International engagement
217. The AMA represented the high point of efforts
to move Israel and the Palestinians closer towards peace over
the past year. The Agreement was the result of a renewed engagement
by the US administration, working closely with the Quartet and
its Special Envoy, James Wolfensohn. In previous Reports in this
series, the Committee identified US engagement as being among
the most critical requirements for progress on the Middle East
peace process. In 2004, we called on the Government to "do
its utmost to promote greater US engagement in the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict"[266]
and "to seek to convince the US of the importance of sending
a high-level emissary to the region."[267]
The visits paid to the region by Dr Rice, the appointment of James
Wolfensohn as the Quartet's Special Envoy and the appointment
of General William Ward (later replaced by General Keith Dayton)
as US Security Coordinator (USSC) were all positive signs of a
renewed US interest and determination.
218. Therefore, it is particularly unfortunate that
the election of a new Palestinian Assembly dominated by Hamas
has caused difficulties for the USA and the rest of the international
community in its dealings with the Palestinian Authority. In announcing
his decision to resign as the Quartet's Special Envoy, James Wolfensohn
cited the election of a Hamas administration as the main reason
he could no longer play a useful role.[268]
Mr Wolfensohn has not been replaced. The central dilemma for the
USA and other countries seeking to play a role in the peace process
following the Palestinian elections was succinctly described by
General Dayton in his March 2006 evidence to the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee:
The future is obviously an open question. But
a few things are not. First and foremost is
strict adherence
to the US policy of no contact with and no support of any kind
for Hamas. Second is the recognition that Palestinian security
sector reform and performance is an important element for progress
in accordance with the Roadmap, and is essential for a viable
two state solution. And third, it remains in America's national
interests to stay engaged in the Palestinian-Israeli
situation, a fact that has been made even more critical by the
Hamas victory. The question, I think, is how.[269]
General Dayton concluded his remarks as follows:
I want to emphasize one final point. Let's remember
why the United States, through the agent of the USSC, is so visibly
involved in the region. It is not altruism, and it is not because
we have nothing else to do. We are here because it remains profoundly
in the US national security interest for us to be involved in
the search for peace and progress towards the two-state vision.
The Hamas victory has not changed that.[270]
THE FUTURE OF THE ROAD MAP
219. At the time of preparing this Report (June 2006),
the prospects for the Road Mapthe
Quartet's phased plan for a two-state solutiondo
not look good.[271]
There is no expectation that Hamas will recognise Israel, and
thus little prospect of a resumption of negotiations between the
Israelis and the Palestinians. Without negotiations based on the
Road Map, Israel is likely to seek to impose its own solution.
Prime Minister Olmert and his government appear determined to
proceed with enclosure of the majority of Israeli settlers behind
the separation barrier and with the annexation of the land on
which their homes are built, and East Jerusalem. The suicide bombers
and terrorist groups show no sign of ceasing their deadly campaigns,
and while such indiscriminate attacks continue the Israelis will
retaliate and target those whom they believe to be responsible.
The effects of this retaliation can often be indiscriminate, killing
innocent people and reinforcing the cycle of violence. For as
long as this state of affairs prevails, ordinary people on both
sides will continue to suffer.
220. Speaking about the seemingly unstoppable construction
of new Israeli settlements, the building of the separation barrier
and the way this is changing the facts on the ground, Jack Straw
said "What do we do? We keep up the pressure and keep talking
to international partners, particularly the Americans, as I have
done pretty continuously, and to the Israelis."[272]
He might have said much the same in respect of the Palestinians.
We asked Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett what the Government
is doing to impress upon the Israeli government the need for a
negotiated settlement. She told us:
We have made it extremely clear to the Israeli
Government, and the Prime Minister did to the Israeli Prime Minister
yesterday, that we are looking for negotiations and for a negotiated
settlement and that we would view any unilateral action by the
Israeli Government asI
was going to say very much second best, but we would be reluctant
to see such unilateral action because we believe that negotiation
is the right way forward.[273]
Asked whether this position was too weak, the Foreign
Secretary replied
I certainly do not intend the view of the British
Government to sound weak
[A]lthough there were strong reservations
about moves that were made unilaterally on Gaza there was nevertheless
a rather grudging recognition in the end that some of these were
moves in the right direction although there was obviously much
preference for there to be negotiation
We have made and
will continue to make it extremely clear that there has to be
a serious attempt to return to the process of negotiation and
that that in the long term is the only sound basis for a way forward.[274]
221. In our view, the USA remains the key to achieving
peace in the Middle East; in the absence of a willingness by either
of the directly-involved parties to make concessions or even to
talk, only the intervention of the USA can facilitate progress.
This was true before and it is even more true now.
