Select Committee on Welsh Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 160 - 179)

WEDNESDAY 11 FEBRUARY 2004

BAE SYSTEMS AND AIRBUS UK

  Q160  Mr Caton: As a matter of interest, where does the 20% of your production which does not go to the MOD go?

  Mr Scopes: I am not quite sure where you picked up the figure of 20% of our production. About 80% of our turnover is defence orientated for BAE Systems as a whole and about 20% is commercial aircraft and civil aircraft related and that includes our 20% interest in Airbus. As well as our operations in the United Kingdom, we have interests in a number of operations around Europe, both through joint ventures and some wholly owned facilities. We have operations in Australia and we have a very significant presence in the defence market in North America with about 22,000 people working for us there. We are globally spread.

  Q161  Mr Caton: I have found the reference in your memorandum. It actually applied to RO Defence Glascoed, "Approximately 80% of the site's production goes directly to the MOD".

  Mr Scopes: And then a certain amount will go for export.

  Q162  Albert Owen: Just going back to the answer you gave to my colleague Mr Williams with regard to your locations in the United Kingdom, some of the analysis we have says that Wales has the lowest defence spending of any UK region. Do you have discussions with the MOD as to how that will affect the economies of different regions? Is that a factor which you discuss with them?

  Mr Scopes: We do in the areas in which we have a significant presence and interest, whether that is in the North West or, for example, in Scotland where we have something over 6,000 employees in our various sites. Then the regional impact is obviously something which is significant to us and we have close relationships in those cases with the regional authorities, with the RDAs and with the Scottish Executive as far as Scotland is concerned. It is just an historical fact that, with the exception of the Airbus interest which is now looked after by Brian and his colleagues, we do not have a significant presence in Wales. We do not have the same level of interaction with the local executive and local interests in Wales as we do elsewhere.

  Q163  Chairman: Is the reason you only have one major manufacturing site, apart from your interest in Airbus, merely historical?

  Mr Scopes: As far as I know. I do not think we have ever had any anti-Welsh prejudice in any of our facilities or for that matter in the Ministry of Defence and many of the properties were originally actually Ministry of Defence properties.

  Q164  Albert Owen: Mr Fleet, you talked about your significant presence in Wales, indeed 6,000 to 6,500 employees on one site. You also have a presence in a number of European countries. How does the economic climate in Wales compare with those countries?

  Mr Fleet: The economic climate in Wales is less a factor for Airbus. Airbus is a major European company which plays on the global pitch, it plays around the world. Airbus today has 185 customers all around the world. It is the world economy which determines the overall Airbus health. It is the ability of the airlines around the world to go out and purchase very large expensive capital items that is very important to us. We look at the world in regions as opposed to in countries, in Wales or such like. The strength or weakness of the dollar is of huge concern to us because large commercial aircraft are sold for dollars and a lot of our costs are in sterling and euros. The weakness of the dollar is a key concern to us and if that continues it will obviously be of detriment to Airbus. Boeing sells in dollars and has its costs in dollars so it already has a natural hedge there. Where we hedge is in the marketplace, so it is the world economy which affects us as opposed to the Welsh economy or the UK economy.

  Q165  Albert Owen: You did mention earlier on the regional assistance you get in different parts of Europe. What sort of assistance have you had specifically from the UK Government which is a plus to some of your other European operations?

  Mr Fleet: Each of the European governments is a supporter of repayable launch investment. The first programme is on the A320 family which was launched in the mid-1980s and we received our first RLI. It is not a grant, it is a loan and it is repaid. Of the monies which were provided to us by the government, we have paid back more than double. I do not have the figures, but they are with the DTI if you wish to see them. Of the money we borrowed on the long-range aircraft, we have more than paid everything back and the £530 million for the A380 will all be paid back. Everything we receive is paid back and more, because it is at a reasonable rate of interest. It creates wealth and jobs. These jobs are at the very high end of the food chain, they are high value added jobs. The average wage at Broughton is 18% greater than the average manufacturing wage across the whole of the UK, so is at the top end of the food chain. It is not the labour rate or anything else which determines why we are so successful, it is the smartness of the product, the smartness of the process as opposed to the hourly labour rate. We have had regional launch assistance, we did get support from the Welsh Assembly; they gave us an infrastructure grant to upgrade the general infrastructure of £19.5 million a few years ago but that was £14.6 million to invest in the general infrastructure of a big site and about £4.9 million on development of people because we were recruiting in excess of 1,000 people at the time and part of their six-month training and development was provided with assistance from the Welsh Assembly and WDA.

