Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 20-39)

MR GUY GRIFFITHS, MR ROGER MEDWELL, DR DAVID PRICE AND MR CHRIS CUNDY

31 JANUARY 2006

  Q20  Mr Jones: Could I just pick you up in terms of the supply chain. I agree that NLAW is a great example of how not just small defence companies got involved but some engineering companies who I know in my constituency who have never been involved in defence work before. I think the important thing about the NLAW procurement was the fact that the people in the supply chain had to compete for it; they did not get stuck on a tender list to agree an offset. I know NDI played a key role in that. Do you not think there is a danger that if we do not stipulate that these supply chains have got to be looked at that the supply defence contract will go abroad for the work? I give a great example in the North East of the ALSLs from Swan Hunter's, where rumour has it that 75% of the work on that supply chain has come from Holland. Unless we actually stipulate it clearly, do you think there is a danger that more Swan Hunters could happen where it looks great in the headlines in that we are providing a ship built in the North East but the parts of it where the value is, ie, all the bits and pieces that go in, are being procured offshore?

  Mr Cundy: In terms of shipbuilding I think the strategy is pretty clear that over the next 10 years we have got good visibility in terms of programmes. The Type 45 and the Carrier programmes will need the whole of UK industry. However, within that we need to be competitive. Certainly from a VT point of view we are keen to compete on overseas and UK programmes. We need to be competitive within those programmes. All we would like to do is to be given a fair level playing field in that competition.

  Dr Price: The policy is quite explicit with respect to the research and technology and identified quite clearly that the SMEs in the lower tiers are a source of innovation and ways have to be found of involving them early on in the process. I would say specifically on the point that you raised that sometimes it is quite difficult to decide what is the UK industrial interest when you have a UK prime with a supply chain that is foreign competing against a foreign prime with a UK supply chain. NLAW, I suspect, was a good example of that. Therefore it is always very difficult to take specific instances and make broad generalities, but I would have expected the Industrial Strategy to have more detail of how, outside of technology, the supply chain of SMEs might be better thought of in terms of a policy to maintain industrial practice.

  Q21  Mr Jones: I agree with you but the issue is surely not wanting to go down the route of the American system where everything has got to be procured in the US. There is an issue here that we have opened up our markets most widely in the world, in this sector here, and if we are spending a huge sum of public money there should at least be some of that filtering down to the SME and small sector. For example, in the ALSL something like half a billion pounds has been spent already and rising, you would have expected some of that to come into the supply chain of the UK.

  Dr Price: It is also true that if you look at very efficient supply chains, whether it is the automotive industry or civil aerospace, that one of the key things of long-term planning is about involving local SMEs in a partnership going forward, and therefore to some extent best practice would favour local SMEs with strong technology that is developed over a period of time. So you would hope that following best practice that we would see the same thing.

  Mr Jones: I do not think we need to hope; we need to see it written into the structure, that is the problem.

  Chairman: John, were you going to ask about this point or were you going to go slightly to a different point?

  John Smith: On the same subject, Chairman, it appears to me that not only is the strategy focused on the primes and not on the supply chains and the smaller companies but there are certain inherent dangers with some of those large primes. The one that comes to mind is BAE Systems who quite clearly now are equally split between the UK and North America in terms of its interests, and some systems, like land systems, are in fact driven by North America and not the UK market. Is there not an inherent danger there that they will not draw on the UK supply change but will go elsewhere, and quite clearly that could be applied to other companies? So is this not only a document that favours big business, it could have been written by BAE Systems and they would have been quite happy with the outcome? You do not have to answer the last bit!

  Q22  Chairman: I would be nice if you did.

  Mr Griffiths: I think your question bears down on what we were touching on earlier and that is whilst industry champions like BAE and a number of the sector chapters have been identified as the leader or the partner of choice for the MoD, there is a concern amongst some of the SMEs and some of the not-so-small companies that their route to access the MoD's market now is purely channelled through those particular industry champions, and whilst there may be some logic to that it comes back to the observation we made earlier that there have to be policies and safeguards to make sure that that position is not abused and that a wider aspiration, for example to attract innovation from some of these other players in the industry who perhaps have real innovation to offer, is still leveraged. There have to be those safeguards.

