Select Committee on Trade and Industry Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 80 - 99)

TUESDAY 18 OCTOBER 2005

ROYAL MAIL GROUP

  Q80  Roger Berry: So employee ownership would neither directly nor indirectly generate revenue for Royal Mail?

  Mr Leighton: We would absolutely directly generate revenue for Royal Mail.

  Q81  Roger Berry: No financial advantage whatsoever?

  Mr Leighton: The reason that would drive it is: if your people are involved in owning the company and have shares in the organisation does that drive the profitability of the organisation? Absolutely, 1,000 per cent, I think it would make a huge difference, and I think Share in Success absolutely demonstrated that.

  Q82  Roger Berry: So coming back to Lindsay's original point, I absolutely understand the argument you are making. Therefore, why employee ownership rather than profit-sharing?

  Mr Leighton: Because in our judgment and in the work that you look at, in terms of organisations, when you get to that stage, ie it is a share, then that has a more motivating effect. Roger, you have to say the other way round is that if we did not think that was the case then we would not be suggesting that that was the way to do it. I genuinely believe that. From all the evidence in all the organisations I have worked in that has been the case, and certainly Share in Success was a great example of that.

  Q83  Roger Berry: I would be interested to see the evidence that you cite, because I know of evidence that was addressed that employee share-ownership is not preferable to profit-sharing in terms of motivation of employees. I would be delighted to know what evidence you have got for that, because clearly you are saying this is not just a guess, this is actually based on hard research, and I would very much like to know what research you are referring to.

  Mr Leighton: We can give you that with pleasure, Roger.

  Mr Crozier: Can I come in here, because I do not want to lose the thought? Again, the danger is one looks at each little piece in isolation. The start point for this is the one you have rightly identified, which is that the trading performance now is very good but we have got some historical issues there—the negative balance sheet. So there are actually three conversations that kind of go on, in terms of what needs to be pursued. One is how do we fund the pension deficit, because that lies at the heart of a lot of this. The second question that lies there is how do we fund the modernisation of the business, and the third is how do we engage with our people for them to want to make this modernisation happen? Just to go back, what we did was get much smarter at what we already did. The next stage is about fundamentally changing what we do. It really is about automating the pipeline and a lot of capital investment, and that is going to require a huge amount of change from our people and they need to be fully engaged in that level of change. That is why we believe this is the right route to go. Clearly we can provide the evidence, but it is just important to join up with all the other bits because they all work together; you cannot just fix one piece. For instance, if you do not figure out how to sort the pension deficit and how to fund the modernisation, what exactly are you going to give people a share in? So they are all linked.

  Q84  Mr Hoyle: What percentage, because it is absolutely critical, are you envisaging? Fifty per cent? Twenty per cent? One hundred per cent?

  Mr Leighton: We think we should start with 20 per cent.

  Q85  Mr Hoyle: So you start with 20 per cent. That is the ownership. Am I right to think that you have been using Morgan Stanley, and they have been doing some reports for you? Has that been part of what could be capitalised on other shares if they were to come to the market? What have they actually been advising you on? Has it been part of this shareholding for employees or is it whether to advise you to then say to the Government: "We have an ownership here by the people within it but we do believe that you have got a problem with the deficit in your pension fund"? Are you then going to consider a further percentage to be opened on to the market?

  Mr Leighton: Just so that we are very, very clear: the only thing we are proposing is that we have three things to fix: the pension deficit, capital into the business and we think we should give our people a share, in some way, shape or form... that is all we are interested in. That sees us through the next three or four years, which for us is the next three or four years of our horizon. The shareholder has already made it very clear that the shareholders will not entertain privatisation of the company. That is the context of it. Any advice we get from any advisers is in that piece of context.

  Q86  Mr Hoyle: So they are advising you on employee shareholding and nothing else?

  Mr Leighton: They could be advising us on the balance sheet and all sorts of different things. I do not want to go into the technicalities, but are they advising us on full scale privatisation—you know they are not.

  Q87  Mr Hoyle: Therefore, which Roger and I have been chasing, if you give the shares (and I understand that that is what you wish to do and that is what is in discussion at the moment) how do you get round the deficit within the pension fund, if you are not getting a value on the shares, and everything else? That is not being addressed, is it, through any of this?

  Mr Leighton: It goes back to Adam's point (and, for once, I am not being evasive): the three bits are really quite important. You have to do, in our view, all three. This is a hat trick. You cannot have any one of them; any one of them does not give you what you need. It is a joined-up business with a joined-up issue that needs those three things being dealt with.

