Select Committee on Treasury Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 80-99)

MR JOHN WHITING, MR ROBERT CHOTE AND MR MARTIN WEALE

9 DECEMBER 2004

  Q80 Chairman: Yes, but you are not dim, are you? You are pretty clever.

  Mr Whiting: Thank you. I will take that as a compliment, Mr Chairman.

  Mr Chote: It was not intended to be!

  Q81 Mr Cousins: Do any of these ideas for your clients involve recasting figures to the previous year?

  Mr Whiting: No. We would never go into something that would depend on concealment or on rewriting history as that is not appropriate. You just cannot do that. What we have to do of course now is if we think of an idea, if I bring to you an idea, Mr Cousins, then I have to tell the Inland Revenue about it, and I would be very pleased to bring you some ideas.

  Q82 Mr Cousins: What—for free?

  Mr Whiting: Possibly so, but we would have to disclose it to the Inland Revenue within five days and that gives the Inland Revenue the ability to close the device. They have tax avoidance disclosure, they have all the information that flows in there, and there is evidence from the Pre-Budget Report statement that they are acting on that and acting comprehensively, so one has to say why do we then need the threat of retrospective legislation?

  Chairman: I think you want to ask some questions, Jim, but I would just like to know that we are getting Mr Whiting for free this morning!

  Q83 Mr Cousins: Just to follow up on that, what is your view on the disclosure provisions of tax litigation and tax avoidance schemes which were introduced in this year's Budget. Are they working?

  Mr Whiting: I think they are working. It has taken a lot of work to make them work and I think we are actually quite pleased with the way that the tax authorities have engaged with us and I think there has been a very constructive dialogue between practitioners, advisers, business and the tax authorities to try and get a good working system. There are rough edges within all of it and there are problems still and I hope the dialogue will continue as to making it work, but disclosures are going on and, as I say, the fact that there are a number of blocking measures in this year's Pre-Budget Report, I assume that shows that the tax authorities are happy the system is working.

  Q84 Mr Cousins: Do you have any view yourself or have you done some exercise that looks at the revenue involved potentially in the group litigation order cases that are being brought to the European Court of Justice?

  Mr Whiting: Yes, we have.

  Q85 Mr Cousins: What would the total amount of revenue involved be, do you think?

  Mr Whiting: Inevitably it is speculation and I would stress that and it is back of the envelope, but that is a very important feature. Again it is something that one wonders why there is no comment on it, but a guess might be £10-20 billion riding on some of these cases, but of course it could be beyond that spectrum.

  Q86 Mr Cousins: So in these items, we are talking about something that is non-trivial?

  Mr Whiting: Very much so. That is of course a potential one-off hit, but it is undoubtedly a non-trivial amount of tax and might be something that I would have expected to see commentary on within the Pre-Budget Report.

  Q87 Angela Eagle: Surely you do not expect them to comment on cases before the courts in the Pre-Budget Report? That would be nonsensical.

  Mr Whiting: What I would expect, and I totally take your point in terms of you cannot comment on litigation, but in view of the challenges, in view of the number of areas where the UK corporate tax system does look to be out of line with European law in terms of the freedoms in the European Treaty, I would have expected to hear more about basically what are we doing about it to make the system robust.

  Q88 Mr Cousins: But you do recognise that a sum like £10-20 billion, which you have given to the Committee and which I think is an interesting one, is a significant item in the tax base of the country?

  Mr Whiting: Very much so.

  Q89 Mr Cousins: And it would not be unreasonable to expect the Government to attempt to defend its tax base?

  Mr Whiting: I fully expect the Government to do so and that guesstimate is on the basis that the various challenges, and of course these are not just UK challenges, but there are challenges to all, or virtually all, Member States' tax systems and aspects of them, that was on the basis that most, or all, would go against the State rather than against the taxpayer. It is quite possible that some will be found in favour of the State and, therefore, my £10-20 billion would come out considerably lower.

  Q90 Angela Eagle: I wonder what your view is, Mr Chote, about the announcements on the ten-year strategy for childcare, particularly if you could consider what you think its impact will be on labour market flexibility, employment and work/life balance?

  Mr Chote: The key elements we are thinking about are the extension of paid maternity leave, the extension of free nursery provision, reforms to the childcare elements of the working tax credit, more children centres and improvements in quality of childcare and early-years provision. I would say we are obviously concerned about the two things you describe, but also—

  Q91 Angela Eagle: And the increases in nursery entitlement which are factored in as well.

  Mr Chote: We are also of course concerned for the outcomes of children as well, so we are taking the balance of those things together. For example, the extension of paid maternity leave, there is strong empirical evidence that the sort of one-to-one care in the first years of a child's life is an important determinant of future outcome, so in that sense that would seem to be a sensible move. The ability to transfer from mother to father would potentially be a more flexible arrangement and transferability could presumably reduce the incentives for employers to discriminate against women if it reduces the extent to which they think they are more likely to take up that option than fathers are. The extent to which in practice that balance does change and whether that section changes is of course perhaps rather more debatable, so it is not going to remove that entirely. Obviously not all families would benefit there as some mothers do not qualify for statutory maternity pay anyway if they gave up work after a first child, so there would be limitations on the extent to which people would benefit.

  Q92 Angela Eagle: But presumably they would, in theory, benefit from being able to think about getting back into the labour market even with subsequent children and with some of the support that is available?

