the Omnibus survey. An allowance is made for underreporting by taking a base time when there is considered to be no smuggling and applying the trend. For cigarettes the base time is 1992, and for HRT 1984.

  7.  UK duty paid consumption is taken directly from Customs' clearance data, which records the volumes of cigarettes and HRT upon which duty has been paid. Because duty on cigarettes is paid when the products are removed from excise warehouses, rather than when they are sold for consumption, the monthly data on clearances are smoothed to remove the effects of "forestalling", ie the stockpiling by the trade of "cheaper" products in advance of an anticipated duty increase.

  8.  EU duty paid cross-border shopping is estimated using the International Passenger Survey (IPS). The expenditures for cigarettes and HRT are converted into volume using prices of EU countries from which the products were purchased. The duty free and on board ferry sales cigarette volumes are provided by tobacco companies.

  9.  Our latest estimates, published in Pre-Budget Report (PBR) 2003 suggest that some £2.4 billion[29] is lost annually due to tobacco smuggling. At the time of the last PBR, GHS results for 2002-03 were not available so the published estimate for that year is provisional. Updated estimates will be published in the forthcoming PBR.

NATURE OF THE FRAUD

  10.  The majority by volume of tobacco fraud detected by Customs involves large-scale organised smuggling of large quantities (typically between one to 8 million sticks at a time) in freight. These cigarettes are generally sourced from outside the EU and will carry little or no tax. Seizures of large-scale freight-smuggled cigarettes very rarely involve stock that has had duty paid anywhere within the EU. A typical smuggling operation will involve a number of independent groups working as links in a chain to get illicit product from source to the UK smoker. Each organisation involved in moving product along the illicit distribution chain will expect to profit from its part of the process. Typically there will be at least four links in the supply chain. Genuine products sourced in global wholesale markets may be obtained for as little as 70p per pack (significantly less still for counterfeit). The typical UK illicit street price is around £2.50 per pack.

  11.  At the lower end of the smuggled market more product is sourced EU duty paid and brought into the UK by large gangs of air passengers working as "runners" for organised groups.

  12.  When Customs' strategy to tackle this problem began in 2000 the majority of product seized was of UK manufactured origin. Since then the preponderance of UK manufactured product has fallen steadily and an increasing proportion is counterfeit. In 2002-03 41% of seized cigarettes were counterfeit compared to 15% in the previous year.

SMUGGLING VIA THE INTERNET

  13.  For many years smugglers have used the international postal system to try to circumvent UK Customs' controls on drugs, obscene material and excise goods. However the smuggling of cigarettes through the post is a relatively recent phenomenon. Cigarette seizures in postal depots increased significantly alongside the growth in use of the internet and the increasing numbers of websites illegally selling cheap cigarettes to UK customers. In 2002-03 over 13 million cigarettes were seized at postal depots. We have had some success in shutting down these sites but, given the nature of the internet and the ease with which sites can be set up and removed, it has not proved possible to eradicate the problem altogether.

TACKLING TOBACCO SMUGGLING STRATEGY

  14.  The Tackling Tobacco Smuggling Strategy (TTS) was launched in 2000 against a background of increasing growth in tobacco smuggling which, it is estimated, would have seen the illicit market grow to some 34% by 2002-03 if no action had been taken.

  15.  The strategy is based on attacking the economic profitability and risk/reward ratio of smuggling through an end-to-end strategy of disruption. It involves the suppression of supply of UK manufactured product, legislative change, the use of new technology, and increased resources both at the ports, overseas and inland. Taken together this has reduced the profits available to smugglers by driving up their costs and has increased the chance of their getting caught.

  16.  Prior to the introduction of TTS Customs adopted a tactical approach where success was defined in terms of outputs, such as increasing numbers of seizures. This approach did not provide the best focus on how we could achieve the desired outcome of reducing the size of the illicit market. TTS allowed us to re-focus our activities in this area, and was funded by an extra £209 million over three years, which we have invested in increased resources and in new technology.

Increased resources

  17.  We have increased front-line and investigative staff by almost 1000 allowing better detection through improved intelligence. This has been successful both at the frontier and inland. We have also further developed our network of officers based overseas because of the crucial role they have to play, particularly in the Far East and Eastern Europe. The officers work closely with local enforcement agencies to detect tobacco (counterfeit or otherwise) targeted on the UK by international criminal gangs and provide tactical and profile intelligence enabling better targeting by detection and investigation staff.

Investment in new technology

  18.  We have installed a national network of x-ray scanners to detect high volume cigarette smuggling in freight. Since their introduction in 2001, these have detected over 700 million smuggled cigarettes and 45 tonnes of Hand Rolling Tobacco. In addition to their contribution to the tobacco strategy the scanners have also detected over 450 kg of Heroin, almost 600 kg of Cocaine and identified 1,600 illegal immigrants.

