Select Committee on Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Memorandum Submitted by Tenant Farmers Association (CAP 23)

INTRODUCTION

  1.  The Tenant Farmers Association (TFA) welcomes the opportunity of providing written evidence to the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee as part of its inquiry into the Government's "Vision for the Common Agricultural Policy" report. The report is a detailed piece of work and necessitates a detailed response. However, the TFA acknowledges the constraints the Select Committee needs to impose on those submitting written evidence and has therefore attempted to keep within those limits in preparing this paper. However, we would hope to have the opportunity of expanding on this written evidence in an oral evidence session with the Committee.

CONTEXT

  2.  It is important to bear in mind the context for the report which the TFA believes to have been the EU budget debate on-going through the British Presidency of the European Union through the second half of last year. The UK's firm position was that a commitment by Member States to further CAP reform was a necessary prerequisite to a full budget deal. The document was hastily prepared in order to allow Ministers and in particular the Prime Minister to answer questions from other parts of the Union on what the UK meant by further CAP reform particularly as the EU had just been through the most major CAP reform in its history.

  3.  What resulted was a commitment only to a review of the CAP in 2008-09 which, we understand, is already built in to the 2003 reform in any case. Therefore little was gained through the publication of this document in any real political sense.

  4.  Despite the fact that the primary goal of the document failed it remains in our view a very important document. This is not because it breaks new ground in fact the TFA finds little which is new within the document. The themes, policies and proposals are those with which we have become well acquainted in our on-going discussions with Defra and wider Government. However, we believe for the first time, the document goes into a greater level of detail than ever before enabling us to have a clearer view of the Government's deeper thinking and to have a more informed debate with the Government about the future of the CAP.

QUALITY OF LIFE

  5.  The report starts with the premise that the aim of any change in the CAP must be to improve the quality of life "for all" (paragraph 1.2). This is a high goal to which to aspire and one that the TFA supports to a point—but we should not underestimate the difficulties in achieving it. It means that farmers, consumers, taxpayers, and populations in third countries should all benefit from any change. At the very least the TFA would want to be assured that any change in policy would not be to the detriment of the farming community as has so often been the case with past reforms. The farming community has experienced a significant reduction in quality of life of late through, amongst other things, the increasing burden of regulation, reduced returns and longer working hours. Looking further into the Government's document we do not believe that it will be possible for the Government to achieve its aspirations without causing greater hardship the farming community. This is partly due to the naivety of some of the assumptions made by the Government and partly because of the Government's unwillingness to tackle issues such as regulation, supermarket dominance and the lack of a free and fair market place.

  6.  We are also, somewhat concerned with the concept that the quality of life of existing generations should be constrained to ensure that we do not compromise the quality of life of future generations. The TFA does not necessarily share the view that the quality of life for future generations needs to be given a higher priority than the quality of life of existing generations. We do not know what technological advances will be made to benefit future generations and we should not be judging their needs against the technology that exists today.

GLOBALISATION

  7.  The report claims that the CAP is out of step with the need for Europe to respond to the challenges of globalisation (paragraph 1.4). However, this is not the only challenge that Europe currently faces or will face in the future. It is written here as if it is perhaps the most important challenge, however in the view of the TFA there may be more important challenges above it. In particular the challenge of feeding a world population which is set to see exponential growth over the next 50 years. It seems strange to be reducing the EU's food producing capacity (as these reforms will do) in the face of such an immediate challenge.

  8.  There is also the concern about increasing global terrorism and the surety we have in our supply lines in the face of threats to our nation and its food security. The Government seems little concerned by potential problems of food security (see paragraphs 3.41 to 3.50 of the report). In a footnote to paragraph 3.44 the report states that the current level of self sufficiency in indigenous food and drink in the UK is 76.9%. The report does not set out the level of self sufficiency that would worry the Government. The reforms envisaged by the report will lead to a large reduction in UK and European agricultural production which will lead to a worsening of the self sufficiency ratio. If the ratio fell to under 50% should this not be cause for concern?

  9.  The Government sets out its vision for agriculture over the next 10-15 years (paragraph 1.5) and food security/self sufficiency does not feature. Whilst the TFA would accept that there is a need to ensure that European agriculture is internationally competitive, it is also important to ensure that strategically we have the basis upon which to secure our food supplies into the medium and long term.

CONSUMER COSTS

  10.  The report often makes the assumption that consumers will benefit from cheaper food prices through CAP reform (for example paragraphs 1.6, 1.11 and 2.10). We disagree with the view that substantial costs are incurred by consumers through the CAP. Whilst we accept that tariff barriers keep international prices artificially higher than they would otherwise be, the TFA believes this is not transferred into higher consumer costs. Retail prices are hammered down by the operation of the retail market within Europe and in particular the UK such that prices to the consumer are already at unsustainably low levels in comparison to the costs of production. The TFA does not believe that loss of the CAP would lead to a reduction in consumer prices.

  11.  However, there may be a greater degree of price volatility if we have to rely more heavily on a fickle world market where structural shifts in demand or supply due to weather, war or other unpredictable events impact on both supply and demand.

