Select Committee on International Development Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1 - 19)

TUESDAY 22 NOVEMBER 2005

MS SANDRA BLACK, DR MANDEEP DHALIWAL, DR TOM ELLMAN AND MR BEN PLUMLEY

  Q1  Hugh Bayley: May I thank the witnesses for attending. We have an hour with you before we move on to talk to some DFID officials. I will ask my colleagues to pose their questions briefly and you to answer succinctly. We do not necessarily want an answer from each of you. You may want to confer amongst yourselves as to who would best answer each question but of course if more than one of you wishes to answer, you are welcome to do so. Perhaps I can set the ball rolling with a broad question? We know that Senegal and Uganda have better prevalence rates than many other parts of Africa, but it is not clear why that is. Have global efforts to control the epidemic yet identified what actually works and what implications does this have for our prospects of achieving the Millennium Development Goals?

  Mr Plumley: Perhaps it would be appropriate for UNAIDS[1] to start with that. We have looked very closely at the very limited success stories that we have around the world. Senegal and Uganda are interesting, Senegal because it has managed to maintain rates of infection extremely low in a region in western Africa that is not seeing the same kind of rates of infection as one sees perhaps in eastern and southern Africa. Its political leadership combined with a real commitment to community mobilisation and, even in countries with low infection rates, a commitment to provide treatment at an early stage is crucial because that encourages people to come in and access services, either for prevention or indeed, if they are positive, for treatment. With Uganda, again there has been a political commitment over the long term, a real commitment to prevention in the late Eighties and early Nineties, using the ABC approach—abstinence, behaviour change and condoms—and that is important, a comprehensive prevention approach. I would just add that we are seeing some more success stories coming through. I would like to draw your attention to Kenya, just next door to Uganda, where the figures that we released yesterday are showing that, despite perhaps the attrition of people unfortunately infected some five to 10 years ago now dying, we are nonetheless seeing rates of infection going down in sexually active young adults and clearly the behaviour change message is having an impact there.

  Ms Black: In adding to what Ben has already said, it is important to recognise that there is a growing body of empirical evidence on what works. WHO[2] very much tries to support public policy related to the evidence, especially on the prevention side because prevention strategies have been in place for a number of years now. It is very important to recognise that that evidence exists and also to advocate for member states and countries that have various types of epidemics that they use the evidence that has been developed to inform their national response. On the treatment side, I think what we are beginning to learn is that there are particular approaches that work better than other approaches, but I would also indicate that we are very much in a learning by doing phase. That is appropriate at this stage of the epidemic when we look at treatment in particular. I will not respond expressly to that now but I think that there are optimum models for scaling up access to prevention and treatment that can be promoted with member states, and it is important that we encourage them to do that.

  Q2  Hugh Bayley: Is there any evidence that there is inadequate resource for prevention campaigns because it is being sucked out into either treating opportunistic infections, treating the virus itself or going into counselling and testing programmes? Is sufficient money available for prevention?

  Ms Black: You have a number of questions there, Chairman. You are asking if the human resources are available and is there money available? The two are contingent on each other but not necessarily dependent on each other. Human resources to respond to the epidemic are different in various developing countries. What we are trying to promote at WHO is to look at models that respond to the human resource capacity in that country, especially models that look at engaging the community as much as possible. That is about having a decentralised approach to service delivery and looking at task shifting amongst health cadres. I have to indicate that even though the body of evidence for those types of interventions for HIV and AIDS are relatively new, there is a large body of empirical evidence that demonstrates close to client care is the most efficient and effective way to provide sustained health services. I would suggest that what we are promoting for HIV already builds on an existing body of evidence. What we are trying to do is promote service delivery models that provide equality of care that we can guarantee to communities and to member states that is going to be sustained in the long term.

  Mr Plumley: I would endorse that but add that far from diverting funding from prevention, treatment has an incredible power to galvanise an increase in funding across the board and, of course, prevention and treatment work together. It is often posed as a risk. As far as I am aware, there is no evidence that it has happened, and it is much more an argument for nay-sayers on treatment than it is a reality. Certainly, the interest that has developed around HIV in the last few years has been very much driven by the treatment agenda. We have to make sure that that treatment agenda in no way diverts funding from prevention but rather increases interest around prevention as well.

