Select Committee on Education and Skills Third Report


Annex: A statistical analysis of Special Educational Needs


Trends in the number of pupils with SEN

In 2005, 18% of all pupils in England were recorded as having some sort of special educational need (SEN) or disability—around 1.5 million pupils.

This was made up of 3% of all pupils with statements of SEN and 15% of all pupils with SEN but without a statement.

Numbers and incidence of statemented pupils

Around 242,500 pupils had statements of SEN in England in January 2005—a slight decrease from the 247,600 in January 2004.

The percentage of pupils with statements also fell slightly to 2.9%. The following chart shows the percentage of pupils with statements from 1994 to 2005.
Chart 1: Percentage of pupils with statements 1994 to 2005


Data source: DfES Trends in Education and Skills. http://www.dfes.gov.uk/trends/index.cfm?fuseaction=home.showChart&cid=3&iid=13&chid=49

Looking back, from 1991 until 1999 there was a constant pattern of increase in both the number and the proportion of statements made in England.[286] Chart 1 above shows the proportion of pupils with statements increasing up until 1999. Since 1999, however, both the number (around 250,000) and the proportion of pupils with statements (around 3%) have been broadly constant.

To give further detail, the proportion of pupils with statements increased from 2.5% (1994) to 3.0% (1999). There was a peak of 3.1% (2001) after which it subsequently declined to 2.9% (2005).

Chart 2 below shows the trend in the actual number of pupils with statements in schools in England since 1991.
Chart 2: Total number of pupils with statements of SEN 1991 to 2005


Source: DfES. Statistical First Release 24/2005

Chart 2 shows that the total number of pupils with statements increased in each year from 1991 to 2001, peaking at over 258,000. Since then numbers with statements have slowly declined, reaching 242,580 in 2005.

PUPILS WITHOUT STATEMENTS

In 2005, 15% of children were recorded as having SEN without statements. Statistics on pupils with SEN but without statements were collected for the first time for maintained primary and secondary schools in England in 1995 and independent schools from 1996. Figures are given in the appended Table 7. The number of such pupils increased by nearly one third from 1.2 million in 1997 to 1.6 million in 2001 but then declined again after 2001. By 2005 this figure had returned to 1.2 million. Incidence (the proportion of the total school population) has also declined from 19% (2001) to 15% (2005). [287]

Trends in the placement of pupils with SEN

Placement of statemented pupils

The percentage of pupils with statements placed in maintained mainstream schools remained at 60.0% in January 2005. The percentage placed in maintained special schools or Pupil Referral Units (PRUs) increased slightly from 36.9% in January 2004 to 37.2% in January 2005.

Charts 3 shows the trend in the placement of pupils with statements of SEN by school type: 1991 to 2005. The chart shows very clearly that the considerable increase in the number of pupils with statements were all placed into the mainstream sector from 1991 to 2000—the numbers in special schools increased very slightly but nothing like as much as numbers in mainstream schools.

It was from 1991 to 2000 that the balance of pupils with statements between mainstream and special schools shifted so dramatically. The number of statemented pupils in maintained mainstream schools increased by over 95,000 from 1991 to 2000. This represents over 90% of the total increase in statemented pupils. At the same time, the number of statemented pupils in special schools stayed relatively constant. The consequence of this was that in 1991, around a half of all pupils with statements were being educated in special schools but by 2000 the proportion had fallen considerably to around one third.

Chart 3 also shows that since 1999-2000, both the numbers and proportions have remained broadly constant in mainstream and special schools.
Chart 3: Placement of pupils with statements by type of school, 1991-2005


Source: Information provided by the DFES. Table 1a of SFR 24/2005 extended over time.

Chart 4 below shows the placement of pupils with statements in special schools by type of Special School from 1991-2005. It shows the broadly constant number of pupils with statements in special schools over time and the broadly constant number in each type of Special School. In 1991 there were 85,600 pupils in special schools, and in 2005 there were 90,300.

