Select Committee on Treasury Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 360 - 379)

WEDNESDAY 1 FEBRUARY 2006

DAWN PRIMAROLO MP, MR TONY ORHNIAL AND MS SARAH WALKER

  Q360  Lorely Burt: I take all your points about the fact that you can only make changes slowly but I would be interested in your comments on that and what sort of priority you think that should have as a development which would ease a lot of problems and frustrations that many people are experiencing.

  Dawn Primarolo: We were talking about whole case management on screen rather than the conversation that Mr Cousins and I were having about whether it is deferred to a complex case team or not, which is the interim arrangement at the moment. Clearly that is important, it is more desirable that it should be in the system now and is not. I have to balance that between the importance of getting the award notice out and correct, the playback, the guidance, the increase in the disregard, the considerations that I am also still pursuing with regard to whether or not there should be a pause. Even if we successfully drive down overpayments there is still the Ombudsman's point about should there be a pause between the notifying of overpayment and starting the process of reclaiming that. All of that requires IT changes and some of it legislative changes. I have got to balance the importance, and that is what I am doing. At the moment I am going for award notice, changes in in-year recovery, playback, £25,000, being more proactive in making sure the claimants understand what changes of circumstance are relevant to tell us, which is one way of dealing with Mr Cousins' point, and how quickly they should tell us and getting the renewals window from six months. It was never planned to be six months, it was supposed to be three. We had to go to six months because of what happened in 2003-04 and I think we need to start clawing back because that is also a problem when people are on interim benefits.

  Q361  Lorely Burt: I appreciate that. Do you not think we should have had this in the first place? I was quite shocked to learn that it was not an element of the system that was built in. Perhaps it is too late to go there now.

  Dawn Primarolo: I think that goes over other ground about why the system does not do exactly what it was expected to do from the beginning and ties into what became second. I cannot remember that.

  Q362  Peter Viggers: The long statement that you read to us at the beginning of this session, was it a platitudinous summary of what we knew already or did it contain new information, in which case it should have been given earlier? Which do you think it was?

  Dawn Primarolo: It is new information and I am giving the most up-to-date information to the Committee, which has always been my practice as a minister. There is no difference in what I have done this time from any other time that I have been called before this Committee in the last eight years.

  Q363  Peter Viggers: It is just that as a Committee our job is to scrutinise Government, to hold Government to scrutiny, and it is so much easier if the information is available before the session. It is less easy for us to cross-examine on the basis of information that is given to us at the beginning of the session. That is the point I am making.

  Dawn Primarolo: Indeed. It would be a waste of time giving you information that was then out of date by the time I got here so I was giving you new information. There is a balance to be struck.

  Q364  Peter Viggers: I am allergic to being blindsided. The Chancellor of the Exchequer came to us in July and announced a change to the periodicity of the Golden Rule not really giving us a chance to consider it.

  Dawn Primarolo: Mr Viggers, you have an inquiry and it is up to you how long you want to progress through this and how you want to deal with the information, it is not for me to say. You are perfectly entitled to your observations, as I am to mine.

  Q365  Chairman: You have told us that the economy is increasingly global and we know that, but what we want to know is whether these two million people are going to be properly paid in the future.

  Dawn Primarolo: I think you should also know there are nearly 20 million, which is one in three, and the difference between a fixed award, which is part of your consideration, and what is happening now and the scale of what is happening now, so that you are in a position to judge, as you will want to be I presume, what it is reasonable and what it is not reasonable to do to such a big system requires me to make sure that information is on. Reading all the evidence, it has not been submitted at this point and I have read what everybody else has said.

  Q366  Mr Love: If there were a critic present he might possibly say that the first part of your statement was a bit of a party political broadcast. Can I ask, is the renewal process for 2004-05 now complete?