  Hugh Bayley: We may return to the dichotomy between prevention and treatment later, but let us stay with treatment at present.

  Q3  John Battle: In September 2003, the WHO launched the "3 by 5" initiative, three million people to get onto anti-retroviral treatment by 2005. In that time, only 600,000 have been added into the treatment. That leaves a gap of two million. The latest estimate shows 6.5 million in need of treatment. I wonder what we have learnt from that target that was set. From the experience of our visits, sometimes the argument a few years ago was about the cost of anti-retrovirals, but what happens if there are no clinics to deliver them, so we are getting the drugs there but without the back-up? I wonder what we have learnt from that whole experience of setting the target, getting the drugs but not being able to deliver them?

  Ms Black: That is a great question. The "3 by 5" strategy was initiated by UNAIDS and WHO and it was really to mobilise a movement around treatment, and there was the acknowledgment that there was a public health emergency, that many people required treatment and had no access to treatment. This was an initiative to encourage member states to launch national treatment programmes in particular. When "3 by 5" was started, three member states in the highly endemic and highly burdened countries had treatment plans. Today over 40 countries have plans. There were four countries that had treatment targets. Today over 40 countries have treatment targets; 14 of those countries have indeed met their targets. It is really important to recognise two things: these are not WHO or UNAIDS gains but rather you have to applaud what those member states have done to be able to put programmes into place. These are countries with profound human capacity issues, health systems issues, drug procurement and supply chain management issues, all of these are huge issues. They have been able to demonstrate that it is possible, with the support of the donor community, technical agencies and the UN community, but also having utilised their resources in the country, to put these plans in place. We have learnt a lot of lessons from "3 by 5". We have also learnt where the huge bottlenecks are. I think, as we move forward after "3 by 5", those are the lessons that we are going to have to really review and decide on the best way to give advice and guidance to member countries.

  Dr Dhaliwal: One of the most important things that we have seen in the programmes in the 20 developing countries where we work is the value of the tremendous global leadership demonstrated by UNAIDS, WHO and other stakeholders accompanied by in-country technical support which really mobilised action at community level. The importance of sustained global leadership is about inspiring and mobilising countries to set their targets a little more ambitiously than perhaps they would have done. I would like to offer the example of India, which has a domestic ARV[3] production industry which supplies a lot of Africa, which had no national treatment programme until the "3 by 5" initiative, and the leadership that it provided in helping them set a treatment target, which was not initially very ambitious but they are revising these targets upwards in the next phase of their national AIDS control programme. Focusing on implementation is very important but global leadership, predictable, sustained resources and technical assistance to support in country initiatives are also critical.

  Mr Plumley: From our perspective, the big success of "3 by 5", the really important thing about it, was proof of concept, proving that you could bring combination therapy that had been proven in rich industrialised countries and make it work in resource-poor settings. A lot of lessons were learnt and there are a lot of gaps we have to face, not least the question, moving forward, of ensuring we have the manufacturing capacity, which will mean a mobilisation perhaps of both generics and brand names in a way that has not been done before. It also means that we have to deal with the kind of health system problems that have been encountered. As you rightly said, Mr Battle, it is a question of when you do not have clinics, how do you provide therapy in these settings. As we move into the next stage, we are looking at working with countries to find really ambitious country-led targets that provide broad coverage for their citizens who need treatment.

  Q4  John Battle: I am encouraged to hear about the country-led targets, but I am not convinced that, whatever "global leadership" might mean, they have got the message. At the G8 they reiterated a "3 by 5" to the power of 10 by saying that all those who needed access would have it by the year 2010, I think it was, which would effectively mean 10 times as many people getting the treatment in four years. So the global target is there but do they understand the country-by-country approach in detail? Is that message getting through, so that there is more focus perhaps on a county-by-country approach rather than just setting these numerous global targets that are never going to be reached?

  Mr Plumley: This is precisely what we are working on at the moment. Following on from the G8, the members of the General Assembly at the World Summit endorsed a commitment to provide universal access for prevention, care and treatment close to 2010. But the whole point here is not to set global targets now but to work with countries on really building their commitment and leadership. It does come back to the resources as well. As much as the donor community needs to sustain, and indeed expand, its commitment, we must be looking at countries themselves making significant commitments.