Chart 4 shows the introduction of Pupil Referral Units (PRUs) in 1995 and shows the numbers in relation to the total number of pupils in maintained special schools. In 1997, 2% of pupils with statements were at PRUs, in 2005 this had risen by just 1 percentage point to 3%.
Chart 4: Placement of pupils with statements in special schools by type of special school, 1991-2005


Source: Information provided by the DFES. Table 1a of SFR 24/2005 extended over time

THE NUMBER OF NEW STATEMENTS ISSUED

Chart 5 and appended Table 6 provide data on the number of new statements made from 1992 to 2004. Table 6 shows that there was a high level of new statements made from 1992 to 1999.

Chart 5 shows the number of new statements made since 1997. It shows that the number of new statements peaked at 36,000 in 1998. Since then year-on-year decreases resulted in 26,000 new statements in 2004, a 28% decline from 1998. Chart 5 also shows that the proportion of pupils with new statements placed in mainstream schools has stayed broadly constant since 1997 at around 75%.
Chart 5: New statements made 1997-2004 and the percentage placed in mainstream schools



Source: DfES Trends in Education and Skills. http://www.dfes.gov.uk/trends/index.cfm?fuseaction=home.showChart&cid=3&iid=13&chid=49

The number and pattern of special schools

Special schools

The number of special schools in England has fallen in each year since 1979.[288] It should be noted that the rate of decline has slowed significantly since 1997 but nevertheless, the number of maintained and non-maintained special schools in England has continued to fall from 1,239 (1997) to 1,148 (2004) as shown in Chart 6. If Pupil Referal Units are taken into consideration, however, Chart 6 shows that there has not been a decline in the overall number of special schools from 1996 to 2005.

The number of maintained special schools, specifically, has reduced slightly from 1,171 in 1997 to 1,049 in 2005. The number of non-maintained special schools has, in contrast, risen from a low of 61 in 1999 to 73 in 2005. During the same period the number of independent schools approved specifically by the Department as suitable for the admission of pupils with statements has fallen from 99 to 93, while the number of independent schools registered with, but not approved by, the Department as catering wholly or mainly for children with statements has increased from 69 to 148.[289]
Chart 6: Number of special schools by type, 1996-2005



Source: DfES. Statistical First Release 24/2005

The number of full-time pupils in special schools has also fallen consistently since 1979 although, again, the vast majority of decline in pupil numbers took place before 1997, and indeed before 1991. Table 3 below shows that the number of pupils in special schools fell by nearly 30% in the 12 years from 1979-1991.

As with the decline in the number of schools, the rate of decline of pupils has slowed significantly since 1997 as shown in Table 3 below. From 1997-2005 there has been a 4% decline in the total number of pupils in special schools.Table 3: The number of full-time pupils in special schools 1979-2005
Year Number of full-time pupils in special schools % change (from previous recording)
1979131,000 n/a
------------------------------------------------ ----------------------------
199195,400 -27.5%
------------------------------------------------ ----------------------------
199794,050 -1.5%
199894,440 +0.1%
199993,610 -1%
200093,260 -1%
200193,700 +1%
200292,130 -2%
200392,650 +0.5%
200491,250 -2%
200590,290 -1% (4% drop since 1997)

Source: Data for 1979 and 1991 from Schools in England, 2000 and earlier editions, DfEE. Data from 1997 onwards includes special schools. Provided by House of Commons Library

THE PATTERN OF SPECIAL SCHOOLS

In terms of the type of special schools in the sector, it has been suggested by witnesses to the Committee that there is a certain amount of "re-structuring" going on as some types of special schools close and others open.

Chart 7 below compares the number of pupils with SEN by type of special need against the number of special schools in that area.
Chart 7: Number of pupils with SEN by type of special need compared to number of special schools in that area



Source: Statistical First Release 24/2005. Pupils with SEN are those with statements and on School Action Plus.

Chart 7 above shows the pupils by their type of special needs, ranked by order of incidence. In comparing the pattern of special schools to this ranking, it is clear that the number of each type of special school does not correlate with the incidence of pupils with that particular special need. This would suggest that there is further scope for re-structuring in the sector. However, there are other factors to consider before this assertion could be made.

One important consideration to make is the fact that there will be greater proportions of pupils with particular special needs in special schools. For example, Chart 8 below shows that the types of special needs with by far the highest proportion of pupils in special schools are those with "profound and multiple learning difficulties", and "severe learning difficulties".
Chart 8: Pupils with statements of SEN by type of special need and placement



Source: DfES. Statistical First Release 24/2005. Pupils with statements of SEN only.

