3. NHS RESOURCES AND ACTIVITY
3.1 General
3.1.1 Could the Department update tables
3.1.1 showing gross expenditure on HCHS by service sector and
age group for the latest year for which data are available? [3.1.1]
ANSWER
1. The data requested is given in Table
3.1.1(a).
2. The latest year for which disaggregated
data are available is 2003-04 since the allocation of programme-age
related activity data is reliant on patient level data from the
Hospital Episode Statistics (HES).
3. Table 3.1.1(b) shows the proportion
of HCHS expenditure by programme of care.
Table 3.1.1(b)
PROPORTION OF HCHS EXPENDITURE BY PROGRAMME
OF CARE
|
Programme of Care | Proportion of expenditure
|
|
Acute services | 56%
|
Mental health | 13%
|
Services intended primarily for the elderly
| 6% |
Other services | 16%
|
Learning disability | 4%
|
Maternity | 3%
|
|
Notes:
1. Total in above table does not sum to 100% due to rounding.
4. Table 3.1.1(c) shows the proportion of HCHS
expenditure by age group.
Table 3.1.1(c)
PROPORTION OF HCHS EXPENDITURE BY AGE GROUP
|
Age band | Proportion of expenditure
|
|
All births | 4%
|
Age 0-4 | 6%
|
Age 5-15 | 4%
|
Age 16-44 | 24%
|
Age 45-64 | 18%
|
Age 65-74 | 15%
|
Age 75-84 | 18%
|
Age 85+ | 10%
|
|
Notes:
1. Total in above table does not sum to 100% due to rounding.
5. Services aimed specifically, or mainly, at the elderly
account for 6% of total HCHS expenditure. However, those aged
65 and over accounted for 43% of total expenditure despite being
only 16% of the population. This is mainly due to high levels
of spend in other sectors, with 56% of acute expenditure, and
significant proportions of expenditure on services for mentally
ill people being used by this age group.
Table 3.1.1(a)
HCHS EXPENDITURE BY SECTOR AND AGE GROUP, 2003-04
|
| | |
| | | |
| | £ million
|
Service sector | All births
| Age 0-4 | Age 5-15
| Age 16-44 | Age 45-64
| Age 65-74 | Age 75-84
| Age 85+ | TOTAL
|
|
Acute | 0 |
1,596 | 726
| 4,400 | 4,202
| 4,048 | 4,268
| 2,271 | 21,510
|
Geriatrics(1) | 0
| 11 | 26
| 157 | 219
| 398 | 850
| 685 | 2,346
|
Mental Health | 0
| 3 | 61
| 2,086 | 1,139
| 635 | 785
| 379 | 5,088
|
Other | 90 |
130 | 64
| 518 | 435
| 390 | 439
| 246 | 2,312
|
Other Community | 136
| 551 | 418
| 1,122 | 469
| 213 | 291
| 176 | 3,376
|
Learning Disability | 0
| 51 | 144
| 827 | 453
| 119 | 29
| 4 | 1,627
|
Maternity(2) | 1,327
| 0 | 0
| 0 | 0
| 0 | 0
| 0 | 1,327
|
HQ Admin(3) | 23
| 35 | 22
| 137 | 104
| 87 | 100
| 56 | 564
|
TOTAL | 1,577
| 2,376 | 1,461
| 9,245 | 7,021
| 5,890 | 6,763
| 3,818 | 38,151
|
|
Notes:
1. Expenditure on those under 65 occurs in the elderly sector
due to the allocation of general community patient care (which
includes district nursing) and chiropody to this sector. Both
of these initially provided services aimed at the elderly although
their role has now become more widespread across different age
groups.
2. In calculating expenditure by age it has been assumed that
all expenditure in Maternity is spent on the baby. No allocation
from the total has been allocated to the costs incurred by the
mother (eg hotel costs, complications, etc).
3. HQ administration has been allocated according to the expenditure
already known within the relevant age groups.