  Dr Dhaliwal: There is evidence of these commitments being taken up in some of the hardest hit countries. At a recent meeting of the African Union Health Ministers in Botswana in October, the health ministers themselves endorsed the call for universal access to treatment, prevention and care. I think the time line might have been slightly different but there is a clear commitment. I think there is a call from countries with a need for technical and financial support. What we have to provide at this level is sustained, predictable funding along with technical and policy support. We applaud the leadership of the British Government but the work is not over; it has just begun. I think we have to use our special relationship with the United States Government and the Canadian Government and those of the other countries of the G8 and ask them to increase their development financing.

  Q5  Mr Hunt: May I echo the comments of my colleague, John Battle? The concern about the "3 by 5" target is that although we have made significant progress, still two million people who should have been on ARVs are not on ARVs or will not be by the end of this year. We now have a new, even more ambitious target. In order to give that target credibility, do you not think, Ms Black and Mr Plumley, that WHO and UNAIDS need to commit to intermediate targets so that we do not just have as close as possible to universal access by 2010 but we actually have a fixed, agreed target for the number of people who will be on ARVs by the end of 2006/07/08/09 so that then the world community can scrutinise whether or not we are making progress towards this target?

  Ms Black: As Mr Plumley has indicated, the intent, as we move forward to achieving universal access, is to encourage countries to set their own targets. Those may be progressive targets, as you have indicated. It will be important that they have guiding principles for setting those targets, guiding principles that guarantee equity and principles that look to see that the targets are responsive to the epidemiological situation in their country. If you look at the trajectory for scaling up services, what we have seen under "3 by 5" is not unusual. You tend to get a curve that goes very much like this and then it goes like this. We are still at the lower end of this trajectory. I do not think any of us who have worked in this business for a long time are surprised that that is where we are. We need to work with countries to provide them with the technical support and the funding capacity that they need to continue on that trajectory. Countries may decide to meet progressive targets and if they do, we will try to promote the essential services that you need to have in place. You need to have prevention and mother-to-child programmes in place. It is unconscionable that while in the developed world you have virtually no transmission from positive mothers to their children, that is far from the case in the developing world. There are realistic, progressive targets that we can put in place but there are some things that are not negotiable. If we want to ensure equity and human rights, as we scale up universal access, then the global community has an imperative, regardless of whether you are a donor, a technical agency or a UN agency, to promote this type of target setting with the countries.

  Q6  Mr Hunt: Just cutting through that, I think what you are really saying is: no, you do not think that WHO should be setting intermediate targets. You think it may be up to countries to set intermediate targets, but you do not think that WHO should. Is that what you are saying?

  Ms Black: That is exactly what I am saying. The global community has set targets. Before, we had the Millennium Development Goals by 2010. There have been so many global targets. The ownership and the accountability for what a country does, needs to reside at the country level. That is not to say that they do not need the support of the global community to enable that to happen, but they need to be able to be responsive to the situation that they have at hand.

  Q7  Mr Hunt: What was the point of setting a target at the G8 summit in Gleneagles for 2010 if you are not prepared to commit to intermediate targets to achieve that target for 2010?

  Mr Plumley: I think the point with universal access is that we are explicitly moving away from setting a global target and what we are looking at now is really strengthening capacity in countries. I am being explicit that universal access will not globally say: it is aimed that X million people will be in treatment by 2010 or take a step-wise approach. What we are looking at with the universal access work is to put in dedicated resources to help countries strengthen their own programmes on prevention, treatment and care, and that they themselves will set ambitious coverage targets, and that then the international community should, as it were, rally behind those. I am quite certain that at country level that there will be some interim targets that they will set. All of this work is going on right now. We will report back at the time of the UN General Assembly high level session on AIDS in June next year, when we will be in a position to see how these country plans have been developed and what kind of support is needed to do them. As Sandra says, we are being very explicit that this is not the time for global targets; it is really time to support the scaling up.

