Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Written Evidence


Written evidence submitted by the Council of the British Association for Korean Studies

  The Emergence of the People's Republic of China as a Regional Power and its Impact on the International System

INTRODUCTORY COMMENTS

  Although the past is not a certain guide to the future, it is the only guide we have. To understand the "emergence" of China in contemporary times, we must clarify the nature of the historic cultural and political system of East Asia, to see what patterns there are. An examination of the East Asian past reveals the following general patterns:

      1.  East Asia (comprising China, Korea, Japan, Vietnam, Tibet, and Mongolia) is a coherent cultural and political sphere which has the area of "China" as its cultural, political, and economic core area.

      2.  When "China" is strong and stable, the region as a whole is stable.

      3.  When "China" is weak and internally divided, the region as a whole is susceptible to war.

      4.  Contiguous areas to this core region such as Vietnam and Korea have long been aware of their socio-political context, and traditionally have developed strategies to accommodate to Chinese power, while at the same time seeking to maintain their own independence and sovereignty.

      5.  Tibet (which for a long period had been an independent political entity) and Xinjiang are special cases of internal Chinese colonisation. Both regions have been vulnerable for reasons of internal division or simple military weakness.

      6.  Historically, China is more prone to autarky and limited access than it is prone to imperial expansion.

THE CULTURAL AND HISTORICAL BACKGROUND—CHINA

  Chinese culture is the oldest continuous culture on Earth, having a literary and canonical tradition (largely based upon Confucian thought) stretching back at least to the fifth century BC. Even today, the literary works which constitute this canonical tradition can be read easily. Such accessibility to classical thought and ideas has produced an extraordinary continuity in literature and historical writing in the region. General social, economic, and political views, as well as views and observations about neighbouring peoples, became firmly established by the second or third century AD and have accompanied, if not motivated, the successive drives to unify politically the mainland under bureaucratic autocracies.

  Confucianism, the predominant philosophical mode of East Asia, defined individuals as social entities, elaborated an extensive moral system which limited governmental power, and presented an economic system focussed on concepts of national co-operative activity to ensure general popular subsistence. As a consequence, politics has been dominated by responsibility being vested in a regularised bureaucratic institution, recruitment into which has been determined by objective examinations, which in turn led to the creation of a non-feudal e[acute]lite class (the so-called literati bureaucrats) and the emergence of a "meritocratic" system of government.

  Over the past two millennia, the key economic zones of the world—China, the Indian Subcontinental world, the Mediterranean world, northern Europe, and (latterly) North America—have always included China. For most of the past two millennia, the Chinese economy was the most advanced in the world, triggering the onset of globalisation through the "Gold-for-Silk Trade". The scale of the Chinese economy has usually dwarfed all others, containing within its domestic sphere nearly every known agriculturally-productive ecological niche, often possessing the world's most advanced technology, and using transport systems rivalled elsewhere only in the late nineteenth and twentieth centuries.

  Although the standard of living in the Yangtze River valley seems to have been on a par with northwestern Europe until about 1800, from the mid- to late nineteenth century, Western views of China have been blinded by a European obsession with its own growth spurt, and by the actual decline and collapse of one of the world's greatest political and economic powers, the Qing dynasty (1616-1911) of China. From the mid-nineteenth century to the mid-twentieth century, China passed through another period of "dynastic change". However, by the end of the twentieth century, it had again embarked on a stable growth path which will probably take it through most of this century and beyond.

THE CULTURAL AND HISTORICAL BACKGROUND—KOREA AND JAPAN

  Naturally, the brilliance of "Chinese" civilisation has had a profound impact on neighbouring nations, especially "Korea" and "Japan" which, not appearing as viable, coherent political entities until the fifth ("Korea") and the seventh ("Japan") centuries, benefited from nearly a millenium of advanced "Chinese" civilisation. The differences in socio-political organisation among these three countries can be placed on a spectrum from "meritocratic" (China) to "mixed meritocratic/aristocratic" (Korea) to "aristocratic" (Japan). Throughout the East Asian landmass, from the fifth century onwards a common East Asian civilisation developed which was based upon a Confucian socio-political system and the Buddhist religion. Participation in the culture of this East Asian ("Chinese") civilisation was open to anyone who could learn the rudiments of civilised thought and behaviour (Confucianism), and who could master the language of the East Asian cultural sphere (the written Chinese language).