  Q166  Albert Owen: You mentioned earlier on that 65% of your workforce comes from within Wales. Is that the North East of Wales or do you have quite a spread across the North West of Wales? Is the skills base there for you in Wales or is it just the movement of people or their mobility? Are the skills more available to you in some of the north-west regions of England?

  Mr Fleet: The A55 is a fantastic link for us. The A55 links us to the motorway, links us across the whole of North Wales. It is a really good link. Forty-three per cent of that 60-odd per cent comes from Flintshire; virtually two thirds of that workforce in Wales actually comes from Flintshire. The other third comes from outside the region, so transportation links are the key. Skills are a problem. If you look at the skills we have today and the ones we had 10 years ago, they are completely different. The manufacturing techniques of 10 years ago are no longer applicable today. We move on. It is not the speed of the arm itself, it is the smartness of the process. We have huge investments, these machines are very complex and all the time we are driving up the food chain. If you had visited us many years ago you would have seen ancillary, semi-skilled, a whole range of people and very few skilled people and technicians and engineers. Today the whole of that workforce is moving up the skills base. We have no ancillary or low-skilled people now; everyone has become skilled and higher skilled. We recruit around 100 apprentices every year; 80 to 100. We also recruit about 100 graduates. For the 100 apprentices we take we probably have 4,000 or 5,000 applicants and depending whether they are doing craft or engineering we set certain standards of literacy and numeracy both at O level and A level and probably 80% of the applicants fail. The reason we set that is because if we are going to train these people for three, four or five years and make that investment, by the end of the five years we will have invested nearly £100,000 in that person. We do not want them to get to the third or fourth year and then fail.

  Q167  Dr Francis: You mentioned upskilling. Could you describe your relationship with the further education sector in Wales?

  Mr Fleet: We have an excellent working relationship with Deeside College which goes back many, many years, since our inception, when we were Vickers Armstrong and Hawker Siddley. Today we have all the apprentices going through that facility and all our engineers also go through that facility. So 370 of our youngsters are being trained there and about 500 of our adults are being trained by them. It is very good because Deeside liaise with Yale and NEWI; they work together to provide us with a one-stop shop. I do not have to worry whether that should go to Yale or that to NEWI, they work it out between them and they provide us with a service. What we do for them is provide them every year with a business plan, what our future requirements are, and we give them a three-year rolling forecast. They then build that into their plans and by showing that, they are able to leverage money from industry, they are then able to use that to leverage down. They have just been nominated as a COVE, a Centre of Vocational Excellence, for engineering, the only one in Wales and last year I was pleased to be available when the Queen opened a new £8 million engineering block. We also make sure that the courses they design are what we want. We do not sit back and whinge that the people we get from them are not the people we want. Steve Thomas is also a Vice-Chairman of Deeside, so we are in there designing the courses with them to make sure that when people come out after three years or five years they add value from day one. We have very close relationships with them, we meet on a regular basis and we make sure they employ the modern techniques which we require to run our business. We are of a size to be able to do that. We also encourage our local suppliers to piggyback on the back of that and they train their people at a much reduced rate on the back of Airbus.

  Q168  Dr Francis: Given how successful you are, do you have any problems of retention then? You have obviously worked very hard at upskilling your workforce. Do you lose some of that workforce?

  Mr Fleet: I would say we probably lose 1 to 1½%; very, very low attrition. Bereavement and people retiring are really the only reasons. When you come into Airbus, you come into a business with a future, you come into a business where you can see the next five, 10, 15, 20 years. The A380 programme will not create wealth for me and my children: it will create wealth for me, my children and my children's children. We are talking about a long-term future. If you came and saw the site, you would see that it is one of the most advanced manufacturing sites, not in Wales, not in the UK, not in Europe, but in the world.

