Select Committee on Home Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 502 - 519)

TUESDAY 27 FEBRUARY 2007

DEPUTY ASSISTANT COMMISSIONER CRESSIDA DICK, CHIEF CONSTABLE PETER FAHY AND SUPERINTENDENT LEROY LOGAN MBE

  Q502  Chairman: Good morning. Thank you very much for coming. As you know, we are now drawing to the end of the inquiry the Committee has been running into Young Black People and the Criminal Justice System looking at the extent and any possible causes of the overrepresentation of young black people in the system. Obviously the recent tragic shootings give a particular focus to the inquiry, although today we want to look at a broader set of issues around the criminal justice system and not just the issues of gun crime—although we will touch on those. Perhaps I could ask you to introduce yourselves for the record, please.

  Chief Constable Fahy: I am Peter Fahy. I am Chief Constable of Cheshire but also lead for ACPO (the Association of Chief Police Officers) on race and diversity issues.

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: Cressida Dick from the Metropolitan Police. I am the Met's lead on gun crime and the ACPO lead for gun crime prevention.

  Superintendent Logan: I am Leroy Logan, Superintendent of Hackney Police. I am the Deputy Borough Commander and the lead on partnership issues.

  Q503  Chairman: Thank you. Before I go into the questions, I have to read out a statement about the sub judice rule in relation to the recent shootings. At today's hearing we will be discussing issues related to young black people and the criminal justice system. Some of the questioning will relate to gang culture and gun crime. I should make it clear to the press and the public that there are some restrictions on our questioning which arise from our House's sub judice rule. This rule prevents discussion in Parliament on cases which are actively before the courts or the subject of active inquests. The aim of the rule is to safeguard the right to a fair hearing. It is also important that Parliament and the courts give mutual recognition to their respective roles and do not interfere in each other's affairs. There have been a number of recent gun-related deaths in London which have received widespread publicity. All of these cases are sub judice because inquests have opened and in one case charges have been brought. I should follow that there should be no discussion of the details of those cases and nothing should be said in this hearing, either by members of the Committee or the witnesses, which might be deemed prejudicial in any forthcoming court proceedings. I will ensure that the sub judice rule is not broken. However, I will permit questioning on some of the broader issues relating to the nature of the communities and of the lives of the young people in which these shootings took place. I should add that I consulted Mr Speaker about this and he is content with that approach. Chief Constable, could I start with a big question to you and a very important one. We have had a lot of evidence that there is an overrepresentation of young black people in the criminal justice system. Could you briefly summarise for me what the main things are that the police service has done in response to that overrepresentation.

  Chief Constable Fahy: It has been a huge range of initiatives essentially, particularly coming from the time of the Scarman Report and then reaching right through the Stephen Lawrence Report and even the report as a result of the Secret Policeman television programme. Really the whole tenor of that work has been about trying to build closer relationships with all the communities that we serve, making sure that policing is sensitive to the needs of those different communities but also, crucially, that policing is seen to be accountable. Going back to the Scarman Report, we set up local policing consultative committees and from those a whole range of initiatives to try to create closer relationships, and particularly for the police to be seen as being accountable. Clearly the Stephen Lawrence case was hugely important for the police service, and a whole range of initiatives have been put in place, particularly in terms of the way we deal with black people as victims. Again, there has been a huge range of initiatives in terms of our own staff—the accountability of our own staff; the degree of monitoring; the involvement of independent advisory groups; improvements to training; lots of changes that we brought in as a result of the Secret Policeman programme, some of which had already been planned before that programme, in terms of changing the way people are recruited; the way that our new recruits are trained in their local community; improvements to diversity training; a huge amount of work around stop and search, which we can go to in greater detail—but I think one of the most important developments has been our commitment to neighbourhood policing, which is a commitment right across the police service to create local teams of officers in local areas. This is not about having more officers, essentially, just on patrol in yellow jackets building positive relations; it is really trying to make sure that local policing meets the needs of those local people and that those local people, through local consultative processes, surveys, local meetings, have a chance to influence what those local officers are doing. It is clearly to involve more people in that community effort, through things like volunteering, the Special Constabulary and a whole range of other initiatives. It has been a huge amount of work. It would take me longer than the time we have available this morning to detail the full range of initiatives.

  Q504  Chairman: It is a very large body of work to tackle some of the problems, for example, highlighted by the Lawrence Inquiry about institutional racism and to build closer relationships with the communities. There is nothing in the evidence we have yet seen from the figures which suggests that there is any change, though, in the trends to the apparent overrepresentation of young black people in the criminal justice system. Is there a particular problem that we are not managing to tackle effectively or is it that the changes you have highlighted as the main police response have not yet had time to work with the system and have a noticeable impact?