Legislation

  19.  The new legislative measures introduced "UK Duty Paid" fiscal marks on tobacco products to help prevent, detect and deter the handling, distribution, sale and purchase of smuggled tobacco. The introduction of the mark was accompanied by a range of new offences and penalties designed to crack down on the sale of illicit tobacco. In order more clearly to distinguish between smugglers and genuine shoppers, the guide levels for cigarettes and Hand Rolling Tobacco (HRT) were increased in October 2002 from 800 to 3,200 and from 1 kg to 3 kg respectively. These amounts represent a generous six months supply for the average smoker, and we are not aware of any other EU Member State having higher guide levels.

  20.  Eight of the Member States that joined the EU on 1 May 2004 were unable to raise their rates of tobacco excise duty to EU minimum levels so it was agreed that they should be granted a transitional period in which to do so. It was also agreed that until these rates are reached, existing Member States should be allowed to impose restrictions on the import of cigarettes and some other tobacco products bought in those countries for own use. Once the minimum rates are reached, travellers from these countries will enjoy the same benefits as those from countries already complying. The Member States to which the restrictions apply are the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia.

Suppressing illicit supply in co-operation with the tobacco manufacturers

  21.  Customs now work very closely with tobacco manufacturers to apply control over their export markets. This is our principal means of applying pressure to the source of illicit product, and is achieved by targeting countries where supply has risen quickly and where there are questions about the ability of the domestic market to sustain the level of imports they are experiencing.

  23.  All three major UK manufacturers have now signed Memoranda of Understanding with Customs and have said that they want to do all they can to help Customs tackle smuggling. Co-operation at present is generally good with seizures of genuine cigarettes continuing to fall, both in volume and as a percentage of overall seizures.

  24.  Our work with the tobacco manufacturers has successfully restricted the availability of genuine tobacco products to smugglers, and as a result the smugglers have turned to counterfeit supplies of cigarettes. As stated above, 41% of cigarettes seized in 2002-03 were counterfeit compared to 15% the previous year. These fake cigarettes are completely unregulated and carry potentially increased health risks, and we continue to work closely with the Department of Health on these issues. This changing pattern in smuggling also demonstrates the ruthlessness of the criminals involved and their organised criminality.

Publicity

  25.  Customs has taken a proactive approach to publicity and in the course of the strategy has run a £3 million publicity campaign to remind would-be smugglers of the penalties for being caught, and to discourage ordinary members of the public from buying the illicit goods used to fund organised criminal networks.

STRATEGY REVIEW AND REFRESHMENT

  26.  Customs monitors performance against all our strategies and we seek to adjust and enhance our approach both in anticipation of and in response to changing patterns of behaviour as the fraudsters react to our efforts. In the case of tobacco this has meant

    —  taking further measures to restrict the source of cigarettes for smugglers, through our work with the tobacco manufacturers and by working with overseas agencies to target the source countries for counterfeit product;

    —  continued targeting of organized criminals gangs responsible for the vast majority of smuggling volumes;

    —  making a long term impact on inland distribution and sales networks; and,

    —  undermining smoker's confidence in "cheap cigarettes" by highlighting the greater risk of counterfeit product.

  27.  With the raised profile, publicity and increased success in tackling cross-channel smuggling, we have seen an increase in air-passenger smuggling. Deployments to tackle air-passenger smuggling need to be proportionate to the level of sector threat and its relative importance in delivering the PSA target. To tackle this growth in air smuggling we intend placing greater emphasis on inveterate offenders who are part of organised gangs.

THE IMPACT THESE STEPS HAVE HAD ON THE LEVEL OF TOBACCO FRAUD AND ON COMPLIANCE

  28.  To measure delivery of the strategy, key targets were set for the percentage of the market accounted for by smuggled cigarettes for each year up to 2005-06. Since the introduction of TTS we have managed to slow, stabilise and reverse the growth in tobacco smuggling, reducing the illicit cigarette market share to 18% in 2002-03, against a target of 21%—see Table B below. The illicit market share of smuggled cigarettes for 2003-04 will be published at PBR.

TABLE B
Year2000-01 2001-022002-03 2003-042004-05 2005-06
Smuggled Share Target (%)21 222120 1817
Smuggled Share Actual (%)21 2018*nya

*Estimated using Omnibus data, may be subject to revision.

