Select Committee on Scottish Affairs Written Evidence


Memorandum submitted by Shell UK Limited

  Shell is pleased to respond to this inquiry into the implications of recent tax increases for the North Sea oil and gas industry. Shell has been working in the North Sea since 1964, and is an operator for around a quarter of the UK's oil and gas production.

  In our response to the Energy Review consultation in April, we set out a vision in five parts: energy efficiency, energy diversification, best use of indigenous resources, reducing carbon emissions, and solutions through people. (See copy of cover letter that accompanied the Shell submission to the Energy Review consultation attached.) It is in this context that we respond here, drawing on one part of the vision; the `best use of indigenous resources".

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: KEY POINTS

  In any future energy supply and demand scenario, indigenous oil and gas will play a significant part in meeting the UK's primary energy demand.

  Indigenous oil and gas should therefore feature at the heart of UK energy policy.

  The UKCS is a maturing province. The industry faces the challenges of increasing difficulty of access, high costs—including a rapid increase in supply chain costs this year, and increasing competition for global investment funds.

  Fiscal stability is a key factor in attracting long-term investment to the UKCS. The December 2005 SCT increase was the third significant tax change for the industry in three years. Increasing taxation runs counter to maximizing economic recovery and enhancing security of supply.

  Any reduction in investor confidence in the UKCS is likely to result in a rapid and irreversible loss of skills and equipment to other parts of the world—at a time when both are in short supply.

  We continue to believe it would be appropriate for the Government to restore investor confidence by committing to review the increase in the Supplementary Corporation Tax rate.

THE IMPORTANCE OF UK OIL AND GAS

  1.  Shell recognises the energy challenge to ensure sufficient, clean, affordable and secure energy both nationally and internationally, in the short-term and into the long-term future.

  2.  As the DTI's Energy Review consultation document recognises, the UK is still one of the global top 10 producers of oil and gas, and will remain a major player for many years.

  3.  UKOOA estimate oil and gas met 75% of the UK's primary energy demand in 2005, and demand is forecast to increase significantly by 2020.  Based on the DTI's "favourable to coal" scenario data, oil and gas is forecast to contribute 78% of primary energy demand in 2020.

  4.  It is worth noting that, globally, Shell scenarios indicate that gas could overtake oil as the main fuel of choice by around 2025.

THE NEED FOR AN APPROPRIATE REGULATORY AND FISCAL ENVIRONMENT TO MAXIMISE INDIGENOUS OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION

  5.  The UKCS is a vital national asset and a significant contributor to the UK's security of supply. Although the UK has become a net importer, there is much still to be achieved in the UKCS.

  6.  While about 34 billion barrels of hydrocarbons have been produced to date, UKOOA estimates that around 16-27 billion barrels are still to be produced, provided the right regulatory and fiscal conditions are in place.

  7.  The contribution to the national exchequer is about £10 billion of taxes paid in the fiscal year 2005-06. The contribution to the balance of payments is about £20 billion. About 365,000 jobs in the UK depend on the UKCS. And the UKCS creates a key platform for British based companies throughout the supply chain to win business internationally.

THE CHALLENGES OF THE UKCS AS A MATURING BASIN

  8.  Oil and gas in the UKCS is increasingly difficult to find and produce, as the remaining potential is distributed over ever smaller accumulations and in more technologically-challenging areas. This requires a greater spend on technology, and smaller finds mean higher unit development costs.

  9.  Some other cost differences between the UKCS and other provinces around the world include: a greater burden of regulation in the UKCS than in other provinces; higher labour costs due to typically higher levels of operational expenditure by contractors; a harsher environment that typically requires larger rigs at a higher cost.

  10.  Added to this, suppliers' costs have risen rapidly. In significant sections of the UK supply chain rates have risen to match current oil prices.

  11.  Take the costs of securing rigs for example: In mid-2004, the average fixture rate to secure a jack-up rig was around $55,000 a day. In April 2006, the rate for the same rig had more than trebled to $176,000 a day.

  12.  Or to take the example of a semi-submersible rig; in mid-2004 fixture rates were around $50,000/day. By April 2006 these had increased more than seven times to $365,000.  (Source: ODS Petrodata, North Sea Rig Report.)

  13.  Casing and tubular products used in the drilling of wells is another area where prices have doubled in the last 18 months, partly due to forces outside our industry which have driven up the costs of important commodities such as steel. In the wider economy there is rising inflation.