222. We conclude that there is little prospect
of the Israelis and Palestinians reaching any agreement on the
way forward without substantial commitment and engagement by the
Quartet, by regional players and above all by the USA. We recommend
that the Government do everything possible both bilaterally and
through international mechanisms to encourage both parties to
implement their Road Map obligations.
226 For the full results, see www.elections.ps and
www.fairvote.org/media/pep/Palestine.pdf Back
227
"Israel's PM seeks Abbas meeting", BBC News Online,
4 June 2006, news.bbc.co.uk Back
228
"Palestinian stand-off over Abbas ultimatum", Financial
Times, 6 June 2006 Back
229
For the complete list, see: security.homeoffice.gov.uk/counter-terrorism-strategy/legislation/tact/proscribed-groups Back
230
Q 17 Back
231
Q 24 Back
232
HC Deb, 15 March 2006, cols 1448-1449 Back
233
Q 191 Back
234
"Israel puts border plan to Blair", BBC News Online,
12 June 2006, news.bbc.co.uk Back
235
United Nations, Assessment of the future humanitarian risks
in the occupied Palestinian territory, 11 April 2006, available
at: www.humanitarianinfo.org/opt Back
236
Q 197 Back
237
Quartet Statement, London, 30 January 2006, available at: ue.eu.int/ueDocs Back
238
World Bank, The Impending Palestinian Fiscal Crisis, Potential
Remedies, 7 May 2006, available at: domino.un.org Back
239
Ev 181-184 Back
240
"Hamas official caught smuggling cash into Gaza Strip",
Financial Times, 19 May 2006 Back
241
Quartet Statement, 9 May 2006, available at: domino.un.org Back
242
Evidence from Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett to the Inquiry
into Developments in the European Union, to be published as HC
768-iv Back
243
"EU set to release Palestinian aid", BBC News Online,
19 June 2006, news.bbc.co.uk Back
244
HC Deb, 29 April 2002, col 668 Back
245
HC Deb, 14 March 2006, col 1295 Back
246
Q 187 Back
247
"Israel 'has to withdraw further'", BBC News Online,
24 January 2006, news.bbc.co.uk; and "What Does Olmert Want?",
The New York Review of Books, June 2006 Back
248
"West Bank closure count and analysis", United Nations
Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), January
2006, available at: www.humanitarianinfo.org/opt Back
249
"United States Deplores Hamas' Defense of Tel Aviv Terror
Attack", US State Department, 17 April 2006 Back
250
HC Deb, 3 May 2006, col 512-513WH Back
251
Letter to the UN General Assembly from the Permanent Observer
of Palestine, dated 5 April 2006 Back
252
"Protection of Civilians", weekly briefing notes by
UN OCHA, available at: domino.un.org Back
253
"Howell's reaction to unrest in Gaza", FCO News Release,
23 May 2006 Back
254
Q 36 Back
255
Foreign Affairs Committee, Second Report of Session 2003-04, Foreign
Policy Aspects of the War against Terrorism, HC 81, para 157;
HC (2003-04) 441-I, para 396; and HC (2004-05) 36-I, para 316 Back
256
HC Deb, 9 May 2006, col 192W Back
257
See www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2005/56890.htm Back
258
"Gaza chaos escalates as Egypt border blocked", Agence
France-Presse, 4 January 2006 Back
259
"Gaza Strip Situation Report 26 Apr 2006", UN Office
for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs Back
260
Ibid Back
261
"Agreement on Movement and Access", 15 November 2005,
available at: usinfo.state.gov/mena Back
262
"Gaza Strip Situation Report 3 May 2006", UN Office
for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs Back
263
Q 30 Back
264
Evidence received in the Inquiry into Developments in the European
Union, to be published as HC 768 Back
265
First and Twelfth Reports on the Implementation of the Agreement
on Access and Movement, available at: domino.un.org/unispal.nsf Back
266
HC (2003-04) 81, para 181 Back
267
HC (2003-04) 441, para 399 Back
268
Remarks After Meeting With Special Envoy for Gaza Disengagement
James Wolfensohn, 1 May 2006, www.state.gov Back
269
Statement by United States Security Coordinator Lieutenant General
Keith W. Dayton before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee,
March 15, 2006, available at: www.senate.gov Back
270
Ibid Back
271
For a summary of the process that led to the Road Map proposals
and the role of the Quartet, see HC (2003-04) 81 and HC
(2003-04) 441-I Back
272
Q 136 Back
273
Evidence from Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett to the Inquiry
into Developments in the European Union, to be published as HC
768-iv Back
274
Evidence from Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett to the Inquiry
into Developments in the European Union, to be published as HC
768-iv Back