  Q23  Mr Havard: This question about the strategy saying things that maybe industry did not want to hear; is there something that you want to say to the Government that it might not want to hear in the sense that when the document was launched it had all the smiley faces on the inside cover, and the Secretary of State made the point at the time that the man from the Treasury was smiling, which is a novelty, and they were all on there, Trade and Industry, Treasury, it was all joined-up government, but in my discussions, admittedly not with the current Secretary of State but previously, the question about what is the responsibility of the MoD in order to promote awareness and capacity for SMEs to be involved in these sorts of processes and how does that fit with the responsibilities of the DTI was a question where if you are not very careful you get the answer from the MoD it is the DTI's responsibility and from DTI it is the MoD's responsibility. It is somebody's responsibility; it is supposed to be a joined-up responsibility. So what does industry want from the respective government departments to make that trick happen?

  Mr Griffiths: I think there are a number of points which arise from that. First of all, there is a question of affordability, I think, and perhaps this bears on Mr Hancock's comment earlier on that maybe there is not as much bad news in this document as was heralded when it was first unveiled. There is a question as we go through the aspirational statements that are made in each sector as to whether or not when one adds them all up in spending terms they represent an increase over and above the level of planned expenditure that has been advertised to us so far. So I think that question remains unanswered.

  Q24  Mr Havard: Does the aggregate of a set of spasms equal a strategy?

  Mr Griffiths: The second point is if one looks at the document it is stated to be an Industrial Strategy for defence, not for the wider government, and I think one of the questions we would ask is are we going to have one industrial strategy for defence and a second industrial strategy for the economy as a whole. I think looking at it from a corporate point of view, we need one.

  Q25  Linda Gilroy: Continuing on that point, the DIS states that the current levels of work for naval shipbuilding will not last forever and with the Future Carrier and MARS there are some capacity issues which the Marine Industrial Strategy is going to tackle, so in about 10 years it would not be affordable to sustain the sort of capacity we need for that period. How is a company such as the VT Group, if I can ask Mr Cundy specifically, preparing for such a future and are we likely to see mergers of UK naval shipbuilding companies and on what sort of timescale and with what impact on jobs?

  Mr Cundy: That is quite a wide-ranging question, but if we take the industrial group at the moment, we   have had very extensive discussions with Government and the Ministry on the Maritime Industry Strategy. If we looked at the sectors within the report, the maritime industry is probably as far advanced as any in terms of the strategy there. Looking at the long-term capabilities we want to protect for the strategic interest, obviously the design and support of ships long term is a key ability that we need to retain within the industry. There is a particular challenge to both industry and the Ministry to produce the carriers within the next 10 years. There will be an increase in employment, certainly at a blue collar level, over the next three years as the carriers come in, but longer term that base—and I think the report highlights the Type 45 and the Carrier—are abnormal workloads within the industry. We need to size the industry for the long-term capacity needed for warships, and commercial ships if we can be competitive. From a VT point of view, we believe with our investment in Portsmouth we are as competitive as anyone in the export market on warship building for the smaller warships. In terms of the strategy going forward we would see the UK being very competitive in the warship-building market and there will be lots of opportunities within the next 10 years for people outside of the core warship building yards, ourselves and BAE, to be involved.

  Q26  Linda Gilroy: Are you saying you are looking to the export market to sustain something beyond that immediate period?

  Mr Cundy: I think exports will enable us to retain capability particularly in the design area where there are peaks and troughs in terms of class of ships. As we go into support of ships there tends to be a lower design input. We need a long-term strategy for retaining that design, and export will be part of that strategy. That said, the export market tends to be for the smaller perhaps faster ships and that is a limited market which represents maybe only 10-20% of the total warship building in the UK.

  Q27  Mr Hancock: If I can develop that a bit further. The Industrial Strategy makes it quite clear that plans will be needed from your organisations to ensure that the UK can keep the required key skills. Paul Lester wrote a very helpful letter to the Committee where he re-emphasised that point.[3] I quote from his letter which says: "Under the arrangements outlined in the DIS, the MoD will not be able to retain in-house all the necessary skills to handle itself the procurement of offshore investors under the true life capability . . ." etc. He goes on to say that industry needs to have a greater role in that. Do you see that as being a prerequisite for a company like yours that it would only be able to hold those skills if they were given that sort of commitment?

