Select Committee on Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 260 - 279)

MONDAY 16 OCTOBER 2006

MRS MARIANN FISCHER BOEL, MR KLAUS-DIETER BORCHARDT AND MR JOHN BENSTED-SMITH

  Q260  Chairman: That could just be absolutely right.

  Mrs Fischer Boel: I try to be very polite here today. I could give you examples of Member States that have been using to the full the possibility of the rural development schemes. Austria is a very good example because they have had very little direct payment because of their previous contributions to the output from the agricultural sector and therefore they had to do something else and they targeted from the very beginning the rural development policy. Because I think the rural development policy is so important and because I feel that nobody disagrees with me, I was so disappointed when I experienced last December that the heads of state had decided to cut €20 billion off my budget for rural development policy. Obviously they did not have any other good ideas for savings than the rural development policy but I think this was a wrong signal to send. Therefore we need to continue this transfer into the Second Pillar.

  Q261  Mrs Moon: I would like to pick up the issue of food security. The Vision document is putting up the argument that we do not necessarily need direct payments to bring food security standards to European citizens. Where do you stand on this? Do you think we need direct payments to farmers to ensure food security and safety for the European Union?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: In the present stalled WTO negotiations we had discussions with some of the members of the WTO on the specific costs that we have in European agriculture, the so-called non-trade concerns. The wages are higher, our care for the environment is considerably higher than some of those countries with whom we will have to compete, and animal welfare is a completely unknown factor in some of the countries that can produce at a very low price. Therefore, I think that one way or another we might need a certain level of direct payments to finance these so-called non-trade concerns, and then maybe have building blocks from the rural development policy to build on top of the direct payment but at lower levels than we know it today, that is obvious to everybody, and that is what we need to convey to the sector, that there will be changes after 2013.

  Q262  Mrs Moon: I wonder how much you feel that the Commission does and should involve itself in non-food production issues such as logistics and the actual moving around of food throughout the European Union. Is that something that the Commission should become further involved in and should take an interest in?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: It is quite clear that the whole possibility of agriculture to contribute to the renewable energy production has been highlighted much more efficiently than we have ever seen before after the situation last winter where there was suddenly a shortage of energy in Europe. We have had this discussion previously with the Biomass Action Plan that was published last year and within DG Agriculture we have launched a plan for bio-ethanol production where we will push this production to see whether it is possible to make it more interesting for farmers to produce renewable energies. We have a scheme of €45 per hectare available for farmers that want to go into renewable energy production. On bio-diesel we are at this stage competitive with oil. We can produce bio-diesel at about $60 per barrel but when we talk about the first generation of bio-ethanol produced on cereals we cannot compete with the present price. The calculations that we have made estimate about $90 per barrel for bio-ethanol but we are investing heavily in research in this area as well. I can only support the possibility of agriculture to be deliverable for renewable energies . We have some targets for mixing into the transport sector with 2% to be part of the fuel mix in 2005, last year, and a target of 5.75% in 2010, and then I think 8% in 2013, but we are not at all there. The only Member State that has really been pushing this is Germany. We are now discussing at the end of this year whether we will make these targets mandatory and if this is the final solution then we will really boost the production. If we should meet 5.75% mix in renewable energies from agriculture in the transport sector we would need 80 million hectares out of 104 million which is the total amount. I do not think this is possible and therefore we have to rely to a certain extent on imported bio-ethanol from some of the big suppliers, very competitive suppliers. I think it would be a mix of domestic production and imports. Then we have to make specific efforts in the second generation of bio-ethanol where you can produce ethanol on waste, on slurry, on manure, on straw, all these products that are not used specifically nor of high value today. Yes, there are possibilities and I encourage the sector to produce, and, of course, on the condition that the Member States support it, but at this stage you cannot produce ethanol without a willingness from the finance ministers.

  Q263  Mr Williams: You quite rightly identified the extra costs that European farmers suffer as a result of society's expectations in terms of environmental protection and animal welfare and the direct payments they receive mitigate against those extra costs, but European farmers also have extra costs in comparison with other producers in the southern hemisphere as a result of climatic and geographic disadvantages. It does seem that post-2013 if they lose the direct payments and also lose the protection of tariffs the outlook for European agriculture is going to be particularly difficult. Beef tariffs at the moment still run, I think, at £1.70 a kilo plus 10% of the value of the product. Has any work been done about the outlook if both those forms of protection are removed in terms of food production?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: But that is exactly what I miss in the UK paper. There are no background explanations of how you conclude as you do in this paper. That is why these impact assessments will be from my point of view needed, because with the estimations that we have on the consequences of a totally liberalised situation with no direct payments, with zero tariffs, most European farmers will be kicked out of the market.