3.1.2 Could the Department update tables 3.1.2, showing
gross expenditure on Family Health Services? [3.1.2]
ANSWER
1. The information requested showing gross expenditure
on FHS in 2002-03 to 2004-05 is contained in Table 3.1.2.
Table 3.1.2
FAMILY HEALTH SERVICES GROSS EXPENDITURE 2002-03 to 2004-05
|
| | |
£ million |
| 2002-03
| 2003-04 | 2004-05(5)
|
|
Drugs Total (1) | 6,345
| 6,948 | 7,376
|
GMS Non-Discretionary | 2,068
| 1,903 | N/A(8)
|
GMS Discretionary | 840
| 781 | N/A(8)
|
Total GMS of which: | 2,908
| 2,684 | N/A(8)
|
PMS (discretionary)(2) | 1,152
| 1,939 | N/A(8)
|
GDS(4) | 1,709
| 1,767 | 1,670
|
PDS (discretionary)(2) (3) |
41 | 48
| 220 |
Dispensing Costs(6) | 918
| 959 | 953
|
GOS | 304
| 322 | 337
|
Total Other FHS | 4,124
| 5,035 | 3,180
|
Total FHS(7) | 13,377
| 14,667 | 10,556
|
|
Notes:
1. Drugs data source: Prescription Pricing Authority, England.
Figures include amounts paid to pharmacy and appliance contractors
by the PPA and amounts authorised for dispensing doctors and personal
administration in England, for financial years April to March.
The data do not cover costs for drugs prescribed in hospital but
dispensed in the community or private prescriptions.
2. Personal Medical Services (PMS) and Personal Dental Services
(PDS) schemes are Primary Care Act pilots designed to test locally-managed
approaches to the delivery of primary care. PDS and PMS expenditure
figures exclude any related capital investment by NHS trusts.
3. PDS expenditure figures are also gross of patient charge
income.
4. The gross GDS costs include the cost of refunds to patients
who incorrectly paid income charges.
5. Figures for 2004-05 are provisional or forecast outturn
figures as audited accounts data are still to be received.
6. Growth in dispensing costs is affected by the inclusion
of an increasing element (around £30 million in 2003-04)
in PMS discretionary expenditure.
7. All figures are resource figures.
8. Following new GP contract status from 1 April 2004, G/PMS
practice based data is not comparable with former GP only 2003-04
GMS figures.
3.1.3 Could the Department update tables 3.1.3, integrating
expenditure on HCHS and FHS? Could this integrated information
also be provided by Strategic Health Authority area? [3.1.3]
ANSWER
1. The information requested is contained in Table
3.1.3.
2. It is not possible to produce the HCHS programme budget
figures at strategic health authority area level.
Table 3.1.3
HCFHS PROGRAMME BUDGET EXPENDITURE 2003-04 PRICES (Real
Terms)
|
| | |
| | £ million
|
| 1999-2000
| 2000-01 | 2001-02
| 2002-03 | 2003-04
|
|
Acute IP |
| |
| |
|
Acute IP (Pats using a bed) including DC |
11,498 | 12,187
| 13,215 | 14,164
| 15,061 |
Acute OP |
| |
| |
|
Acute OP without Day Cases | 4,519
| 4,731 | 5,103
| 5,685 | 6,449
|
Obstetric IP | 885
| 922 | 800
| 879 | 918
|
Obstetric OP | 174
| 185 | 161
| 188 | 216
|
Geriatric IP | 1,343
| 1,428 | 1,397
| 1,290 | 1,223
|
Units for YD |
| |
| |
|
Geriatric & YD OP | 59
| 62 | 65
| 70 | 74
|
Learning Disability IP | 943
| 970 | 960
| 868 | 854
|
Learning Disability OP | 23
| 22 | 25
| 44 | 84
|
Mental Health IP | 2,257
| 2,513 | 2,601
| 2,767 | 2,857
|
Mental Health OP | 408
| 448 | 521
| 674 | 882
|
