Select Committee on European Scrutiny Twenty-Third Report


24 Stability and Growth Pact

(a)

(27236)

5366/06


(b)

(27237)

5367/06


Council Decision on the existence of an excessive deficit in the United Kingdom: Application of Article 104(6) of the Treaty


Council Recommendation to the United Kingdom with a view to bringing an end to the situation of an excessive government deficit: Application of Article 104(7) of the Treaty

Legal base(a) Article 104 (6) EC; — ; QMV

(b) Article 104 (7) EC; — ; two-thirds of a QMV weighted vote, excluding the Member State concerned

Deposited in Parliament28 February 2006
DepartmentHM Treasury
Basis of considerationEM of 13 March 2006
Previous Committee ReportNone
Discussed in CouncilAdopted by ECOFIN 24 January 2006
Committee's assessmentPolitically important
Committee's decisionCleared

Background

24.1 The Stability and Growth Pact adopted by the Amsterdam European Council in June 1997 emphasised the obligation of Member States to avoid excessive government deficits, defined as the ratio of a planned or actual deficit to gross domestic product (GDP) at market prices in excess of a "reference value" of 3%. This obligation does not apply to Member States, including the UK, whilst they remain outside the eurozone, but they are required to endeavour to avoid excessive deficits.

24.2 The Pact also endorsed action in cases of an excessive government deficit — the excessive deficit procedure provided for in Article 104 EC and the relevant Protocol. This procedure consists of Commission reports followed by a stepped series of Council Recommendations. The final two steps do not apply to non-members of the eurozone, including the UK. Failure to comply with the final stage of Recommendations allows the Council to require publication of additional information by the Member State concerned before issuing bonds and securities, to invite the European Investment Bank to reconsider its lending policy for the Member State concerned, to require a non-interest-bearing deposit from the Member State concerned whilst its deficit remains uncorrected, or to impose appropriate fines on the Member State concerned.

The documents

24.3 On 21 September 2005, the Commission formally adopted, under Article 104(3) EC, a report assessing the UK in relation to the excessive deficit procedure.[85] Following the publication of the Commission's Autumn 2005 economic forecasts and having regard to the opinion of the Economic and Financial Committee, in accordance with Article 104(4) EC, as well as the Government's December 2005 Pre-Budget Report (PBR), the Commission came forward with a draft Decision and a draft Recommendation on how to take forward the excessive deficit procedure for the UK.

24.4 On the basis of those drafts the ECOFIN Council, on 24 January 2006, adopted a Decision under Article 104(6) EC that an excessive deficit exists in the UK, document (a). The Council then adopted a Recommendation under Article 104(7) EC, document (b), that the excess over the reference value of 3% of GDP be corrected in a credible and sustainable manner by 2006-07 with, to this end, an improvement in the cyclically-adjusted deficit of 0.5% of GDP between 2005-06 and 2006-07. The Council established a deadline of 24 July 2006 for the Government to take effective action to this end. The Council also asked the Government to ensure that, after the excessive deficit has been corrected, budgetary consolidation would be sustained towards a medium-term budgetary objective which provides a safety margin with respect to the 3% of GDP deficit limit and maintains prudent debt ratios, taking into account the economic and budgetary impact of ageing populations, but allowing room for budgetary manoeuvre, in particular considering the need for public investment.

The Government's view

24.5 The Economic Secretary to the Treasury (Mr Ivan Lewis) says, in familiar words, that the Government believes in a prudent interpretation of the Stability and Growth Pact, which takes into account the economic cycle, the long-term sustainability of public finances and the important role of public investment. He then asserts that the projections set out in the PBR in December 2005 are fully consistent with such a prudent interpretation. He says the PBR projections for the public finances show the Government is meeting strict fiscal rules and delivering sustained macroeconomic stability. He adds that the Government's projections are already consistent with the Council's Recommendation. In particular, UK net debt is forecast to stabilise at around 38% and general government gross debt at around 44% of GDP — well below the threshold of 60% of GDP, and the UK deficit is forecast to fall below the 3% of GDP threshold to 2.7% in 2006-07.

Conclusion

24.6 These documents give a Community perspective of Government policy in relation to the Growth and Stability Pact. We have no questions to ask and clear the documents.





85   See http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/about/activities/sgp/edp/com_rep_uk.pdf. Back


 
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