  Q264  Mr Williams: Most reform of the Common Agricultural Policy has taken place as a result of international trade negotiations, internal budgetary pressure from the EU itself and enlargement. At the moment the Doha Round has stalled, the budget has been fixed to 2013 and with Romania and Bulgaria coming in that will be the end of enlargement in the very near future. What pressure exists, do you think, for fundamental reform from some of the nation states? Some nation states would like to see a fundamental reform in the 2007-08 review.

  Mrs Fischer Boel: First of all, on the stalled Doha Round, I hope that we will manage after the mid-term elections in the United States to bring these negotiations back on track. I think it will be to the benefit of the European Union as a whole. We have agriculture but we have services and we have industrial products as well, so clearly a balanced outcome is to be preferred. If we do not take this window of opportunity which might be seen after the new year for a fairly short period, I think, then we will face a situation where the next possibility will be when the next administration in the United States takes office and that is 2009. The world is not standing still. Even if there is no reform I am quite sure that we will face problems in Europe and in the United States from meeting panels from Member States. There will be extreme pressure on our export refunds to be phased out anyway, and then in 2009 it will be a completely new reform because I am not sure we will manage to sell the CAP reform from 2003 again in 2009 and export refunds. If possible, therefore, we should take advantage of finalising these negotiations at this stage. On the mid-term review of the financial perspectives, yes, I am sure there will be pressure on reforming agriculture again, but I remember clearly 2002 when heads of state agreed on a budget for agriculture in Brussels. They set a limit on the expenditures. Actually, it is a decreasing ceiling because the inflation rate is calculated at 1% and as it is two then it is a natural decrease and we finance also Romania and Bulgaria underneath this ceiling. I think that if we cannot stick to an agreement by heads of state it will be difficult to plan anything for the future. We need to have a political discussion on that occasion on the future to send clear signals: yes, there will be cuts in the direct payments but this is not going to take place until after 2013, so let us have a fair planning period and let us put on the table and discuss the consequences of all these ideas: the intervention system, the quota systems, more rural development policy, et cetera. I think this will be a huge opportunity, to take this discussion in due time and not at five minutes to 12.

  Q265  Mr Williams: I am sorry to press you on this, but in Finland you made it very clear that you see 2007-08 as a review rather than a major radical reform, and I think you said it would be a health review, not an amputation, which I thought was a very good way of looking at it. Yet when Commissioner Fischler, your predecessor, introduced the mid-term review, we did not expect such a radical reform as we received and there is concern that there will be a radical reform, the outcome of which is unclear at the moment. Perhaps you would like to reaffirm your commitment to a lighter touch rather than a more radical approach.

  Mrs Fischer Boel: I was very careful when I chose the name of this health check because I had memories of being a minister in Denmark at the time when this mid-term review became a completely new reform, which was good, but nobody had prepared themselves for such radical reforms. Therefore, yes, let us have a discussion on the health check but it is not a new reform. We have to digest the 2003 reform with the possibilities of simplifying. I think we are all interested in making things more simple without losing the idea behind cross-compliance, for example. Yes, it is a health check and you were in Helsinki so you know why I called it a health check. It is not because you are sick; it is because we all need sometimes to have a check of our blood pressure and whatever to be sure that we are completely fit for the future. That was the reason for choosing that name.

  Q266  Chairman: But I suppose if the check revealed that there was something wrong with the patient you might be forced to take rather quicker action than to send the patient on their way with a pat on the back, saying, "Everything is okay till 2013", so how fundamental is the analysis going to be when you do the health check into how healthy the CAP is? Are you going to produce a document that, if you like, is a review of the state of the health of all or parts of the CAP because you are already agreed, for example, to reassess the dairy regime, the implementation of the single farm payments and certain other specific items, but it would not take much more work to go and do a complete check on how the whole thing is working? How far is this check going to go?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: We committed ourselves in the reforms to making these health checks on specific areas such as the cross-compliance and the decoupling, and we can add a number of the items that we want to look into as well, simplification, for example. It is not a one-off discussion; I think it is an ongoing exercise, how can we make things more simple. Then I said, "Let us look at the set-aside. Is that interesting or important or necessary in the situation where you have the decoupled system?". They are two separate exercises but they are running in parallel and back-to-back if possible, but that depends on the discussion on the treaty. Will we have a discussion on the treaty in 2008 or, if this discussion on a new treaty is running into the mid-term review of the budget, then I think it could be difficult to have a serious discussion on specific issues. I think that if you have good ideas on the health check do not hesitate. I have invited all the European young farmers to a conference in Brussels next May to hear their views on what needs to be done now and what is the view for the future because they are very entrepreneurial and very ready to face the challenges for the future.