CIGARETTE SEIZURES

  29.  The volume of illicit cigarettes targeted on the UK has fallen sharply from a peak of over 18.5 billion sticks in 2000-01. As this has fallen, so the number of cigarettes seized, year on year, has also fallen. Large-scale commercial smuggling continues to account for the vast majority of seizures as shown by the chart below. However, increasingly smuggled loads are of mixed brands and are often well concealed. Air seizures have grown as a proportion of total seizures most probably as a consequence of a move to air smuggling by lower-level smuggling gangs that previously would have operated on the cross-Channel passenger routes. Inland seizures have reduced again this year, although fiscal marks appear to continue to be effective at preventing illicit cigarettes from penetrating the legitimate retail market.


OTHER INDICATORS

  30.  The first two years of the strategy saw an 81% reduction in all forms of cross-Channel passenger smuggling, representing a decrease in the cost of cross-Channel smuggling from £1.55 billion in 2000 to £290 million in 2002, and substantially exceeding the 10% year on year target set in 2000. In the same period we have seen a 42% rise in legal cross-border shopping for alcohol and tobacco, indicating that we have struck a good balance between protecting the rights of the travelling public to shop, whilst clamping down on smugglers.

  31.  In the first three years of the strategy our activity has

    —  reduced the number of cigarettes successfully smuggled into the country by 2.5 billion sticks a year;

    —  disrupted 190 tobacco gangs;

    —  doubled the average length of sentences, which reflects the focus on major criminal gangs; and,

    —  raised receipts and protected some £3 billion of revenue.

  32.  During 2002-03, we:

    —  seized 1.9 billion cigarettes—1.2 billion in the UK and 641 million en route to the UK—making a total of more than 7 billion cigarettes seized during the first phase of the strategy;

    —  seized 400 million cigarettes by using our fleet of x-ray scanners, 50% of those seized at UK freight seaports.

  33.  Specific results are as follows:

PROSECUTIONS
2000-012001-02 2002-03
Number of People sentenced884 431106
Average Sentence13 Months 17 months27 Months


VEHICLE SEIZURES
2000-012001-02 2002-03
Vehicles Seized*10,219 11,0648,616

*Vehicles seized for all offences.

GANGS DISRUPTED
2000-012001-02 2002-03
Gangs Disrupted4360 87

TACKLING OILS FRAUD

  34.  Customs' PSA target for the period 2003-04 to 2005-06 is to reduce the illicit diesel market in England, Scotland and Wales to no more than 2% by 31 March 2006. The joint Revenue and Customs PSA target for the period 2005-06 to 2007-08 is to ensure that the illicit market for all road fuels is no more than 2% by 2007-08.We also have a supporting target to maintain the upward trend in the delivery of legitimate road fuel in Northern Ireland, established in 2001. As a result of Customs' strategic approach the level of diesel fraud reduced by almost one third between 2000 and 2002, and deliveries of legitimate road fuel into Northern Ireland were up 7% in 2002—the second successive annual increase following five years of decline.


MEASURING THE OILS GAP

Great Britain (GB)

  35.  Consumption is measured differently for oils than alcohol or tobacco. Data published by the Department for Transport (DfT) on total vehicle kilometres travelled by vehicle type are divided by fuel efficiency figures to produce total fuel consumption. This is done separately for diesel and petrol vehicles.

  36.  Duty paid consumption is taken from Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) deliveries data, which give a measure of the legitimate supply of fuel by type, and UK country. Customs' clearance data are not used as they do not split between GB and Northern Ireland (NI).

  37.  Cross border shopping estimates are based on a 2003, Customs sponsored, survey of hauliers making international trips.

  38.  Our latest published estimates (for the year to 31 December 2002 and published in PBR03) suggest that some £650 million is lost annually due to oils fraud in GB.

  39.  Customs publish estimates for non-UK duty paid petrol consumption in GB but as this is very small (under 2%) and there is no operational evidence of a petrol fraud problem Customs do not attempt to disaggregate this figure between fraud and legitimate cross-border purchases.

Northern Ireland (NI)

  40.  For Northern Ireland there is limited data on distances travelled, therefore a different approach has to be applied. Customs assume that negligible oils fraud and smuggling took place in NI pre-1997 when the duty rates were low in comparison with the Republic of Ireland (RoI). Delivery data for 1996 is, therefore, assumed to represent the total consumption for that year and this is the index point of the time series. The trend from this point is calculated by multiplying the change in fuel consumption per vehicle measured in GB by change in the NI vehicle population. When applied to the index point this gives an estimate of the total consumption.

  41.  Because of the difficulties in conducting a survey around the Irish land border, which is some 350 miles long and has over 500 crossing points, it is not possible to estimate the quantity of oils legitimately supplied into vehicles in the RoI and driven into NI for consumption in those vehicles (cross-border shopping). Therefore, rather than reporting the illicit share, Customs reports the proportion of the market that is non-UK duty paid, without distinguishing between illicit and legitimate cross-border shopping. For Northern Ireland, our latest published estimate suggests £230 million is lost annually due to oil consumption which is non-UK duty paid.