  Q88  Mr Bone: If I was, as I was in the past, deciding who to use as a postal provider and we have got full liberalisation, do you think there would be some reliable measurement of the service management so that I could transparently see which service provider, yourselves or other licensed providers, is actually right for me?

  Mr Crozier: It is a good question actually. If you take some of the learning from Sweden earlier, when it was first introduced, you had literally hundreds of companies diving in and providing mail services and the vast majority of those companies disappeared very quickly. I have no doubt a lot of customers were hurt in the meantime. We have been very clear with Postcomm that we would like to see everyone operate under the same rules and regulations. So, for instance, we check all our employees' records in terms of criminal records and all sorts of other things to make sure that we have got that integrity there. We provide independently done quality-of-service research that tells all our customers how well or not we are doing on their behalf. As it currently stands, none of our competitors publish any quality-of-service data. So we would like to see everyone operate under the same set of rules, so that people genuinely can make a comparison. Clearly, we say that because we think we are bloody good; we think we provide a really good quality of service and we think that should be one of the things that customers are really interested in. As always, it is very easy to say: "I will deliver you this" and then not do it, whereas ours is all independently researched, and I think that is the way everyone should be.

  Q89  Mr Bone: That is clearly a yes to that. Who should draw this up? Should it be some independent body? Does it happen on the continent?

  Mr Crozier: In fairness, Postcomm are drawing up a sort of code of conduct, if you like. It does not cover quality of service, interestingly, as far as I am aware; it is more around the way that the business is done. I think quality of service is actually pretty crucial to just about any company and certainly we have always published that. It has always been independent, we will continue to do it and we would like to see other people do the same.

  Q90  Mr Bone: Does it happen in the EU at the moment?

  Mr Crozier: I do not think it does. I am not sure. There are not really any direct comparisons, to be honest, but I do not think it does.

  Q91  Mr Bone: Is this because we are moving into uncharted waters?

  Mr Crozier: We are ahead of the game, so it is difficult to find out.

  Mr Leighton: None of the national players have to set out quarterly their quality-of service data.

  Mr Crozier: If you take Germany, their first-class target for the next day is 80 per cent; ours is 93 per cent. So it is a very different regulatory regime. They do not have compensation payments like we have. When Alex talked earlier on about our operational window being shorter, there are all sorts of other things that are different, too. We have got tougher quality of service targets, we have got compensation and all sorts of other things, so the regime is very different.

  Mr Bone: I want to give you an example, and this is not flippant but it is one of the problems that a business would have. During the General Election we employed some sort of Mailsort and my election address went out in Sherwood, and I went down very well in Sherwood, but I was standing in Wellingborough. The election address eventually finished up in Wellingborough the day after the election. Now, I am not sure whose fault that was. If you take that into a business, you have got to have clarity so you can decide: "It is the fault of the Royal Mail because, actually, they are very poor at doing this" or "It is actually the fault of—

  Mr Hoyle: The agent!

  Chairman: That certainly would not be true.

  Q92  Mr Bone: It certainly was not the fault of the agent then. That was subcontracted to Central Office.

  Mr Crozier: Clearly, I cannot comment on the specific issue but I am very happy to go away and look at that. We have independent, incredibly detailed quality of service analysis, and the other interesting thing about this, if you just move away from first class and second class, is that we are hitting pretty much all of our business targets, but the truth is more and more we will move away from that because if I am a major customer, actually I am not very interested in the fact that Mailsort 3 is at 99.6 per cent nationally; what I care about is what is it on my mail. More and more quality of service will become part of an individual contract, where I will deal with you, customer X, and these national things—other than for things like first class and second class—will go because everybody wants a different kind of delivery. If I am running a call centre and I am trying to generate response for that call centre, actually the worst thing we can do for them is deliver all their mail the next day because they could not cope with all the telephone calls. Actually they might want 10 per cent of it delivered every day for ten days. So, more and more, what people want is a tailored service, and that is part of our problem with all the regulatory set-up as it is. We find it almost impossible to treat customers as individuals, and actually what does everyone want now—they want to be treated like an individual customer; they do not want to be given the same as everyone else. So we are kind of fighting against a natural way of working, but which customers do not want. They are quite happy if the improvements come from us rather than from other people.

  Q93  Judy Mallaber: The Government has committed itself to not privatising Royal Mail. How confident are you that Royal Mail can stay as a public sector organisation and still compete against private sector competition when the postal market is fully liberalised?

