Select Committee on Treasury Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 300-319)

MR BEN STEVENS, MR NIGEL NORTHRIDGE, MR GARETH DAVIS AND MR DAVID DAVIES

12 JANUARY 2005

  Q300 Norman Lamb: With traceability.

  Mr Davies: With traceability and with enforcement, because once you have established that distribution chain and one attaches to that requirements through licensing, for example, then you have to protect the legitimate supply chain. That requires enforcement, obviously. However, there are measures that can aid enforcement. One could, for example, make it unlawful for a licensed retailer of tobacco products to sell more than a certain quantity of cigarettes on any given day to an unlicensed purchaser. That system actually does exist in Spain, for example. If one is selling more than, shall we say, 1,000 cigarettes on a daily basis to a purchaser, there is ample reason to suspect that is not for personal consumption. If one were to make the possession of a licence dependent on commitments and responsibilities to sell responsibly and not to sell irresponsibly, I think that would do much to address the problem of the losses to revenue that this government and other governments suffer as a result of the confusion around cross-border sales. Yes, one has to harmonise government policy in relation to protection of the internal market. However, today in Latvia the tax is 16 euros per 1,000 cigarettes and here in the United Kingdom it is 268. If one were to have a pure internal market for cigarettes, no one would buy cigarettes in the United Kingdom; they would buy them all in Latvia. That does not promote policy within the UK for revenue protection, the prevention of fraud, or the promotion of public health policy, in terms of using taxation as a measure to reduce consumption of cigarettes. So I think that you have to look at the issue holistically; not seize on one issue. You have to look at how one can accomplish a secure distribution network, with obligations attached to every player within the supply chain, which will ensure that there is no infiltration of that network; that there is no diversion from it and no circumvention of it.

  Q301 Mr McFall: In your submission, Mr Davies, you said that we need "the creation of a secure distribution network". That is why Philip Morris support "the licensing of tobacco product, manufacturers, importers, exporters, warehouse proprietors, transporters, distributors and retailers. Any person trading . . . without a licence would be subject to severe penalties. Any licensed person trading in genuine non-domestic or counterfeit cigarettes upon which UK taxes have not been paid should be subject to the same penalties, as well as forfeiture of their licence". On a superficial basis, that looks very much like a watertight situation. First of all I would ask why we have not moved to that and, second, would everyone at the table agree that we should have such a licensing system? Mr Davies, could you answer first?

  Mr Davies: It is a solution but it also requires enforcement, obviously. That is why we advocate, as part of the structure of a secure distribution network, the issuance of licences, with severe penalties attached for violating conditions. Conditions can include an obligation to maintain appropriate records; an obligation to permit government to audit movement of goods and to audit shipments to customers; an obligation on retailers not to sell product that is not lawfully tax-paid product; an obligation on retailers not to sell to young people. There is a whole range of measures, but it clearly requires enforcement. Smuggling depends on a willing marketplace and a distribution network. To the extent you have an unregulated distribution network, you are encouraging and facilitating smuggling.

  Q302 Mr McFall: But if I could take Mr Northridge's point, from what you said earlier on it was the breakdown of the distribution network that caused the problem. So if we had a licensing system which included proprietors, transporters, distributors and retailers, that would be an almost foolproof system, and the problem that arose with Gallaher would not arise in the future.

  Mr Northridge: I would not disagree at all, Mr McFall. I just do not believe that, while that is a fantastic vision, in a practical or administrative sense you would be able to get to it. As Mr Davies said, it requires huge amounts of buy-in from everybody, right across the whole of Europe. We cannot get tax harmonisation at the moment. To ask for this kind of vision would be even more difficult that getting tax harmonisation.

  Q303 Mr McFall: So it is a pipe dream then?

  Mr Northridge: No. It is a new concept to us. I have only heard of it in the last few weeks. I just believe that it would be very difficult. I believe that the BAT-driven initiative of the export bond guarantee is a step in the same direction, without the same degree of difficulty. It will not be easy because, again, it will require a lot of government and Treasury buy-in but, ultimately, I think that it is a more practical solution.