Non Psychiatric DP (general and acute) | 127
| 138 | 102
| 88 | 94
|
Learning Disability Day Pats ) | 68
| 68 | 53
| 60 | 49
|
Mental Illness DP | 362
| 369 | 339
| 354 | 316
|
Other Hospital | 1,116
| 1,712 | 1,661
| 1,608 | 1,137
|
TOTAL HOSPITAL | 23,781
| 25,755 | 27,003
| 28,738 | 30,214
|
Chiropody | 121
| 130 | 168
| 238 | 232
|
Family Planning | 77
| 84 | 105
| 139 | 129
|
Immunisation and surveillance | 359
| 384 | 256
| 224 | 224
|
Screening | 74
| 80 | 94
| 135 | 149
|
Professional advice and support | 373
| 380 | 174
| 113 | 138
|
General Patient Care | 1,149
| 1,124 | 830
| 764 | 722
|
Community MI Nursing | 740
| 845 | 862
| 937 | 1,033
|
Community MH Nursing | 534
| 561 | 515
| 541 | 640
|
Community Maternity | 230
| 209 | 301
| 167 | 193
|
Health Promotion | 91
| 95 | 44
| 89 | 107
|
Community Dental | 107
| 117 | 75
| 188 | 169
|
Services to GP's | 437
| 536 | 695
| 1,025 | 1,019
|
Other CHS | 606
| 700 | 691
| 1,248 | 1,441
|
TOTAL COMMUNITY | 4,900
| 5,246 | 4,810
| 5,808 | 6,197
|
Ambulances | 779
| 882 | 991
| 959 | 1,176
|
HQ Administration | 863
| 870 | 1,171
| 599 | 564
|
Joint Finance | 186
| 99 | 58
| 0 | 0
|
TOTAL HCHS | 30,509
| 32,851 | 34,033
| 36,104 | 38,151
|
Total GMS of which: | 3,719
| 3,761 | 3,347
| 2,908 | 2,684
|
Non-Discretionary | 2,732
| 2,737 | 2,435
| 2,068 | 1,903
|
Discretionary | 987
| 1,025 | 912
| 864 | 781
|
| | |
| | |
Total Other FHS of which: | 8,269
| 8,585 | 9,579
| 10,469 | 11,983
|
Drugs | 5,409
| 5,637 | 5,916
| 6,345 | 6,948
|
PMS (discretionary) (1) | |
| 635 | 1,152
| 1,939 |
GDS | 1,646 |
1,696 | 1,734
| 1,709 | 1,767
|
PDS (discretionary) (1) | |
| 38 | 41
| 48 |
Dispensing Costs | 900
| 933 | 933
| 919 | 959
|
GOS | 313 |
319 | 321
| 304 | 322
|
Total HCFHS | 42,496
| 45,197 | 46,959
| 49,481 | 52,818
|
|
Notes
1. Personal Medical Services (PMS) and Personal Dental
Services (PDS) schemes are Primary Care Act pilots designed to
test locally-managed approaches to the delivery of primary care.
PDS and PMS expenditure figures exclude any related capital investment
by NHS trusts; PDS expenditure figures are also gross of patient
charge income.
2. FHS figures are on a cash basis for the years 1998-99 to
2001-02, whereas from 2002-03 is a resource basis.
3.1.4 Could the Department give an account of the
funding streams for the General Medical Services budget and provide
a trend analysis? [3.1.4]
ANSWER
1. The two funding streams that make up the GMS budget
are the discretionary(cash-limited) and non-discretionary
(non cash-limited) budgets. Table 3.1.4 gives a trend analysis.
2. GMS GPs as a whole receive an average level of pay
per GP plus reimbursement of all expenses. Some of these expenses
are reimbursed directly in whole or part. Of these direct reimbursements,
some eg a proportion of staff, premises and IT costs are met from
discretionary spending; pay and remaining expenses are delivered
through non-discretionary spend. Actual expenditure each year
may deliver more or less than the profession's entitlement to
pay or expenses. This outcome can only be finalised when a firm
estimate of GMS expenses is available some two to three years
after year-end. Over or underpayments are then normally corrected
in subsequent years.