NATURE OF THE FRAUD

  42.  In Great Britain, Oils fraud revenue loss is principally a result of rebated fuels fraud—the laundering, mixing and misuse of red diesel and kerosene, and some oils used for industrial processes known as "tied" oils. Set out below are the key fuels that are involved in these frauds.

    —  Red Diesel—Carries a lower rate of duty, (4.22p per litre, compared with 47.1p for ultra low sulphur diesel (ULSD)) and is for use in heating and off road vehicles, such as farm machinery. A chemical marker and a red dye are added to identify it as a fuel only to be used in off-road vehicles.

    —  Kerosene—Also known as paraffin, it carries no tax when it is used for running domestic heating systems. It is chemically marked, and is now dyed yellow following the introduction of a Euromarker.

    —  "Tied" Oils—Also known as technical oils or base oils, this range of oils carry no tax when used for specific industrial purposes such as anti-rusting agents or lubrication oils and are duty free.

  43.  In addition to the fraud types above Northern Ireland has the problem of cross-border smuggling, where duty-paid fuel purchased in the Republic of Ireland is brought into Northern Ireland for re-sale, exploiting cross-border price differentials.

  44.  This exploitation of duty differentials, whether between UK and Irish fuels or domestically sourced rebated fuels and road fuels, provides the incentive behind all oils fraud. Given that fuel accounts for approximately 30% of the overheads for a business in the road transport sector (such as a coach, taxi or haulage company) the use of illicit fuel in a competitive market can offer a lucrative option for undercutting rival firms. With 50% of all diesel being used in HGVs the revenue effects for the Exchequer of any widespread misuse problem are clear.

  45.  The main fraud types are:

    —  laundering—the treatment of rebated and duty-free fuels with chemicals to remove their markers and dyes and make identification of use as a road fuel harder;

    —  mixing—combining rebated and duty-free oils to make an illegal road fuel or to dilute road diesel; and

    —  misuse—illegally using unadulterated rebated and duty-free fuels in road vehicles.

  46.  Although low-level and straightforward private and commercial use of rebated product in on-road vehicles has long occurred, the particular and growing threat has been the commercial scale supply of adulterated product, typically to large-scale commercial users of fuel.

  47.  The large-scale supply of the illicit market, particularly through laundering plants, is organised by criminal gangs producing millions of litres per year. The infrastructure required to buy, process, transport and sell such volumes of illegal fuel is only at the disposal of serious, organised criminality.

UK OILS STRATEGY

  48.  Our comprehensive strategy to achieve our PSA targets is focused on stopping large-scale criminal and commercial fraud by combining law enforcement action centred upon the large-scale supply and use of illicit fuel with a better control of the sale and distribution of red diesel, kerosene and "tied" oils. We have been given additional resources to deliver this outcome.

Legislation

  49.  Customs launched the oils fraud strategy in September 2002 introducing preventative controls higher up the supply chain and improved targeting of potential misuse. At its heart was the introduction of a control regime for suppliers of rebated fuels (the Registered Dealers in Controlled Oils (RDCO) scheme) which required all businesses selling them to be authorised by Customs, to exercise a duty of care when selling those fuels, and to record information on their sales and provide that data to Customs monthly.

Increased resources

  50.  The strategy also provided for extra officers, including Road Fuel Testing Unit (RFTU) staff to tackle commercial fraud, investigators to tackle the gangs behind the large-scale supply of the illicit market, and a new Oils Central Co-ordination Team to guide and co-ordinate all our operational responses to oils frauds.

  51.  Underpinning this was investment in a new testing technology and markers better to prevent and identify fraud, a national publicity campaign, and tougher sanctions. The strategy also introduced a new "Euromarker" to be applied to all rebated gas oils and kerosene in the EU to help identify fraud.

Priorities

  52.  Customs' priorities in the UK Oils Strategy are:

    —  to ensure compliance with the RDCO scheme so that it is increasingly difficult for fraudsters to get hold of rebated fuels to misuse, mix or launder;

    —  to crack down on the large-scale illicit supply of illegal fuel by those laundering mixing or smuggling fuel;

    —  to bear down on commercial fraud where businesses use illegal fuel as part of their business activities;

    —  to maintain visible deterrence against private misuse of rebated fuels through increased challenge activity;

    —  to maximise the intelligence available to target officers as effectively as possible using both internal and external data, information and intelligence;

    —  to use the full array of sanctions at our disposal when we detect those engaged in the illicit supply chain or commercial scale misuse—including vehicle seizure, duty assessments, and prosecution in such mix as is necessary to recover lost revenues and prevent fraud recurring.

