Select Committee on Treasury Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 40 to 59)

MR MICK MCATEER AND MR NED CAZALET

25 APRIL 2006

  Q40  Peter Viggers: In your paper you move broadly to the conclusion that the NPSS-style pension scheme is by far the best solution to the pensions challenge the UK faces and then, Mr Cazalet, you are much more critical. Have you separately addressed the issues of compulsion in saving and also the effect of means testing?

  Mr McAteer: Each of the models that are being proposed at the moment all face challenges when it comes to means testing. The position we have taken on means testing is that, whatever happens, more clarity will be needed between existing state benefits and private sector savings. I do not think any of the models are immune from the means testing question, but none of the models offer any advantage or disadvantage when it comes to the relationship with state benefits. Whenever we say we think the NPSS or the IMA model is the best one, what we mean is for people who do not have access to decent employers' pension provision. This is a crucial point. This is for people who do not already have access to good employer schemes. We certainly would not want to imply that it is better than the existing employer pension provision.

  Q41  Peter Viggers: And compulsion?

  Mr McAteer: We actually went further than Lord Turner. We have always supported full-scale compulsion along the Australian model actually. We recognise that the proposals in the Pension Commission report were, I suppose, an acceptable compromise to get it off the ground. We actually advocated full-scale compulsion.

  Q42  Ms Keeble: I wanted to ask some questions about regulation and particularly the purpose of the FSA. What role do you see for the FSA in regulating a National Pension Savings Scheme?

  Mr McAteer: In relation to the scheme itself, I would imagine that this would sit naturally better with the Pensions Regulator role than the FSA itself. Again, it depends on which particularly model is chosen for delivering the NPSS. If the Government went for the ABI model, I think that would have to be FSA as the lead regulator. If it went for the NAPF model, I would imagine that would be closer to the Pensions Regulator, and similarly if it went for an IMA style model, I would think the governance and the legal relationships would be overseen by the Pensions Regulator. Like most UK regulations, it is quite complex. Ultimately, whichever model is adopted, the investment professionals will still be regulated by the FSA anyway because they will be authorised investment professionals and it is the FSA which has the responsibility for actually regulating those people as individuals.

  Q43  Ms Keeble: Would you like to run through some of the main safeguards that you would want to see put in place, either if we go through the Turner model or some of the key safeguards you would want to see if one of the other models were adopted?

  Mr McAteer: Again, the process of this is a hugely important aspect when contrasting the different proposals. We looked at the legal ownership issues; we looked at the regulation; we looked at the governance, all of the three models. Again, starting at the farthest end of the spectrum, we thought the ABI proposals represented just too much risk for ordinary consumers because, from what I understand, and maybe they have changed their position on this, certainly at the last big open meeting that the DWP held—

  Q44  Ms Keeble: Can I just say that I do not want so much about the risks but what regulatory and safeguards should be put in place?

  Mr McAteer: Whatever regulation is needed should be designed to address these risks, which is why I am explaining where we see the main risks lying. From my understanding, the ABI model expected the sales process would be unregulated in their proposals. Therefore I think that is an appalling vista: to allow an army of insurance company sales people to run around the workplace selling their own version of partnership pensions is completely unacceptable. You would clearly need a regulated advice process or a regulated sales process. You would need regulated advice as well because, as I said earlier, you have such a huge number of options under the ABI proposals. You would then need financial advice to help people make the right choices. In turn, that would further add to costs and further complexity and so on. The other issue is that what we quite like abut the NPSS model/IMA model and the NAPF model is that the governance of those schemes I think is much more preferable than the ABI's model because you have people with a legal duty to look after the interests of the scheme members. I am afraid that is just not there in insurance company products where, under insurance company law, the legal ownership of the assets belongs to the insurance company. Because of the listings regime, the shareholders of those companies have a specific legal duty to their shareholders. They do not have duty to consumers. Again, in terms of legal protection and governance, we think the NPSS or the NAPF model is preferable.

  Q45  Ms Keeble: Can I come back again because the regulatory aspect is incredibly important for consumer confidence and therefore the public's willingness to actually put money into pension schemes. That is why it is so important. It seems that one of the problems is that the regulations, particularly for the consumers' role, are at the front end of buying and advice and so on, whereas the fallout if things go wrong is a long way down the line when people do not have many options. Often it is not dealt with by the regulator. It is, it seems, both for the private pension and the occupational pensions, to have been dealt with by the Ombudsman. They are the people who have actually highlighted the issue and put pressure on for things to be resolved. Is there any way that you can see, even with the NPSS model, that there can be some real improvement in regulation, and not just through advice, which is actually very difficult to regulate for, that there can be a real improvement in regulation such that people will feel confidentI know it is incredibly hard to structure thisbut where there would be some come back, other than people, once they are retired and have run into difficulties, going to the Ombudsman and then trying to feed changes in that way?