Chart 8 above suggests that there are various factors affecting the incidence of pupils in special schools for any type of special need. There is no doubt a relationship between placement in special schools and the extent to which pupils can be effectively included in mainstream schools, but this is by no means the only factor.

It is interesting to note from Chart 8 that the newer types of special needs such as behaviour, emotional, and social difficulties (BESD) and Autistic Spectrum Disorder (ASD) are now high incidence types of special needs but there relatively few pupils in special schools (around a third in each case). This could be because such children are being effectively included in mainstream schools, or it could also be because the SEN system has been slow to re-structure to meet the changing needs of pupils with particular types of special needs.

It is interesting to note that whilst some types of special needs have relatively few pupils in special schools (Specific Learning Difficulties, Speech Language and Communication Difficulties, Physical Disability and Hearing and Visual Impairment), there are some types of special needs where nearly all pupils are taught in special schools (Profound and Multiple Learning Difficulties and Severe Learning Difficulty).

Age and gender

Chart 9 and appended Table 9 show the proportion of the school population with SEN statements by age and gender.

Chart 9: Percentage of school population with SEN statements by age and Gender—Jan 2005



Source: Appended Table 8: SEN in England, 2005, DfES

At all ages a significantly higher proportion of boys than girls in the school population have SEN statements (more than twice as many at all ages). SEN statements as a proportion of the total school population are greatest between the ages of 12 and 15. Some 2.5%-2.6% of all pupils within this age band possess statements—Chart 9 shows that this is more than 3.5% for boys.

Chart 10 below shows the number of pupils with SEN by type of special need and gender. It show that with the fastest growing types of special needs—behaviour, emotional, and social difficulties (BESD), and Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD)—boys are more than five times as likely to have these types of special needs. This suggests that any policies aimed at improving SEN provision must pay particular attention to whether the appropriate teaching strategies are in place to meet the needs of this growing number of boys with particular special needs.
Chart 10: Pupils with SEN by type of special need and gender



Source: Statistical First Release24/2005, DfES (from Table 18 in SFR 24/2005)

Geographical variation

Charts 11 and 12 and appended Table 8 show the geographical variation in the percentage of secondary schools with a given proportion of the pupils with SEN. First, schools where 35%-50% of pupils have SEN:
Chart 11: Proportion of secondary schools with 35%-50% of pupil population with SEN—Jan 2005



Source: Appended Table 7, SEN in England, 2005, DfES

It is also possible to look at the differences between mainstream schools in proportion of pupils with SEN. The majority (over 70%) of primary schools in England have less than 2% of pupils with statements. 65% of secondary schools have fewer than 3% of pupils with statements.

In January 2000 there were 121 primary and 25 secondary schools which had more than 1 in 10 pupils with statements. The majority of schools have between 10% and 25% of pupils with SEN (both statemented and unstatemented).

There are, however, around 250 primary schools and 72 secondary schools where over half the pupils have SEN. Chart 12 shows schools where over 50% of pupils have SEN.
Chart 12: Proportion of secondary schools with 50% plus of pupil population with SEN—Jan 2005



Source: Appended Table 7, SEN in England, 2005, DfES.

Schools where the concentration of SEN pupils is above the national average are in London (particularly Inner London), and the South East.

GEOGRAPHICAL VARIATION OF STATEMENTING AND PLACEMENT IN SPECIAL SCHOOLS

There are considerable variations between local authorities in the provision made for children with statements. Table 4 shows the variation in the minimum and maximum percentage of pupils placed in different types of provision across individual Local Authorities.