3. PCT, discretionary expenditure on reimbursing GMS
GPs' practice staff, premises and IM & T expenses is protected
by "GMS expenditure floors" which where introduced in
1998-99 and requires each PCT to deliver year-on-year increases
in GMS discretionary spend which are at least in line with GDP.
4. All elements of a PMS Pilot's allocation are funded
by transfers of money from the national GMS non-discretionary
budget and a PCT's unified budget.
5. Please note that GMS Discretionary and Non-Discretionary
data lines are taken from the latest Departmental report. All
spend up to 2001-02 is cash based. Due to changes in Government
accounting regulations, spend from 2002-03 and including 2003-04
onwards will be on a resource (I & E) basis.
Table 3.1.4
TREND ANALYSIS OF FUNDING STREAMS OF THE GMS BUDGET
|
£m | 1996-97
| 1997-98 | 1998-99
| 1999-2000 | 2000-01
| 2001-02 | 2002-03
| 2003-04 |
|
GMS Non-Discretionary | 2,073
| 2,198 | 2,243
| 2,451 | 2,510
| 2,288 | 2,068
| 1,903 |
GMS Discretionary | 800
| 835 | 878
| 897 | 940
| 857 | 840
| 781 |
PMS | N/A |
N/A | 37
| 84 | 174
| 569 | 1,152
| 1,939 |
Total GMS Including
PMS spend)
| 2,873 | 3,033
| 3,158 | 3,432
| 3,624 | 3,714
| 4,060 | 4,623
|
Percentage change total
year-on-year |
| 5.57% | 4.12%
| 8.68% | 5.59%
| 2.48% | 9.32%
| 13.87% |
|
Source: GMS discretionary and non-discretionary financial
returns from the former 90 Family Health Service Authorities (up
to 1995-96)
Notes:
1. Up to 2000-01 data is from the 95 England health authorities.
For 2001-02 PCTs were introduced but were only reporting on GMS
discretionary expenditure.
2. 2002-03 spend is based on combined 28 SHA Qtr 1-2 and Qtr
3-4 303 PCT spend. Owing to PCTs not having non-discretionary
banking rights until September 2003. 2003-04 spend is based on
304 audited PCT returns.
3. PMS Pilots funding covers wave 1-5B funding
4. PMS spend includes both local transfers from the Unified
budget discretionary amounts and GMS non-discretionary transfers.
5. Discretionary and non-discretionary GMS figures reflect
the growth over the period in GP and practice staff numbers, and
the rise in pay and expenses.
6. All figures up to 2001-02 are based on cash only spend.
Due to changes in accounting regulations figures for 2002-03 and
2003-04 are resource based.
3.2 Inflation
3.2.1 Could the Department give an explanation as
to the level of funding set aside for inflation in 2005-06? In
particular, can it give the average pay awards to each (subjective)
staff group and the inflation assumptions for non pay including
capital charges? [3.2.1]
ANSWER
1. NHS funding will rise by £6.7 billion in 2005-06
equivalent to 6.9% real terms growth. This funding will help the
NHS to meet healthcare pressures reflected in Local Delivery Plans.
However, it is for health economies, including strategic health
authorities in partnership with NHS trusts, primary care trusts
and local authorities to determine how best to use their funds
to meet national and local priorities for improving health and
modernising services; to provide greater choice and better access
for patients. The significant additional resources available will
aid them in this process.
2. In 2005-06, for the majority of NHS trusts, the scope
of Payment by Results (PbR) includes only elective care. The national
price tariff underpinning the system is adjusted annually for
unavoidable cost pressures. The uplift is based on the same assumptions
that underpin the revenue allocations to PCTs. The uplift includes:
the expected impact on pay, including Agenda for
Change and the consultant contract;
increases in the cost of drugs and other technology,
including increases arising from NICE appraisal and guidelines;
price inflation for goods and services; and
an overall 1.7% efficiency gain assumption.
