Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 120-131)

MR BILL JEFFREY CB AND MR TREVOR WOOLLEY

24 OCTOBER 2006

  Q120  Linda Gilroy: Is there a human relations programme to work with them to find other employment if they are not in a position to move?

  Mr Jeffrey: Yes, there is.

  Q121  Mr Jones: As to relocation, it impacts not just on individuals but on those towns or communities from which they are moving. What discussions are you having with either the DTI or regional development agencies in those areas to minimise the impact of the relocation of jobs out of those areas?

  Mr Jeffrey: We are certainly in touch through the regional offices and the regional development agencies about the impact in their regions, and I am keen that we should be. I believe that often within the Civil Service we tend to overlook the extent to which in the regions and in large cities and localities there are a number of different government departments involved and we can at the very least within government be thinking imaginatively about how to find other roles for people within the locality.

  Q122  Linda Gilroy: When there are redundancies of over 100, which are termed "large scale", does the DTI not normally swing into action in a very positive way alongside what you are doing as the MoD?

  Mr Jeffrey: It does, but if we can we are keen to avoid redundancies in this case. Among other things, that implies looking not just at other opportunities with the MoD but within the Civil Service.

  Q123  Mr Jones: One matter which generates press headlines on a regular basis is write-offs and losses. Obviously, you do not get headlines when you reduce the losses but only when they go up. A modicum of good news in these accounts is that there has been a fall of 36% in 2004-05. What other measures are you taking to ensure that the reduction in losses continues? Have you learnt any lessons in the past 12 months that you can project forward to help reduce this?

  Mr Jeffrey: One feature of this is that because we report impending write-offs in the year in which we get to know of them and they appear year after year as prospective write-offs in the future this Committee has an opportunity to have a go at us every year. I do not want to claim any special credit for having got the figure down. The fact is that in an organisation as large as this for good as well as bad reasons it is sometimes the case that expenditure incurred sensibly at the time, and in the knowledge held at the time, turns out to written off. That figure will never be zero. We are keen that it should be as low as it can be.

  Q124  Mr Jones: What are you doing to ensure that it is as low as possible?

  Mr Jeffrey: We try to take prudent decisions of a kind that further down the track will not lead us to conclude that there is no option but to discontinue something and lose some money in the process.

  Mr Woolley: One of the key roles of our audit committees in respect of each of our agencies and top level budgets, as well as the Defence Audit Committee, is to review losses reported in that business area. These audit committees are becoming much more active than they were some years ago in examining the causes of these loss reports and seeing whether there are lessons to be learnt, although as the Permanent Secretary said, in many cases it is perfectly legitimate that losses should be incurred because they represent valid management decisions.

  Q125  Mr Jones: But some of the major ones are write-offs because of cancellation of projects. Are there any other big ones in the pipeline that we may be looking at in future years? We will not reach the point when it will be said that a project will never be cancelled, but what are you doing to ensure that projects are more robust so that they will not be cancelled?

  Mr Jeffrey: The lesson learnt over many years is that principally there should be greater investment in the early feasibility stage. That money may itself end up being written off, but certainly there is a lot of evidence—there is argument about the exact percentage; some say it is 15%—that by careful investment of resources at the preliminary stage it is possible to proof the project against subsequent failure to a greater degree than we have sometimes done in the past. Obviously, such level of expenditure is not itself free of risk.

  Q126  Chairman: Towards the beginning of this evidence session you said that you understood in the past year that you had to create enough space both administratively and within the equipment programme. Does it imply that you need to create a space by cancelling something?

  Mr Jeffrey: Not necessarily. I think it implies that we need to look hard at our programme, which is what we are doing at this time of year anyway as we approach the spending review next year, and in doing so we need to be conscious that, given recent experience, it would be wise to find some way to create enough contingency to be able to react as swiftly as we would wish. Whether particular outcomes flow from that depends on how successful we are in managing the rest of the programme, delivering efficiencies and the outcome of the spending review.

  Q127  Chairman: Therefore, is it right that space within the equipment programme means either cancelling an existing programme or increasing the size of the contingency?

  Mr Jeffrey: It means managing the programme in such a way that as we get into the period of spend it is not so circumscribed that we are limited in what we can do in the short term.

  Q128  Chairman: Given what the Prime Minister said, is the Treasury signed up to that?

  Mr Jeffrey: The Treasury is signed up to and has been delivering on looking at those short-term requirements that we can properly describe as unforeseen operational requirements in a positive fashion. That is what we have been doing. Particularly in view of what the Prime Minister said, I have no reason to suppose that that is not what they will continue to do. When it comes to the longer term size of the defence budget one would not expect Treasury Ministers to be other than cautious ahead of the discussions that they are due to have.

  Q129  Chairman: When you say that the money should not be too circumscribed, essentially it is circumscribed by the Treasury, is it not?

  Mr Jeffrey: Of course, the Budget is the Budget. Our responsibility is to manage the Budget and the equipment programme within it and find as many efficiencies as we can. You mentioned that you would be writing to us about that section of the report dealing with efficiencies which is a very important part of it. 16

  Q130  Chairman: I am thinking particularly about the validation of the efficiencies, because when you came before us last year you produced a lot of efficiencies which proved to be invalid.

  Mr Jeffrey: As it transpired, last year we overestimated the efficiencies that would flow from logistics and changes in the DLO. This year, in part because I was conscious of the attention that you had given this subject last year I was very clear that the department needed to do its auditing of the DLO savings well ahead of this hearing.

  Q131  Chairman: It is unfair of us not to ask you the question.

  Mr Jeffrey: I am slightly disappointed that you did not ask the question—now is my chance—because we have done the audit and are able to be much further along than we were. As a matter of fact, this year it has moved the other way. Our auditors have found that, if anything, at the point when the report was published in the range that we gave we had slightly underestimated the efficiencies in the DLO, but perhaps I ought to write to you about that and give you details. 17

  Chairman: That would be very helpful. We have given you a fairly hard time on several issues. I always think that this is the most testing evidence session of anybody that we conduct during the course of the year because you are required to answer for everything that the Ministry of Defence does and are expected to do so in detail with the accounts before you. Last year you had the ability to say that you had only just arrived, although you did not then take advantage of that opportunity very much. I am extremely grateful to both of you for going into the detail that you have been able to provide but also for the commitment to write to us about various other matters and for giving evidence this morning.

16 See Ev 34, para 13.

17 Ibid.





 
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