  The various nations of East Asia perceived that they had a particular place within the common East Asian cultural sphere, and were perceived in turn by the Chinese to have a certain place within it. Partly, this has been the result of geographic propinquity. Koreans have long shared a land border with China and have accommodated themselves over the centuries to this fact. Japan is an island nation, and thus could join the Chinese socio-political ambit when it suited its purposes.

  The Emperor of China was considered to be the Son of Heaven and the symbolic centre of the East Asian socio-political system, which was composed of a series of hierarchical relationships amongst the nations based upon a model of ideal family relations, a concept derived from Confucian philosophy. The emperor's mandate to rule his nation ("China") was dependent on his ability to keep the peace and to satisfy the subsistence needs of his subjects—an key idea of the classical Confucian philosopher Mencius (372-289 BC).

  The rulers of Korea in "traditional times" never presumed to refer to themselves as "emperor", but only as "king". This usage reflects the fact that although the Korean élite thought of themselves as "equal" participants in East Asian civilisation, their socio-political position in the family hierarchy was perceived to be that of a younger brother to an elder brother. To do otherwise, would have implied that they were making a political claim which would have invited unnecessary Chinese interest and subsequent interference. The Japanese ruler in "traditional times", however, did refer to himself as "emperor". This was because the source of his mandate was not based, as in China and Korea, on philosophical concepts of service to the people, but on claims to divine ancestry. However, except during a very early period, powerful courtiers and aristocrats have prevented the Emperor of Japan from ruling in all but name. The Japanese usage of the term "emperor" for their ruler has long been accepted by Chinese and Korean élites as an indication of ignorant barbarism.

  In terms of pure power, the Koreans have presented the Chinese over the centuries with both a loyal ally and a determined resistor to political assimilation. Korean policy towards China has always been a negotiated activity, either on the battlefield or by political accommodation intended to keep the Chinese out of Korean affairs. From the late seventh century to the present, the Chinese have rarely sought to control Korean territory, because of this effective resistance. By the same token, the Chinese have viewed Korea as a buffer state. Massive Chinese assistance was provided in the 1590s to beat back a Japanese invasion of Korea, and again in the 1950s to drive back the forces of the United States and the United Nations.

  When they have been able to do so, the Chinese have committed massive resources to defend Korea—in alliance with a Korean state—to drive military power away from their Korean frontier. Again, when it has had the resources, China has never allowed a hostile or potentially hostile power to dominate Korea. However, China has almost never sought to dominate Korea itself, being content that the peninsula is neutral or has a positive attitude towards Chinese interests.

  The Koreans have long appreciated these circumstances and have profited from Chinese protection. When China has been strong and stable as in the early Song (960-1126), Ming (1368-1662), and Qing (1616-1911) periods, Korea has been at peace and has prospered as in the early Koryo (918-1392) and the Choson (1392-1910) periods. When China was strong (as in the Ming dynasty) and the Japanese mobilised to attack (as in the invasion of 1592), the Chinese-Korean alliance repelled them. When China was weak and divided as it was in the late nineteenth century, the Japanese sought to take advantage of the situation, seized Korea in 1910, and then attacked China. Traditionally, the aggressive state in Northeast Asia has been Japan, not China, and the Koreans have always been allied with the Chinese. We should not expect that this pattern will change. Although the Americans have provided stability in the region since the end of the Second World War in 1945, they can now retreat, because the Chinese and the Koreans are strong enough to check the Japanese. This old equilibrium is re-emerging and not to be feared, unless we fail to understand the history and cultures of the East Asian cultural sphere and end up by being excluded from it because of our ignorance.