  Dr Ellman: May I add that it may not be a question of defining targets year-on-year but it is certainly a question of a transparent monitoring of the process so that year-on-year we are aware of how many people are being treated and whether they are getting access to quality treatment. There is a very heavy emphasis in the discussion, around getting many people on treatment. Many of our field programmes are in weak states where they do not necessarily have governments that are going to have the capacity to build the programmes without external support, particularly technical support and civil society. The feeling is that in many of these it is one step forward and almost one step back. There is plenty of evidence that there is a global commitment to putting treatment forward and to putting prevention back on the map, but so much is going on in terms of access to medicines since 2005. The TRIPS[4] safeguards are no longer there to ensure that the cheap drugs that most people in developing countries currently have will still be available. There is a huge question mark around second-line drugs. There is evidence of a lack of commitment around some of the key prevention messages, particularly from the United States who are rarely mentioned in official documents, from DFID and others, as the culprit that they are in these things. One of the key questions that was mentioned earlier was around bringing care to the level of the community: we need radical measures to ensure that treatment is scaled up around Africa. Doctors are not going to be at the heart of prescribing anti-retroviral drugs. So far, there is very little evidence of leadership on really pushing forward an agenda that is not going to rely on the current status quo around delivery of care, which is based around the Western medicalised model. That is not to say that we should downgrade doctors and nurses. We need more and they need to be better paid, but we need new systems.

  Q8  Mr Singh: I was very interested in your responses to targets. I would like to ask you, in this approach that you have been outlining to us, whether you are not in conflict with the American position, with the US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), which is entirely reliant on targets and delivery at that level? How can we have a co-ordinated international approach to these issues if the US is left out of that, or if the US does not participate?

  Dr Dhaliwal: I think targets are essential. What has been really important about the targets around "3 by 5" and the universal access target is the sense of urgency and accountability that it brings at the global and at the country level. I think there absolutely needs to be a harmonised response from donors and other actors to this. Targets at the country level and at the global level are of two types: you have the political, aspirational targets; but then you also have the operational, implementation-level targets, which will be month-by-month roll out of X number of people on treatment, X clinics strengthened, X health workers trained and then X medicines, diagnostics, prevention and support services delivered. I think it is important that we do not step away from these targets and the political pressure that they bring at the global and at the country level. The measure of urgency and accountability that these bring is critical.

  Mr Plumley: To answer your question explicitly, the US are part of the universal access work.

  Q9  John Barrett: One of the submissions we received was from Professor Alan Whiteside[5], Director of Health Economics in the Research Division of the University of KwaZulu-Natal. While he agreed that prevention must remain a priority, he said that he was troubled by the global emphasis on ARVs and, "While I believe providing therapy is crucial, it seems the response is becoming too simple . . . ." The basis of his concern is this: he is saying that concentrating on the ARVs is "at best naïve and at worst damaging" because he is arguing that there has been too much emphasis on anti-retrovirals and not enough emphasis on prevention. Each of you has mentioned prevention as being the other side of the coin to treatment. Do you think there has been too much emphasis on treatment and not enough emphasis on prevention as a target?

  Dr Dhaliwal: Having worked on the epidemic for 20 years now, I think what we see now is a real paradigm shift. You have heard us all talk about treatment and prevention today for a particular reason. I think "3 by 5" in particular and the universal access commitment at Gleneagles and then at the UN World Summit in New York have resulted a real shift in our thinking. Professor Whiteside probably would agree that we now must be talking, as we move ahead, about treatment, prevention and strengthening of health systems as a virtuous cycle. That is the only way we will really move ahead to ensure universal access. One really important piece of that is free access to treatment at the point of service delivery and stigma reduction because those are two big barriers that need to be addressed if we are going to move forward to universal access.

  Ms Black: What you hear from Professor Whiteside is not new, and I have read the body of the literature that was presented to this panel. This is a common theme that emerges. The global community was lagging very far behind in responding to treatment needs generally. In some ways, what we have witnessed is a large upsurge and response to providing treatment when, quite frankly, it should have been initiated much sooner in the epidemic. Did we see a disproportionate response to treatment? Yes, we did, but we should have because we were really far behind where we should have been at that point in the epidemic. However, I do think what has happened is that the focus on treatment and the number of dollars of funding not only for treatment but for the epidemic now provide wonderful opportunities to do both prevention and treatment. I agree with Mandeep's comments: it is not one or the other; it is all of it. We do not have any choice but to do all of it. Many of you will have seen the epidemic report that was launched yesterday.[6] That will continue to get worse if we do not do both.