  Mr Chote: They will benefit, yes.

  Q93 Angela Eagle: That ties into the labour market flexibility and hopefully it gives them options that they did not have before because of the impracticality of maybe doing quite modestly paid jobs, but having high childcare costs.

  Mr Chote: As you say, you have to see it as part of the overall package of measures. On the extension of free nursery provision, there is an interesting issue there about the extent to which you are trying to target these issues specifically on those perceived as being most in need versus more generally. That extension of free nursery provision is not a particularly targeted measure.

  Q94 Angela Eagle: No, I think it is for everybody.

  Mr Chote: Exactly, and it would have a broader effect on families as a whole. It is not clear necessarily what the costs of those reforms would be. Reforming the childcare element of the working tax credit, so increasing both the amounts of childcare that the childcare tax credit would cover and also the proportion of subsidy, you would expect, I think, that increasing the limits on childcare that can be supported in this way might have a relatively modest impact because an awful lot of people who are claiming the working tax credit do not exploit the full amount of that anyway, so increasing it further—

  Q95 Angela Eagle: Is that a supply problem though?

  Mr Chote: That is an interesting question. I do not know to what extent that would be and if it is obviously a supply problem, the supply problem is not addressed.

  Q96 Angela Eagle: Well, the supply problem is addressed surely in the new duty on local authorities to ensure a sufficient supply of childcare to meet the needs of families and there is a modernisation fund of £125 million a year from 2006 which will give 150 local authorities the chance to do that. That should begin to address surely some of the supply issues. Obviously you have to train and recruit, but the supply side is being addressed by that, I would have thought.

  Mr Chote: Whether that amount of money is large enough given the number of local authorities you are looking at and whether extending the amount of time for which childcare is supposedly being offered makes it more difficult, for example, if you have a situation where a facility is used for 3-year-olds in the morning and 4-year-olds in the afternoon and whether that no longer becomes a viable model and, therefore, there are significantly greater costs, so I think the question of how quickly supply can be brought on and at what cost remains an important one, notwithstanding the £125 million.

  Q97 Angela Eagle: And what about in terms of labour market flexibility and unemployment because we have a tight labour market at the moment?

  Mr Chote: Yes, we have not looked specifically at the implications on that. Clearly there is the issue over the labour market for the providers of childcare themselves and, as you say, whether both in terms of physical capacity and the capacity of available qualified people to do that, there are obviously question marks there, but in terms of the general impact, I do not know whether Martin might have any views on the wider economic benefits of that, but my guess would be that they would be very hard to quantify at this stage.

  Q98 Mr Cousins: Could I just ask for your views about the likely extension of the ISA, the present higher ISA limits for a further 3 years—do you welcome that?

  Mr Weale: Could I come to that from the general proposition that taxes have to be collected and one could imagine a society where people were subsidised to save and subsidised to go out to work and, taken to its extreme, there would not be any tax base, so I am rather nervous about this, and the ISAs are an example, the existence of these tax reliefs for particular activities which seem to be a good thing, but people might be doing anyway. That said, given the way I drew attention to the overall shortfall of saving, I am pleased that that is being addressed to some extent, but I suspect that it would be more fruitful to go to the root causes of why people are not saving very much. For example, should the Government diversify the sort of savings media that it offers and could offer at low charges? I would rather see a more holistic view taken to address the questions of what is it that deters people from saving, whether it is that they cannot afford to save, whether it is that they are playing essentially a game with the Government where they know that if they do not save for their old age, then future generations will have to bail them out and will bail them out, so there is rather little incentive to save. Against that backdrop, the extension of the current limit on ISAs I think is rather small beer. There is of course the general observation at least with equity ISAs that the only people who get benefit are those who pay 40% tax because dividends are taxed at the standard rate anyway, so there are questions about whether the distributional effects of it are desirable or not. I would rather the Government took an overall view of savings, savings structures and savings incentives instead of this piecemeal approach.

  Q99 Mr Cousins: When somebody says to me, "I think we need a holistic approach", I always translate that in my mind as meaning, "I don't know quite what to do right now, but come back in three years'. In your earlier remarks to the Committee, you see, it was a rise in the aggregate savings rate in the country, if I understood your argument, that was actually going to sort out the structural deficits on the balance of payments, so I would have thought that this would have been an important issue for you, and the only practical thing that you have said, which is interesting of course, is an increase in the range and robustness of National Savings products, if I have understood you correctly.

  Mr Weale: Well, could I air another, and probably rather unpopular, suggestion, that until the early 1980s the charges on some financial media, say, unit trusts, were regulated by the Department of Trade and since they were deregulated, they have become much higher. I do not think the performance of the products has improved relative to the market and there is, therefore, a very substantial question whether, and how, the industry is actually serving the saver. Now, people like Sandler have looked to that to some extent and recommended simple products that can be sold without giving people expensive advice about how they work and so on, but I think fundamentally a look at why the industry is so expensive and more expensive than it used to be,   whether the Government could introduce competition in the industry, say, by selling index-linked pensions through post offices as just another means of national saving, another way of financing government borrowing, and I suspect that if you look at the sorts of charges that appear in the industry, whether ISAs are extended or not has relatively little impact except for the cash ISAs where the amounts that people are allowed to save are relatively small.


 
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