FUEL DUTY
29. The Pre-Budget Report announced that the freeze
on main fuel duty rates would continue until Budget 2006. This
means that 2005-06 is the fourth out of the last five years in
which the Government has frozen these rates. This is somewhat
surprising given that, as the PBR states, "It is the Government's
policy that fuel duty rates should rise each year at least in
line with inflation, as the UK seeks to meet its targets of reducing
polluting emissions and funding public services."[32]
Indeed, the section on fuel duty in PBR 2005 contains something
of a non-sequitur. Paragraph 7.46 acknowledges that the costs
of motoring relative to household disposable income have markedly
decreased in recent years, and that this trend is likely to continue
in future years, while paragraph 7.47 states that fuel duty will
continue to be frozen because of the ongoing volatility of the
oil market.
Figure 3 Motoring has become progressively more
affordable in recent years
Source: Office for National Statistics, Department
for Transport (Transport Trends, 26 January 2006)
30. In his evidence, the Minister said about this:
"We were set to raise, by
revalorizing fuel duty at the Budget, fuel duty for the main pure
rate by 1.22 pence per litre. By the time we came to the Pre-Budget
Report, the pump price paid for road fuels was ten pence per litre
for last year higher than what we had projected at the Budget.
[
] For those concerned about the environment, clearly the
ten pence per litre price rise at the pumps would have a much
greater impact on demand and, therefore, emissions from road transport
than the planned increase that we had in the duty rates [
]"[33]
We acknowledge this point. However,
it does tend to suggest to us, given that the PBR stresses the
essential resilience of the UK economy in the face of oil price
volatility, that the Government could have been more ambitious
in setting fuel duty rates in the years since 2000. We might
also observe that fuel duty was frozen in Budgets 2001 and 2002
even though the price of petrol, excluding taxes, fell between
Budget 2001 and Budget 2002, and then again between Budget 2002
and Budget 2003.[34]
Indeed, it appears to us that the main reason for the Treasury's
decisions not even to revalorise (raise in line with inflation)
fuel duty since 2000 has been not so much its concerns for the
competitiveness of the UK economy, but more a question of political
expediency. We do not make light of such concerns; however, this
would strengthen our calls for the Treasury to develop a proper
communications strategy to help sell the need for environmental
taxes to the public, and for it to consider ways to put the formulation
of environmental taxes to some degree outside the arena of electoral
politics.[35]
31. Our final point on fuel duty relates to the price,
availability, and environmental impacts of oil as we move towards
and then past world peak production. The Treasury gives as its
reason for freezing fuel duty the recent volatility in the oil
markets. This is surely going to be a long-term phenomenon, in
the context of declining reserves of oil. In this context, there
would appear to be a further argument for a policy of consistent
fuel tax rises, in that this would send a long-term signal to
the economy that it needs to wean itself off oil (and would also
expand the potential for tax differentials to incentivise alternative
fuels, as has recently been done in London, for instance, where
exemptions to the London Congestion Charge are offered to low
carbon vehicles). In the light of the announcement by the Swedish
government, of plans to make Sweden oil-free by 2020, we asked
the Financial Secretary whether he agreed that we have to start
weaning the UK economy off oil in advance of depletion leading
to unaffordable market prices. He agreed, and pointed to the
encouragement being given by the Government to renewable energy
technologies such as tide, wind, and solar.[36]
We would simply note that these relate to the generation of electricity,
in which oil does not figure in the UK. Indeed, when we asked
the Minister for the Government's forecast of UK consumption of
oil by 2020, the data he referred us to (Figure 4) show that,
far from being on a path towards becoming oil-free, UK consumption
is set to rise by 9% over 2005 levels.
Figure 4 UK oil consumption
- actual and forecast