  Q10  Hugh Bayley: To follow up John's question, I think what I am hearing is a medicalisation of the epidemic. If I was a cynic, I would say that the drug companies, the pharmaceutical companies, make big money out of the treatment programmes and, yes, you keep paying lip service to prevention, but each new infection is somebody who is going to die from this disease. I have not heard one of you talking about scaling up new initiatives on prevention programmes and research to find out what prevention strategies work. You do preface all your comments by saying, "Well, these are two sides of the same coin but let us talk about treatment, about meeting targets, and getting medication to people". I am not against medication but I would be horrified if, for each death, prevention programmes are not absolutely fully funded. If you had to make a choice between fully-funded prevention and fully-funded treatment, surely you must fully fund prevention, even though you would still be using 80% of the money on treatment?

  Mr Plumley: It really will depend where your priorities are. I want to be quite clear that from UNAIDS' perspective, prevention most certainly is a priority. At our board this year, we got through, and I have to thank the support of the UK for this, a really ground-breaking prevention policy. That is why since then we have really been pushing prevention as the central response. I would also say that universal access work is very explicitly focused on scaling up prevention. We have the body of evidence of what works on prevention. There is no question about that. There can be no debate about the effectiveness of ABC plus, if you like. The question is about scaling up. That is why the universal access work is so critical and I really want to stand behind it, because it is now the time really to put prevention to the fore. That is why in the report yesterday there was a whole section on prevention and what needs to be done. The other point is that in mobilising communities that are heavily hit by HIV, you have got to have both: you have got to have things to offer people that are living with HIV to encourage communities to come forward.

  Dr Ellman: I find it difficult to understand how we can cost prevention without including the costs of treatment. It is very easy to say that we could save far more lives by spending this amount of money on awareness-raising, education and condoms. I think the figure of £4.5 billion is quoted as an amount that could save X number of lives. Without the pull of treatment, as you were saying, particularly in the heavily affected settings, to engage people, to offer people who test something, there is really not much evidence that prevention on its own will work. It is pointless to describe a prevention target and a prevention agenda without engaging treatment with it. Therefore, I accept that we have been focusing our discussion on treatment, but from my side that is firmly with an understanding and a genuine belief that treatment is part of prevention.

  Q11  Hugh Bayley: Is that so even though Uganda reduced prevalence rates from 20 something per cent to 8% before anti-retrovirals were available?

  Dr Ellman: There are many discussions, reasons and arguments about the Uganda experience, and also about the fragility of the gains that have been made in these countries. There is an opportunity now to consolidate and ensure that these gains were not flashes in the pan that disappear over the next 10 years. There is very real reason to worry about the next 10 years, even in Uganda.

  Dr Dhaliwal: The UNAIDS' epidemiology report cites very clearly that in countries with mature, generalised epidemics of a certain age where prevalence data goes down, often that can be due to an equal number of new infections and large numbers of people dying. I think we need to scrutinise drops in prevalence and gains very carefully.

  Q12  Hugh Bayley: Prevalence, by definition, must be people dying because they are no longer there to be prevalent.

  Dr Dhaliwal: Absolutely.

  Q13  Richard Burden: In relation to prevention, obviously I am pleased that in response to questions you have said that you see that as a priority alongside treatment, but in terms of delivery of prevention programmes, and particularly the ABC plus approach, how far do you see that being affected or skewed by emphasis from some quarters on one of those letters to the exclusion of the other two letters? I am thinking in terms of PEPFAR; 7% of total PEPFAR funding is for abstinence-only prevention messages.

  Dr Dhaliwal: One of the biggest challenges we have seen in our prevention programmes has been the retreat from evidence-based prevention by the United States, and I think we have to name it, (we always say "some donors" but it is the United States) that is pushing back on evidence-based prevention. We heard from Mr Plumley that we have solid evidence on what works in prevention. An over-emphasis on one of the letters of ABC is not evidence-based prevention. I think we need to do much more, given our Government's special relationship with the United States, to ensure that major donors, such as PEPFAR, are supporting evidence-based prevention.

  Mr Plumley: I would like to be clear that the United States signed off on this HIV prevention policy. We will share it with the Committee afterwards.[7] It was clear that the US signed off on it.

  Dr Dhaliwal: Translating policy into action at global, national and community levels is a big challenge. That is also one of the challenges that we see with the fantastic HIV treatment and HIV policies of the British Government. What their global policies translate to at country and community levels is often something very different. I think it is the same with PEPFAR. They may at the global level sign a fantastically progressive UNAIDS prevention policy statement but how that translates into country level programming is often a very different story. At the global level, we have to be much more proactive and not complacent about our wonderful global political successes around HIV, by ensuring that they translate into similar successes at the country and community levels.