  12.  Paragraph 1.17 develops further the idea that consumer prices are maintained at artificially high levels by virtue of the CAP. However, even a cursory glance at recent figures shows that international factors do have a great bearing on the prices of some of the major internationally traded commodities including cereals, beef and sheep meat. It is incorrect to say that much of EU agriculture is "largely insulated" from world market forces.

  13.  Therefore, the TFA does not share the conclusion as set out in paragraph 1.6 that CAP reform will necessarily lead to cheaper, more diverse and better quality produce. The Association believes that the linkages between support, production and consumption are more complex than that and are worthy of a more detailed analysis than provided for in this report.

ENVIRONMENTAL COSTS

  14.  We also disagree with the statement made at the end of paragraph 1.4 that the CAP still has a negative impact on the environment. It is too easy for the Government to use such a throw-away remark without providing a more detailed analysis of the interaction between support and the environment. This theme is repeated throughout the report (for example paragraphs 1.9, 1.25, 1.26 and 2.32 to 2.48). The TFA believes that increasingly it is becoming apparent that agriculture support through pillar 1 has a major plus factor on the environment. This is most aptly demonstrated in hill areas where the loss of coupled subsidy on livestock is leading to producers making decisions to de-stock their hill farms. Environmental groups are now becoming increasingly concerned about the environmental damage that that may be caused to sensitive upland landscapes. The TFA shares these concerns but believes that it was the fault of too much anti-CAP propaganda by environmental organisations that has led us to where we are. If there were any environmental costs being incurred by the CAP then decoupling has dealt with them. It is only in the light of that that some of the major benefits of pillar 1 funding to the environment have become clear.

  15.  In paragraph 1.26 the report quotes the misleading line, promulgated by the RSPB that there has been a 50% decrease in the population of farmland birds in the UK between 1977 and 2003 (this is repeated in paragraph 2.38 and by Chart 2.5). In fact, the RSPB has focused on only a small handful of bird species (19 in total) that use agricultural land. When all species of bird that use agricultural land are taken into consideration, the picture shows that there has been an increase in the amount of birds on UK farmland. The Government must be careful not to accept and then to use such partial statistics when justifying its policy stance.

MARKET AND ECONOMIC ISSUES

  16.  Paragraphs 1.13 and 1.14 argue that the CAP is inefficient in providing support to farmers because much of it does not reach them as it is capitalised into land values and taken by others who supply inputs to farming. The TFA accepts that this is an issue. The TFA has long argued that the CAP does create a high cost environment within which production decisions are made. In particular we are greatly concerned about rental costs for land. We have already seen that decoupling has created situations where grass, for example in the South East is being let by owners for zero rent as farmers no longer see the benefit of having extra grazing if their subsidy is no longer dependant on taking that extra ground.

  17.  However, whilst we note the Government's concerns in this area, it is somewhat surprising to us since the Government chose a system to implement the Single Payment Scheme (SPS) which relies more heavily on the linkage to land than others. The TFA argued long for the simple system based on history whereas the Government has chosen a hybrid which, the TFA is concerned, will lead to some of the benefit of the SPS passing to landowners through the link to land and rents.

  18.  It is because of these land effects that the TFA's preferred policy choice is a bond scheme where farmers are provided with a completely decoupled bond which they can either sell in the market place or retain to receive annual payments over a set period of time. The TFA believes that this way of reforming the CAP should have been given more prominence in 2003.

  19.  The TFA is comfortable with the concept of farmers being rewarded by the market so long as the market is fair. However, we know all too well that this is not the case. Certainly in terms of processing and retailing, farmers face two very concentrated sectors as well as a concentrated supply sector. This therefore does not lead to the sort of market movements that would be associated with a more competitive market. This leaves agriculture at a competitive disadvantage in the chain.

  20.  The authors of the report appear to be operating under a misapprehension that the agricultural sector should be treated no differently to other sectors of business. There appears to be a belief that as agricultural returns reduce, the costs faced by agricultural producers will fall and a new equilibrium level of production will be found. However, this is not the case. Farmers are both price takers on their production and on their inputs. Reductions in farm gate prices do not lead to commensurate reductions in input prices. There has been no objective analysis anywhere which proves otherwise. Many of the inputs used by agriculture are oil or chemical based and the prices of those inputs more reflect what is happening in global oil and chemical markets than they do global or domestic agriculture markets. Other costs include labour and land and their levels too have little to do with the profitability of agriculture. Farmers are unable to pass on increasing costs to consumers and are also largely unable to reduce their input costs in the face of declining returns. This seems to be completely missed in the Government's document.

  21.  The vision of a sustainable CAP as set out in paragraph 1.32 of the report falls down on its very first premise. It requires a free, fair and level playing field throughout the EU for farmers to produce and market their goods in a single market as in other sectors of the economy. The TFA believes that this is unachievable for the reasons set out above. We will only begin to approximate a situation where this occurs if we have a major reduction in regulation in Europe, a major levelling of the environmental, animal welfare and public health considerations on a global basis, regulation of supermarkets and reformed competition laws which enable farmers to club together in meaningfully sized marketing groups.