3. For 2005-06 the total uplift for the national tariff
is 5.3%. The components of this are shown in Table 3.2.1(a).
Pay
4. Table 3.2.1(b) shows the settlements awarded
to those staff whose pay arrangements are determined by the Review
Bodies.
Table 3.2.1(b)
REVIEW BODY PAY SETTLEMENTS 2005
|
Group | Settlement
|
|
Nursing and Midwifery | 3.225%
|
Allied Health Professionals | 3.225%
|
Consultants on the new contract | 3.225%
|
Consultants on the old contract | 3.000%
|
Juniors | 3.000%
|
NCCGs | 3.225%
|
FHS doctors | 3.225%
|
|
Prices
5. The GDP deflator is used as a proxy for underlying
non-pay inflation in the NHS. This needs to be adjusted for assumptions
about the level of procurement and other efficiency savings that
the NHS is expected to make.
Capital Charges
6. At national level, the cost of capital charges paid
by the NHS is a circular flow of funds. The total of the capital
charges estimates made by NHS trusts forms part of the total cash
resources available through PCT allocations.
7. Indices for land, buildings and equipment are produced
for the Department each year by the Valuation Office, in order
that the NHS may calculate capital charges in advance of the financial
year.
8. The aggregate index used to uplift capital charges
from 2003-04 to 2004-05 levels was 4.8%.
Table 3.2.1(a)
NHS TARIFF UPLIFT 2005-06
|
2005-06 (over 2004-05 baseline) |
| |
|
| £m
| % |
Baseline | 46,162
| |
Increase in pay and prices |
| |
Pay Awards | 956
| 2.1 |
Pay Drift | 202
| 0.4 |
Pensions indexation | 154
| 0.3 |
Non-pay inflation (prices) | 257
| 0.6 |
Clinical Negligence Costs | 58
| 0.1 |
Secondary care drugs (price) | 199
| 0.4 |
Capital Charges | 56
| 0.1 |
PFI | 49 |
0.1 |
Gross pay and price increase |
1,931 | 4.2
|
Efficiency @ 1.7% | -785
| -1.7 |
Net pay and price increase | 1,146
| 2.5 |
Reform and quality |
| |
Junior Doctors Contract | 0
| 0.0 |
Consultant Contract | 200
| 0.4 |
Agenda for Change | 460
| 1.0 |
Working time directive | 0
| 0.0 |
Estimates Cost of NICE appraisals | 96
| 0.2 |
Estimates Cost of NICE guidelines | 231
| 0.5 |
Investment in new capital | 184
| 0.4 |
Total reform and quality | 1,172
| 2.5 |
Technical adjustments |
| |
Capital charges revaluation | 134
| 0.3 |
Total technical adjustments | 134
| 0.3 |
|
| Overall
| 5.3 |
|
3.2.2 Could the Department please update the information
provided in response to last year's questionnaire in relation
to the components of the health specific inflation indices for
revenue spending on HCHS and Family Health Services respectively,
together with capital spending on HCHS? The tables for the HCHS
should show separate inflation indices for Review Body staff and
non-Review Body staff pay, and whatever other breakdowns of staff
are available. [3.2.2]
ANSWER
HCHS pay and prices inflation
Prices
1. Increases in the cost of goods and services within
the Hospital and Community Health Service (ie the non-pay components)
of inflation are measured by the Health Service Cost Index (HSCI).
The HSCI weights together price increases for a broad range of
items used by the health servicefor example, drugs, medical
equipment, fuel, telephone chargesusing weights derived
from expenditure on these various goods and services reported
in financial returns.