  Q14  Mr Singh: Professor Tony Barnett[8] says about the successes in Uganda and Senegal that we do not really understand what has happened there. You seem to be agreeing with him. He made a very bold statement that by and large prevention has failed. How do you react to that statement?

  Mr Plumley: I have reacted to say that prevention has not failed. Again, Tony Barnett's work with Alan Whiteside is very well known. We have done reviews of the experience of Uganda and Senegal, and not restricted to them, in terms of behaviour change programmes. We believe there is solid evidence to show that sustained programmes that are constantly renewed, that meet the needs of the targets of the groups that they are working with, do have an effect. We are also seeing that in countries like Kenya, as I mentioned. I come back to it: I think there is a very solid body of evidence in favour of prevention. It is not about medicalising the response to the epidemic; it is about mobilising all sections. One of the really key and exciting things that has happened in a number of countries has been the mobilisation not only of different government ministries—education is one that immediately comes to mind—but the mobilisation of other sectors, whether it be faith-based communities or the business sector. We see education awareness programmes happening in all sorts of innovative places. This is the central way in which we move the prevention agenda.

  Ms Black: We have been very much focusing on prevention as the African issue, but if you look at yesterday's report, many of the new and emerging epidemics are related to injection drug use. The prevention strategies are very well documented. We know what works, but it is more than having available treatment programmes in place; it is having legislative and regulatory capacity at the country level to respond to those types of epidemic. Of course, the concern is that there are a number of countries that do not have legislative and regulatory practices in place that enable a robust response to an injection epidemic. They tend to be punitive and they tend to be very focused on the crime rather than trying to put responsive strategies in place to be able to reduce the harm related to those types of epidemics. I think that is where organisations such as DFID have a wonderful opportunity to be able to leverage, encourage and promote what you have domestically here in order to promote the same thing happening in those countries also.

  Q15  John Bercow: The Committee has received a number of written submissions which have emphasised the vulnerability of children and their relative neglect in relation to HIV/AIDS treatment. Given that AIDS has already caused infant mortality in Africa to rise by 19%, that under 5% of HIV positive children are receiving the treatment that they desperately need and that every minute one AIDS-afflicted child or child with an AIDS-driven disease is dying, how do you think that phenomenon is to be addressed in relation to the 2010 target?

  Dr Dhaliwal: There are five clear strategies which you also see in the UNICEF evidence. Some of these are also alluded to in the OVC working group evidence presented to the Committee.[9] These are: the importance of cotrimoxazole prophylaxis; having solid prevention mother-to-child transmission programmes; ensuring community-based support for orphans and vulnerable children; ensuring that there is development of appropriate paediatric formulations of ARV treatment; and all the work that needs to happen around TRIPS to ensure that when those paediatric formulations are developed they are available to those most in need. For example, Cipla is launching fixed-dose combination in March, "Pedimune", which will be like the adult "Triomune" combination but will that really be available and accessible, given the TRIPS-plus provisions in the Indian legislation now? Are we going to be able to make these paediatric formulations available to children in sub-Saharan Africa who will need the treatment? I think these five different strategies need to be pursued together if we are really going to make a difference to ensure that children are a meaningful part of the universal access target.

  Q16  John Bercow: What is your assessment of the quality of the data on the children who could benefit from ARVs, given that resources are finite and presumably you want to target them as effectively as possible? Could you add something in your list of present obstacles to be overcome, hopefully in the near future, some commentary on the number and adequacy of pharmaceutical companies to supply the drugs and invest in the research required?

  Mr Plumley: There has been a reluctance, it is certainly true, by pharmaceutical companies to do research into paediatric formulations. That always comes second. I think we very much welcome the leadership being shown by UNICEF now under Ann Veneman to push the children and AIDS response to the fore of UNICEF's work. Certainly, one of the areas that we are looking at is to encourage both generic and brand name pharmaceutical companies to prioritise the production of paediatric formulations.