  53.  In Northern Ireland there is cross-border smuggling as well as rebated fuels fraud. In addition to implementing the UK Oils Strategy, Customs also deployed increased resources into Northern Ireland (from 25 officers in April 2000 up to up to 160 in January 2001) and led a multi-agency approach through the Organised Crime Task Force (OCTF) to maximise the impact of Government intervention in the whole road fuel sector.

IMPACT OF STRATEGY ON LEVELS OF OILS FRAUD AND ON COMPLIANCE

  54.  As a result of Customs' strategic approach the level of diesel fraud on the British mainland has reduced by almost one third between 2000 and 2002, and deliveries of legitimate road fuel into Northern Ireland were up 7% in 2002—the second successive annual increase following five years of decline.

  55.  This has been achieved by increases in the pressure Customs exert on oils fraudsters, as shown in the table below. In particular Customs have increased:

    —  the number of vehicles challenged from around 17,000 in 2001-02 to nearly 30,000 in 2002-03—up 80%;

    —  the number of detections from around 3,500 in 2001-02 to 4,000 in 2002-03—up 18%;

    —  the average value of each detection from £2,483 in 2001-02 to £3,337 in 2002-2003—up 34%;

    —  the number of laundering plants from 38 in 2001-02 to 46 in 2002-03—up 21%; and

    —  the value of assessments raised from £8.3 million in 2001-02 to £13.2 million in 2002-03—up 59%.
2000-012001-02 2002-03
Vehicles
Vehicles challenged20,861 16,31329,302
Vehicles detected2,295 3,3423,956
Laundering plants
Total disrupted2038 46
Great Britain330 25
Northern Ireland178 21
Gangs disrupted
Total disrupted719 14
Great Britain512 13
Northern Ireland27 1
Assessments£6.1 million £8.3 million£13.2 million
Prosecution figures (Great Britain)
Total48 7
Number convictions4 98
Average sentence21 months 14 months14 months
Confiscation orders£143,000 £660,000£374,000
Prosecution figures (Northern Ireland)
Total58 3
Number convictions5 153
Average sentence3 months 16 months8 months
Confiscation ordersNil Nil£250,000

COMPLIANCE COSTS

  56.  Prior to introducing the UK Oils Strategy, and as part of our regulatory impact assessment, Customs consulted with the trade about the costs of the RDCO scheme. Responses to the consultations were varied, with little detail provided regarding the costs likely to be incurred as a result of implementing the proposals, and—where respondents did try to estimate the additional costs—considerable variation between their estimates.

  57.  For the RDCO scheme estimates of set-up costs ranged from £15,000 to £400,000 with estimates of ongoing costs ranging from £3,000 to £60,000 pa. Estimated costs of the tied oils scheme were much less (maximums of £5,000 set-up costs and £6,000 pa ongoing costs).

  58.  The variety of estimated costs from affected businesses (and the relatively small number of estimates offered) made it difficult to quantify the overall impact on businesses accurately. However, Customs' own analysis indicated that costs were likely to fall towards the bottom of the range for tied oils. Costs may therefore be less in practice than those estimated, and we have just started a post implementation review of the RDCO scheme looking at compliance costs for registered distributors. We will be inviting the major trade bodies to contribute to this review.

  59.  In addition, Customs exercised a "light-touch period" in the first year of the RDCO scheme with an emphasis on educating and helping the trade comply with their obligations. In May 2004 a Business Needs Survey was conducted across a representative sample of the RDCO population. The response from the trade indicated they welcomed this approach with visits by Customs being well received by almost all those surveyed.

TACKLING ALCOHOL FRAUD

  60.  The joint PSA for HM Revenue and Customs for the period 2005-06 to 2007-08 includes a target to reduce spirits fraud by half by 2007-08.

MEASURING THE ALCOHOL GAP

Spirits

  61.  Spirits consumption is estimated by combining on-licence consumption from the Family Expenditure Survey (FES) with off-licence consumption from the National Food Survey (NFS).[30] The raw data are smoothed in order to reveal the underlying trends.

  62.  Household surveys are typically characterised by under-reporting for alcohol consumption. In order to overcome this, Customs assume that in 1992 there was minimal smuggling and cross-border shopping and that overall consumption in that year was equal to UK duty paid consumption and legitimate duty free purchases.[31] This assumption was informed by the expert opinion of those involved in assuring the alcohol regime at the time. This produces a baseline for consumption, and estimates for later years are produced by applying the trend in consumption observed from the surveys.

  63.  UK duty paid consumption is taken directly from Customs' clearance data, which records the volumes of spirits upon which duty has been paid.

  64.  EU duty paid cross-border shopping is estimated using the International Passenger Survey (IPS). The expenditure for spirits is converted into volumes using French prices.