  Q169  Dr Francis: One question which occurs to me is to do with flexible working and family friendly hours and ensuring retention of a skilled workforce when there are changed family circumstances, such as caring responsibilities. Does that come into the way you think about looking after your workforce?

  Mr Fleet: We do provide them with facilities. During the summer period when the schools are closed they can bring their children and leave them in a cre"che-type facility and they are well looked after. Do we rotate the shift patterns around that? No, we cannot. When you have 6,200 production people and you have a plan to meet, people turning up or not turning up would be impossible when managing a plant. Some of the capital equipment we run costs £20 million a piece. I call them our printing presses. We have the most advanced manufacturing equipment in the world and they are like printing presses: if someone does not turn up because of schooling or anything else and my printing presses lie idle, it is difficult enough to sell when you are making things, it is impossible to sell fresh air. You have to keep the printing presses printing. If however people do have problems, we have arranged various shift patterns which suit their family conditions. If they prefer the morning shift, we can arrange that, if they prefer the afternoon shift, we can arrange the various shift patterns to suit them. They can also take holidays as well. We are a manufacturing facility.

  Q170  Dr Francis: You have talked quite a lot about your relationship with government. In general terms how would you characterise that relationship at local Welsh level and UK level? Is it different?

  Mr Fleet: It is different. We have an excellent relationship now with the Assembly. We have really good support from the WDA. The WDA can see we are the jewel in the crown. Right next to the facility now is a brand new retail park and that is there because we are there. They have 7,000 potential customers who drive in and drive out past them every day. They wish to expand. We are working with the WDA to create a business park right next to us because several of our suppliers have said they would like to relocate if possible because transport and logistics form about 15% of their total costs. We are trying to work together to create the magnet effect which Toulouse has created with their final assembly line. If you visit the town of Toulouse now and compare it with 30 years ago, what they have created is unbelievable. We will never be that size and scale but we can be a leverage and a magnet to try to create the cluster effect. We are working very closely with the WDA.

  Q171  Dr Francis: What about local government? It seems to me that your main point of contact, your most regular contact, is with the Welsh Assembly, is that right?

  Mr Fleet: We do contact local government in Flintshire, Flintshire County Council; we do have an excellent relationship and meet every year. We show them around the facility, we show them what we do for the local area. We pump out about £6.5 million within a 30-mile radius on wages, goods and services, so we are absolutely vital to that economy. We have an excellent relationship with them. We try to give them no surprises. We try to show them our medium-term plans and our long-term plans to make sure we will not get to the eleventh or twelfth hour and have any late surprises. We fully engage them in our future plans and projects.

  Q172  Dr Francis: I take it from the way in which you have described that now very clearly, since devolution there has been quite a considerable improvement in your relationships with government. Is that the way you would characterise it?

  Mr Fleet: It has improved. The problem I have, as we further devolve power from Westminster and funding on aeronautics research and they are looking now for new programmes to replace that, I think they are called aeronautics research programmes, they are going to start that flowing down to the RDAs and everything else and it is the law of diminishing return. I then have to go to each RDA to get a smaller slice and the investment I have to put into convincing supporters of R&T, which is vital in our industry, becomes harder and harder and harder. At least if it is at national level you can see the bigger picture but as you go down from the national level into regional and sub-regional level it becomes that much more difficult. On things such as working relationships, yes, there has. On things involving the bigger picture for UK Limited and what industries we are going to have in five or 10 years' time to create the wealth to pay for our hospitals and everything else, that will get harder.

  Q173  Dr Francis: Do you have any relationship at all with the Wales Office, the old Welsh Office, which is now Peter Hain's office; he is Secretary of State? Does he have a role at all in all of this?

  Mr Fleet: We still meet Peter Hain on a regular basis.

  Q174  Dr Francis: Is he the main means of contact between you and Westminster then?

