Select Committee on Trade and Industry Written Evidence


APPENDIX 16

Supplementary memorandum by Postcomm

FURTHER INFORMATION REQUESTED BY THE COMMITTEE ON 15 NOVEMBER 2005

INTRODUCTION

  We welcome the opportunity to provide further information/clarification to the committee. We have dealt with each of the questions in your letter of 15 November below. However, we would initially like to reiterate a number of key points.

  Ensuring the continued provision of the universal postal service across the UK is Postcomm's over-riding statutory duty. Competition will not be allowed to threaten the universal service. Postcomm will always ensure that the universal service can be financed without resort to Government support. In the short term, this is achieved through the price control. In the longer term, the threat of competition will make Royal Mail more efficient and customer focused.

  The competition that has developed so far has led to an improvement in the quality of postal services. Our policies have given Royal Mail incentives to improve its reliability and operate more efficiently, and are resulting in new operators offering customers a variety of new products. However, Royal Mail still retains a number of significant advantages over its competitors, such as its huge scale and its VAT exemption.

  Further competition will continue to benefit customers, as has been the case in those countries that have already opened their postal markets. We think that customers in the UK will benefit irrespective of the pace at which other European countries liberalise.

1.  We would like to request a summary of the main findings of [the business customer] survey

  The executive summary of the business customer survey is attached.[10]

2.  [A]ny evidence you have on the USO obligations of the USO providers in the other EU Member States. For example, number of days post delivered, who delivers through the post box and who to other locations, etc?

  The definition of the universal service in each EU member state reflects the historical development of postal services and the level of service that residents have come to expect in each country. National postal operators in different member states have evolved differently, with some investing more heavily than others and developing new markets more proactively.

  The European Postal Services Directive leaves the detailed definition of the universal service in the hands of member states. In some member states, the universal service is defined very widely and includes services such as the delivery of newspapers and periodicals, financial services and the provision of post offices. In Germany, for example, the universal service consists of a range of postal services (as in the UK) as well as the delivery of newspapers and periodicals and the requirement to provide at least 12,000 post offices at set distances apart. Deutsche Post gets no explicit subsidy for this.

  The number of days that post is delivered and the time of delivery also vary, and reflect historical differences (see Table 1). In Finland, for example, where newspapers are also part of the universal service, Finland Post delivers the paper by 8 am and the mail during the course of the morning. In Germany, all mail is currently delivered by 2.30 pm, but Deutsche Post has just announced that from 1 January all mail will be delivered by 1 pm in response to competition from market opening.

Table 1

COMPARISON OF CURRENT USO DELIVERY TIMES IN EUROPE


UK
Germany
Netherlands
Sweden
Finland

Start of delivery
9 am
9 am
8 am
8 am
8 am
End of delivery—domestic
1 pm
2.30 pm
12 noon
2 pm
12 noon
End of delivery—business
1 pm
2.30 pm
5 pm
2.30 pm
12 noon
Weekend delivery?
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No


  There is a similar range of experience and historical precedent in respect of whether post is delivered to the door, to post boxes in an apartment building, to the apartment building superintendent etc. In some member states, for example Austria, the postman has to use a key to open the mailbox of each household—only the postman and the householder has a key to open the mailbox.

3.  How does the turnover, costs and profits of the universal service obligation to national operators in other EU countries compare to Royal Mail's?

  We liaise regularly with other European postal regulators and national operators, to gain a better understanding of what drives the national operators' costs of the universal service, and the approaches to ensuring the universal service adopted by national regulatory authorities.

  However, since the make up of the universal service is very different in all EU member states, it is not possible to make genuine like-for-like comparisons. Rather, it is more informative to make comparisons on broader terms. Therefore we do not hold highly detailed information such as this on other European operators' universal service obligations.

4.  Exactly what products are in the USO in the UK?

  The UK Postal Services Act 2000 describes the universal service in very general terms, being made up of services which must provide collection and delivery every (working) day at an affordable and geographically uniform price. On this basis it was (initially) simply assumed that everything that Royal Mail did was the universal service—over 100 products.