  Mr Cundy: I think that is true. In terms of the markets that we are looking at, design skills are obviously key to our business in terms of the export market and the UK market. In terms of design capability, we should retain those within the UK. There may be ships which could be built more efficiently offshore, but if we are looking at supporting those through life (which needs to be done in the UK) we need to keep the capability and the input up-front in terms of the design to manage that programme through life.

  Q28  Mr Hancock: The policy itself, whilst recognising there will be a problem in retaining the skills, does not really offer any solution to the problem. It passes that back to you to say you tell us what the solution is. Do you think what you are going to say in response to that, which is not only a commitment to build but a through life commitment to maintain and look after the product, is the only way that industry can satisfy what government are requiring in the way of retaining of skills?

  Mr Cundy: As a group we believe that is the most efficient way.

  Q29  Mr Hancock: Would your colleagues share that view?

  Mr Griffiths: With one exception—the export point—which we touched on earlier on. The industrial model for many of the indigenous UK businesses contrasts with what one sees with the indigenous US businesses. The US business model in the defence sector is one where because of the levels of US defence spend they can build and sustain a business entirely on domestic order intake which they secure from the government. In the UK, frankly, in a number of sectors that simply is not realistic as we look forward and we have to look to secure export business in order to sustain industrial capability in the UK. I think one area where we would have looked for stronger emphasis within the White Paper is on the actions that need to be taken jointly between MoD, industry and indeed wider government to support the export ability of British defence product.

  Q30  Mr Hancock: Just one final point, do you think the current thinking in the Defence Procurement Agency supports that view?

  Dr Price: Maritime, if we go back to it, is a good example. The German maritime industry has made a great deal of effort to ensure that it has very, very exportable designs as part of its overall process and, consequently, although there is a section on defence exports in the Industrial Strategy, the implication is of dependency. A good example I would give for my company, Chemring Countermeasures in Salisbury, is that it is 80% exports but the skill base is maintained for the UK essentially by our success in exporting, and I would say that there are a lot of small companies supporting the UK industry which have that same business model.

  Q31  Chairman: So specifically in answer to Mr Hancock's question?

  Dr Price: No, I do not at the moment see the importance of exports to the maintenance of skill being within the DPA's policies.

  Mr Griffiths: I think it is a very difficult balance being struck here because on the one hand, arguably, there should be no compromise in terms of the quality of   military capability that is being delivered industrially to arm our Servicemen and women. I do not think what we are saying here is that it should be traded in some way for exportability. Nonetheless, there are instances probably we could identify where specifications have been derived in a way that does not render a product readily exportable in the same way as perhaps one would see in some other countries.

  Chairman: Are you going to change the subject slightly because Brian Jenkins would like to come in?

  Mr Jenkins: I want to go back a little bit to where I was going to come in earlier on.

  Chairman: We will come back to you. Kevan Jones?

  Q32  Mr Jones: Can I ask particularly on shipbuilding, in the White Paper it states that surface ships and complex vessels will continue to be built in the UK, but the MoD might look to outsource some of the "lower-end manufacturing" offshore. What is your view of what this so-called lower-end manufacturing is?

  Mr Cundy: I think in terms of lower-end manufacturing we need to go back to what needs to be done over the next six months to define what the long-term programmes are within the industry. Obviously with the Carrier and Type 45 there is work for most of the industry in the short term. It needs to be sized longer term for requirements beyond the year 2015, that sort of number. Within that you then have the MARS which is a particular programme which is what I would see as towards the lower end of the specification. Mike mentioned pooled data in terms of how we see that happening. What we see is those programmes being managed in the UK with design capability in the UK for through life support but with the high end engineering which militarises the vessels being done in the UK.

  Q33  Mr Jones: How does that fit with the modern way for example, whether it is BAE Systems or anybody else, of building ships these days where you build them in sections but you do not just do the fabrication, you do all the work inside as well? If they are going to be built in Poland or a former East German yard, how do you ensure that all the expertise that goes inside is not also done abroad?

  Mr Cundy: In terms of giving an example, we had a contract from the Minister of Defence to build two survey ships for the Royal Navy. Those were not built in our yard, they were built to a commercial design in Appledore (but that could have been overseas) but at the back end of the contract we were involved with the through life support after the contract was completed. What we did was the militarisation of those ships once they came back to Portsmouth.

  Q34  Mr Jones: Yes, but is it not difficult to envisage, especially in some of the larger ships, that you are going to get a situation whereby you are going to build the hulls in Poland, float them across and fit them out because that is going against the way in modern shipyards you are building ships?

