Select Committee on Transport Second Report


5  THE GOVERNMENT'S DECISION

Why policy action is required

33. Our predecessor committee believed that a policy of protection continues to be required. The main reasons why are set out in Chapter 2 and remain valid. It may be helpful to set out in more detail the extent of the potential problem our predecessor committee's recommendations sought to address.

34. Since 1999 there have been seven airline insolvencies.[60] EUjet ceased trading in July. The CAA estimate that the chance of air carriers failing is between 2% and 3%.[61] Further air sector insolvencies will certainly occur causing thousands of holiday makers to be stranded abroad. During the period 1984 to 2004, 191,000 people had to be repatriated at a cost of £29 million under the ATOL scheme as a result of air operators' bankruptcies.[62] But the proportion of air travellers covered by the ATOL scheme is falling steeply. In 1996, according to the Government's own figures, 96% of UK international leisure air travellers, 21.3 million people, were protected by ATOL. In 2004 coverage had reduced to 66%, or 28.1 million, numerically larger but a much smaller proportion of the total. The decline in the numbers of those protected by ATOL is set to continue. By 2010 the Government estimate that only between 22% and 46% of UK international leisure travellers will have ATOL protection.[63] The CAA's "worst case scenario" is "19% by as early as 2008".[64] Whichever set of figures is chosen, the trend is clear.

The Government's decision

35. On 10 October, thirteen months after the publication of our predecessor's report, and notwithstanding the debâcle of EUjet, the Government announced that it had rejected the proposals of the industry regulator, the CAA, set out in Chapter 3: [65]

Compulsion: "The Government does not believe that it should compel citizens to protect themselves against the failure of an airline."[66]

Consistency: "…there is no logical reason why the State should organise refunds for this one group of consumers."[67]

Confusion: The Government effectively discounted the evidence that travellers continue to believe that they are protected against airline collapse when they are not.[68]

Repatriation: The Government comment that "The CAA's assessment and the example of EUjet this summer show that people will generally find their way home by other routes."[69]

36. The Government now proposes to address the shrinking protection offered to UK international leisure travellers by ATOL through:

Better information for air travellers: "The Government has already been working with the CAA and the airline industry to improve consumer information about insurance cover when booking flights."[70] The Government is relying on "Travellers showing an increasing sophistication in shopping around on the internet"; airline posting messages for passengers making bookings online; information from the Air Transport Users Council and the FCO.[71]

Voluntary repatriation arrangements: The Government is relying on "airlines' assurances that they will continue to take voluntary action on repatriation."[72]

A "risk based" approach to regulation as set out in the Government's Better Regulation Action Plan: "Instead of routine regulation attempting to cover all, we adopt a risk based approach which targets only the necessary few….a new trust between business and government is possible…"[73]

Relying on the insurance market: The Government appears to be relying on the insurance market to cover the growing gap left by ATOL. It has been working to "improve consumer information about insurance cover when booking flights."[74]

A flawed policy

37. Nothing the Government has done since the publication of the previous committee's report has caused us to retreat from our colleagues' support for the CAA's argument that a modest mandatory levy to guard against the consequences to passengers of airline bankruptcy is cost effective and highly desirable. Our reasons are set out in detail below.

Information

38. The Government wishes to promote greater clarity about airline insurance and ATOL. This is laudable but we are highly sceptical that this will succeed where other attempts have failed. The National Audit Office has found that impact of recent efforts to increase travellers' awareness of key information has been relatively weak.[75] Our predecessors gathered unambiguous evidence that air travellers were unclear about the limits of cover. The subsequent evidence of EUjet passengers suggests that widespread confusion persists.[76] The Government has provided no shred of convincing evidence that the policy of relying on passengers' "sophistication" and techniques such as airlines posting messages on websites will work when other attempts have failed.

39. In the absence of sound consumer information about airlines' solvency the 'buyer beware' or caveat emptor approach is unrealistic. Our predecessors said that it was "ridiculous to suggest that this information can be made readily available, or that all consumers would want to analyse it before every booking."[77] We agree.

Repatriation

40. The Government is seeking a voluntary agreement with airlines to repatriate stranded passengers in the event of an air carrier collapsing. But reliance on voluntary repatriation arrangements is inadequate. In the case of a relatively small airline failure like EUjet such arrangements may appear to work.[78] The Government evidently believes this case proves the viability of voluntary repatriation arrangements. But the CAA figures demonstrated that 16% of passengers only were able to take advantage of the 'no-frills' airlines' reduced fare offer of £25.[79] Many paid much more: "60% paid between £50 and £200 per person for their return flight."[80] This is hardly the success story claimed by the Department.

41. Our predecessor committee was clear that capacity could not be guaranteed under voluntary arrangements in the event of a major failure in the peak holiday season: "The CAA has demonstrated that in the summer season, there are very few spare seats available on flights to the UK from major holiday airports".[81] The Air Transport Users Council, too, points to the real possibility that spare seating capacity would be inadequate to cope with the repatriation problem in the event that a large carrier collapses.[82]

42. Damningly, the Minister admitted to us on 2 November that there was "no guarantee" that if low fare airlines were fully booked extra flights would be scheduled to bring home stranded travellers under voluntary agreements.[83] To argue, as the Government does, for a voluntary repatriation agreement for stranded passengers on the basis of EUjet is to build policy on sand. A voluntary agreement in this case is not worth the paper it is written on. Worse, it gives the appearance of a solution where in reality there is none. Passengers are lulled into a false sense of security when they could still be stranded.