  In April 2003, Postcomm began a two-year consultation to reach an informed view of what customers wanted from the universal service, and which of Royal Mail's products this should cover. The results of Postcomm's consultation (set out in Table 2) are due to be implemented alongside Royal Mail's price control in April 2006—in the meantime, the original assumption remains.

Table 2

ROYAL MAIL'S UNIVERSAL SERVICE REQUIREMENTS


Generic service requirementSpecific product Royal Mail is required to provide

A priority mail service for letters and packets up to 2kg 1st class mail
Available through a range of payment methods
(eg stamped, franked etc)
A non-priority mail service for letters and packets up to 2kg 2nd class mail
Available through a range of payment methods
(eg stamped, franked etc)
Non-priority parcels service up to 20kg Standard parcel service
A registered and insured serviceSpecial delivery (next day 1 pm) and Recorded delivery (signed for)
Support servicesRedirection (up to 12 months)
Keepsafe (where Royal Mail will offer to hold a customer's mail for up to two months)
Post restante (for picking mail up from post offices in the UK and abroad)
Certificate of posting
Business collections (daily or one-off collections)
International outbound serviceInternational public tariff
International Signed-for service
A generic bulk mail serviceMailsort 1400 (first and second class service, sorted 1,400 ways)
Cleanmail (first and second class, for bar-coded mail)


5.  Exactly what products are in the USO in other EU countries?

  The best and most up-to-date source of this sort of information is the European Commission's study on "Development of competition in the European postal sector" by ECORYS which was published in July 2005.

  The report provides a detailed breakdown on postal services and development of competition in each Member State. It does not attempt to translate the generic universal services into "named products" because of the difficulty of comparing like with like on this basis. The report can be found on the European Commission's website at:

  http://europa.eu.int/comm/internal_market/post/doc/studies/2005-ecorys-final_en.pdf.

6.  Is it required under EU law that the USO must be provided for by the public postal services operator in each Member State?

  The European Postal Services Directive does not specifically require the universal service to be provided by the "public postal services operator". The Directive leaves it up to individual member states to decide how to allocate the requirement. In most member states the universal service obligation is not allocated to a named company through primary legislation. In the UK, for example, the obligation is placed on Royal Mail under the terms of its licence.

  In Sweden, the state has formal responsibility for the universal service obligation and since March 1994 the government has had an agreement with the national operator (Posten) to be the designated universal service provider.

  In Germany, the legislation envisages that the universal service should be maintained by postal service providers generally and only if this fails to happen should contingency plans be invoked.

7.  A note on how Royal Mail will be allowed to fund its USO obligations

  With the notable exception of the growth in the pension fund deficit, Royal Mail's financial performance has improved considerably over the past couple of years. Last year, Royal Mail made a profit from operations of £452 million on its regulated activities (excluding exceptionals, the share in success scheme and pension deficit payments). The part of the business that provides the universal service is also profitable, and has been since 2000. This profit has been driven by stronger than anticipated growth in mail volumes during which Royal Mail has managed to keep costs flat, and the price rises allowed under the current price control.

  There are a number of ways in which we fulfil our primary duty to ensure that Royal Mail is able to continue to provide the universal service. The primary mechanism is through setting a price control that provides Royal Mail with sufficient revenue to provide the universal service products. Royal Mail's current price control lasts for three years and the next control is proposed to last for four years from April 2006. Royal Mail has significantly outperformed the current price control, making profits around twice as high as originally anticipated, and its universal service is in a strong position as a result, with quality of service performance now running at some of the highest levels in recent history.

  For the next price control we are actively considering mechanisms to protect the universal service against potential risks faced by Royal Mail, including the risk that its pension deficit could become even bigger and that future mail volumes might fall. We will shortly be publishing our final proposals for the next price control, which will explain this in more detail.

  Beyond this, if any wholly unexpected circumstances or combination of circumstances were to threaten the universal service in the future, we can re-open the price control at any time to deal with such events. We actively monitor Royal Mail's financial health, anticipate developments in the market, and are alert to any potential threats to the universal service.

8.  Mr Moriarty agreed to send the Committee a note of "your view on VAT on stamps and what implications that would have for the company and the customer." We would like to request that note

  Royal Mail is currently exempt from charging VAT on services it supplies to customers. In contrast, alternative postal operators are required to charge their customers VAT at the full rate of 17.5%.