  Dawn Primarolo: I explained that earlier on. The close of the process was 31 January, which was yesterday, because for self-assessment taxpayers who are in receipt of tax credits their tax returns are relevant to a final reconciliation. So the process in terms of time finished yesterday and now we will be going through all the analysis, as we did last year.

  Q367  Peter Viggers: Can you comment on the level of overpayments in 2004-05 compared with overpayments in 2003-04?

  Dawn Primarolo: At this stage I am not able to give an accurate indication because I do not have the information I need and therefore, as the Committee will see, with the NAO I think it is prudent to say I am working on the basis of the same figure as the year before. I will be able to update the Committee when I have a full analysis of what is going on with the statistics. That is not a matter for me because these are independently adjudicated on and produced. I have been told those figures will be available in the spring of this year and at that point—

  Q368  Chairman: Your working assumption is that there will be another two million wrongly paid?

  Dawn Primarolo: Accounting standards require me to do that. That was clear in the NAO report and the report to the PAC. It is no comment with a view to accuracy. UK accounting standards require us to do that, as does the NAO, and that is what we have done.

  Q369  Peter Viggers: What study has been made of the causes of overpayment and what further study is to be made?

  Dawn Primarolo: The first study is the analysis is broken down which has been reported to Parliament, which is part of the ONS series and breakdown. These are not produced by the Department, they are produced by ONS. The next series will be available in the spring of 2006 and the range will be by income. These are requirements of ONS. I am not being difficult with you. Other people need to make sure of the figures that are being used, it is the checks and balances in the system.[7]


  Q370  Peter Viggers: I have a copy of your letter to our Chairman dated 31 January where there is a paragraph on how overpayments and underpayments arise, which is on page one. Also you made a statement on 5 December: "Analysis of overpayments suggests these arise from a number of factors" and then you list five factors, but all of these are the customer's fault. When constituents come to see us and when the Parliamentary Ombudsman became involved we had a rather different angle on this. To quote the Parliamentary Ombudsman, for instance: "The cases we are dealing with primarily are about official error. When we talk to the Revenue they seem to be talking about customer error". So there is a dichotomy here between the Revenue, which seems to think that everything is the customer's fault, and the people who present to constituency Members of Parliament, and of course these are self-selected people for whom things have gone wrong at the other end, but they think it is official error. What study do you make of the split between customer error and official error?

  Dawn Primarolo: The first thing I would like to say is, in no way has anything the Department said or anything I have said as the Minister been able to be paraphrased as "It is all the claimants' fault", quite the reverse, as my statements to the House both written and oral and PQs will demonstrate. As I said in the statement on the Pre-Budget Report, it is about firstly making sure we get the correct information—and that is an obligation on the Department to make sure it gets the right information, it has to inform the claimant what that information should be—and then of course the Department has to act on that information correctly. So I absolutely refute somehow it has been characterised as that. With regard to, and it is referred to in the NAO reports, the breakdown between official error and the work which needs to be done on that, there currently is work going on in the Department, which has been referred to in the PAC hearings and the NAO, looking at the relevant sample size to give a figure of error and fraud. That is a statistical exercise which needs to progress, is progressing and that will produce the information that you are requesting. That is on 03-04 because that is the only year we can operate on.

  Q371  Peter Viggers: Yes. On 12 September, you said, "No complete analysis exists of official error causing or contributing to overpayments."

  Dawn Primarolo: That is true.

  Q372  Peter Viggers: This has been studied. Can you give us an estimate of when such an estimate will exist?

  Dawn Primarolo: It was being studied on 12 September, I was being absolutely truthful. What has to be done in a survey of this importance is, firstly, a relevant statistically large number of claims have to be looked at which have been properly selected, and then they have to be checked at every point, so there have to be all the papers, all the action, which is very time-consuming, and then it has to be decided, if there was an error at what point it occurred. I cannot remember the date of the National Audit Office Report or the PAC hearing but it was reported that the Department and those who were working on it were, I do not know, a third of the way through completing the information and that it would be available when completed in 2006. I cannot recollect the exact date in 2006 but I am happy to let the Committee know.[8]


  Q373  Peter Viggers: There is public money involved. Can you give us any estimate at all of the amount of overpayments caused by official error?

