Further memorandum from the Ministry of
Defence
CMR FLOW DIAGRAM—STORY BOARD FOR AIRCRAFT SUCH
AS THE TORNADO GR4 LOOKING ONLY AT AIRCRAFT TECHNICIANS
INTRODUCTION
The following is designed to demonstrate both
the methodology and complexity of the CMR process using as an
example, the calculation of the CMR for one of the Concurrency
Suites. The context for the specific deployment is explained together
with the operational factors that impact on the size of both the
deployed manpower requirement and the non-deployed manpower requirement.
Using the process described in the associated flowchart, all of
the factors are combined to produce a CMR figure for the illustrative
deployment. [32]
GUIDANCE AND
PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS—CONCURRENCY
SUITES (CSS)
— Assumes that a number of ac are to
be deployed concurrently, together with supporting equipment and
manpower, to undertake specified military operations at either
one of the following sets of locations;
— CS 1 Large Scale deployment
(non-enduring[33])
Small Scale deployment (non-enduring)
— CS 2 Medium Scale deployment
(enduring[34]—4
roules)
Small Scale deployment (enduring—4 roules)
Small Scale deployment (non-enduring)
— CS 3 Medium Scale deployment
(enduring—1 roule)
Small Scale deployment (enduring—1 roule)
Medium Scale deployment (non-enduring)
— By way of an illustrative example,
we will use the RAF Trade Group 1 and 2 manpower requirement figures
calculated under CS 2 for the Initial Deployment, each Roulement
and the residual Non-Deployed task.
— Factors that affect the Deployed
manpower requirement are as follows:
— Basing options—facilities
and services available/provided, host nation support, support
from coalition partners, etc.
— Number of ac required at each
location, which may reduce over successive roules.
— Sortie details—rates, duration,
weapon/equipment fit.
— Technical support arrangements
for the ac—split into Forward and Depth activities (some
activities that sit naturally in Depth on the MOB may need to
deploy, such as Avionic Test Rigs) and based on the following
factors; availability of spares, assumptions for the repair of
equipment in-theatre including the availability of facilities
on the deployed operating base, and/or to replace and return unserviceable
equipment through the logistics chain.
— Effect of Crisis Working Rates.
— Factors that affect the Non-Deployed
manpower requirement are as follows:
— Number of ac required to satisfy
training requirements, Non-Deployed operational tasking and support
to Deployed operations.
— Sortie details—rates, duration,
weapon/equipment fit.
— Maintenance/repair activity and
tasking in support of the respective MOBs.
— Effect of Crisis Working Rates.
— Use of Reserves, MoD civil servants
and contractors.
— Example Tornado GR4 Manpower Requirement—TG
1 and 2
| Forward | Non-
| Depth[35] (Used to be 2nd Line)
| | |
| Roulement | Deployed
| Initial Deployment | Roulement
| Non- |
| | |
| (Roules 1-4) | Deployed
|
| Initial Deployment | (Roules 1-4)
| | | |
|
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
| 260 | 540[36]
| 750 | 60 | 195
| 650 |
| | |
| | |
— Harmony CE[37]
(Forward and Depth)
Initial Deployment (260+60) +Roulement (540+195) =Harmony
CE (1055)
— Raw CE (Forward and Depth)
Initial Deployment (260+60) +Non-Deployed (750+650)
+GUE from Non-RAF TLBs[38]
(0) =Raw CE (1720)
Harmony CE (1055) vs Raw CE (1720) =Most Demanding
CE (1720)
Most Demanding CE (1720) —Reserve Establishment[39]
(0) =Regular CE (1720)
— Most Demanding—Regular CE vs GUE
Regular CE (1720) vs GUE[40]
(N/A) =Risked Regular CE (1720)
— Crisis Manpower Requirement
Risked Regular CE (1720) +Manning Training Margin[41]
(2%=34) +Disease and Non-Battle Injuries[42]
(0) +In-Theatre Replacements[43]
(0) =CRISIS MANPOWER REQUIREMENT (1754)
32
Q123 Back
33
Assumes that the peak manpower requirement is only sustained
for a period of four months. Back
34
Assumes that the peak manpower requirement is sustained for an
initial period of four months, plus an additional requirement
for each of a specified number of roules (up to four for CS2). Back
35
Some deployable facilities fit better in Depth on the MOB when
not deployed. Back
36
Would normally be 4 x the Initial Deployment, but as CS2 allows
for reduced number of aircraft in later phases, it is less than
this. Back
37
Crisis Establishment. Back
38
Global Unit Establishment-although RAF posts do exist within
the Tornado IPT under the Defence Logistics Organisation (a non-RAF
Top Level Budget), assume zero for this example. Back
39
No TG 1 or 2 Reserve establishment in support of Tornado GR4. Back
40
Normally, Regular CE compared with the GUE for a particular Trade
or Branch, not a platform. In this example, assume the Regular
CE does NOT exceed the GUE, hence no risk is required to reduce
the Regular CE. Back
41
Used to generate an uplift in requirement and calculated as a
percentage of the establishment to account for individuals unable
to fill posts due to long-term sickness, maternity leave, relocation
leave, terminal leave and training courses normally in excess
of three months. Back
42
Calculated as a percentage of the establishment to account for
individuals returning home due to disease/injury, but assumed
to be zero for the current CMR process. Back
43
Calculated as a percentage of the establishment to account for
casualties returning home, but assumed to be zero for the current
CMR process.
Back
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