  65.  Our latest published estimates covering the year 2001-02 were published in December 2003. Updated estimates, including for 2002-03, will be published alongside this year's Pre-Budget Report. The latest figures will also provide a range, in accordance with the National Audit Office's recommendations concerning the uncertainty inherent in using survey data to estimate alcohol consumption.

  66.  The published results produce a trend and scale of fraud that are disputed by the industry. They have proposed an alternative methodology. Extensive discussions have been held between the trade and Customs on this point, and in March the National Audit Office (NAO) produced a memorandum for the Public Accounts Committee that examined both methodologies and offered the view that "there is uncertainty inherent in basing an estimate of spirits consumption on survey data" but also that "both methods were seen by professional statisticians as equally acceptable".[32] The NAO also highlighted that the methodologies differed critically in the choice of survey used to estimate the level of spirits consumption. As part of this process the NAO welcomed the offer of the Office for National Statistics to examine the datasets used, and provide a view on the most appropriate, and revisit one element of the NAO work on confidence intervals to describe the uncertainty in the estimates. The outcome of this review has not yet been published.

  67.  In addition the memorandum highlighted the uncertainty involved in using survey data to estimate consumption of alcohol, and the consequent effect on the uncertainty in the fraud estimates. This led the PAC to ask Customs to publish an indication of this uncertainty alongside estimates of levels of fraud. This will be done in the report due to be published alongside the next Pre-Budget Report.

Beer and Wine

  68.  "Measuring indirect tax fraud"[33] highlighted the difficulties associated with using a top-down gap analysis to produce estimates of the scale of the illicit market in beer and wine. Over and above cross-Channel passenger smuggling (which represents only a proportion of revenue losses and has previously been estimated using a bespoke survey) it has not been possible to estimate the overall size of this fraud using our established gap methodology. A comparison of UK duty paid consumption with estimates of total consumption does not generate meaningful results. One reason for this could be that we are measuring something relatively small within a large market.

  69.  We continue to explore alternative methods to estimate the overall scale of beer and wine fraud. Although a robust quantification of the problem is not yet possible, the available operational evidence gives no clear indication that revenue losses resulting from beer or wine fraud are as substantial as those from spirits.

EU HOLDING AND MOVEMENT SYSTEM

  70.  Alcohol fraud occurs through exploitation of the EU Holding and Movement System, a trade facilitation system of considerable benefit to the UK alcohol industry. This allows for the movement of products under duty suspension. When duty suspended goods are removed to an approved excise warehouse within the EU, the movement must be underwritten by a guarantee, valid throughout the EU, to safeguard the potential amount of excise duty payable. This is supported by an Accompanying Administrative Document (AAD) for movements to other member states, or a form W8 for movements to other warehouses within the UK, which provides documentary evidence to support movement guarantees and is required to be produced for audit by Customs or when a vehicle carrying a consignment of alcohol is stopped en-route. The movement of alcohol under duty suspension facilitates the legitimate trade by avoiding the need for fiscal controls at frontiers, and the vast majority of these movements arrive safely.

NATURE OF ALCOHOL FRAUD

  71.  Most spirits fraud is perpetrated through the diversion onto the UK market of product which is being moved under duty suspension ostensibly between excise approved warehouses, often involving traders in different Member States of the EU. This can happen on import or export. Consignments of spirits, on which no tax has been paid, are obtained and diverted by fraudsters who cover their tracks with forged or duplicated paperwork. This illicit spirit is then sold mainly through licensed outlets at full (or close to) normal retail price. Neither the consumer, nor the honest trader, can distinguish illicit from licit goods.

  72.  Inward diversion occurs when duty suspended product is imported, ostensibly for a UK warehouse, but is diverted en-route and placed on the UK market without duty payment; outward diversion occurs when product described as destined for exportation never in fact leaves the country and is diverted onto the UK market. There are also other types of fraud including misdescription, duty paid in another EU Member State, unaccompanied (deep-sea) freight etc but these account for a small proportion of the total tax losses.

  73.  Recent detected frauds have included one case where 11 lorry loads of spirits were apparently despatched from a UK warehouse to Italy. We now know that none left the UK and they were instead sold on without payment of duty through the illicit market. Although the UK warehouse held receipted paperwork from Italy this was all forged. The same warehouse sent a further 19 loads to Greece, which we suspect were also diverted under cover of false receipts—although checks are still on-going. In total we estimate that £2.25 million of revenue would have been lost from that single fraud had it gone undetected.

OUR STRATEGIC APPROACH TO ALCOHOL FRAUD UP TO 2004

  74.  In recent years Customs has taken a number of steps to improve our capacity to prevent and detect alcohol fraud. These have included implementing the vast majority of the recommendations made by the Roques report into excise diversion fraud, and increasing operational activity both inland and at the frontier.