  22.  The TFA is interested in the remarks made in the report (paragraph 1.33) concerning the regulation of land markets. The report does not go into any detail as to the nature such regulation may take. The TFA believes that the Government may be considering some form of regulation through the agricultural tenancy system. The TFA would welcome a further discussion with the Government about what it intends by its suggestion.

  23.  The TFA is greatly alarmed that the Government should be quoting research which is now quite dated to justify its position that the CAP creates economic and fiscal costs on society (paragraphs 2.6-2.11). It quotes research dating from as early as 1985 and as recently as only 2001-05 to 20 years behind the current day situation and certainly pre the last major reform of the CAP in 2003. The position at the end of 2005 when the report was drafted was very different to that viewed by the researchers quoted here.

  24.  In terms of the adjustment process, we have already noted that the market for agricultural commodities does not work in the same way as the market for other commodities. There are also structural issues which need to be borne in mind. Looking at the UK, the report correctly identifies that as much as 45% of the land area of the country may be farmed by individuals who do not own the farms that they run. Many of these individuals will be in rented accommodation which they could not very easily do without if they had decided to give up their businesses. The TFA believes that there are many individuals on farm tenancies that are stuck in farming. As they do not have the necessary resources, they are unable to make the rational economic decision to leave farming. Housing is a particular problem in this regard. That is why the TFA has long supported a retirement scheme which would help with the transition of getting older, perhaps less efficient, farmers to leave the industry with dignity whilst providing opportunities for new entrants.

SOCIAL ISSUES

  25.  The report argues that farm support is not justified because farm households are not necessarily the poorest in Europe particularly when compared with some employed households and households without employment (paragraph 1.15). The TFA believes this completely misses the point since farm households are characterised by entrepreneurs, businesses and risk takers whereas the comparison is made with those with or without employment who are not entrepreneurs and who do not take investment risks. Agriculture provides a basket of benefits to society and it is a shame that the Government feels it appropriate to make comparisons in this way which do not adequately reflect the contribution that agriculture makes to society.

ISSUES FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

  26.  The report makes what is now a well-worn assertion that the CAP damages the poorest countries in the world (paragraph 1.20). The TFA does not accept this broad-brush analysis. In the first instance the EU has developed a complex system of trade preferences for some of the less well-off countries on the globe. This is most aptly demonstrated through the sugar regime which has now been reformed by the Council of Ministers. Many of the least developed countries complained that their coveted trade preferences would be seriously devalued following the reduction in the EU's internal price. Because of this, the EU had to put in place a complex mechanism of compensation payments to the African, Caribbean and Pacific Countries with which they had trade preferences in place. All this as a result of CAP reform. These countries did not see reform in the sugar sector as a plus point.

  27.  The TFA has not seen any evidence which shows the CAP has a significant impact on developing country agricultural markets. In the light of the 2003 reforms, which will see a reduction in EU output, the TFA believes that this is now very much a non-issue.

INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE

  28.  The report looks at international experience and tries to draw significant parallels with the process of reform in New Zealand in the mid-1980's. However, agricultural reforms in New Zealand were coupled with a devaluation of the country's currency and a massive reduction in the amount of on-farm regulation. It was for those reasons that the reform process in New Zealand was successful and whilst the Government is clearly keen to see a reduction in support for agricultural activity it would be extremely unlikely for it to want to roll back the amount of regulation or to devalue the currency in the way that New Zealand did.

EXPORTING OUR ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS

  29.  The TFA is greatly concerned that in reducing our dependence on domestic production and increasing our reliance on imports from countries that do not sure our high, self imposed, environmental standards that we simply export environmental problems overseas. The report seems little concerned with this save only in relation to those environmental costs which have global implications (paragraphs 3.58 to 3.60). The report suggests that creating local environmental damage in another country is a value judgement for the Government of the country concerned rather than for us. That seems to us to be a complete abrogation of responsibility. If the public require a high environmental and animal welfare standards of home produced food it is likely that they require the same standards in imported food. If the environmental and animal welfare implications are hidden from consumers then they are unable to make a fair choice. It is also unfair to make domestic producers compete with international suppliers who do not have the costs of complying with the higher level of regulation imposed at home.

CONCLUSIONS

  30.  Whilst this document gives a deeper insight into the Government's internal thoughts on the CAP it makes for depressing reading from a farmers perspective. It is riddled with false illusions, rocky assumptions and dated thinking. There are also huge inconsistencies the biggest of which is the failure to conclude whether we want an industry that is globally competitive or struggling under the weight of domestically imposed legislation. We cannot have both.

  31.  A fundamental concern is the unrealistic expectation that farmers could use a combination of lower input prices, futures markets and increased technical efficiencies to offset the full effects of the removal of the CAP. Input values will not fall, futures markets have a role but they are overstated by the report and technical efficiencies will not keep pace.

  32.  The message that the report wants to convey is "get better or get out". However, given the major barriers to seeing improvements, readers in the farming community will only receive the message "get out". Is that sustainable in any sense of the word?

February 2006





 
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