  Mr Fleet: We have very strong contacts with the DTI. The only other thing I wish the DTI would do is one day get the people in the Treasury to leave the Treasury and come out into the regions and see what we have created. I know there are questions about repayable launch investment and the value it brings the UK economy. As a former statistician, you give me a certain period and I can prove anything. Actually come out: seeing is believing. When the Prime Minister came in July of last year he said it was useful. Seeing is believing. Get the people from the Treasury to see what we have created from an industry at zero, which Airbus was 30 years ago, to being 50% of the world aerospace market and creating an industry for which anyone would cut off their right arm. Please persuade the Treasury to come to see what we have created at Airbus. It is fantastic.

  Q175  Mr Edwards: Mr Scopes, you say in your memorandum that you have a limited presence in Wales at Glascoed, which is in my constituency. Could you say whether this is just historical? I recall from visits I have made in recent years that there was even a question-mark around the plant at Glascoed and thankfully that does appear to have been saved. Could you give us some assurance that is the case and that there is a future there? Could you also say how you feel other defence industries might be attracted to locate in Wales?

  Mr Scopes: As with many of our defence activities, the long-term stability of Glascoed is really dependent on our primary customer which is the UK Ministry of Defence. The stability for Glascoed's future came about by achieving with the Ministry of Defence a long-term partnering agreement on the supply of key ammunition. That gives us stability with which we can plan Glascoed's future sensibly and indeed provides stability on which there is an investment programme into the facilities at Glascoed over a three- or four-year period, which we are probably half way through, of well over £10 million. That is a positive story, but it is driven by achievement of a long-term supply relationship with the UK MOD customer. As to other defence industries, looking outside BAE Systems, the fact is that you have managed to secure a number of interested companies into Wales. I know GD UK, for example, has invested in a facility in Wales. I would be hard pressed to tell you exactly where it is, but that is on the back of securing the Bowman radio contract with the Ministry of Defence and they have set up a facility in Wales. If it is new business, then the issues you discussed earlier on about R&T grants, about investment grants will certainly catch their interest and influence their decision on where to go, as will the availability of skilled people.

  Q176  Mr Evans: Does the fact that we are not in the Eurozone affect investment decisions at all?

  Mr Scopes: From a BAE Systems perspective, as I was describing earlier on, we do have considerable manufacturing interests both in the Eurozone and in the US dollar zone. It is sufficiently balanced for us as BAE Systems that we are a self-hedging mechanism. Having a significant part of our business in the UK outside the Eurozone in defence terms is not a very significant issue for us. If you pressed the company, the company probably has a preference that we would be inside the Eurozone to provide a greater degree of overall stability on currencies, but it is not a major, pressing issue for BAE Systems.

  Mr Fleet: It is probably a more pressing need for Airbus. In fact when the Prime Minister came last July and Noel Forgeard gave a speech welcoming him, he did give him great encouragement to join Eurozone. Mr Blair did say that he noted Mr Forgeard's comments. It is not an obstacle today, but it is a hindrance. All the translation of costs from euros to pounds and vice-versa and looking at what the exchange rate is and trying to compare that to the business plan, etcetera, adds cost and adds no value. I also object to paying transaction charges to anyone in the City of London. I would rather invest that in my facility.

  Q177  Mr Evans: As far as investment is concerned, certainly for BAE Systems, there are many things which determine why you invest and where you invest. I hear what you say about going further up the food chain and I get a little edgy now and again when I see manufacturing jobs going from this country to other countries. Can you say exactly what determines why you decide that is going to happen and in BAE's case you perhaps set up some manufacturing in Hungary or in Poland rather than doing it in-house either in the UK or within Wales or wherever?

  Mr Scopes: As far as BAE Systems are concerned, similar considerations would apply to any high technology manufacturer. We feel that we do have to survive by keeping as high up the value chain as we can. That is where we can make a difference and that is where we can make our companies into high value added companies in this economy, which is the best way of creating wealth for this economy. As a company we have commissioned and published yesterday an independent report by a group called Oxford Economic Forecasting, looking at the value which BAE Systems brings to the UK economy as a whole. I suspect some of your colleagues are sending you a summary of that and in fact I have signed off a letter to you in the last couple of days. That does show that companies with very high intensity of research and development, high productivity, bring higher value added, higher wealth creation to the economy. We have to preserve that and we do not preserve that by necessarily focusing on the low value added manufacturing task, we have to keep moving as high up the food chain as we can. In some cases, in order to remain competitive, there will be some tasks which it is better for us to have done in a low-wage economy and in some cases that is a decision we shall have to make in order to remain in the marketplace.