  We do not think that VAT exemption is required for the provision of the universal service, and continues to distort competition significantly. It continues to be highlighted as one of the main barriers to entry for alternative providers and one of the main barriers to switching by business customers that are VAT exempt (and cannot therefore, recover VAT paid to alternative postal operators).

  Alternative operators need to overcome an approximate 13% price disadvantage against Royal Mail (not 17.5% as Royal Mail's prices must cover its VAT on inputs, which it is currently unable to reclaim) before offering any discount to encourage VAT exempt customers to switch. Alternative providers are therefore at a significant disadvantage when targeting VAT exempt companies. This view is reflected in the results of Postcomm's 2005 business customer survey.

  Some of the largest bulk mail customers are VAT exempt, including banks and financial institutions, and some charities. A number of these institutions have told Postcomm that they were discouraged from switching provider due to the fact that alternative providers had to charge the full 17.5% VAT rate, which they would not be able to reclaim.

  Using data provided by Royal Mail, Postcomm has estimated that over 40% of customers (by value) are VAT exempt, including those in key segments of the market which it would be very advantageous for alternative providers to serve—in order to build critical mass and scale. It is clear therefore, that Royal Mail's VAT exemption is distorting competition.

  Stakeholders support a level playing field. The majority would welcome either the VAT exemption being extended to all operators, or a reduced VAT rate for postal services.

  The need to increase prices that would result from charging a reduced rate of VAT of 5% is likely to be broadly offset by the fact that Royal Mail would be able to reclaim VAT on its inputs, and would therefore see a fall in costs. As a result, applying VAT of 5% on postal services, including stamps, would be unlikely to result in prices rises for customers that cannot recover VAT.

  Postcomm would support a solution of a reduced rate of 5% being applied to all postal services. We would also support the VAT exemption being extended to all operators. Postcomm does not, however, support the full rate of VAT at 17.5% being applied to all postal services as the resultant price increases would not be in customers' interests.

9.  It would also be useful for the Committee if the note could go through the legislative/political process by which VAT could be added to postage

  Policy on VAT is a matter for HM Treasury. Postcomm understands, however, that under current legislation HM Treasury has broadly two options: maintain the status quo, or apply the full rate of VAT of 17.5% to all postal services. Postcomm supports neither of these options.

  There are two other alternatives: extend the exemption, or apply a reduced rate. Postcomm understands that both of these options would require amendments to the current European VAT Directive.

10.  Could you also tell us what discussions Postcomm have had with HM Treasury about the removal of Royal Mail's VAT exemption?

  We have held a number of meetings over the last few years with representatives of HM Treasury to explain our position on this matter. In addition, we have shared some of our analysis, including financial models that assess the impact of various VAT scenarios.

  We are always willing to meet HM Treasury to discuss the issue and are also keen to facilitate a meeting between HM Treasury and the alternative postal operators.

11.  Could you provide us with historic figures for market volumes in the UK: transactional, correspondence, direct mail and total mail?

  The table below shows mail volumes in the UK over the last three years. The longer-term trend is steady growth of around 1-2% per annum, although there has been a slight dip in volumes in 2005.

Table 3

TRANSACTION, CORRESPONDENCE AND DIRECT MAIL IN THE UK (2002-05)


2002-03
2003-04
2004-05

Transaction
(first and second class PPI mail)
4,994 m
5,059 m
5,176 m
Correspondence
(first and second class stamped and metered mail)
7,936 m
7,787 m
7,572 m
Direct mail
(bulk mail)
7,828 m
8,088 m
8,074 m
Total mail
20,758 m
20,934 m
20,822 m


  Neither Postcomm nor Royal Mail expects a decline in overall volumes over the next 3-4 years, although the mix of mail volumes may change. For example, fulfilment of electronic transactions is likely to continue growing. Indeed, Royal Mail was quoted in the Daily Telegraph on 24 November as predicting that online shopping in the run up to Christmas will increase by 40% this year compared to last year, resulting in Royal Mail delivering around 70 million parcels.

