Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 100 - 118)

TUESDAY 19 DECEMBER 2006

LORD DRAYSON, MR DAVID GOULD CB, MR AMYAS MORSE AND MR MARK GIBSON

  Q100  Chairman: Thank you for what you have said about the role of this Committee. There is a worry in my mind that you will thank us and we will congratulate you and we will forget the important message that you had at the beginning of keeping absolute focus on this in the future as well as in the past and thinking "That is right, job is done, we do not need to concentrate any more". From what you say it is essential for everyone to concentrate very heavily on achieving something out of this.

  Lord Drayson: I think that is absolutely right, Chairman. One of the things which I will be expecting in my checklist for 2007 is that this time next year, if you ask me to come before you this time next year, you will ask me "How is it going on the technology transfer on Joint Strike Fighter" because I am going to maintain my focus on the technology transfer being delivered as I have in terms of reaching the Memorandum of Understanding.

  Q101  Chairman: Can we have a copy of that checklist, please?

  Lord Drayson: Yes, that will be done in January and then you will be provided with a copy.[4] On that very important point on Joint Strike Fighter, it is complex, a lot of this is detailed engineering stuff—your point about the source codes and so forth—it is having this absolute clarity of which aspects relate to sharing in the economies of scale long-term to make sure we get value for money of the aircraft and which aspects relate to delivery of operational sovereignty. We have got absolutely the operational sovereignty that we need but people should not forget that the whole affordability of this aircraft internationally comes from the pooling of the orders and the Through Life support.

  Chairman: Minister, we would normally try and finish at 12.30 but you have got such an interesting job that we will go on for another 15 minutes. There will be some questions we will want to write to you about. We cannot leave research and technology without some questions being asked because it is central to the whole of our defence capability.

  Q102  Willie Rennie: The Government stated a target of R&D investment of 2.5% of GDP, what is going to be the defence industry and the MoD's contribution towards that target?

  Lord Drayson: I believe that we need to increase investment in defence research, we need to shift the balance in terms of the split between the development side of things and the earlier stage of research side of things. That is the thinking which we set out in the Defence Technology Strategy. We are now talking with industry about how we implement that. The way in which that target gets hit in terms of the percentage is both the Ministry of Defence and industry investing in research and there have to be the appropriate incentives for industry to take risks on research. The dominant model for defence research in the past has been the Ministry of Defence deciding what the future is going to be and therefore telling industry, "This is what we want researched" and paying for it. That is fine but, alongside that, we have to encourage industry to use its own thinking about what the future might hold, to take risk, to invest in that research and then, if it is successful and we use it, to be good at getting it through to the frontline. For that to happen they need to be rewarded for taking that risk. Some of the business models are used in other industries, such as the sovereign IT and the pharmaceutical industry. We are in discussions with industry to come up with that, that is a deliverable that has come out of the Defence Technology Strategy and I am expecting that to become clear in the first half of next year and that will then be part of the overall plan that we have for Ministry of Defence investment in research. We have already set out that we expect with the current plans to see a slight increase in defence research spending but we are looking at this whole area. What we are trying to shift is from a model which is 100% the Ministry of Defence determining what is done and funding what is done to having more of a mixed approach which needs us to look at the rewards and incentives for industry to do that. That is how I think we get towards this target of the appropriate level of investment invested in research.

  Q103  Willie Rennie: Are you able to put a figure on it in cash terms about what the contribution from Defence would be?

  Lord Drayson: I will be able to once we have got to the end of this discussion with industry. Industry is going to take some convincing on this because what industry rightly says is "But the MoD is the only customer for defence research, it is not like there is competition for the research that we do". We do say to them—and I will bring Amyas in on this because he has been doing some of the negotiation—"Yes but you know that the model is often that cutting edge research is done for a defence need which leads to an innovation which then finds its way into the civilian sector, sonar for detecting submarines is now used in medical applications for looking at babies in the womb. There are good models for this innovation and what we want to see is that the risk/reward balance is shifted to incentivise industry to do more work investing and we recognise those. Do you want to say something, Amyas?

  Mr Morse: Yes. I am chairing a sub-committee of the Defence Industrial Council. Interestingly, industry has brought up some very good ideas in this area and it is mostly not on the theme of how much money is going to be put on the table, it is mostly about enabling them to change the balance. In this debate, keep on having a simple economic model in your mind. If you are asking industry to spend money on research and development and you look at the amount of spend, you look at the return they expect to get and you discount it for risk, if the answer of the sum is zero or minus zero they are not going to do it, it is as simple as that. The discussion is about changing that equation. There are various ways it can be done, mostly by reducing uncertainty in some way or by increasing economic leverage. Where we have got to in the Committee is we have got five or six recommendations. We are going to have a final look at them at the beginning of January and report back to the Industrial Council. We have only had a couple of meetings and come out with significant agreement. Mostly it is about being clear on looking at export potential, yes, giving some form of supportive commitment when industry is going forward and helping them with applications of intellectual property on a wider marketplace, seeing what we can do for them in the States and so forth. There are areas like that where we are exploring and mostly, as I say, what they choose to bring up to us is enabling assistance from Government. I do think there is a fruitful territory that we can develop.