  Q178  Mr Evans: Can the government do anything to deter you from outsourcing some of those low-value jobs?

  Mr Scopes: It is unlikely in my view that the government can do enough to change the tide on that. They might be able to target individual decisions in certain places and make companies change their mind, but I do not think they can change a tide in which high technology, advanced manufacturing companies try to focus their investment at that top end rather than at the lower end.

  Mr Fleet: Even after the events of 11 September, even after the Iraqi situation, even after SARS, since I have come back and been running Airbus UK Manufacturing we have increased the workforce from just over 4,000 when I started back in 2000 to more than 6,200. We have bucked the trend. I am not an accountant, I am not an economist, I am an engineer. I have been an engineer for 30 years; I have always made things and I have always sold things. By the way, I actually started at Broughton as an engineering apprentice myself back in 1974, so I am back home where I started. I have great pride and admiration for what we do in manufacturing. The manufacturing base is vital for any modern economy. You only have a service sector if you create the wealth, then you can move it around. If you do not create the wealth, you have nothing to move around and you do not need a service sector to move nothing around. Many years ago we worked out what manufacturing we could compete with when the likes of the Eastern bloc came along, the likes of the Far East came along and in a very few years the powerhouse called China came along into the world marketplace and competition will get greater. Unless you sat down and seriously thought out your long-term strategy, how to create your wealth in the future, you are going to lose out. We sat down and worked out the high value added, where there are huge entry barriers in terms of technology, investment, huge amounts of capex—I said earlier that we have invested more than £1 billion in our facility—where the cost of the arm, the hourly rate, is irrelevant really, it is an incidental. The cost of running both the Filton site and the Broughton site is about 20% of the cost of the wing; 80% is bought in from around the world. We make that 20% and that is the key value added. I can tell you what value added is: value added is quite often talked about but people do not know what they are talking about. We can buy a wing skin, a huge billet, 35 metres in length, two or three metres wide, weighing four or five tonnes and that is going to be a wing skin on an aircraft. We bring that billet in, we have some of the most advanced machines in the world, the biggest being 85 metres and 700 tonnes, we go along and add 100 hours of specialised NC machining and I can then sell that £20,000 for £140,000 by adding 100 hours value to it. That is value added. The cost of paying the operator is irrelevant; it is the price at which you sell it. It is not the speed of the arm we are selling, it is the smartness of the design, the smartness of the manufacturing process. We have worked out which are the key ones and there are huge barriers in those processes: you have to invest billions, you have to have many years of experience in aerospace manufacturing, because like anything, you need to have that history to develop the next generation and the next generation. You cannot just come in and invent Concord, if you have not had 40 years on aircraft design before that. We worked that out many years ago and that is why we are successful in a high cost economy, that is why we can pay 18% above the average manufacturing wage in the UK and still be successful and still be investing large sums of money. It is realising that competition is going to get tougher, working out where we can compete, where we can sell our intellectual property (IPR) as opposed to the speed of an operator's arm.

  Q179  Mr Caton: From your answers on the Eurozone question, has the recent weakening in sterling against the euro had any affect on the profitability of your UK operations, including your Welsh operations, due to cost of imports or ability to export?

  Mr Fleet: It actually helps us when they compare the UK unit costs with those of my European counterparts against whom they tend to compare me. They compare me against the French, the Germans and the Spanish, our four partners, but our principal problem is the weakness of the dollar. It is really the weakness of the dollar which is the key. If you think back two or three years when it was

0.9 to $1, today it is

1.28 to $1.30. We have lost around 35% of the value. As we have about 50% of our costs in dollars and about 50% in other currencies, we lose a huge amount of income because of that. It is not because of the workforce or because of anything else, it is just because of the weakness of the dollar.


 
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