Select Committee on Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Minutes of Evidence


APPENDIX ONE

CARBON REDUCTION CONTRIBUTIONS FROM MICROGENERATION

  The following tables summarises the results of the Micropower Council's analysis of the potential carbon (and energy) savings that can be delivered using microgeneration to displace the equivalent electrical output of 1GW baseload CCGT or, for heat measures, the amount of gas that would be consumed by a CCGT in a year. It should be noted that the number of installations quoted is well below the mid to long term market potential for most of these technologies and no allowance has been made for technological developments that could lead to major performance enhancements in the future (in particular the potential for fuel cells CHP technologies).

Table 1 COMPARISON OF MICROGENERATION WITH CENTRAL SUPPLY AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES
TechnologyElectricity produced centrally TWh pa Electricity delivered to customer TWh pa Gas burn TWh paNumber of units MtCO2 pa[22]MtC pa Comments
CCGT87 1613[23] ~11 GW CCGT operating at 90% load factor. We have assumed 50% conversion efficiency and 10% T&D losses.
Wind (grid connected)8 70~1,000 00Large on-shore ~3GW
Domestic
PV
n/a7 n/a7,000,0000 0We assume installation of 1-1.5 kW producing ~1MWh pa—this is a conservative assumption domestic systems can be larger.
Domestic wind n/a7 n/a7,000,0000 0Current, near market, roof top sized turbines produce up to 4MWh pa. We have used a conservative assumption of machines of approx 1kW (~1MWh pa).
m-CHPn/a7 73,000,0001[24] ~0.5The gas burn is the additional gas burnt above that required to meet the heat load using a condensing boiler.[25]
A+ Fridgen/a7 n/a28,000,0000 0Replacing an old fridge with an A+ rated fridge
light bulbsn/a7 n/a280,000,0000 0Using low energy light bulbs


Table 2 COMPARISON OF MICRO-HEAT TECHNOLOGIES DISPLACING THE NEED FOR CENTRALLY DELIVERED GAS OR/ELECTRICITY (I.E. DISPLACING EITHER 16TWh OF GAS (THE AMOUNT NeEDED FOR 1GW OF GAS FIRED CCGT OPERATING BASELOAD) OR THE SAME AMOUNT OF ELECTRICITY AS WOULD BE PRODUCED BY SUCH A CCGT



Technology
Electricity saved (point of use) TWh pa Gas saved at point of use TWh paNumber of units MtCO2 SAVED paMtC SAVED pa Comments
CCGT00 1 001 GW CCGT operating at 90% load factor. For simplicity, we have assumed 50% conversion efficiency and 10% T&D losses.
Wind (grid connected)0 n/a~1,0003 1Large on-shore wind-farm~3GW
Solar thermal n/a16 7,000,00031 Based on an estimated output of 1-2MWh of useable heat. This displaces some 2.4MWh[26] of gas after correcting for efficiency of gas burn and losses in the hot water system.
Biomass n/a16 1,000,00031 Based on displacing gas used to service average typical heat and hot water load (19MWh pa).[27]
G or A heat pump7 TWh pa 01,000,0003 1Based on delivering a heat load of [28]15MWh per annum using a COP 3 heat pump in premises previously heated by electricity (ground source should do better than this air source less well), saving 10 MWh of electricity per annum.











22   All figures are rounded to the nearest whole number (or whole millions) except for Carbon which is rounded to the nearest 0.5MtC. Back

23   Based on emissions factors used by CTI/DEFRA for benchmarking generation for Phase II of the EU ETS. (http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/sepn/proposed_benchmark_phase2.pdf) 51.45 tC02/TJ. Back

24   Based on SAP 2005 (table 12) figure of 0.194kg of CO2 per kWh at premises. Back

25   Developers figures based on trails. It should be noted that the comparator for the m-CHP is a condensing boiler whereas we have used current national average for other technologies. Back

26   Information from the Solar Trade Association. Back

27   In line with recommendations from the Carbon Trust (Section 4), we have not included any Carbon emissions from transportation of fuel (http://www.thecarbntrust.co.uk/carbontrust/about/publications/Biomass%20Sector_FINAL.pdf). Back

28   Average gas consumption of heat and hot water is ~19MWh pa (source EST), converted to a heat load using an average efficiency of 79% (the value used by Ofgem when estimating efficiency savings under the EEC). Back


 
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Prepared 13 September 2007