Pay
Table 3.2.2(a)
INFLATION FOR SPECIFIC ITEMS OF HCHS REVENUE EXPENDITURE
|
| 2002-03
| 2003-04 | 2004-05
|
|
| %
| % | %
|
Total staff pay | 5.0
| 7.3 | (2) 5.9
|
Review Body staff | 5.1
| 8.3 | (2) 5.8
|
Non-Review Body staff | 4.8
| 4.1 | (2) 6.2
|
Prices | (1) 1.0
| (1) 1.5 | 1.0
|
HCHS Total | (1) 3.5
| (1) 5.2 | (2) 4.1
|
|
Notes
1. Prices and total HCHS inflation for 2002-03 and 2003-04
have been updated following a validation exercise.
2. Pay inflation for 2004-05 have been estimated by considering
pay pressures in 2004-05 (eg paybill increase and pay reform)
from the baseline year of 2003-04. These figures will be updated
when actual paybill figures become available.
FHS Inflation
2. The components of the Family Health Service (FHS)
inflation index are set out in Table 3.2.2(b). For General
Medical and Personal Medical Services (GMS/PMS) and General Dental
and Personal Dental Services (GDS/PDS), service specific inflation
is calculated as the increase year on year in the average cost
per practitioner. For both services, the changes in unit costs
include volume and quality effects (eg increase in practice staff
numbers or the provision of a changing range of services) as well
as pure price effects. For the Pharmaceutical Service (PhS) and
General Ophthalmic Service (GOS), service inflation is assumed
equal to movements in the GDP deflator.
3. Due to the increasing significance of Personal Medical
and Dental Services as elements of primary care, the medical and
dental indices have been recalculated to combine GMS and PMS expenditure,
and GDS and PDS expenditure. This, together with some retrospective
revisions to the GDP deflator, will have altered some of the inflation
factors compared to previous versions of the index. The reforms
undertaken in the GMS, and planned in the GDS, including the growth
in PMS and PDS services and the transition from non discretionary
services to local commissioning by PCTs, mean the present structure
of the FHS inflation index may need to be reviewed.
Table 3.2.2(b)
COMPONENTS OF THE FHS INFLATION INDEX
|
| 2001-02
| 2002-03 | 2003-04
|
|
| %
| % | %
|
GMS/PMS | 1.0
| 5.2 | (1) 9.7
|
GDS/PDS | 2.8
| 4.0 | 1.8
|
PhS | 2.5 |
3.2 | 2.6
|
GOS | 2.5 |
3.2 | 2.6
|
FHS Total | 2.1
| 3.9 | 4.6
|
|
Notes
1. The comparatively high GMS/PMS inflation figure for
2003-04 is due to a significant increase in expenditure on PMS
between 2002-03 and 2003-04.
4. For 2003-04 to 2005-06, an uplift for unavoidable
cost pressure on the Payment by Results national tariff has also
been calculated. The tariff includes such areas as pay, prices
and capital charges. For 2004-05 the national tariff has been
calculated to be 8.7%.
5. The uplift includes:
the expected impact from pay and workforce reform
through Agenda for Change and the consultant contract;
increases in the cost of drugs and other technology,
including increases arising from NICE appraisals and guidance;
price inflation for goods and services; and
an overall 1.7% efficiency gain assumption.
3.2.3 Could the Department please update the information
provided in response to last year's questionnaire in relation
to the increases in expenditure on the NHS in cash terms, real
terms (GDP deflator) and real terms (NHS deflator)? [3.2.3]
ANSWER
1. The information requested is given in Table 3.2.3.
2. Between 1993-94 and 2003-04, the latest year for which
NHS specific indices are available, net NHS expenditure has increased
by:
59.6% in real terms adjusted by the GDP deflator;
and
42.0% after accounting for NHS specific inflation.
3. Between 2003-04 and 2007-08, net NHS resources increase
by:
60.6% in cash terms; and
41.8% in real terms adjusted by the GDP deflator.
