Select Committee on Public Accounts Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1-19)

MS SUE STREET, MS CAROLE SOUTER AND MR STEPHEN DUNMORE

12 JANUARY 2005

  Q1 Chairman: Good afternoon. Welcome to the Committee of Public Accounts where today we are looking at managing National Lottery Distribution Fund balances. We are joined, once again, by Ms Sue Street, who is the Permanent Secretary of the Departure for Culture, Media and Sport, Ms Carole Souter, who is the Director of the Heritage Lottery Fund and Mr Stephen Dunmore, who is the Chief Executive of the New Opportunities Fund. You are very welcome. Perhaps, Ms Street, I can start by asking you a question. If we look at page 9 of the Comptroller and Auditor General's Report, figure 4, you will see the process by which the money goes from the Lottery player through the operator, Camelot of course in this case, down through the National Lottery Distribution Fund and finally to help the public. Of course, it is quite important that the money goes through as quickly as possible to the public, that is the whole point of it. If we turn, now, to page 15 and we look at paragraph 2.9, we see that: "At 31 March 2004 the balances in the National Lottery Distribution Fund stood at £2.7 billion, a fall of 24% since March 2002 against the Secretary of State's target of 50%." Why have you made such poor progress in meeting this target?

  Ms Street: Firstly, I think it is important that the Secretary of State did set a target which was a big and bold signal that we were determined to get to grips with this. We are 30% down now from the 1999 peak, which might not have been the case if we had not set an explicit target. We did miss the full 50% since 2002. Paragraph 2.10 of the report shows that while the balances of 10 distributors did fall, the balances of 5 others went up, including some of the big ones. There is good news in this which is that revenue went up more than expected, which is excellent, but drawdown was slower than expected. As of now I think it is important to note 85% of the cash raised for good causes has been spent and 133% of the remaining balance—ie 33% over committed—has been committed. We are back at the 1997 levels of around £2.57 billion but we are determined to press down hard.

  Q2  Chairman: These are not small figures, are they? You have missed this target by a mile, maybe up to around a billion pounds. This was money which was sitting around not doing anybody any good. There was a maximum in 1999 with a build-up of a staggering £3.6 billion held by the National Lottery Distribution Fund, a huge sum of money. You had the Secretary of State's target, which I would have thought was a reasonable one, and you have fallen far short of it.

  Ms Street: As I said, we are 30% down from the peak and we wanted to be 50% down. In the last eight months the balance has fallen by 6%, so we are encouraged by that. There is no doubt that setting the target has driven us in the right direction but not as far as we would like to be.

  Q3  Chairman: Let us try and investigate why this happened. Ms Souter, can I please refer you to figure 11 on page 16. You will see if you look at the Heritage Lottery Fund its actual balance is £929  million, the forecast was supposed to be £791 million for 31 March 2004, but if you look at the actual balance of 31 March 2004 you will see it has risen to £942 million. That is not very good is it?

  Ms Souter: Certainly the model that we have been using to forecast what will happen turned out not to be a good predictor of what happened in fact. One of the key reasons for that was that we found that the model was based on what happened historically and in practice the large projects, which are a very big element of what we do, were taking longer to deliver than they had in the past. Now, that is a matter of concern and I should make clear that we are totally committed to reducing the balances. If we had known at the time that those large projects were going to take longer than expected to deliver, undoubtedly we would have increased our level of over-commitment in those years and done so earlier than we did in fact.

  Q4  Chairman: All right. Mr Dunmore, let us look at the New Opportunities Fund which is below that. The New Opportunities Fund's financial balance at 31 March 2001 is £568 million, forecast balance for 31 March 2004 is £361 million, actual balance at 31 March 2004 is £737 million. What has gone wrong?

  Mr Dunmore: Like the Heritage Lottery Fund, we are very committed to reducing the balances and we welcome very much the target setting. I think when we contributed to the target setting in 2001 clearly we were very optimistic about what we could achieve, and that was partly—rather like the Heritage Lottery Fund—because of a lack of historical information. It was also because we were a very young organisation. We have only been around since 1998 and, in fact, four months before the target was set we had only just received our Round 3 policy directions from the Government which was £1.5  billion worth of programmes. We were consulting on them, we did not know what shape those programmes would take, particularly in terms of delivering, and the way in which you deliver the programmes can have a great impact on the actual drawdown and the speed with which you can commit. There are a lot of variables that we did not know the answers to, and I freely admit, in retrospect and with hindsight, we were over-optimistic. However, since then, and I think this is an interesting fact, our balances peaked in 2003 at £951 million. Since then we have been on a very steady downward path until December 2004 when our balances were at £692 million. From that peak in 2003, I think we are now making very good progress and we are determined to make more.