  75.  Nevertheless we are aware that the EU system for the holding and movement of excise goods—which is designed to allow the free movement of such goods within the EU and to ensure duty is not payable until those goods are actually placed on the market—will continue to provide opportunities for fraud. In effect, fraudsters exploit a system that is designed to aid the honest trade.

  76.  Customs has taken a number of important tactical steps to improve capacity to prevent and detect alcohol fraud. These include:

    —  In April 2001 a specialist "discreditation" team was set up at Dover to support local frontier detection staff to identify alcohol loads intended for diversion. In April 2002 this team was expanded to take on a national role, becoming the National Discreditation Team;

    —  In July 2001 a tough HGV seizure policy was introduced, targeting those hauliers who play a key role in diversion fraud;

    —  In 2001 237 additional Holding & Movement (H&M) assurance officers were deployed to control and manage those traders involved in dealing with duty suspended and duty paid excise goods;

    —  In 2001 263 additional frontier detection staff were deployed at channel ports specifically to tackle cross-channel passenger smuggling;

    —  In 2002 further additional staff were placed in the Regional Excise Assurance & Compliance Teams (REACT); and

    —  In April 2004 the Customs specialist alcohol intelligence team was expanded, increasing the team to 11 staff.

IMPACT OF APPROACH

  77.  Customs' activity targeting alcohol fraud has yielded the following results:

PROSECUTIONS
ProsecutionsSpirits Successful Unsuccessful*Mixed Excise Successful UnsuccessfulTotal
*2001-0272 918108
2002-03213 342886

*Mixed cases include mixed alcohol or alcohol with other excise goods.

GANGS DISRUPTED
2000-012001-02 2002-03
Gangs Disrupted52 24*

*Gangs disrupted figure for 2002-03 reflects the outcome of one major criminal investigation "Fulcrum".

  78.  Customs' efforts to tackle cross-Channel passenger smuggling (one element of overall alcohol fraud) have proved highly effective—in 2001 revenue losses from cross-Channel smuggling were down 76%, with cross-Channel passenger smuggling of beer almost eliminated and cross-Channel passenger smuggling of wine and spirits halved. In 2002 there was a further reduction of 22%, reducing alcohol cross-channel smuggling by 90% in two years.

  79.  Customs have worked closely with the trade to identify ways that they could help in combating alcohol fraud. The Joint Spirits Fraud Task Force was set up in May 2002 to provide a forum for these discussions. Progress has been positive but unfortunately, given the opportunities for fraud inherent in the EU Holding and Movement system, it was always going to be difficult, via essentially voluntary co-operation, successfully to combat the systematic attack by organised criminal gangs seeking huge profits.

STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT

  80. Customs monitors performance against all our strategies and we seek to adjust and enhance our approach both in anticipation of and in response to changing patterns of behaviour as the fraudsters react to our efforts. In the case of alcohol it became evident that a tactical approach to combating fraud would have only limited effectiveness whilst the environment in which the fraud took place assisted the fraudster by minimising the risks of being caught. Therefore Customs' tactical initiatives to tackle fraud have been introduced alongside an extensive period of discussion with the industry aimed at developing strategic measures that would be effective against this large scale and highly organised criminal activity.

  81.  Customs Alcohol Strategy to date has centred on the most effective operational tactics available to us in identifying and tackling the fraudsters responsible for alcohol fraud and in stemming the revenue losses. A common strength of both the oils and tobacco strategies is the partnership of incisive operational activity with supporting legislative change. Introducing measures through legislation that narrow the scope for fraudsters to exploit weaknesses in the system is key in maximising operational effectiveness. The Chancellor's announcement in December 2003 that he would introduce tax stamps on spirits from 2006 presents us, for the first time with the opportunity to broaden our strategic approach and to be optimistic that our efforts to significantly reduce spirits fraud will be successful.

  82.  The fundamental principles of the strategy are to:

    —  Make it as difficult as possible for a fraudster to deal with—and hide amongst—the legitimate trade, at all points along the supply chain;

    —  Make it easier for Customs, the trade and the public, to identify and trace illicit product; and

    —  Substantially drive up the costs—and thereby significantly reduce the profits—of being involved with spirits fraud.

  83.  We are supporting this work by:

    —  increasing our alcohol intelligence resources by some 30%

    —  improving information and analysis systems;

    —  increasing our detection resource by almost 10% in order to enforce the tax stamps regime;

    —  deploying more staff to prosecute tax stamps offences; and

    —  increasing assurance staff to combat any fraudsters who attempt to continue to operate within the Holding and Movements system.