'Better regulation'

43. When the Minister gave evidence to us on the reasons for the Government's decision to reject the CAA advice for effective protection we were astonished to hear her praise that work so highly:

    "The decision was not made by looking at the work of the CAA and basically criticising and deconstructing it; it was very much a question of saying: 'Here is an excellent piece of work, a very sound piece of work, setting out the arguments for the levy'

But this excellence had no bearing apparently on the Government's decision because:

    "it was right to take effectively a different approach; that it was really very much in the context of the Better Regulation Framework….as the Better Regulation Taskforce Outline suggested, it was more important for regulation to only be very much focussed on specific risk. In this case the level of risk-and there is a level of risk-did not warrant a 100% compulsory levy."[84]

44. This seems to imply that in working up its proposal the CAA had overlooked the Government's better regulation policy. But this was not so. Indeed, the CAA's work specifically addressed the implications of the proposal for the Government's objective of better regulation:

    "There would…be a reduction in the regulatory burden on tour operators, which the industry estimates could be worth up to £80-£100 million- primarily because they would no longer provide bonds, but also because it would allow other regulatory requirements on them to be relaxed. There would be no material regulatory burden, in terms of implementation, imposed on the airlines. The CAA considers that it is consistent with the Hampton review on regulatory inspections and enforcement, carried out by HM Treasury, and the 'One-in One-out' approach to regulation proposed in the Better Regulation Task Force's 'Regulation-Less is More' report." [85]

The Government has produced no evidence to rebut the CAA's position that its proposal for an 'all flights' levy would actually lighten the regulatory burden of financial protection on the air travel industry.

45. The Department quotes the Chancellor of the Exchequer: "Instead of routine regulation attempting to cover all, we adopt a risk based approach which targets only the necessary few."[86] In this case however the risk applies to all UK international leisure travellers. The continued existence of ATOL addresses the requirement to protect only one category of vulnerable UK international leisure travellers, albeit a shrinking one. The Government's decision to reject the CAA's advice perversely leaves the growing number of scheduled airline passengers, including budget airline passengers, vulnerable to the same risks as those currently covered by ATOL. If it means anything, 'better regulation' means regulation that is rational and equitable. To ensure that all passengers have protection when they have purchased a package holiday, while excluding others who have purchased a scheduled air ticket, is neither.

Commercial insurance

46. Our predecessors stressed that Scheduled Airline Failure Insurance (SAFI) is unlikely to be available where an airline has sought some form of creditor protection and may be financially unstable.[87] In its latest evidence, the CAA restates the position plainly:

    "Consumers cannot rely on other forms of protection. 90% of travel insurance policies do not cover air carrier insolvency."[88]

In her statement to the House on 31 October 2005, the Minster said "The Government realises that not all travel insurance covers insolvency, but some does."[89] This is disingenuous when the CAA told that Government in advice published only five weeks earlier, on 22 September that the vast majority of travel insurance policies do not cover air carrier insolvency.[90] We are astonished that in taking its final decision the Government can dismiss the fact that 90% of travel insurance policies do not cover air carrier insolvency.

47. It appears that the Government did not perform even a rudimentary analysis of whether the insurance market would bear the increased risk exposure of SAFI expansion. This is especially absurd given the amount of time and money (£400,000) spent by the CAA on its analysis, including hiring the consultants Ernst & Young.[91] It is simply nonsensical for the Government to rely upon the insurance market to plug the gap left by ATOL when the fact is that appropriate commercial insurance is simply not yet widely available and there has been no attempt to assess whether the market is organising to provide it.[92]


60   HC Deb , 7 November 2005, col 148 W Back

61   CAA, Financial Protection for Air Travellers and Package Holidaymakers in the Future, Appendix 2, p 2  Back

62   Financial Protection for Air Travellers, Oral Evidence, HC 806-I, Qq 215-218  Back

63   HC Deb, 7 November 2005, col 147W. Over the period 1996 to 2004 the number of leisure passengers grew from 22.2 to 42.5 million Back

64   Ev 5 Back

65   HC Deb, 10 October 2005, col 10 WS Back

66   Ev 4 Back

67   Ev 4 Back

68   Ev 4 Back

69   Ev 4 Back

70   Ev 4 Back

71   Ev 4 Back

72   Ev 2, 4 Back

73   Ev 2 Back

74   Ev 4 Back

75   "Improvements in traveller information have increased public awareness but have not yet changed behaviours in some key groups" National Audit Office, Consumer Services to British Nationals, HC 594, Session 2005-06, page 16 Back

76   Financial Protection for Air Travellers, para 12  Back

77   Ibid, para 37 Back

78   Ev 8 Back

79   Ev 23 Back

80   Ev 23 Back

81   Financial Protection for Air Travellers, para 33 Back

82   Ev 33 Back

83   Q89 Back

84   Q 2 Back

85   Ev 6 Back

86   Ev 2 Back

87   Financial Protection for Air Passengers, para 13 Back

88   Ev 6 Back

89   Ev 4 Back

90   Ev 6 Back

91   Qq 74,75 Back

92   Financial Protection for Air Travellers, para 37 Back


 
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