  Chief Constable Fahy: I think we would point to the fact that there has been an improvement in the degree of confidence that ethnic minorities have in the police service and the criminal justice system as a whole. We think there has been a very significant improvement in the relationship between the ethnic minority community and the police. Clearly there are difficult areas and, in general, there is a difficult relationship between young people and the police overall. We would point to the fact that we have seen an increase in the number of prosecutions for racially aggravated offences. We would point to the fact that there are more black people and ethnic minority people joining the police service. We think there is a whole range of positive measures but you are right to point out that, in terms of this particular issue about disproportionality, the figures are not shifting. Clearly we feel there is a range of economic, social and educational issues behind this—and I know your Committee has heard a lot of evidence about that. Particularly in relation to this issue about the disproportionality in stop and search and the disproportionality in arrest rates, I think it is fair to say that we are a bit closer to understanding what some of the issues are but it is still a very complex subject.

  Q505  Chairman: We will come back to that but perhaps I could pick up on something you just said. In the evidence to this Committee—and it has probably not been quite as clear cut as this—we have had almost two contrasting explanations as to what is going on. On the one hand, we have had some witnesses who have very strongly emphasised the things which are happening within black communities: family breakdown, drugs, the negative cultural influences (in music and so on) and poor success in schools. On the other hand, we perhaps have another set of witnesses emphasising racial discrimination, racism, poverty coming from exclusion and discrimination. Does ACPO have a sense of which of those explanations is most plausible?

  Chief Constable Fahy: I think it is so complex, it is a mixture of all those factors. We are not saying the attitude of our own officers is not still a problem and one which we need to deal with, but even that is complex in terms of the pressure officers are often under to take action against particular crime problems in particular neighbourhoods. All those factors you have highlighted do play into it but we do think, overall, there has been too much concentration on the stop and search and not enough concentration on some of those wider issues. Clearly, almost a bigger problem is the entry point and the disproportionality in the number of arrests. We have tried to say in the submission that stop and search is one of those avenues into arrest but there are a lot of other interactions between suspected offenders and the public and the police which also need to be taken into consideration.

  Q506  Chairman: The next question, which is my last opening question, I would like to put to each of you in turn, if I may. Whilst some people have welcomed us having an inquiry, other people have questioned why we are having an inquiry on the issue of young black people in the criminal justice system. In your view, are some of the experiences of young black people sufficiently different and significant to justify us having an inquiry that is focusing on young black people, as opposed to us having, as we could have done, an inquiry on young people and crime in general or perhaps young people from black and ethnic minority groups? Are we right to say that there is something sufficiently and significantly different about that experience to justify the inquiry?

  Chief Constable Fahy: I think there are particular aspects about the level of disproportionality which clearly is a danger of becoming a cycle, in terms of people going through the system and then continually offending and finding it difficult to get out of the system. There are particularly worrying aspects about the involvement of young black people in gun crime and particularly the fact that they are far more likely to be victims of homicide. That said, I think we would say there are a lot of other common factors between the experiences of young black people and other ethnic minorities and in fact, lots of other young people in disadvantaged communities. That particular issue about alienation and disadvantage and how people climb out of that is an issue that is affecting a lot of communities right across the country at the moment and tends to be that section of society with which the police force comes into contact most often.

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: I agree with Peter. I welcome the inquiry, for a start. I think there are some things which are specific and sufficiently different, particularly in relation to history and the history in this country of relationships, particularly with our service, looking at it from our point of view, which merit that examination specifically, as opposed to looking at, as you said, young people and the criminal justice system in general. However, I do think all the evidence suggests that there are also huge overlaps between young black people and other people suffering from very similar kinds of disadvantages, and much of what you will say about young black people in the criminal justice system could also be applied to other young people from a variety of different communities, but probably not all of it.

  Superintendent Logan: Again, I echo my colleagues' positive endorsement of this inquiry. I think it is critical to recognise the cultural sensitivities through the years, in that we know that the biggest influences on young people are their parents and their peers. If parental guidance is not there—for all sorts of reasons that I am sure we will go into—then that will influence the perceptions of our young people. I think the significant thing that needs to be acknowledged that is different from other groups in different cultures is the self-destruction we are seeing in certain communities of young people, who are actually seeing their youth affiliations as more important than the norms and values of society, and the self-loathing that comes with living in deprivation, in areas of need and neglect and a lack of hope and expectation. I speak from a personal perspective, in that I was brought up in that urban setting and I was conscious of my ever-present parenting to keep me away from certain peer groups that would influence me into another lifestyle. I know how self-esteem is critical. If you do not respect yourself, then you do not respect others. It is quite clear that that self-loathing is correlated with a certain amount of self-destruction. We in the black community need to recognise that because a lot of it is within our setting. As my mother used to say: "Who feels it, knows it."

  Q507  Ms Buck: Some of the evidence we have looked at seems to confirm, based on sentencing records, that there is a disproportionate involvement of young black people in particular patterns of crime, and some of that being crimes of violence. I wonder whether that confirms your experience, first of all, and, if it does, what your understanding would be of why that is. Why is there what looks like a different pattern of criminal activity amongst young black people than amongst other ethnic groups and young white people?