  Chairman: We are glad already that we have sold at least one copy of the report that will come out of these discussions.

  Q267  Lynne Jones: How is the notion of a health check compatible with the wide-ranging financial review?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: On the health check it is based on the commitments that we made on the reforms—on the reform in 2003, the big one, on the Mediterranean products in 2004, we made a sugar reform in 2005, and we will look into how does it work, how does it function, where do we need to change.

  Q268  Lynne Jones: At the same time as a wide-ranging review that affects the CAP is there not going to be pressure for more major reforms than are implied by a health check?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: Of course, from some Member States and others there will be a huge resistance, a horror of touching the ceiling of the 2002 agreement and sticking to the fact that yes, we committed ourselves to a reform on the condition that we had this planning period up till 2013 on the budget. We need to send clear political signals in 2009 on what the future will be like. They are two different exercises and that is why I say one vision but two steps. They might be going back-to-back but they are two different steps. If we do not introduce our ideas for the future, and the future again is 2013, then others will decide for us. I feel more competent than some others to have ideas and to send clear political signals. Then these will be discussed in the Council because I do not decide; I can just propose ideas to be discussed and then the majority in the Council decides at the end of the day what is going to happen. It is clear when you look into the Council meetings that there are huge differences of opinion on what needs to be done. There are some Member States that are very reluctant to discuss anything and there are others that are very open to having a new reform in 2009. Therefore we have to find the right balance. This is the obligation from the Commission, to present something that is long-lasting (and long-lasting is until 2009) with the necessary changes because if we send signals in 2009 that there will be no prolongation of the quota system in the dairy sector the value of these quotas will be decreasing over the period. If farmers know that there will be fewer direct payments available after 2013 then you can imagine that the value of the land will be decreasing, not dramatically, I think, but you adapt to a new situation because you have had the capitalisation of the direct payment more or less into the value of the land, so nobody would be taken by surprise but they can adapt their investments, their considerations for the future, in a decent way.

  Q269  Lynne Jones: I understand all those arguments but if at the end of the day there is a fundamental review of the budget, unless it is going to agriculture, agriculture being the biggest area of expenditure, it is inevitably going to have a knock-on effect. You are determined to resist such pressure, I gather, and you would hope that the outcome of the review would not bring in any major changes to your budget.

  Mrs Fischer Boel: But would you expect me to lie down on the ground and say, "Yes, I am willing to give 50% of my budget to reduce the British rebate"? That is what we are talking about.

  Q270  Lynne Jones: How do you see the balance moving though in the next couple of years? Where does the power lie within the Commission?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: It is two years since I took office and I feel a much more open mind to discuss changes in the agricultural sector than I did two years ago, and I think this is a huge positive approach, that you do not say, "No, we do not want to discuss it". Yes, Member States want to discuss it in a much more open and transparent way than previously because I want to give this predictability to the sector and not decide or keep my cards so close to my body that nobody knows what I intend to do. You could feel in Helsinki and during the informal meeting that there was not the automatic pilot resistance to discussing changes, and that I think is very positive.

  Q271  Mr Drew: But there are those who have to undergo much more radical surgery and they are the new entrants and the potential new entrants. In what way are we looking at quite a difficult process in as much as you cannot pretend that the existing Community can do things by apparently trying to rationalise what it has done in the past and change because there are those new countries that are going to find that very difficult to encompass?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: We have now introduced a new rural development policy for the next period up till 2013 and there is a variety of different possibilities compared to what you saw previously. You have this different axis of rural development policy where we are much more diversified than ever before. We have now introduced innovation into the rural development policy to give clear signals that this is very important for the future. Let us continue to make things more simple. We have a SAP system in the new Member States, a simplified system, which I think they should keep because it is the simplest way for paying money that you link the same payment to all the hectares, the same level. This is crucial.

  Q272  Mr Rogerson: Commissioner, you have said that you put simplifying the policy at the top of your agenda. Do you think that the universal adoption of a flat rate system and a moving away from a historic based payments system is part of that simplification process?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: Trying to imagine a situation in 2017 where you are going to explain why there are entitlements of different value because the former owner of this farm occasionally had a dairy production in 2001 I think will be difficult. Therefore, one of the discussions that we should have on the mid-term review of the budget is, should we be targeting a much more flat rate system with our payments, and I presume it would be very well accepted everywhere to try and make things more simple. There will, of course, be a resistance to this discussion because simplification sometimes means that all the privileges that you have been putting into some areas once upon a time, historical based from 2000 to 2002, will disappear and they are not very fond of getting rid of their specific profitable rules linked to a previous production but I think we need to have this discussion, so yes, I am in favour of having a discussion on whether it is possible to go towards a more flat rate system and that is the reason why I have been very willing to prolong the possibilities for the new Member States to keep their SAPS system, their simplified direct payment system.