  Lord Drayson: SMEs are going to be very important to this. That is another thing which we have not talked about much.

  Chairman: We will come on to that very briefly.

  Willie Rennie: I think we have covered most of the issues if you want to move on.

  Q104  Mr Jenkin: Can I just ask a short supplementary on technology. In the discussions with the United States about technology sharing, do people over there express anxiety about us sharing technology with our European partners and, therefore, the United Kingdom is potentially a leak into Europe?

  Lord Drayson: Yes, they have expressed that concern.

  Q105  Mr Jenkin: What do you have to say in order to reassure them?

  Lord Drayson: "No, we do not".

  Q106  Chairman: That is very satisfactory.

  Lord Drayson: It is very important the United Kingdom respects technology transfer agreements and keeps secrets secret.

  Q107  Chairman: They are convinced by your answer?

  Lord Drayson: We have signed the MoU, Chairman.

  Q108  Mr Jenkin: They are not worried about the role of the European Defence Agency in attempting to harmonise defence procurement in the EU?

  Lord Drayson: No-one has specifically mentioned to me a concern about the European Defence Agency.

  Q109  Willie Rennie: Just one more question: the US are very good at research and development investment, and they seem to be improving even more. Are you concerned about that gap and do you think we can catch up with the United States in defence?

  Lord Drayson: I think we need to recognise that is the nature of the very different sizes in the markets but there are many examples, both within defence and within a number of industries. If you look at the pharmaceutical industry, this country spends considerably less on pharmaceutical research than the United States but in terms of the bang per buck we get for the research that we do spend, it is considerably higher. The UK is the world number two in pharmaceuticals and world number two in terms of defence. It is about making sure that we spend the money that we do spend as efficiently as possible but making sure, also, that we are spending enough, which relates to the comments I made earlier, and being innovative in the relationship which we put in place to deliver this.

  Q110  Willie Rennie: The SBAC have said that the Defence Technology Strategy "...does not give a picture which is sufficiently complete for industry to make the investment decisions". Have you addressed those concerns? Is that part of what you were saying?

  Lord Drayson: The Defence Technology Strategy is a pretty thick document, full of clarity but a lot of stuff in defence technology we have to keep secret. This is all unclassified, there is a lot of defence technology science which is classified which we cannot publish in a document like this. This has gone far further than we have ever been able to go before and I think that is recognised.

  Q111  Willie Rennie: Can you address those concerns?

  Lord Drayson: Yes, we need to. I think it is the nature of the job that we do, and a lot of what we do in defence science and technology has to stay secret. In so far as we can give that information to industry we are doing that and we need to continually test what more can we give which is a greater level of clarity to enable the industry to know what we want. I think it is a pretty impressive level of detail already.

  Q112  Willie Rennie: Having said I am finished I have got one more. The Defence Manufacturers Association said that the MoD will have to significantly increase its contribution to defence research rather than necessarily industry. Do you think that is the case?

  Lord Drayson: We have got to do this together, that is the answer. It is about getting an agreed framework on risk and return, how that is shared and, as importantly, cutting out the waste. All this defence research in the end is about getting military capability, doing a better job for the Armed Forces. It is about the process of innovation too, how good is industry and the Ministry of Defence at getting science and technology through to military capability on the frontline. I think there it is about avoiding wasted effort, killing projects off early if they are not going well, having a good process for the management of innovation and that is about learning from other industries which use other techniques alongside the one which defence has used hitherto to manage innovation more effectively.

  Q113  Chairman: There is just one question which I think industry does not fully understand, namely how industry is to be incentivised to spend more on research and technology. Can you explain that?

  Lord Drayson: In the end it is about the Ministry of Defence paying a higher profit margin where industry has taken a risk.

  Q114  Chairman: You will get that past the Treasury?