INCREASING TAXATION RUNS COUNTER TO MAXIMIZING ECONOMIC RECOVERY AND ENHANCING ENERGY SECURITY OF SUPPLY

  14.  As Shell and industry have consistently stressed to government, fiscal stability is a key factor in attracting investment to the maturing UKCS.

  15.  This was the third significant tax change for the industry in three years. The SCT measure alone budgeted for the removal of £6 billion from the industry in the next three years.

THE IMPACT OF CUMULATIVE TAX MEASURES ON INVESTOR CONFIDENCE

  16.  At current oil prices, it is unlikely that activity levels will drop this year. Contracts for 2006 were committed to prior to the 2005 Pre-Budget Report.

  17.  However, the cumulative implication of the tax measures on top of rapidly increasing costs are having a significant negative impact on project economics, to the extent that a number of projects are being reviewed.

  18.  The latest 10% increase in the SCT rate equates to a 17% reduction in our post-tax cash flow. This is significant for any company and is a substantial burden on future investment. The commitment of the Treasury to a strategic review of UKCS taxation together with industry is very important against this background.

  19.  The competitive position of the UKCS with respect to the rest of the world has been eroded.

  20.  It is well known that human and engineering resources are in tight supply worldwide. Once these resources leave the UKCS it is difficult to get them back.

  21.  The DTI's Energy Review consultation document states that maintaining investment in further exploration and development in the UKCS remains a priority. It states the difference between the UKCS attracting investment and not doing so is estimated to be the difference between meeting half of the UK's oil and gas needs by 2020 instead of just 10%.

CONSIDERATIONS LOOKING AHEAD

  22.  Shell is pleased the Government noted the importance of a positive climate for investment and the need to maximize economic recovery in the UKCS in the March 2006 Budget.

  23.  We continue to believe it would be appropriate for the Government to support this and restore investor confidence by committing to review the increase in the Supplementary Corporation Tax rate.

  24.  The Ring Fence Expenditure supplement (RFES) that was announced in the budget alongside the SCT increase is intended to act as an investment incentive. It is aimed at companies that do not yet have any taxable income against which to offset their exploration and appraisal capital allowances. We need to be clear that the benefit to industry is estimated at only £5 million in 2008-09.

  25.  We welcome the Government's recent consultations with the oil and gas industry, including the Treasury's discussions to gather views on the current structure of the North Sea fiscal regime, in particular on issues that impact the stability of the regime as the basin continues to mature. We have and will provide input to these where we can usefully contribute.

  26.  We are fully supportive of the PILOT process and we would like to see a renewed focus on working within PILOT to identify win-win proposals that can provide the long-term investment climate required in the UKCS.

  27.  Industry would like to be able to engage more effectively with the Treasury so that decisions might take into account the lifetime of existing infrastructure and the closing window of opportunity to maximize economic recovery from the UKCS.

  28.  In our response to the Energy Review, we suggested the government should examine whether there is scope for enhancing the coordination across government of all aspects of energy policy under one Minister; general energy policy, the exploitation of indigenous resources, climate change, international agreements for exploitation of the North Sea, transport fuels, carbon capture and storage, planning consents for energy related activities and incentives for research and deployment of new energy and carbon mitigation technologies.

  29.  There are matters that necessarily fall elsewhere, such as fiscal policy and international relations aimed at securing energy supplies. Enhancing coordination could involve, for example establishing cabinet level responsibilities for delivery of all aspects of energy policy.

  30.  The Government's commitment to no further increases in North Sea taxation for the lifetime of this Parliament is noted, but it is important to stress that the energy business is a long-term business, and projects of 10, 15 or many more years duration require long-term investment decisions and supporting stability.

ABOUT SHELL IN THE UK

  31.  In the UK, Shell is engaged in the business of Exploration and Production, Oil Products, Chemicals, Gas and Power, Renewables and other activities. With centres in the north-west of England, Scotland and London, Shell provides more than 8,000 direct jobs and 80,000 indirect jobs across the United Kingdom.

  32.  The UK is a core area for Shell:

    FTSE top 10 company

    Shell in the UK paid $1,209 million in tax for full year 2005

    Shell spent approximately $4.5 billion with UK suppliers in 2005

    Global Retail, Shipping and Aviation businesses are based in London

    Shell has approximately 1,000 petrol stations in the UK

    Is an operator for around a quarter of the UK's oil and gas production

    Provides 15% of the UK's oil products

    If you have any queries regarding this submission, please contact:

Alex Rhodes

External Affairs

Shell U.K. Limited

30 June 2006





 
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