Risks in the transitional period
130. The preceding analysis of the anticipated financial
impact of the new or modified fee schemes for the transitional
period prior to the introduction of competitive tendering in October
2008 and April 2009 indicates that they pose a considerable risk
to the stability of an already fragile legal aid market. Suppliers
fear that the transitional fixed and graduated fee schemes, which
would only be in operation for a period of between one and three
or four years, might prove not to be economically viable for them.
They believe that they might have to leave the legal aid market
in order to survive.
131. Larger criminal legal aid suppliers especially
have warned us in their submissions that, whilst they were well
positioned for competitive tendering, they might find the transitional
period with its new fee schemes the most challenging part of the
reform process.[151]
The Law Society commented that this problem might even be more
acute for smaller suppliers.[152]
These fears were echoed in the Otterburn study on the impact of
the Carter reform proposals: "we are concerned that any reductions
in fees paid during the transition before firms have had an opportunity
to increase their efficiency will force firms into financial difficulty."[153]
132. The long-term impact on supply might not be
serious: if firms closed, many of their fee earners would switch
to other firms. However, in the short term the disruption to supply
could be significant.[154]
Otterburn agreed with the LECG study that "the proposals
represent major change and that it is difficult to anticipate
fully potential problems and where they might occur," and
cautioned:
"[
] as far as financial evidence is concerned,
there is actually very little reliable up to date available to
the Commission. This Report has relied heavily on the small sample
of large crime firms as that is the only reliable, recent data
available, however that is not representative of the supplier
base as a whole. As a result considerable caution is needed in
proceeding with reforming criminal legal aid procurement.[155]
133. The
short term introduction of transitional fixed and graduated fee
schemes at breakneck speed will not allow providers to make best
use of what should be a transitional period in which firms can
carry out carefully planned business restructuring, where potential
for efficiency gains in restructuring exists at all. Quality legal
aid suppliers might be forced out of the legal aid market on grounds
of the income reduction expected in the transitional period before
they even have a chance to compete on the basis not just of price
but also on quality in the best value tendering process.
134. We strongly
recommend that the Government reconsider the timing and comprehensiveness
of the reforms. The problem areas of the legal aid budget (Crown
Court defence work and child care proceedings) should be addressed
swiftly, but we fail to see the need for potentially short-sighted
transitional arrangements for legal aid remuneration in anticipation
of the roll out of competitive tendering from October 2008, where
there are already mechanisms for controlling unit costs or where
the costs of cases appears to be under control. We can see merit
in time in moving beyond Tailored Fixed Fees for instance, but
the desire to impose inflexible national fixed fees against a
shaky evidence base is unwise in the extreme. It is more so given
the proposed move to competitive tendering. The LSC's time would
be far more wisely devoted to designing an appropriate system
of competitive tendering, than it is to designing and implementing
a suite of reforms which are fraught with difficulties and which
are, in any event, only likely to be in place for a short period
of time.
135. Given the
current fragility of the legal aid supplier base and the time
suppliers will need to restructure their businesses where necessary,
the introduction of ill-thought out new fee schemes, which are
predicted to result in significant reductions in income for a
considerable number of suppliers for little more than one to three
years' time prior to competitive tendering, poses a great risk
for suppliers and clients alike. The introduction of these fee
schemes for the short transitional period should therefore be
halted.
65