  Mr McAteer: I think you are absolutely right that the regulation and the legal structure is fundamental to consumer confidence. We know how little consumers trust the financial service industry and unless the regulation is robust enough to maintain consumer confidence, then we are just not going to have sustainability.

  Q46  Ms Keeble: But that is going to apply even it is perceived to be a government issue?

  Mr McAteer: What I found interesting was that our research was tested on three different models in terms of consumer trust. We found that the Government was trusted twice as much as the insurance industry to run pensions. All this talk about straw men and nobody trusts the Government and so on, I think is a bit of plague in both your houses at the moment, to be honest. The idea may be that the Government is trusted least; the insurance industry is trusted even less than the Government. The model that was trusted most by far was the NPSS/IMA model. Independent people, with a legal duty to look after your interests and so on, with the limited range of choices, I might add, were also very attractive as well. Consumers do not want all this additional choice but the one thing they do fear is handing over yet more of their life savings to the same people who mis-sold them endowment policies, mis-sold them personal pensions and so on. Unless we actually do built a new type of pension system, then we are not going to maintain or restore confidence, and therefore sustainability in the wider pension system.

  Q47  Ms Keeble: There is just a small question on the issue of consumer choice. There are very strong views amongst the public about ethical investments now. Would you see that as being something that, if we have an NPSS mode, should be taken into account?

  Mr McAteer: I do not think it would be right to offer any ethical option as one of the core funds, but I would certainly see room for offering some sort ethical choice on top of the core fund. I do not think it would fit as one of the core four or five funds that would make up the basis of the NPSS. It is a bit like the same choice that we face as pension fund trustees. We do not think it is right to impose ethical choices on the rest of the scheme members.

  Q48  Mr Gauke: Can I ask about the relationship suitability and means-tested benefits? I do that in the context of the FSA announcement that seems to say that if you want to be in a position to avoid the need for regulation and advice, the product needs to be nearly universally suitable. If it is going to be universally suitable, you need reform of the means-tested state pensions. Do you agree or disagree with that analysis?

  Mr McAteer: I certainly agree that this could be difficult for any of the models to work unless there is greater clarity between state benefits and private savings. We are not in the business of actually saying what level should means-tested benefits be or what the basic state pension should be. That really is a social policy matter and we cannot really comment on that. There is no question that greater clarity would help consumers make long-term choices more effectively.

  Mr Cazalet: I cannot see how you could possibly operate this model, any new model, if you have means testing. There will be a substantial number of people who simply should not do this and for you to work out whether you are one of those people is fantastically complex. I was at Downing Street two years ago when John Hills of the Pension Commission stood up, with all his clever `professorology', and explained in using any 14 or 15 slides how to make a decision whether you should be in the scheme or not. People simply are not going to do that. I cannot see how you can combine the two things. The one other thing which people do not mention is that people talk about saving, but for those families that are couples with children, 25% of them in the UK have no savings whatsoever, and the next 25% all have savings of no more than £1500. There is a question that if you have no savings whatsoever, should the first savings that you make be a pension scheme that locks it up for ever? If you look at the socio-economics and demographics, increasingly you have an indebted society and increasingly you have younger people that have debt because of university. They find it difficult to get on the housing market and so forth. If you think they can combine that with either hard compulsionsaying you are all in, you are all locked inor this trawler where you are dragged in unless you wriggle your way out, I can see that has the potential for being very messy. Going back to the original point about persistency, if people do sign up and find that their means are so limited or find that actually this probably is not the best thing, you should not expect persistency to be dramatically better than it is now. In fact there are a lot of indicators that say that it could well make some part of your customer base on this type of scheme a lot worse than it is. That goes back to the viability. Yes, if you want compulsion—and I am not arguing for compulsion, it is a political point—then you can run this sort of scheme and lock everybody in. You need to get rid of means testing, and you make it very clear for people to make that decision or you make it very straightforward to stand up as a politician to say, "This is what we are imposing upon you. This is why it is good for you". There is too much grey area around means testing for my liking on this. I cannot really see how you can possibly trawl everybody in and say, "Regardless of whether this is a disbenefit to you because of the impact on—

  Mr McAteer: This is where the employers' matched contribution is so important for people.

  Mr Cazalet: That is the other leg the FSA identified.

  Mr McAteer: Some people have been arguing for employers not to be auto-enrolled into this system and not have to matched contributions, but I think that clearly would change the economics for people on lower to average incomes.

  Q49  Mr Gauke: When you talked about clarity with regard to means testing, do you mean by that clarity as to exactly where means testing is going to apply or are you saying that actually the problem is how many people get means-tested benefits and it needs to be fewer people?