  Mr Stevens: There are a number of different issues that we are talking about here. I think that licensing the supply chain can help in some circumstances. For example, if you are trying to stop traders selling products to children, then licensing them and withdrawing the licence can be very helpful. The situation in the UK is slightly different. The majority of the smuggled product being sold in the UK, as far as I am aware, is sold in pub car parks and car boot sales. It is bought, duty paid, in other European markets. A licensing system will not really help you there. That is the problem we have with it. On the other hand, it could cause the most enormous administrative burden. To license the entire supply chain across the whole of Europe, which is what you would be talking about, would be extremely difficult. Therefore, I think that there are advantages in having licensing, but I am not sure that we will solve the problem we are debating today with it. That is my concern.

  Q304 Mr Walter: Perhaps I could come in on Mr Davies's point. We do not need a licensing system, because any legitimate retailer is already subject to all that kind of audit from Customs and Excise in his VAT return. We all know what his turnover is—unless he is committing fraud. So we do not need to go down the licensing route. Mr Stevens has a very valid point there: that it is the people who are selling outside the legitimate chain who we have a problem with.

  Mr Davies: I think that we have to create consequences. A licensing mechanism provides a unique opportunity to create very serious consequences. I should also say this. Let me come back to the issue of whether it is a pipe dream and whether administratively the burdens can be overcome. I do not think that it is a pipe dream— if there is a real commitment on the part of government and on the part of those involved in the trade to solve the problem, which is hurting all of us. The Government is losing hundreds of millions of pounds. We are losing hundreds of millions of euros in lost sales. If there is a real commitment, it can be made to happen, and it can be self-financing.

  Q305 Norman Lamb: Just explain how you are losing your sales.

  Mr Davies: Because every time someone buys illegal product—ours, for the most part, it is counterfeit product—we are losing sales. Not only that, we are putting our brand equity at enormous risk, because the quality of those products does not match ours. Let me just say this by way of analogy. The port of Rotterdam invested 14 million euros in a scanner. Within the first six months they had recovered 20  million euros in lost duties. A licensing scheme, taking the same sort of approach, can be self-financing in terms of the recovered losses to both the government, manufacturers, and others involved in the distribution chain.

  Q306 Norman Lamb: Is there any precedent for this in other products or other jurisdictions?

  Mr Davies: Spain has a licensing scheme, which includes limitations on the quantities of products that retailers can sell. They enhanced those provisions in the late 1990s. As this Committee is probably aware, through a combination of significantly increased enforcement efforts and these changes to the licensing system in Spain, we have seen a very dramatic reduction in the levels of illegal sales of cigarettes within the kingdom of Spain. I think that is a very good example.

  Q307 Norman Lamb: Mr Northridge, you refer in your submission to further research by Customs and Excise in conjunction with other EU customs authorities, "to help to establish more accurately the scale of smuggling from other EU countries, thereby enabling supply routes to be focused upon and controls to be put in place". Have you suggested this to Customs? Is this something that is likely to be taken up?

  Mr Northridge: Yes. With the opportunity of meeting Customs at every level and with policy every six months or so, they are aware of and they share our concern.

  Q308 Norman Lamb: Because there is clearly a lack of intelligence, is there not, about what is actually happening?

  Mr Northridge: Yes, and I think that the intelligence that existed for the tobacco products being brought in from outside Europe allows us to turn our attention to within Europe.

  Q309 Norman Lamb: According to Customs, large-scale, organised smuggling gangs, who supply most of the illicit market, have increasingly switched their attention to counterfeit product. As a result, there has been a significant increase in the volume of counterfeit cigarettes seized, which we have heard about. Do you measure the volume of counterfeit cigarettes in the market, using your pack surveys, and what is your estimate of the level of counterfeiting?

  Mr Northridge: We started our pack survey in 1998, where we interview—perhaps "interview" is too strong a word—we get 500 or 600 people every month to contribute towards that survey. It suggests that somewhere around 2½% of the market—say, 2 to 3 billion cigarettes currently being consumed in the UK—are counterfeit, and it is growing.

  Q310 Norman Lamb: Is that an estimate that you share?

  Mr Stevens: Of the BAT product that is seized and given to us by Customs to look at, 80% is counterfeit. So it is very significant.

  Mr Davis: For us it is 93% that are now counterfeit, and we go to some pretty grotty places to do pack collections. We would estimate a little higher than Mr Northridge: probably somewhere nearer to the Customs' estimate. I think that their mid-range estimate is about 4 billion cigarettes.