12.  Royal Mail's competitors already have access, albeit under licence, to parts of Royal Mail's delivery service. According to the Royal Mail, the UK is the only Member State of the EU to allow this. Is this correct and if so why has Postcomm introduced these arrangements here? What evidence do you have that this will be happening in other EU countries in the future?

  Royal Mail is currently the only national postal operator in Europe that is required to allow downstream access to its delivery network.

  Postcomm pushed for access (at a fair price that is profitable for Royal Mail) because of the huge economies of scale that Royal Mail enjoys in final delivery. These economies of scale mean that Royal Mail can deliver mail at a very low cost per item, making it very difficult for other operators to compete in delivery.

  Requiring Royal Mail to offer access on fair terms, and share these benefits, facilitates competition. It allows customers to benefit from new services offered by consolidators and still allows Royal Mail to make a profit on the access mail it handles.

  There is little evidence of downstream access in Europe so far. This is because there is little competition. Without a commitment to competition, there is no call for downstream access.

  Downstream access is, however, very well developed in the US, where mail collected by consolidators and delivered by the US Postal Service is widespread. A large number of alternative operators offer consolidation services, and this concept is embraced and encouraged by the US Postal Service which voluntarily introduced the arrangements around 25 years ago. Consolidation has since been largely responsible for strong and consistent growth in mail volumes in the US (where mail volumes per capita are much higher than in Europe).

13.  Postcomm believes [access] should be brought inside [the price control]. Is this correct? If so is Postcomm not satisfied that Royal Mail's charges to its competitors are appropriate?

  It is correct that Postcomm has proposed to include access products in the price control.

  So far, almost all competition to Royal Mail has come through downstream access. Consolidators pay the access price to Royal Mail and must compete with Royal Mail's retail prices (eg for its bulk mail products). Therefore, the level of the access price compared to Royal Mail's retail prices is crucial. If Royal Mail squeezes the margin between access products and its bulk mail products, it squeezes the margin in which its competitors operate.

  Royal Mail agreed a set of access prices with UK Mail in 2004. In 2005, at the first available opportunity, Royal Mail increased access prices and reduced many key bulk mail retail prices, reducing the margin available to competing operators. If this pattern continues, there may no longer be any commercial opportunity for the alternative operators. This is why we are proposing to include access in the price control.

14.  The Committee would also like any historical information you could provide on Royal Mail's "15 quality of service targets" you have collected

  Royal Mail currently has 15 quality of service targets that are product or postcode area specific. They cover its key products such as first and second class stamped mail. These targets are conditions in Royal Mail's licence, and were originally agreed between Postcomm and Royal Mail in 2001. Until competition provides sufficient restraint on Royal Mail's behaviour, these targets are needed to ensure that customers enjoy a good service from Royal Mail and receive compensation if this does not happen.

  Royal Mail's recent quality of service performance is set out in Table 4 below. The target for first class mail is next day delivery, for second class the target is within three days, and for third class (eg Mailsort 3) the aim is delivery within seven working days.

  After a very poor year in 2003-04, Royal Mail improved its quality of service performance during 2004-05. It has recently announced further improved figures for the second quarter of 2005-06. There have, however, been some persistent difficulties in some individual postcode areas.

Table 4

HISTORICAL QUALITY OF SERVICE PERFORMANCE


2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
Target
Result
Target
Result
Target ResultTarget Result