  Q273  Mr Rogerson: Do you think that a logical extension of that would be to move towards a common hectare payment across the Union ultimately?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: Across all the European Union? But then you would make it even more difficult. If you could make a flat rate system, a single farm payment system, within the Member States linked to the original calculations on the output then I think it would be a huge step forward. It is too early to imagine that you could have the same flat rate all over Europe. If we can just make it a flat rate country by country it would be a huge contribution to the simplification.

  Q274  Chairman: But how are you going to answer those Danish farmers that we met who said, "Please do not forget it is more difficult to farm here. The costs are higher than in the easier areas of other parts of the Community" with a flat rate scheme?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: You must know that now I am the Commissioner for the European Union and not the Danish Minister.

  Q275  Chairman: I should have said Finnish farmers. You heard them at the meeting. I apologise; it should have been Finland.

  Mrs Fischer Boel: I am also very cautious when you mention Danish farmers.

  Q276  Chairman: You carry on being cautious, but let us move a bit north; I got it wrong. Finland—they made that point very clearly, that they believed that they had special circumstances which merited additional support, so a flat rate scheme would not be easy as soon as you have a long queue with exceptions.

  Mrs Fischer Boel: With a flat rate system you would need a rural development policy to facilitate the specific difficulties that you might face, for example, in the very northern part of Finland where it is quite clear that the summer is very much shorter than you see in other parts of the European Union, but, of course, there are differences in production. If you ask a Portuguese farmer he will say, "Of course you have difficulties up in the northern part of Finland but I have difficulties here. I have no rain, I have droughts, and therefore my production facilities are very difficult and very different from the major part of Europe". You need one way or another to embrace these very diversified possibilities for production within the European Union. A rural development policy targeted to the specificities of different Member States could solve these problems, I am quite sure.

  Q277  Sir Peter Soulsby: Commissioner, can I return to the issue that you touched on earlier amidst concerns about land abandonment and related environmental issues? There was something that we heard very strongly from Commission officials in January when we visited and heard subsequently when we visited both France and Germany, and no doubt you have heard it elsewhere as well. Am I right in understanding that this is a very specific concern that you have about the UK Government's vision for the future, that there are issues there that perhaps have not been adequately thought through?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: If you try to make an impact assessment on the consequences of the UK paper with no direct payment, with zero tariffs, free access, then I am quite sure we would see a situation where first of all the least developed countries would face huge difficulties. Sometimes you think that you solve their problems by reducing tariffs within the European Union, but the fact is that the least developed countries in the world, the 50 poorest countries in the world, today have free access to the European market, zero tariffs and no limits on quotas, so they can sell today. The more you lower the tariffs the more they will say, "We face erosion of preferences". I am so sure that Benin will never be able to compete with Brazil in a situation where you lower the tariffs. Therefore you have to be a bit careful when you say, "Lower tariffs. It is always better for the developing countries". Yes, for the most developed developing countries it is, but for the poor countries they can today produce whatever they want and sell it into the European Union. By the way, Europe is today by far the biggest importer of agricultural commodities from the least developed countries. We are bigger than Canada, the United States, Japan, Australia and New Zealand all together. We have shown that trade is a possibility to increase the standards of living for these poor countries. If we look internally at what will be the consequences for European Union agriculture with the calculations that our economists have made, it will not be possible in some areas of the European Union such as mountain farming to compete at zero support, at zero tariffs in the future, and that is the reason why if we do not want abandonment of land we need a level of, as you say, direct payment. I have said that we will have a discussion on how low can we go, but if you have no cross-compliance you cannot ask the farmers to keep their land to good environmental standards. I think we should try to find a decent balance and then give time for the farming society to respond to the new situation.

  Q278  Sir Peter Soulsby: To what extent do you think that properly targeted agri-environment schemes under Pillar 2 will have the potential to prevent land abandonment and mitigate environmental consequences?

  Mrs Fischer Boel: If we try to imagine that there is no direct payment then the million dollar question is how much do we need in rural development funding to compensate or to secure that farmers will not leave the most vulnerable areas in Europe? This calculation has never been made but I think you have to face the fact that considerable funding would be necessary in the rural development policy. Therefore, let us have these calculations that I hope have been the basis for these fairly far-reaching proposals. I am clearly in favour of changes. Do not look upon me as a person that does not want to change anything.

  Q279  Lynne Jones: A conservative!

  Mrs Fischer Boel: I am trying to be careful and not offend anyone. You need to be aware that you will be facing changes, so let us decide in due time.


 
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