  Dr Ellman: One other real gap at the moment is the tools to diagnose HIV in young children. Half affected children die before the age of two, and they are effectively excluded. If you look at children who are currently on treatment, there are incredibly few, in fact almost none certainly amongst the 10% or so that MSF has on treatment, under the age of two, simply because we do not have the means to diagnose them. There are currently initiatives looking at cheap, affordable ways to get viral load, which is what would be needed for children, PCR[10] techniques. We need to find ways to get those funded. We know of at least one example in this country that has so far been coming to MSF for funding because it is unable to find research funding from the UK.

  Q17  John Bercow: Just to take this forward a little, with what speed, if any, can one expect progress on this front? Although I do not want to harp back on it, and will get into great trouble with the Chairman if I seek to harp back to the earlier questions being put by my colleague Jeremy Hunt, I am conscious, as I think we all are, of the immediacy of the crisis and the need for progress. You make a very important point about work that is being done. Is it centre-stage? What level of publicity is attached to it? To what extent is it recognised by decision-makers as being a priority for extra resources? Where does the United States stand on the matter? Do you see what I am getting at? I am impatient, as I am sure we all are.

  Mr Plumley: UNICEF with UNAIDS and WHO, our other co-sponsor, launched a new campaign for children with AIDS in October this year. It is a key priority for them. We can probably find you the details of how long it takes to provide paediatric formulations. They tend to follow after the main ones, and undoubtedly that has to be addressed. This really is a priority for the international organisations, whether it be on the medical front or on the community-based front.

  Dr Ellman: Our experience is that there is a lack of interest in countries to find children with HIV because of the difficulties of getting treatment, and also a reticence due to lack of experience in treatment. For example, for every HIV positive woman we should be trying to find out whether they have children who are affected, offering testing for the children, offering treatment for the children. That simply is not happening at the moment because countries do not have access to affordable medicines to provide to those children. As Mandeep was saying, there are very serious concerns about lack of availability in future because of the TRIPS effects in India, China, Brazil, Thailand, the countries that up to now have been the great hope of cheap drugs and have been the reason we are currently treating anybody at all in Africa.

  Dr Dhaliwal: We have an interesting experience in the Ukraine treatment programme where we provide the national treatment services. When we started the programme, actually more children were registered than we had seen in other countries. It was quite interesting because in many countries they would rather treat the children than treat the sex workers or the injecting drug users or the men who have sex with men, because children are innocent and we would all like to provide treatment to children. While we are focusing on children, we should also make sure that the focus also remains on those populations that are key to the dynamics of the epidemic, who are vulnerable and marginalised and exist on the fringes of society, in government programmes and government priorities, and that these key populations must be provided with treatment and prevention services.

  Ms Black: This is one area that the normative work is going to change very rapidly. For example, it has to be progressive. Until we have new diagnostic measures in place, if you think a child under 18 months has been exposed to HIV, you consider giving them prophylaxis medicine, cotrimoxazole. Therefore the normative work will continue to change as more technological advances are made.

  Q18  Joan Ruddock: Mandeep Dhaliwal said earlier in passing that she thought that drugs needed to be free at the point of access. I wonder if you could take us through this and if the other members of the panel could do the same. There have been arguments put that if people have to pay something, then it makes for a better commitment to the treatment programme and they value it more, that there is an aspect of sustainability in programmes where money is being received. The question really is why HIV/AIDS should be treated differently from other diseases where in many countries people have to make some payment?

  Dr Dhaliwal: I will start with evidence that we have seen from the "3 by 5" experience where one of the biggest barriers to people accessing treatment is the cost of treatment. There is a lot of evidence that providing treatment free at the point of service delivery improves the sustainability of and adherence to the treatment. There is no evidence that I know of that user fees end up back in the system and supporting and strengthening the health system. There is quite a bit of evidence to the contrary. There is a policy statement, which Sandra Black can tell you about, that is being issued by WHO. Unfortunately, there is no co-sponsor agreement on that. There was a meeting with UNAIDS and World Bank and all the sponsors of UNAIDS on the free treatment issue. In spite of a lot of evidence, I believe the World Bank and other co-sponsors are reticent to sign off on this policy, but we know that in the case of anti-retroviral treatment there is strong evidence. Countries like Senegal, which initially had some form of user fee, have now, on the basis of that evidence, changed their policy to provide free access to treatment. Senegal, Zambia, Tanzania and Ethiopia are all now providing free access to anti-retroviral treatment at the point of service delivery. I think some of these hypotheses about people valuing something more because they pay for it are just that and the evidence is quite to the contrary in the case of life-long treatments, such as anti-retroviral treatment.