  Q5  Chairman: Mr Dunmore, if you look at page 21 and figure 15, you will see that in terms of March 2004 your commitments were some way short of the maximum acceptable level you set yourselves. In fact, the New Opportunities Fund was £142 million short. Why was that?

  Mr Dunmore: Certainly we were very pleased to set ourselves a target for commitment—

  Q6  Chairman: There is no point setting targets if you are way short. This is money which the Lottery player imagines is going to good causes but is hanging around doing nothing.

  Mr Dunmore: It is money, also, however, which is committed and we have over-committed on our balances by 55%. We are committing to the maximum we can at the moment on our current programmes within the terms of the policy directions that we are given. As I say, because we are over-committing we have reduced the balances by £259 million since January 2003. I think it will be a real opportunity with the money available to the Big Lottery Fund over the next four years to create new programmes. It will be an opportunity for us to start afresh on this and to set ourselves realistic and challenging targets for reducing the balances.

  Q7  Chairman: On the same point, Ms Souter, on the same figure, the Heritage Lottery Fund was £243 million short of its maximum.

  Ms Souter: Of its maximum over-commitment?

  Q8  Chairman: Why?

  Ms Souter: Our trustees discussed its over-commitment policy within the last month and confirmed that a two year maximum was what they would stick with. Where we are at any given time in relation to that maximum is a matter of judgment because if we were to suddenly increase our volume of commitments in one year, the inevitable result would be a big reduction in future years because obviously we can only spend money once. We have to take a judgment about how far we can go. By the end of this financial year we will be £280 million over-committed and by the end of the financial year 2005-06 we will be £410 million over-committed, which will take us to the maximum.

  Q9  Chairman: You are going to deal with the problem?

  Ms Souter: Yes.

  Q10  Chairman: You give that commitment to this Committee, do you?

  Ms Souter: Yes.

  Q11  Chairman: Fine. Thank you. That is what we like to hear. Ms Street, if you look at paragraph 4.6 on page 27—this is the last detailed question I want to ask you—you are leaving distributors uncertain about whether they will continue after 2009 and what their Lottery proceeds will be. Why is that?

  Ms Street: The shares that might pertain to each Lottery distributor is a matter of policy for ministers, and they have not made any decision yet to change the shares that are currently set out. They have given a guarantee that nothing will change until 2009 so that is already a considerable level of certainty, we are only at the beginning of 2005, there are four years of absolute certainty. Ministers have agreed that we will set the timetable by the end of March so that will give some clarity. I will do my level best to make sure that distributors have at least two years' notice of any change and that will be better than they had either at the launch of the Lottery or at the beginning of the licence. I think my colleagues would be content with a full two years, that is what I am willing to do, and will say unless and until anything different happens the shares will continue as they are even beyond 2009.

  Q12  Chairman: Can I ask this general question: you set up this vehicle to help these good causes, in fact you are frustrating them. We have heard about butter mountains, we have grant lakes where there is money sitting around doing nothing. Are you going to accelerate this process of reducing balances now?

  Ms Street: As I say, firstly, we welcome the NAO Report, and it is what we want to help us drive those balances down, not that it does not give us a lot to do. I do not think it is a grant lake, all the money and more, 133% of the money in that balance is committed. What I would like to see is that all the distributors implement their own policies and commit to the maximum that their own policies allow.

  Q13  Mrs Browning: Mr Dunmore, you wrote to me on 4 January and I have your letter here. I would be grateful if you could clarify what changes you are going to make. You mentioned the changes coming up with the Big Lottery Fund. I was concerned—just on a point of principle, if you just explain it to us—you say "We will meet our commitment to provide £40 million for voluntary and community activity in  eight rural districts in England between 2002 and   2007, the countryside communities." My understanding is that people from all communities purchase Lottery tickets so I am just wondering, generally, if people across all rural communities purchase Lottery tickets why the proceeds of those Lottery tickets are going to be restricted to eight districts? It sounds rather like a Government department prioritising rather than how I would expect Lottery funds to be distributed.

  Mr Dunmore: I hope I can explain that clearly. What we need to do as we move from the Community Fund and the New Opportunities Fund into the Big Lottery Fund is to meet all of our existing commitments under the programmes that both of those funds are running currently. Now one of the programmes, and I imagine I have mentioned it because it must have arisen in your letter, is the Countryside Communities programme, which is a £40 million programme.[1]


  Q14 Mrs Browning: Eight areas.

  Mr Dunmore: In eight areas but not eight times £40 million.

  Q15  Mrs Browning: No.

  Mr Dunmore: A total of £40 million for eight areas. All I was pointing out was that whatever the changes are that happen in the Big Lottery Fund and whatever the new programmes are that we introduce for the next four years we will meet our commitments on the existing programmes that we have made already.