  Mr McAteer: I think where it actually applies it is important that consumers are able to understand fairly clearly when it makes sense to save. It is as simple as that. We would not recommend a particular limit or a particular level. That really is a social policy decision. Means testing was brought in for a very different reason.

  Q50  Mr Gauke: Under the stakeholder plans, non-earners can pay up to £3,600 per year into a stakeholder plan. Should similar arrangements apply with the NPSS? That comes back to your point, Mick, about the employer contribution? How would that work, if it did, in particular with regard to suitability and advice? How would that all work together?

  Mr McAteer: I think the beauty of the NPSS type structure is that because you have a single account, what we call the personal or retirement account, that means that if the Government so wished and the Government was worried about people on the lowest incomes, then they could contribute on their behalf or else other people could contribute on behalf of their dependants and spouses and so on. The idea of having that single account is very attractive in terms of administrative efficiency and in terms of keeping costs down. This idea of persistency is incredibly important again but do not forget that if you have a single account, then at least the money is there. It is not actually being switched from pillar to post with different insurance companies, insurance company A to insurance company B, with all the attendant costs. It still stays there in your account and it is still run by the National Pension Saving Scheme. That structure makes it much easier for people, disadvantaged consumers, to be supported to some alternative to means testing.

  Q51  Kerry McCarthy: On Stakeholder pensions, and we have touched on it in a number of instances already, what would you summarise as the key lessons to be learnt?

  Mr McAteer: A lot of people have said that Stakeholder has been a disaster. I think actually Stakeholder has succeeded on two of its three main objectives. I remember very well the original concept of Stakeholder. I remember very well why it was introduced in the first place and it had three clear objectives: one, to try to bring some kind of competition into the life insurance sector; two, it was meant to try to banish the chronic mis-selling within the pensions industry; three, it was meant to make pensions affordable so that people on lower incomes could save for the future. On the first two counts, it I has been a fantastic success. It brought competition into the sector for the first time, and it made mis-selling nearly impossible under a properly regulated sales process. I am afraid it did not achieve the third objective; it did not extend the saving habit, not because the price cap was too low or anything like that but because people could not afford to save. They had lost trust in the industry. Fundamentally, the economics of the retail model of the insurance industry meant that it could never sell to the Government's target market anyway. I think the main lesson for the Government is that if it gives in to the ABI now, then we will just see a repeat of Stakeholder pensions within the National Pension Savings Scheme. I think that is a huge political risk for the Government. What I fully expect is that the ABI will come forward with some very eye-catching charging level for the National Pension Savings Scheme. They will try to claim that they can run it on 0.6% or 0.8% or whatever, and they will say that is a significant advance. Believe me, once they get their foot in the door, then in five years' time you will see all of the charges just creeping up again and always creeping up. By that time, it will be too late for the Government to stop what it is doing, dismantle what it is doing, and start again. I am afraid if they do allow this ABI this open market model to get its foot in the door, it will create a real hostage to fortune. That is the biggest lesson from Stakeholders pensions. Giving in to the producer interests at this stage is really going to create a hostage to fortune.

  Mr Cazalet: When Stakeholder came in, we wondered what on earth life assurance companies were doing planning to run this. We said, "This will not make you any money; if you do it, we will go and hit you round the head". Three years down the track, having said, "We are going to make money on it", they said, "We cannot make money on it. Please put the charges up". So I guess that gives you some insight into some of the thinking that goes on, I am afraid, with some of our clients in the insurance sector. The challenges of trying to sell anything via a distributed network from those sorts of charges are almost insurmountable, particularly in the mass market. I think the key economic thing is that, in the change in the landscape in the last 10 to 15 years, we are in a low inflation environment. That will mean over a period of time that the sort of returns you will get on core asset classes, equities and bonds, are going to be double digit numbers. Before Stakeholder came in, it was typical for charges or the impact of charges on a pension plan to be the equivalent of reducing the rate of return to the saver by 3% or maybe 4% per annum. That clearly had to change. In that sense, the Stakeholder concept was a very good idea actually in the sense of saying, "It clearly cannot be beneficial to consumers to have a substantial part, if not the greater part, of their likely return gouged out in terms of costs". So, low inflation, this environment we are in, itself demands, leaving aside all the other political and social objectives, that we have a structure that leaves some benefit on the table, otherwise all this running around trying to create schemes if the charges are high—and we are now in a situation of 1% or 1.5%—actually takes out a big chunk of what you might expect from any managed fund. So there is this sort of balance. If you are going to build something, is it genuinely beneficial to the consumers or should they simply stick their money in the building society and have a pension wrapper round there, because you could do that if you wanted to. I guess that we needed, and we do need, to keep a clear eye on what this is all about: it is trying to provide a benefit to the consumer and not simply keep the lights on for the benefit of some sort of prehistoric industry. It is a huge challenge. Given that the industry clearly did not understand how to add up when many players said they could do this at 1% and what you needed was scale, which was ridiculous, we said, "Look, you are saying that actually you cannot really make any money this but if you would write lots of it, then you will make money". How did that work and why was it that three years down the track a lot of people threw their hands up and said, "Of course we cannot make any money"? Three years at university with an actuarial degree and seven years of exams and you cannot work that out! These guys have a form for really not getting the numbers right. What we find fascinating, without necessarily mentioning names, but the Chairman mentioned Standard Life which have been very public in saying that this model does not work, is that we can think of three, four, five or six other substantial names that say the model is not going work and "We simply cannot do it and therefore we are not going to pretend". You have this great split going on at the moment with what Mick may refer to as the ABI, but I cannot imagine the ABI really represents all of these people, saying, "Frankly, this is not what we should be doing. This does not make money for us. We cannot add benefit to the consumer". You have a whole bunch of other guys that are saying, "We must keep the show on the road". Having those two polarised views is quite fascinating to watch because they cannot both be right. I think you will find that out and how long it is going to take for people just to drift away from this, but that does leave the question about who serves the consumer. It is all very well to say the insurance companies cannot cope but they have spent £30 billion in the last four years. In fact in the last four years they have spent about £17 billion on trying to write pensions business alone and that does not seem to stack up. With all that money being spent year after year after year, how can you deliver consumer benefit? I think we are in a real change in our sector. You are seeing that with just things like what is listed on the London Stock Exchange. You have companies like Resolution Life. What are they? They are sort of the Wombles. They have picked up the scraps and they put them into a big basket. The model is changing and people are starting, as you have heard from Standard and others, to re-think and to ask, "Does this actually make sense?" We are a long way from everybody holding their hands up and saying, "Yes, this does not work". For as long as you have people pretending they can do it, they clutter the airways with their thinking.