  Ms Black: To respond to your point about why would we do this for HIV and we do not do it for other diseases, it happens for other diseases in different manners and different ways. The reality is that we are in an exceptional public health emergency here. The developments of aid that have been made over the last 40 years have been lost and eroded in many countries. We know that we have to have an exceptional response to an exceptional situation. You look at a number of elements that need to be put in place. That is why we support free access at point of service delivery. How a member state in that country decides they are going to fund that is an issue. We had a long discussion about this at a three-day meeting in Geneva. Essentially, what the member states said to us, especially from the African developing countries, was that if we promote a free access policy, then we need to put a structure in place to support it. It might be financing schemes, public insurance schemes, requesting more money from the global fund. There was the acknowledgment that they needed to have a sustained response that that was one of the elements that they needed to have in their national strategies.

  Q19  Joan Ruddock: May I just check something with you? People are not paying the full costs of the ARVs, are they, in any of these circumstances, or are they?

  Ms Black: That certainly was a point of a lot of discussion. What does free access mean? Does it mean to the drug itself, to the anti-retroviral drugs, to the drugs for opportunistic infections, to transportation to the service delivery site? Those are issues that a country needs to define. The policy statement that WHO will issue on free access will have these elements discussed in it. This issue is very important as countries put a responsive plan in place to look at those particular issues, recognising that they want a sustained response because that is an important element?

  Dr Ellman: I say clearly that universal access will be impossible without free treatment. Cost-recovery systems exclude the poorest members of society and HIV affects disproportionately the poorest members of society. We would certainly go further with regard to the exceptionalism around HIV to say that in communities where most people are poor, which is most of sub-Saharan Africa, all treatment should be free at the point of delivery. We should also be very clear that, regardless of whether the rest of the health system is free or not, it must not just be anti-retrovirals; it must be all opportunistic infection treatments. I have seen people excluded from follow-up and therefore excluding themselves from anti-retroviral treatment simply because they cannot afford the few pence that cotrimoxazole costs. That was what would have kept them in follow-up. It is very clear, and for TB as well, it has to be free; it is free in principle but in many countries there are payments in practice. This is about more than anti-retrovirals.

  Dr Dhaliwal: Going back to the global financing issues, I think financing is the key question when we are talking about delivering free anti-retroviral treatment at the point of service delivery—financing and ensuring that countries are enabled to use the flexibilities that are allowed in TRIPS. We have not even had any discussion here about second line treatments and some of the first line treatments that are still under patent, and the paediatric formulations, which are certainly going to be under patent. We would like the British Government to support countries basically to help them stand up to the United States if the US does, through other trade negotiations, apply pressure on countries to enact TRIPS Plus legislation. If we have TRIPS Plus legislation in all of these countries, it means that we will never have universal access to treatment, that they will not be able to have access to the cheapest drugs possible.

  Dr Ellman: I would add that we have had an indication from Pascal Lamy, the Head of WTO,[11] that there is interest within WTO to review whether or not the spirit of the Doha declaration (which was that public health should override profit, that people should have access to affordable medicines for HIV and other diseases) is actually being implemented and not to amend things, which is currently what is being put on the table, to institutionalise systems which we see as very unwieldy and not likely to lead to drugs being available for poor people. We have heard that EU Members need to lobby the EU Commission to put this to WTO. We would ask the UK with the Presidency of the EU to take that forward and see whether or not the current implementation of TRIPS is leading to any good at all for people getting hold of cheap drugs.



1   Joint United Nations programme on HIV/AIDS Back

2   World Health Organization Back

3   Anti-Retrovirals Back

4   Trade-Related aspects of Intellectual Property Rights Back

5   Ev 59 Back

6   UNAIDS/WHO, Aids epidemic update, December 2005: http://www.unaids.org/Epi2005/doc/EPIupdate2005_pdf_en/Epi0_00_en.pdf Back

7   UNAIDS, Intensifying HIV Prevention: a UNAIDS policy position paper (August 2005) Back

8   Ev 39 Back

9   Orphans and Vulnerable Children Working Group of the UK Consortium of AIDS and International Development. See Ev 60 Back

10   Polymerase Chain Reaction Back

11   World Trade Organisation Back


 
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