  Q16  Mrs Browning: Yes. I do not think you have quite understood me, I will rephrase it. My point is the point of principle that across the country people in all rural communities would purchase Lottery tickets but the distribution of those funds from the purchase of those Lottery tickets is being restricted to eight rural districts. Why is the input general but the output being restricted geographically?

  Mr Dunmore: The output is being restricted geographically in that case because we are targeting eight particular areas where we want to make a difference and areas which have particular problems and particular incidences of rural deprivation. However, across all of our programmes generally we target on disadvantage in a variety of different ways, and that is both in an urban context and a rural context. Also, we have programmes that are more general in their impact and the Community Fund's large and medium grants programme, which is still running at the moment although it will be phased out when we get our new programmes, is targeted on particular groups in need but it has a wide geographical distribution. I think there is always an instance there where we need to balance the general distribution of Lottery funding—because, you are quite right, people from all sorts of backgrounds and localities buy tickets—with a commitment which certainly the Big Lottery Fund and its constituent parts have had to target social disadvantage particularly.

  Q17  Mrs Browning: I have got no difficulty with the principle of when the applications come in to prioritising and assessing on the grounds of need and your criteria there, it just seems the principle of people across the board in rural areas buying Lottery tickets but knowing—or perhaps they do not know and I am telling them now—that even if you have a worthy cause in your particular rural locality, if you are not one of the designated eight rural areas, because most rural areas have some deprivation of some sort or another, that somehow, although you have bought your ticket, your community could not even apply for a grant because they are outside a geographic area.

  Mr Dunmore: I think I am making the point in response to that, that we have a wide range of programmes. They are targeted in different ways and some of them are relatively open, so wherever you are you will have an opportunity to apply for one programme or another.

  Q18  Mrs Browning: Could I bring you on to something else which was earlier in your letter and that is you have said here: "We are winding down our voluntary and community funding programmes (the medium and large programmes in England) and the UK wide strategic grants programme." Now, I am a bit concerned because I realise that the heart of this report by the National Audit Office does highlight the fact—and it has been mentioned already by the Chairman—the difficulties, for example particularly with the Heritage Lottery Fund, of the amount that is held in balances. It is a huge amount of money. I had another letter this week from the Bishop of Exeter and I would like to share this with you. I think he too has been a recipient of one of your letters. One of the points he makes about the Heritage Lottery Fund—and I think it is well made and I just wonder how you are going to manage this at the same time as bringing these balances down—is that the sort of grants which are being sought, for example by churches, are grants whereby the timescale—the lead time from the time they get permission to have a grant and actually drawing down the money and carrying out the work—can be extremely long for very legitimate reasons. For example, the Bishop tells me—and I am sure he is absolutely right in this—on our historic churches that even once you get permission to carry out renovation because of the need to use skilled craftsmen, and they are in short supply, they have to wait their turn until they have finished off projects and that in itself, quite legitimately, can delay the drawdown on money. I just wonder, you are under some pressure for very good reasons to reduce these balances but how are you going to enable these more sustainable projects to still get their fair share of the Lottery money without suddenly feeling you are under pressure to provide money for what I would call quick fix type grants whereas the more sustainable need for longer term funding, such as the historic churches the Bishop mentioned, are really quite legitimate causes?

  Mr Dunmore: Perhaps my colleague could answer part of that also?

  Q19  Mrs Browning: Yes, of course.

  Mr Dunmore: You have really concentrated on a very relevant point. The degree to which, following a sensible risk assessment, you believe you have to keep a certain amount of balance is in part—only in part—dependent on the sorts of programmes you are delivering. It is certainly clear, and I know from Carole's experience and from mine with a couple of our capital led programmes, that programmes which involve a large amount of capital spend are going to take longer to deliver, so we recognise that. There are all sorts of reasons to do with planning permission and the whole raft of other things to do with capital projects which can delay the process. When we are delivering those sorts of projects, and certainly there is no intention to stop doing that, we need to take that into account.

  Ms Souter: In relation to churches, certainly one of the factors that is often found with the churches, for example looking at roof works, is quite often you do not know what the scale of the problem is until you have uncovered the roof in the first place and found what is underneath and what has happened. That can lead to complications for people. It is terribly important once we have said yes to a project that the applicant knows the money is there and that is why we hold money in the balances. We need to be able to respond to any issues which come up for them. Certainly part of the judgment for the Heritage Lottery Fund, in thinking about the level at which it can over-commit, is exactly the fact that the majority of our funding has gone to capital projects over a million pounds. So we know that it will take four to five years on average for those projects to come to completion and they are starting to benefit the community from the very moment that we say yes to the application because that means people can start to work and plan.


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