Table 3.2.3
CHANGE IN NET NHS EXPENDITURE 1993-94 TO 2007-08
|
| | Net NHS
expenditure(3)
| Percentage
Change
| Real terms
change(1)
| Change after adjusting
for NHS specific
inflation(2)
|
| | £m
| % | %
| % |
|
Cash |
1993-94 | Outturn
| 28,942 |
| |
|
1994-95 | Outturn
| 30,590 | 5.7
| 4.1 | 3.0
|
1995-96 | Outturn
| 31,985 | 4.6
| 1.7 | 0.8
|
1996-97 | Outturn
| 32,997 | 3.2
| -0.4 | 0.3
|
1997-98 | Outturn
| 34,664 | 5.1
| 2.0 | 2.9
|
1998-99 | Outturn
| 36,608 | 5.6
| 2.9 | 1.6
|
1999-2000 | Outturn
| 39,881 | 8.9
| 6.8 | 4.1
|
Stage 1 Resource Basis |
1999-2000 | Outturn
| 40,201 |
| |
|
2000-01 | Outturn
| 43,932 | 9.3
| 7.9 | 5.0
|
2001-02 | Outturn
| 49,021 | 11.6
| 8.9 | 6.5
|
2002-03 | Outturn
| 53,850 | 9.9
| 6.5 | 6.1
|
Stage 2 Resource Basis |
2002-03 | Estimated outturn
| 55,724 |
| |
|
2003-04(4) | Plan
| 63,001 | 13.1
| 10.2 | 8.0
|
2004-05 | Plan
| 69,710 | 10.6
| 8.4 | |
2005-06 | Plan
| 76,388 | 9.6
| 6.9 | |
2006-07 | Plan
| 84,324 | 10.4
| 7.5 | |
2007-08 | Plan
| 92,643 | 9.9
| 7.0 | |
|
Notes
1. Change after adjusting for the GDP deflator (30 June
2005).
2. NHS specific inflation index is available of the period
up to 2003-04.
3. NHS Expenditure Figures for the period 1999-2000 to 2007-08
are consitent with Table 2.2.1.
4. NHS expenditure figures for 2002-03 to 2007-08 have been
adjusted for classification changes by HMT. As a result, growth
in NHS expenditure in 2003-04 is distorted. Once these are adjusted
for, real terms growth in NHS expenditure in 2003-04 is 7.3%.
3.2.4 Could the Department please update the information
provided in response to last year's questionnaire in relation
to the construction of the NHS inflation index from main sub-indices
of pay and other factor costs since 1992, and comment on the assumptions
underlying this construct? Would the Department provide the weights
used for each sub-index, for each year? [3.2.4]
ANSWER
1. The NHS inflation is constructed using 5 sub-indices.
These are listed below and shown in Table 3.2.4(a).
HCHS pay index: This measures the change
in average pay-bill per head of those employed within the HCHS;
HCHS price inflation: This measures the
change in the price of goods and services supplied to the HCHS,
it is measured by the Health Service Cost Index;
HCHS Capital Inflation Index: This reflects
the changes in prices experienced in HCHS capital projects and
is calculated using a mixture of the construction price index
and the GDP deflator;
FHS Index: This is produced using different
assumptions for each of the main groups. For general medical services
and general dental services, inflation is calculated as the increase
in the average cost per practitioner. For both services, the change
in unit costs includes volume and quality effects as well as pure
price effects. For pharmaceutical services and general ophthalmic
services, service inflation is assumed equal to movements in the
GDP deflator;
The "other" Index: This comprises
of the revenue and capital expenditure on Central Health Miscellaneous
Services (CHMS) and Departmental Administration (including the
Medicines Control Agency and NHS Estates). The GDP deflator is
used in the absence of service specific deflators.
2. The weights attached to each of the elements for each
of the years are shown in Table 3.2.4(b).
3. The weights attached to each of the elements are similar
in magnitude to last year, however, they have changed considerably
since 2001-02. This is due to an increase in the number of PCTs
from 164 to 304. PCTs have progressively taken over the commissioning
of healthcare from health authorities but also the provision of
some services from NHS trusts. The revenue expenditure for the
provider function cannot be accurately eliminated from the total
revenue expenditure hence year on year increases in total revenue
expenditure are not comparable.