Table 4 shows that the percentage of pupils placed in Maintained Special Schools varies from 0% to 60% across different Local Authorities. The percentage in maintained mainstream schools varies from 19% to 73%. The variation across LAs in placing pupils in Independent Special Schools was from 0.4% to over 19%. This is a remarkable level of variation and demonstrates the extent to which Local Authorities decide their own strategies for the provision of children with SEN.
Table 4: Minimum and maximum % pupils placed by type of provision across Local Authorities, 2005
 mainstream schools resourced provision, units & special classes in mainstream schools maintained special schools non-maintained & ind. special schools
 % %% %
ENGLAND (average)51.9 7.732.8 4.6
In individual authorities
Minimum18.9 0.00.0 0.4
Median51.8 6.532.0 4.2
Maximum73.0 42.860.0 19.2
Source: SEN2 survey, January 2005. From DfES memorandum SEN 178

Evidence given to this Committee has suggested that, in the more wealthy areas of England there is a higher incidence of statementing of children with SEN—it is argued that more affluent parents will fight harder to obtain a statement of SEN which specifies provision for their child. Chart 13 shows an analysis of geographical variation of statementing by region measured against the average disposable income per head (as a measure of wealth). Chart 13 below shows that this assertion is not borne out in the data at a regional level.
Chart 13: Average disposable income by region compared to the percentage of pupils with statements



Source: DfES. SFR 24/2005 and income data from Household Income and Disposable Household Income, Regional Trends 37, Office of National Statistics (ONS).

There could still be a higher incidence of statementing in some wealthy LEAs in comparison to others, but if this was a wider systemic issue it would show up in the regional level data. Because there are no national guidelines on which pupils should be given a statement of SEN, the considerable variation of local approaches across the country are showing up in the data and are likely to reduce the extent to which more subtle variations can be measured at this level.

Chart 14 below shows that there does seem to be a slightly stronger correlation between the wealth of a particular region and the proportion of pupils placed in special schools. With the exceptions of London, the West Midlands and the North East, there is a broad pattern showing that the wealthier regions have a higher proportion of students with statements in maintained special schools.
Chart 14: Average disposable income by region compared to the percentage of pupils in maintained special schools



Source: DfES. SFR 24/2005 and income data from Household Income and Disposable Household Income, Regional Trends 37, Office of National Statistics (ONS).

Finally, Chart 15 below shows a much stronger correlation between the average wealth of a region and the proportion of children with statements placed in Non-maintained and Independent Special Schools (NMISS). With the exception of the West Midland and possibly the North West, there is a strong correlation between these two sets of data suggesting that the regions with a higher number of more affluent parents have a higher number of children with statements of SEN in NMISS.

There are many factors that affect whether a child with a statement is placed in a NMISS—including the local availability of suitable provision—but this does seem to give some backing to the evidence this Committee has received about the relationship between the number of successful tribunals for those parents that can afford them, and the placement of children in NMISS as a result of these tribunals.

In and of itself, it is interesting to note that there is a pattern of a higher incidence of children with statements in NMISS in the wealthier regions of England. Regardless of the merits of attaining a place in a NMISS it is another part of the considerable geographical variation of provision.
Chart 15: Average disposable income by region compared to the percentage of pupils in Non-Maintained and Independent special schools



Source: DfES. SFR 24/2005 and income data from Household Income and Disposable Household Income, Regional Trends 37, Office of National Statistics (ONS).

Table 5: Pupils with statements of SEN by type of school in England since 1993



Source: Special Educational Needs in England 2005, DfES

Table 6: Assessment and placement of children with new statements of SEN, England



Source: Special Educational Needs in England 2005, DfES

Table 7: Pupils without statements of SEN by type of school in England since 1997



Source: Special Educational Needs in England 2005, DfES

Table 8: Number of schools by percentage of schools with SEN



Source: Special Educational Needs in England 2005, DfES

Table 9: Pupils with statements by age and gender



Source: Special Educational Needs in England 2005, DfES


286  
DfEE statistical bulletin Special educational needs in England: January 2000 Ref 09/00; National Assembly for Wales statistical report, Pupils with statements of special educational needs: January 2000, SDB 113/2000 And from House of Commons Library, The Special Educational Needs and Disability Bill (HL): Statistical Appendix, Bill 55 of Session 2000-01. Research Paper 01/29. Back

287   Excluding maintained and non-maintained special schools Back

288   DfEE, Schools in England, 2000 and earlier editions. And House of Commons Library, The Special Educational Needs and Disability Bill (HL): Statistical Appendix, Bill 55 of Session 2000-01. Research Paper 01/29. Back

289   SEN 178 Back


 
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