TAX STAMPS

  84.  In 2002 Customs undertook a comprehensive consultation on the Roques report recommendation to implement a tax stamps system for spirits. The consultation established that tax stamps would have the advantage of allowing enforcement staff, the trade, and the public, to distinguish between legitimate and illicit spirits at the point of retail sale. The presence of a tax stamp would prevent the distribution of unstamped spirits at full market value and would increase the risks taken by anyone dealing in illicit spirits. The impact on fraud would be significant. However, the Government decided not to proceed with tax stamps at that time but asked Customs to work with the industry to tackle fraud and to explore alternative means of making progress in reducing the illicit market share. This work focused on the Joint Spirits Fraud Task force and an examination of how fraud could be stemmed through the strengthening of the existing regulatory framework.

  85.  In the summer of 2003 the Government consulted on a wide range of alternative options for reducing the opportunities available to commit fraud through the framework for holding and moving alcohol in duty suspension. Responses indicated that, while some of the measures would be acceptable to the industry and would have a small further impact in reducing fraud, the most significant proposals—radically to restrict the circumstances in which alcohol could be moved and sold in duty suspension—would not deliver an anti-fraud benefit that was proportionate to its compliance cost to the industry. The Government therefore concluded that tax stamps were the only way to combat spirits fraud effectively—both today and in the future.

  86.  In the 2003 Pre-Budget Report the Government announced the intention to implement tax stamps, but gave industry a final opportunity to put forward an alternative measure that would be as effective in tackling spirits fraud. The trade's alternative proposals took the form of a package of proposed new controls on the alcohol supply chain, but it was concluded that the proposals would be significantly less effective in tackling fraud than tax stamps. The Chancellor therefore confirmed at Budget 2004 that tax stamps would be implemented early in 2006-07 and that primary legislation would be passed in the Finance Bill 2004.

  87.  The spirits industry estimated the compliance costs of tax stamps to be around £54 million annually with an additional £23 million set up costs in the first year. Recognising the potential impact of compliance costs on the industry, the Government announced a number of measures to offset and mitigate these costs. These were:

    —  A freeze on duty on spirits for the remainder of this Parliament;

    —  A £3 million capital grant to offset trade capital investment, eg in tax stamping equipment;

    —  Agreement that Government would meet the ongoing costs of printing and distribution of tax stamps, and;

    —  Subject to further detailed consideration and discussion with the trade, seek to operate a system requiring no advance payment for tax stamps in order to minimise adverse cash flow impact.

  88.  Since Budget 2004, Customs have worked collaboratively with the industry, through the co-chaired Joint Alcohol and Tobacco Consultation Group (JATCG) to explore alternatives to advance payment for tax stamps that strike a balance between reduced compliance costs and revenue protection. Detailed discussions have also taken place on a number of other issues including: the product scope of the tax stamps regime, and the physical design of the stamp. On this last issue, industry representatives made proposals to incorporate tax stamps within the back labels of spirits bottles, which they argued would reduce compliance costs significantly. In response to this, provisions were included in the Finance Act 2004 to allow that form of stamp if ministers judge that it is appropriate. During this extensive consultation process, industry representatives have had regular meetings with officials from Customs and HM Treasury and have also had several meetings with the Economic Secretary to the Treasury, most recently on 2 November.

REGULATORY CHANGE

  89.  In addition to tax stamps, the Government announced at PBR 2003 a number of regulatory changes that would strengthen the Holding and Movement system. These came out of Government consultations with the alcohol industry in the summer of 2003. The Government committed to introducing four of the proposed measures during 2004, following further discussion with the trade. These include changes to the regulations governing producers, warehousekeepers and owners of duty suspended alcohol, requirements for notification of cash transactions and advance payments, and a scheme for recognising transporters with good compliance histories.

  90.  Customs continue to work closely with the industry to prepare for implementation of these regulatory changes to support the wider alcohol strategy. Detailed discussion papers have been issued and Customs are in the process of analysing these responses.

November 2004











28   Measuring Indirect Tax Fraud, Pre-Budget Report 2001. Back

29   In fact this is the figure for cigarette smuggling only in 2002-03-a further £580 million was lost due to the smuggling of hand rolled tobacco. Back

30   Since 2001-02 FES and NFS have been combined into EFS (Expenditure and Food Survey) but ONS and DEFRA are still responsible for publishing the FES and NFS equivalent data respectively. Back

31   Intra-EU duty free purchases are included. Intra-EU duty-free was abolished in June 1999. Back

32   Estimating the level of spirits fraud, memorandum by Comptroller and Auditor General, March 2004. Back

33   Measuring Indirect Tax Fraud, Pre-Budget Report 2001. Back


 
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