4. Change in weights (specifically FHS and HCHS) from
2003-04 is due to a shift in responsibility of healthcare to PCTs.
Table 3.2.4(a)
NHS INFLATION SUB-INDICES
|
Year | HCHS
| HCHS | HCHS
| FHS | Other
| NHS |
|
| Pay
| Prices | Capital
| | | total
|
1992-93 | 100.0
| 100.0 | 100.0
| 100.0 | 100.0
| 100.0 |
1993-94 | 104.2
| 101.4 | 104.4
| 100.6 | 102.5
| 102.7 |
1994-95 | 107.7
| 102.3 | 112.9
| 102.9 | 103.8
| 105.4 |
1995-96 | 112.5
| 105.6 | 118.0
| 105.5 | 106.8
| 109.3 |
1996-97 | 116.2
| 107.2 | 119.7
| 109.0 | 110.2
| 112.4 |
1997-98 | 119.1
| 107.6 | 124.7
| 112.2 | 113.6
| 114.8 |
1998-99 | 124.9
| 110.3 | 128.5
| 115.6 | 116.7
| 119.3 |
1999-2000 | 133.5
| 111.6 | 132.1
| 120.3 | 119.5
| 124.8 |
2000-01 | 142.7
| 111.2 | 139.7
| 123.6 | 122.2
| 129.9 |
2001-02 | 154.5
| 111.3 | 148.8
| 126.2 | 125.3
| 136.1 |
2002-03 | 162.3
| 112.8 | 155.4
| 130.1 | 129.5
| 140.8 |
2003-04 | 174.2
| 113.9 | 149.3
| 136.1 | 133.2
| 147.5 |
|
Table 3.2.4(b)
NHS INFLATION WEIGHTS
|
Year | HCHS
| HCHS | HCHS
| FHS | Other
| NHS |
|
| Pay
| Prices | Capital
| | | total
|
1992-93 | 49%
| 21% | 6%
| 21% | 3%
| 100% |
1993-94 | 49%
| 21% | 5%
| 22% | 3%
| 100% |
1994-95 | 49%
| 21% | 6%
| 22% | 3%
| 100% |
1995-96 | 49%
| 21% | 5%
| 22% | 3%
| 100% |
1996-97 | 50%
| 21% | 4%
| 23% | 2%
| 100% |
1997-98 | 47%
| 25% | 3%
| 23% | 2%
| 100% |
1998-99 | 47%
| 25% | 3%
| 22% | 2%
| 100% |
1999-2000 | 46%
| 24% | 3%
| 24% | 2%
| 100% |
2000-01 | 46%
| 22% | 4%
| 26% | 2%
| 100% |
2001-02 | 47%
| 21% | 4%
| 26% | 2%
| 100% |
2002-03 | 48%
| 32% | 4%
| 14% | 2%
| 100% |
2003-04 | 45%
| 30% | 4%
| 18% | 2%
| 100% |
|
3.3 Hospital and Community Health Services Allocations
and Distance from Targets
3.3.1 Could the Department please update the information
provided in table 3.3.1 in response to last year's questionnaire
on expenditure covering HCHS and FHS for each SHA area together
with estimates of distances from target needs based expenditure?
[ 3.3.1]
ANSWER
1. The information requested is provided in Table
3.3.1.
2. Table 3.3.1 has been updated to show the 2006-07 and
2007-08 revenue allocations to PCTs and distances from target
at SHA level. The 2003-06 and 2006-08 revenue allocations cover
hospital and community health services (HCHS), prescribing (the
drugs bill), general medical services discretionary (general practice
infrastructure) and HIV/AIDS. As a result of implementing the
new GMS contract, the 2006-07 and 2007-08 revenue allocations
also cover primary medical services.
3. The 2006-07 and 2007-08 revenue allocations represent
£135 billion investment in the NHS, £64 billion to primary
care trusts (PCTs) in 2006-07 and £70 billion in 2007-08.
Over the two years covered by this allocation PCTs will receive
an average increase of 19.5%.
|