  Mr Cundy: In your example of BAE Systems and ourselves with the Type 45 we are talking about very complex ships with a lot of outfitting and weapons within the hull structure itself, so within that programme we are doing 80-90% of the outfit in Portsmouth before they are moved to Glasgow. With a more commercial design, it is a tradeoff between how you build the ship in its entirety, which could be done overseas if that was the best case, or could be done in the UK, but the level of outfitting will determine whether you should build the whole ship in one yard or whether you should do it in modules.

  Q35  Mr Jones: My concern about this is I do think on MARS we will need that work in UK yards to keep that skills base there. My fear is if you are going to take a simplistic view, which I think certain people in the MoD are going to do, that somehow it is easier and cheaper just to build these in Poland and this is a cheap way of building a ship. It is very interesting the Germans are not going down that line. Other European yards are not doing that, other governments are not doing that; why should we?

  Mr Cundy: I think it comes back to the previous point about sizing the industry over the next 10 years. What we do not want to do is necessarily increase the capacity within industry to cope with the Type 45 and the Carrier programme and other ships on top of that. I quite agree with you that we should be using this programme to make sure we size the industry over the longer term.

  Q36  Mr Jones: Would you not agree though, Mr Cundy, that if it is done properly and planned out properly you could ensure there is a long-term future for existing capacity that is there in UK yards quite a long way into the future, rather than segmenting it and saying we are going to do this bit in terms of carriers etc, then at the same time pushing this stuff abroad? I accept there is an MoD thrust on this. If they start doing that I think there will a bit of a reaction against it because what you are driving is feast and famine again, are you not?

  Mr Cundy: No, I think what we are talking about in the Maritime Industry Strategy is a look over the next six months at the size for the industry, so it is—

  Q37  Mr Jones: I will finish on this point. Is there not a danger that we have this huge feast over the next few years in terms of the Carrier and other things, and then we find that because we have put stuff abroad because it is cheaper or more efficient that we end up with the famine afterwards?

  Mr Cundy: I think you then come back to capability and having the platforms when the Royal Navy need them and it is the timing of when that happens.

  Q38  Mr Havard: I want to ask you two questions. They both follow on in this sense but one is about procurement and the other is about post-2015. It says it "might look to outsource lower-end manufacture". There is a good old Civil Service "might" stuck in the middle of the sentence to give the minister a parachute if he needs it! What it does mean is what you have just been testing, is it not, what is lower-end manufacturing? It goes back to what my colleague was saying earlier on about you have a view about what you need to retain in terms of the through life process here. I was very interested in the memo that was sent by your Chief Executive who said in order to do all this you would have to manage on behalf of the MoD the procurement of ships and the hulls manufactured offshore. What is meant by the management of the procurement? Are you going to be defining in the management of the procurement what the lower-end activity is? What do you mean by manage the procurement because what happens to the DPA in this process? Are you going to take them over? Are they going to disappear? Are you going to drive this process or is the MoD going to drive that process? How do you see that statement practically working in these circumstances?

  Mr Cundy: Again coming back to the example I gave on the survey ships, it was a good example where the MoD had a requirement, and they went out to competition to have a design which they wanted to procure. We could then procure that design through a supply chain and in relationship with some of the SMEs we were able to procure those ships. I think the MoD because of the complexity of some of the procurement programmes are not used to managing programmes overseas. We manage shipbuilding for example in Greece where we are managing the construction of ships overseas with a team of people on site, so we have overseers on site to manage that programme.

  Mr Havard: So you could cut out the middleman in terms of the DPA, just abolish it?

  Chairman: You said you had two questions.

  Q39  Mr Havard: You mentioned this question about feast and famine and so on post-2015. We have had some information put to us I forget who by, but essentially the assertion is that so far as shipbuilding is concerned there is effectively in the strategy a quite clear message about the replacement of Trident or certainly the replacement of the submarines, because the strategy document almost explicitly says that in order to do some of the things that are necessary in retaining all these various skills and design capabilities and so on in shipbuilding, there will be a new generation of submarines post 2015, because if all you do is simply upgrade existing boats that will not be sufficient in order to fulfil some of the statements and requirements that are set out in the strategy. That is a set of assertions that has been made to us; what is your view of that?

  Mr Cundy: I do not think I am qualified to comment on whether—


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