IMPLICATIONS FOR BRITISH POLICY

  The greatest problem for British policy in the East Asian region is the high level of ignorance about East Asia which pervades contemporary British society. Unlike the United States, Britain lacks a significant and successful East Asian minority which can provide cultural background knowledge at all levels. Consequently, it is imperative that we develop such high-level expertise in our institutions of higher education. However, an examination of the current record provides a dismal picture. Major higher education institutions, such as the University of Durham and the University of Stirling, have eliminated almost entirely their offerings on East Asia, destroying long-held (Durham) or nascent (Stirling) expertise. Even a flagship institution such as the School of Oriental and African Studies in London recently threatened to destroy its research infrastructure by eliminating librarians with any specialist knowledge about East Asia in order to replace them with what would be in effect "Tesco shelf-stackers".

  The problem lies in the fact that the Government and our higher education institutions have been driven by "managerialist" views which consider long-term investment in strategic knowledge industries (universities) to be foolish, because the current year's budget might show a deficit. To try and develop long-term expertise on East Asia with a workforce which can be sacked this year and re-hired the next is to play a fool's game bred from the twin delusions that any need for information can be provided by out-sourced consultants, and the belief that the important diplomatic and commercial people speak English anyway. In 1986, Sir Peter Parker in his report Speaking for the Future: A Review of the Requirements of Diplomacy and Commerce for Asian and African Languages and Area Studies stressed the need to have a well developed cadre of people in this nation who had a good knowledge of Asian and African languages and cultures. It would appear that twenty years on the lesson which Sir Peter taught us has still not been learned. Not to have a significant financial investment in the creation of a cadre of British citizens with a competent knowledge of East Asia contradicts the commonsense approach which is taken towards developing scientific expertise. If in science, why not here?

  Because of our ignorance about the importance of building up long-term expertise, we may say that in world historical terms, East Asians are colonising us. How better to control a people than to learn their language (English) and their culture and hope that they remain ignorant of yours? One might think that the recent "China craze" in Britain would be good for East Asian Studies in general and Chinese Studies in particular. However, not only are the actual resources which are currently being committed to the development of the subject area risible, but the focus of spending is almost entirely on the Chinese mainland. This latter issue ignores the first principle of understanding the context of any situation. One fears that the hype surrounding this craze may be as transient as the wind.

  Decision-makers seem to be lost in a dream of a billion-plus Chinese consumers all buying a British widget. This is fantasy. The challenge is not to make a widget which all Chinese want to buy; it is obvious to anyone that it is the Chinese who are making the widgets which we are buying by the shipload. The challenge for us is to keep the East Asian nations—who now trade among themselves more than they do with the rest of the world, away from systems of autarky and closed trading spheres. This means that the United Kingdom must move upstream and develop expertise on East Asia so that the Chinese, Koreans, and Japanese will look to Britons for sympathetic understanding, partnership, and the trust which is bestowed on honest brokers.

  This goal can be fostered:

      1.  by the guaranteed and continuing Government support for all branches of East Asian Studies in the nation's universities,

      2.  by Government encouraging businesses and other commercial bodies to providebursaries for students doing East Asian Studies, and by making it financially attractive for them to do so, and

      3.  by Government encouraging businesses and other commercial bodies to provide in-course or immediate post-course internships for students who have studied a branch of East Asian Studies. It should be made financially attractive for businesses and commercial groups to provide these opportunities as this training is in the nation's long-term interest.

  Any successful short-term policy prescription on East Asia will be dependent on the pursuit of a long-term policy for the development of expertise on the region, as Sir Peter Parker made quite plain twenty years ago. Without the commitment to such a long-term policy of development, this nation will not only be flying blind, but it will have no way of meaningful communication with East Asians in the coming decades which increasingly will be dominated by them, politically as well as commercially.

The Council of the British Association for Korean Studies

President: Professor James H Grayson

Immediate Past President: Dr James Hoare

Secretary: Professor Keith Pratt

Treasurer: Ms Susan Pares

Members of Council: Dr Grace Koh, Dr James Lewis, Ms Jane Portal, Dr David Prendergast, Dr John Swenson-Wright.

20 April 2006





 
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