1st Class Stamped & Meter All
92.1%
89.9%
92.5%
91.8%
92.5% 90.1%92.5%91.4%
2nd Class Stamped & Meter All
98.5%
98.3%
98.5%
98.6%
98.5% 97.8%98.5%98.5%
1st Class Postage Paid Impression
90.0%
81.4%
92.5%
83.9%
90.6% 83.5%90.6%87.5%
2nd Class Postage Paid Impression
97.0%
94.4%
98.5%
96.9%
97.4% 94.6%97.4%96.0%
1st Class Response Services
90.5%
78.1%
92.5%
80.3%
90.3% 81.7%90.3%80.5%
2nd Class Response Services
97.0%
93.7%
98.5%
93.7%
97.5% 92.2%97.5%93.4%
Special Delivery
99.0%
98.5%
99.0%
98.6%
99.0% 97.9%99.0%98.0%
Number of postcodes achieving 90.5% for 1st class stamped and metered posted to UK (out of
total of 121)
98
71
118
108
118 66 118 80
All PCAs to achieve 92.5% for 1st class stamped and metered intra postcode area (out of total of 121)
121
87
121
110
121 97 121 107
Mailsort 1
92.1%
90.0%
93.0%
90.8%
91.0% 89.2%91.0%91.1%
Mailsort 2
97.6%
95.5%
98.5%
96.5%
97.5% 95.7%97.5%97.3%
Mailsort 3
98.5%
97.9%
98.5%
98.0%
97.5% 97.4%97.5%98.5%
Presstream 1
91.0%
89.2%
92.5%
90.8%
90.5% 88.1%90.5%90.4%
Presstream 2
97.6%
96.2%
98.5%
96.8%
97.5% 95.1%97.5%97.5%
Standard Retail Parcel
(End to End)
88.0%
81.0%
90.0%
88.5%
90.0%88.9%90.0% 89.7%


15.  In a recent correspondence you very kindly provided the Committee with two tables. One showed EU comparisons of quality of service information and the second showed EU price comparisons. The Committee would be grateful if you could attach these to your reply

Quality of service comparisons across Europe

  Although some of Royal Mail's European equivalents have lower quality of service targets, many still outperform Royal Mail. Table 5 compares the UK with a number of other postal operators in Europe. It is clear that, although the targets in many countries may be low, their performance (including operators in more liberalised countries such as the Netherlands and Sweden) is in many cases superior to that of Royal Mail—though there are some woeful exceptions!

Table 5

COMPARISON OF FIRST CLASS QUALITY OF SERVICE TARGETS AND PERFORMANCE IN EUROPE


Target
2003-04
Performance
2003-04

UK
92.50%
90.10%
Netherlands
95.00%
96.10%
Germany
80.00%
96.00%
Sweden
85.00%
95.70%
Denmark
97.00%
95.10%
Finland
95.00%
95.00%
Italy
87.00%
87.00%
Ireland
94.00%
71.00%
France
84.00%
70.00%
Greece
82.00%
62.90%

Price comparisons with the rest of Europe


  It is correct that Royal Mail's prices for the lowest weight step are towards the low end of the spectrum across Europe. We are proud that UK prices are below the European average, and would like to keep it that way. However, three points must be noted:

    —  some countries, such as Sweden, apply VAT to postal services, which is included in the price;

    —  postal prices must be seen in the context of a wider media market, which is more developed and competitive in the UK than elsewhere in Europe; and

    —  while the 50g prices may be lower in the UK, the very lightest and heaviest weight prices are sometimes higher here.

Table 6

COMPARISON OF BASIC WEIGHT POSTAGE PRICES IN EUROPE


Weight
UK
Netherlands
Sweden
Germany
France
Spain

20g (3 sheets + envelope)
£0.30
£0.27
£0.42
£0.38
£0.34
£0.20
50g (9 sheets of paper)
£0.30
£0.55
£0.81
£0.69
£0.51
£0.28
100g
£0.46
£0.81
£0.81
£1.00
£0.76
£0.38
150g
£0.64
£1.08
£1.64
£1.00
£1.31
£0.63
200g
£0.79
£1.08
£1.64
£1.00
£1.31
£0.63
350g (19 sheets of paper)
£1.21
£1.56
£2.46
£1.00
£1.83
£1.12

Source: National postal regulatory authorities


SUMMARY

  We are confident that our policies are safeguarding the universal service and delivering benefits to customers.

  Competition will help maintain the universal service by ensuring mailers do not move away from postal services to other media. Customers tell us that the threat of competition has already led to an improvement in the quality of postal services. Our policies have also encouraged Royal Mail to perform better and operate more efficiently, with more attention to customer needs. Further competition will continue to benefit customers.

  Until effective sustainable competition arrives, however, Postcomm will need to regulate Royal Mail's prices and service quality, to ensure that customers who do not have a choice continue to receive a good postal service at a reasonable price, and that the universal service is secure.




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