  Q311 Norman Lamb: According to your submissions, the root cause of tobacco smuggling is the fact that the UK has the highest taxes on cigarettes in the EU, but the UK retail price net of taxes is also the highest in the EU. In the UK it is £1.05, compared to 68p in France and 54p in Spain. Do you accept that your own pricing policies are also contributing to the problem?

  Mr Davis: No, I do not. If you look at the tax-exclusive prices in the UK as a percentage of the retail price, you find the UK is one of the lowest in Europe at about 22%.

  Q312 Norman Lamb: Because the tax is so high.

  Mr Davis: If we look at Sweden, it is 30%; Germany and Italy, 26%; the Netherlands, 29%. It is only France, at 20%, that is lower.

  Q313 Norman Lamb: Just going back to the figures I quoted you—

  Mr Davis: The absolute cash amount.

  Q314 Norman Lamb: Why £1.05 in the UK, 54p in Spain? You are making a lot more profit here than in Spain.

  Mr Davis: There are also some significant differences in the market. In the UK, we have 191,000 points of sale to service. In Spain—one of my colleagues may correct me if I am wrong—I think that it is around 15,000. This is obviously higher absolute prices, so we have higher retail margins—because of the higher insurance costs, because of the higher tax-driven prices, higher property costs. Also in this country, ourselves and the retailers have the cost of discounting—which does not take place in other countries. If we put all those—

  Q315 Norman Lamb: So you are saying the figures that I quoted do not include what is happening in terms of discounting?

  Mr Davis: No, that takes place after, as it were.

  Mr Northridge: An interesting point, I believe, is if you look over the last decade and strip out inflation and the excise increases, in total the price of Gallaher cigarettes over that 10 years, on a volume-weighted basis, has only increased by 5.7%. Not per annum: in total, over 10 years.

  Q316 Norman Lamb: But you are still making more here.

  Mr Northridge: Our margins have increased because we have been able to take out costs, and we have economies of scale; but, from a consumer perspective, it has not had a huge effect.

  Q317 Norman Lamb: You are still making more on your packet of cigarettes here than you are in Spain.

  Mr Northridge: We are. Absolutely, yes.

  Q318 Norman Lamb: Substantially more—double.

  Mr Northridge: At the premium end, yes. On our biggest selling brand in the UK, Mayfair, we do not. It is about the same as we make in continental Europe, but on the premium brands we do make more. But we have invested far more, over many years, and they have a higher cachet in that sense. We tend at Gallaher to be in the value end in Europe and in the premium end in the UK, so we would expect the margins to be higher. The important thing from the tax-driven, smuggling perspective is that the retail price differential—stripping out inflation and tax—has increased by only 6%. Even if you took just the taxed price in the UK of, say, Benson and Hedges at £3.77, it is still more than double the full margin price in Spain. Even if we made them, sold them and distributed them for free, it would still be more than double.

  Norman Lamb: I am sure that you will not do that.

  Q319 Mr Beard: You have supplied us with written evidence, setting out what you are doing to combat this illicit trade in both genuine and counterfeit products. Can you give us an idea of what resources you are devoting to combating cigarette smuggling, say in terms of the number of people you have involved in this sort of exercise? Mr Northridge?

  Mr Northridge: We have a specific brand detection team of around seven or eight people. The point I have tried to make, more importantly than that but in that context, is that we have a sales force of 300 in the UK and a global sales force of 2,500 people, and our international trading policy, in our submission, is really a way of life. It is implicit in the way in which our commercial people do business. Everybody is charged with ensuring that that policy is enshrined in the way they act, feeding that information back up through the brand enforcement team, through internal audit—which is good risk assurance—to the board, where we identify it on a quarterly basis and debate it, and then give all that information back to Customs. That, I believe, is more relevant than the specific eight or nine people who are in that brand detection squad. If you take that, plus the market research, plus the external agencies that we also use, plus witness statements, attending court sessions, et cetera, we estimate that we spend in excess of £1 million in that area. However, I want to reiterate the point I have made. It really is a way of life. Everybody who is employed at Gallaher at the commercial end understands that it is their responsibility to do everything in their power to bring these people to justice or to eradicate that business. In that sense, therefore, they are all whistle-blowing.

  Mr Davis: I concur with what Mr Northridge has said. It is very much embedded throughout all of our sales organisations worldwide.


 
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