  Q52  Kerry McCarthy: The price cap is up for review in 2008. Do you think it should be reviewed by an independent regulator or should the Treasury legislate on this decision?

  Mr McAteer: It is a difficult question. It all comes back to Ned's point here, does it not, because if you calculate the price cap and you start off by saying that most of the industry needs to make a profit, then you will end up with a higher price cap. As Ned said, they are just not efficient enough to deliver pensions at a level that makes sense for consumers. Whoever does it will come to the same conclusion if you start from that premise. The fact is a price cap is more than enough for them to make money at the higher end of the market, which is where they are going to sell to anyway. The only reason they want a price cap to go up is so that they can extract more revenue from people on medium to higher incomes. They are not interested and have never been interested in the lower to average income earners.

  Q53  Jim Cousins: Mr McAteer, I just want to check that I understood something properly that you said earlier on. Did I get it right when you said that under your scheme you would not allow transfers out of NPSS?

  Mr McAteer: No. I would imagine complete flexibility. I think it would have to be flexible.

  Q54  Jim Cousins: So there would have to be transfers in and transfers out?

  Mr McAteer: Yes. The point I was making about transfers in was that I think, in terms of valuing the amount of money being transferred from, say, a defined benefits scheme, the NPSS would have no business having a say on that. That would be a matter for the scheme trustees and the regulator and the individual scheme member. I think the NPSS would have to be set up to be flexible enough to allow transfers out and transfers in.

  Q55  Jim Cousins: I am grateful to you for that. The other point is this. Coming back to what you called a social policy point, if NPSS was launched in a context in which the basic rate of state pension was at level X, and at a later date a future government decided that the basic rate for state pension would be at level X minus 25%, how would your scheme cope with that?

  Mr McAteer: I would imagine you would have to raise the contribution rate to offset the difference. Those kinds of changes to state benefits and so on affect each of those models in the same way because these are essentially second tier private savings models to build on the provision from the state. If the state provision is altered in any way, then clearly that has a knock-on effect on the second tier private savings. Are you asking how to make up the gap?

  Q56  Jim Cousins: I am just asking how your scheme would work.

  Mr McAteer: In any of the schemes, I presume people would have to save more. If the level of state pension was decreased, then you would have to save more to make up that joint level of income.

  Q57  Jim Cousins: Your view presumably would be that the NPSS in any form could only be introduced if Turner's recommendations about the basic state pension were put into effect?

  Mr McAteer: I am saying that there would need to be greater clarity about the interaction between state benefits and—

  Q58  Jim Cousins: I am sorry, Mr McAteer, you have consistently dodged this point in your replies.

  Mr McAteer: Yes, because we are a consumer organisation, we are not—

  Q59  Jim Cousins: You are advocating something, and I think the context of what you are advocating has to be made clear. Does your scheme depend on the Turner proposals for the basic rate of state pension being implemented or would you or could you consider a situation in which NPSS was put into effect but the Turner changes in the basic rate of state pension were not implemented?

  Mr McAteer: Yes, I could.


 
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