  Lord Drayson: Yes, because I think that is the basis of how innovation works in every other industry. It needs to happen within defence because we need to incentivise people to think for themselves about what the future threats might be, to use their brains to come up with solutions and, if they are right, and we use that technology, we bring it through to the frontline, then they are rewarded for the risk they have taken, exactly as Amyas said, it is reflected in what is the discounted value of money for the risk that they have taken and provide them with an adequate return. What that means is the Ministry of Defence has to differentiate between research that the MoD has directed and paid for, for which there is zero risk for industry, therefore a lower return, and those areas where MoD has not funded it, has benefited from industry and industry's shareholders taking a risk and for which it therefore has to pay a higher return. Yes, we have to take that through, convince the Treasury that provides value for money and I believe we can make that case effectively.

  Q115  Mr Hamilton: One of the things I think is quite important, listening to what you are saying, is the number of things you have clarified in my mind, which has been very refreshing because on many occasions when we leave the Defence Committee I am still puzzled by the answers we are given and have to refer back to them all the time. Could we continue that theme that you have just finished on. In your foreword you refer to small and medium companies and enterprises, how important they are. When I have been going around Scotland and different places in the United Kingdom talking to the supply chain, I am quite shocked in some cases to find how risk averse the major companies are and how they are able to pass it on to the SMEs and they do it quite regularly. The SMEs are in a position where they cannot complain formally because they need the business and therefore they have that problem to deal with major companies. You have indicated on two or three occasions in your answers about how important the relationship is between yourselves and the larger companies and the relationship with SMEs. How do you clarify that and how are you able to ensure that small and medium enterprises are not mitigated against?

  Lord Drayson: We are very mindful of that. We recognise that there is always the temptation for the big companies at the top to vertically integrate and suck out the profitability from the supply chain. Where we have this inter-dependence between us as the customer and that sector it is very important for us as a customer to have a healthy supply chain. Therefore, when we are entering into long-term agreements, partnership agreements with the prime contractors, we recognise that we need top level systems integration prime contractors in this country. The contracts we enter into have to make sure that those contractors look after their supply chain. We are doing that in two ways. One, in the contracts we judge the contractor by how well it can explain to us what its supply chain is. You would be surprised some of them are not as good as you would hope at being able to explain to you the technology tree, where does all this stuff come from and what are the key inter-dependencies. You find, when you look at these supply chains, there will be a small company employing 50-100 people doing a very clever thing which if that company disappears your ability to do the whole thing is hugely affected. That is the first thing: do they understand the supply chain and, secondly, put in place the contractual elements to make sure that they are incentivised to fairly develop that supply chain. That is about us making it easy, as easy as we can, for people to start up a business within the defence industry. Last Friday the SBAC announced their supply chain initiative, SC21, which sets out executive guidelines. It spells out to you, "If you want to get into the defence industry as a small company this is how you go about doing it and these are the things to think about in your relationships both with the MoD as customer and with your supply chain". It is about rewarding those companies at the top for looking after the supply chain properly. It is about training, motivating and developing the teams that report to David Gould and Amyas Morse, having an understanding of the commercial structure, having an understanding of the supply chain—we need people in the MoD who understand the supply chain properly—and then rewarding good behaviour and penalising bad behaviour.

  Q116  Mr Hamilton: Notwithstanding the fact that you deal with a major contractor at the time, how do you do a check to make sure that is being done?

  Mr Gould: We oblige them to tell us what their supply chain is and how they are treating them. The more we move into these long-term improvement arrangements with contractors the stronger we are able to do that. The other thing we can do is in particular use parts of the research programme which we compete which give us much more information about where innovation is taking place inside the supply chain. It is not just "tell us", but it is "why are you using big company, why are you using that particular technology, why did you not choose that, what was the basis of your choice", so we become much better informed about how we do it. I certainly do find, talking to small and indeed medium sized companies, who need to innovate to get into the supply chain, to get into business with the big prime contractors, you find that when you ask them "How much of your profit do you reinvest in research and technology" the answer is much more positive, much higher levels of reinvestment in medium-sized companies than you find in the big primes. That has to be a major part of any programme or project manager's skill, in particular the support they get from the commercial staff to make sure those right questions are being asked all the way through.

  Mr Morse: The only thing I would add is as to transparency, going forward we are going to be requiring transparency so we can see into our major suppliers and know that they are applying what they said to us they would do.

  Q117  Mr Hamilton: You are checking it?

  Mr Morse: Yes.

  Q118  Chairman: It is now 12.47 and I would quite like to stop. We could ask questions about munitions but I suspect it would probably be best to write rather than to do that because I know David Borrow and Adam Holloway want to pursue some lines on that. We have asked a lot of questions and there are a lot of questions we will ask in writing.[5] We are most grateful to you all for coming. I am sorry some of you have not been cross-questioned asclosely as I know you would have liked! Minister, thank you very much indeed to you and your team for an excellent session. It has been very helpful.

  Lord Drayson: Thank you very much, Chairman.


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