  Mr Crozier: First of all, technically, we are a stand-alone plc that happens to be 100 per cent owned by one shareholder (just to be technical for a second). Can we compete in a competitive market? Yes, if given a reasonable run at it. We have absolute confidence in our company's ability but it depends on the regulatory set-up that is concluded sometime in the next two or three months and it also partly depends on how we look at these funding issues that we have just discussed around the pension deficit and around the money to modernise. It partly depends on our ability to engage with our people. So the road takes you back to: as long as we have a reasonably level playing field and we can tackle the things that need to be tackled, then yes. I know that is a qualified answer but it needs to be a qualified answer.

  Q94  Judy Mallaber: Setting those aside, because I think we have explored those quite fully, will previously state-owned national operators elsewhere in the EU still have advantages over Royal Mail after January 2006? If so, what are those advantages?

  Mr Crozier: They will have huge advantages because the modernisation that we are talking about embarking on they did without any competition and over a 10-15 year period. So they have already done what we have not even started, so clearly there is an advantage there. There is also the advantage that there is therefore no risk for them. We have got to cope with competition while we seamlessly transfer from one kind of operation to another. Operationally, that is a very difficult thing to do. They do not start with any costs or prices that are misaligned, they just come in and they charge what they want to charge. They do not start with any problems around creating new products; they can do it overnight, we might take 12 months with Postcomm. So their ability to be agile and compete from day one is far greater than ours, so, yes, absolutely, they have advantages, not least of which is they are making enormous profits somewhere else.

  Mr Leighton: This will be an unregulated business for them. So you go and attack everybody else's markets and you try and create big business in everybody else's markets because they are not regulated. That is where you make your money.

  Q95  Judy Mallaber: This comes back to your original pleas for all the flexibility that you are seeking.

  Mr Leighton: Absolutely. I always feel as if we come away sounding as if we are a bunch of wimps, but the big deal is it goes to the same old thing, which is that potentially we could still have a very strong Royal Mail in a very competitive environment. That is what we could play with here. It gives us the opportunity to go and attack a few people on their back doorsteps in the same way, but the only point I think we are trying to make to you—and it does go back to the same three things—is that there is the pension deficit, there is where is the capital coming from and what can we do for our people. They are the only three core issues, and if we get any one of those three wrong or all three of them wrong then it is going to be pretty bloody difficult.

  Mr Crozier: And the regulation, secondly, is the absolutely pivotal part of that.

  Q96  Miss Kirkbride: I am bemused by so much of what you have said today because it seems to me that certainly one of the answers to all of your three problems would be privatisation. Therefore, I wonder if you could tell us, in your discussions with the Minister, why it is that he has set his face so much against it? After all, we have a Government which is prepared to privatise air traffic control and other things, so what is the big deal about the Post Office?

  Mr Leighton: You will have to talk to the Minister. The other thing which I have to say (forget about the Minister) is that actually the only thing on which I have ever been on the record in relation to privatisation is saying that we should not privatise it.

  Q97  Chairman: Should not?

  Mr Leighton: Should not.

  Q98  Miss Kirkbride: Why not?

  Mr Leighton: My sense is this is a commercial entity. Everybody keeps thinking it is a public service, it is not; it is a commercial entity that provides a public service and only if it is a commercial entity can it provide the public service without the taxpayer picking up a load of costs for it. So the idea of the way in which it was set up was actually quite a clever idea; the problem is the execution all fell to bits, as is always the case. My view is that if you have got an entity, which this is, which is primarily a commercial entity but provides a public service, of which there are two chunks—the USO and the rural network—which are the things that are supported by the commercial entity that we have got here, this business is not in a state where it could be privatised anyway, and, secondly, I am not sure that that is naturally the next step. I think the big opportunity of the next launching pad of the business is to get it to a real commercial entity that provides a public service that does it extremely well. Therefore, it might well be a role model for how these businesses, these great national enterprises, should work going forward. I still think that you can get all the benefits of privatisation without going the whole hog and that is why I think it is really important that you get your people to take a share of ownership in that, in some way, shape or form.

  Q99  Miss Kirkbride: You could raise capital.

  Mr Leighton: We could raise capital if we wanted to anyway, provided we have got a balance sheet which is fine, no debt and great assets.

  Mr Crozier: That leads straight back to the need to sort out the pension deficit, because clearly you cannot go and raise capital while you have got a negative balance sheet.

  Mr Leighton: It is part of our debt.


 
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