  Dawn Primarolo: No, I cannot, but if you look at the interim findings it was 3.4%, and I think it will be a little higher than that. You do not have to believe me, Mr Viggers, look at the NAO Report and the information there on this study, to see where the Department was at this particular point in time, when that would be completed and what that would show.[9]


  Q374  Peter Viggers: I think your statement said that the Code of Practice 26 is in draft form and a final version is expected in 2006. Are you able to give us a forecast of what kind of changes we can expect as a result of the change of Code of Practice 26?

  Dawn Primarolo: I am, except—and I have to make sure this is not seen as a criticism—we gave the community and voluntary sector as long as they required to respond in detail to the drafts that were provided on that, and we have only recently received some of those detailed observations. That is not a criticism of them, they are under pressure, but we should take note of what they have said. It is beyond the time period we asked. It is in draft form but I do not see why the Committee cannot have it, if you do not already have it—it is in the Library I think—but anyway we can make sure you have a draft copy. What it will do is make much clearer the precise circumstances in which the reasonableness test will apply, and that is still a matter of consultation with the groups. As I said, I have a table of who said what, I do not think it is appropriate I read that out but I can give you a general flavour.

  Q375  Peter Viggers: Finally, my colleagues were pressing you about the recovery of an overpayment before Her Majesty's Revenue and Customs starts to collect it, and you referred to the size of the computer programme changes which would need to be made to implement that beneficial change, which would alert claimants about the recovery of overpayment. Can I press as to when you think that work will be completed?

  Dawn Primarolo: I do not know at the present time. It is an important issue and I recognise that. It is quite complex, I am informed, to make the changes. As soon as I am able to, I will inform the Committee and Members of the House, but I do not have a timetable for that at the present time. It is one of the Ombudsman's key recommendations, so you would expect me to take it forward.

  Q376  Mr Mudie: Minister, I am dealing with something you have included in your statement, Code of Practice 26 on overpayments. It is not a question but a request really. You say that you have given this to the voluntary organisations and it will be published in April, so the draft is with the voluntary organisations, can you supply this Committee with a copy of that draft?

  Dawn Primarolo: I can supply a copy of the draft, yes, and I will. What I am not sure I can do, and I will need to check with the organisations concerned, is let you have what they have said on it.

  Q377  Mr Mudie: No, I do not think we want that.

  Dawn Primarolo: Because that means it is under amendment now. They submitted that in confidence and I do not know whether we need to ask them. You can certainly have our draft.

  Q378  Mr Mudie: That would be good for us. You also deal with the question in terms of dealing with disputed cases. Your sentence is, "Tax credit officers are making progress towards this target of dealing with disputed cases within four weeks." Well, aye, but what does "making progress" mean? We are all making progress.

  Dawn Primarolo: It means they are not at four weeks, which is where they should have been frankly. That is what we agreed. They are currently at five, they will be at four weeks, they have informed me, by March.

  Q379  Mr Mudie: Is there any clue as to where they are? How many weeks are they taking now?

  Dawn Primarolo: Five.


7   Note from witness: Statistics on overpayments are produced and published by HMRC as National Statistics in the publication Child and Working Tax Credits Statistics, in line with ONS guidelines. Back

8   Ev 191 Back

9   Note from witness: Analysis of a sample of 2003-04 awards indicates that 3.4% of tax credits by value were overpaid because of claimant error or fraud. This is an interim finding and HMRC indicated in written evidence to the Public Accounts Committee that it expects the final results to show a higher proportion of non-compliant cases. The written evidence is published in PAC Report Inland Revenue: Tax credits and deleted tax cases, HC 412, published 8 September 2005. Back


 
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