Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Written Evidence


Written evidence submitted by James Forder, Fellow and Tutor in Economics, Balliol College, University of Oxford

CRUCIAL ASPECTS OF UNDERSTANDING BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN HONG KONG AND THE REST OF CHINA

CONCLUSION

  China is a difficult place to do business, but most of the difficulties can be mitigated by using the skills and opportunities available in Hong Kong. The business-promoting arms of the Government should be acutely and consistently aware of the need to bring this point to the attention of those interested in Chinese business opportunities.

  A crucial consideration is that outside expert circles the remarkable position of Hong Kong is poorly appreciated. Hong Kong is part of China but has more economic independence than typical west European nation states. This combination creates exceptional opportunities for dealing with exceptional problems.

BACKGROUND CONSIDERATIONS

  As is widely understood, British interests in Hong Kong are extensive. It is less well understood how much official statistics understate the true position. Recent estimates suggest that as few as 10 historically British companies have Hong Kong market capitalizations in excess of £45 billion.

THREE ASPECTS OF HONG KONG'S POSITION

1.   The separateness of Hong Kong

  Hong Kong retains an extraordinary degree of economic independence from the rest of China. It has its own currency (the Hong Kong dollar) which, unlike the Chinese currency, is free of exchange controls. It has fiscal independence in that it levies its own taxes and pays none of them to the Chinese government. Hong Kong also controls its own labour and product market regulation. Perhaps most surprisingly, Hong Kong's trade policy is separate from that of the rest of China, and indeed it is a WTO member in its own right.

  These rights and freedoms which are substantially guaranteed in Hong Kong's constitutional document (the "Basic Law") are also used by the Hong Kong government with a powerfully pro-business and free market orientation. One indication of this is that the Heritage Foundation has ranked Hong Kong the freest economy in the world every year since 1995.

  Hong Kong's separateness goes beyond economic matters. Most importantly it also benefits from the maintenance of the Common Law system, the separateness of its Courts from those of the rest of China and the quality and independence of its judicial and legal professions.

  Freedom of speech, of the press, and of association are maintained in Hong Kong and English is an official language and is very widely spoken.

2.   The integration of Hong Kong with the rest of China

  At the level of business rather than government, the Hong Kong economy is very closely integrated with that of China, and particularly the region of the Pearl River Delta. There are estimated to be 60,000 Hong Kong owned businesses in that area, employing about 11 million people (about three times the workforce of Hong Kong itself). Hong Kong is believed to be the proximate source of 70% of the inward investment to this very rapidly developing part of China.

  At a policy level too, Hong Kong benefits from the "Closer Economic Partnership Agreement" which creates a free trade area between Hong Kong and the rest of China for many products. Transportation and infrastructure links are strong and developing rapidly.

3.   Business difficulties in China

  There is no denying that China is developing very rapidly—not just economically, but in its legal infrastructure, financial development, and availability of business support services.

  But equally, it should never be doubted that China remains a very difficult place to do business. The legal system is developing from a very primitive base; there have until recently been serious concerns about widespread corruption within it; and it is in many respects obscure and confusing to outsiders. At least one British law firm advises its clients of the dangers of falling foul of laws which are actually unpublished. The protection of intellectual property rights is notably weaker than that in Hong Kong.

  Similarly the difficulties of coping with the Chinese negotiating style have become notorious in both academic discussion and memoirs. These pose an ongoing danger to unwary businesses.

CONSEQUENCES

  As the integration with the Pearl River Delta shows, Hong Kong offers a huge pool of expertise in doing business in China. This expertise is a very valuable resource for businesses seeking to work there.

  The respects in which Hong Kong is separate from China facilitate business there enormously. The understanding of the rule of law, and widespread use of English, and the free-market orientation of policy are of particular value.

  Equally, the respects in which Hong Kong is now integrated with the rest of China mean it is no longer "offshore", but instead benefits from closer and closer infrastructural, business, economic, and cultural ties with the mainland.

  Business-promoting arms of the Government should ensure that—beside the opportunities—the difficulties in China are made clear, and most particularly that many of them can be handled best through establishment or partnership in Hong Kong. Unfortunately this is not always done as clearly as it could be.

James Forder

Balliol College

University of Oxford

February 2006





 
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Prepared 13 August 2006