  Chief Constable Fahy: The evidence is quite clear from the research that young black people tend to be more involved in offences like street robberies, drugs and sexual offences, and young white people tend to be more involved in property crime and particular offences like burglary, and that can explain some of the differences in sentencing rates and things like that. The explanation for that, as you have already heard in some of the evidence, is that there is a connection between the low esteem that Leroy has talked about and some of the family break-ups, with youngsters ending up on the street and tending to be more involved in those street offences and then trying to gain credibility in terms of the gang culture, with that becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy. That is clearly some of the indication, and then, when there is obviously more focus on things like street crime and street robbery, that in itself leading to more focus being on those particular issues, of stop and search as a tactic, and that leading to more black people being brought to the criminal justice system.

  Q508  Ms Buck: Is the impression of what you are saying that there is more kudos, more esteem attached within that criminal sub-culture to drug activity or street robbery than, say, property crime? If so, why? One can understand the argument that being tough on the streets gives one a certain amount of esteem in that context but why a particular type of crime?

  Chief Constable Fahy: From the submissions, I would agree that certainly for the people who have not done so well in the education system and are struggling in terms of their self-esteem and who are perhaps not getting support from their families, then the idea of being part of a gang is more attractive. Clearly when they see from people around them some of the material benefits that can be gained from the drug trade—in terms of access to clothes, mobile phones and all those material goods—that can quickly appear to be very attractive compared to a route perhaps through traditional education. That is what starts attracting them to the edges of the gang culture. We really know—and again it is in the evidence—that anybody involved in that sort of culture, particularly involved in drug trading on the street, is at great personal risk in terms of violence and their chances of being a victim. I think there is more of a route through there. It is very dangerous in this sort of territory to stereotype, but we would possibly pick up that a lot of the white working-class lads seem to tend to get more involved in alcohol, and almost seek an escape route through drinking vast amounts of alcohol and the pub culture, rather than so much the street culture of gangs and the drug trade. But, as I say, in this world it is very dangerous to stereotype around some of this.

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: I want to reiterate the point about victimisation. I know you have the data, but the level of victimisation is not as high but the over-involvement of black victims in those offences and in all violent offences and other offences is clear.

  Q509  Ms Buck: What do you believe we know about these disproportionate rates of victimisation? I think you mentioned homicide as a particular factor, but it looks like that is true of rape and other serious crimes as well. What do we know about those variations in victimisation? We have heard very compelling evidence from witnesses that the fear young people can experience of being on the street is itself quite a significant driver of some of this more violent activity.

  Superintendent Logan: I can only speak from a Hackney perspective and a certain amount of experience I have had of boroughs in the Metropolitan Police. It is quite clear that a lot of the youth affiliations do have a bearing on the types of activities that they get up to, positive or negative. If you are in a group of young people aspiring for significance through the arts, culture, education, whatever it may be, you will see a more positive one than if you have an affiliation where you have inherited disadvantages, where you are living in a deprived area. And I am not talking about deprivation in terms of the structures around them, because we have estates in Hackney where they have spent millions of pounds; so they have regenerated the buildings but what has not come with it is the regeneration of the individuals. A lot of what is picked up should be picked up at an earlier stage. We are talking about housing; we are talking about support services; we are talking in particular about youth services. Youth service is an educational tool and of course that leads into school. If your peers are not aspiring for significance then whoever speaks the loudest has the biggest impact. In a lot of areas we have seen that they are drawn into these affiliations. A lot of crime has a correlation with the minimum wage. This is no excuse for it, but a lot of people, because they underachieve at school, have a lack of job prospects. They see credibility in the youth affiliation. A lot of that is epitomised in the music and the videos: "Get rich quick and die trying"—that sort of heavy influence on vulnerable minds. Let me say that within certain youth affiliations is a high degree of drug use, and alcohol use to some extent, and then you will start to see what is the easiest form of getting money—that minimum wage issue that I spoke about. We have seen movement from a certain type of property crime and now we are starting to see movement from street crime to selling drugs. They are not just staying in boroughs like Hackney, because we are being very robust and very clear how we deal with that, but they are quite willing to go to other areas outside London. So we are seeing that peer influence and those criminal role models that label young people saying, "Listen, teachers think you're unteachable, you're disruptive. The police think you're criminals. You might as well just get on with it." You cannot underestimate the influence of those criminal role models. You need to offset those misplaced loyalties, those skewed views, into getting positive role models in their place of existence, to shatter a lot of their beliefs and values, to say, "You don't need to get security significance in a youth affiliation that is negative. You can get it in a positive setting, with role models." You have to build the capacity. It is the capacity building to have the resilience to crime and that peer pressure.

  Q510  Ms Buck: There will be lots more questions on those kinds of points, but, still on this issue of victimisation, I suppose it is the vicious circle argument that some of the reflection of serious crime against young black people is itself a consequence of a disproportionate number of young black people, for all the reasons you have outlined—being in a vulnerable position, being on the street, being involved in gang culture—therefore being at a higher risk of, say, violent crime. Or are young black people themselves disproportionately at risk of being victims, even regardless of those factors?

  Chief Constable Fahy: I think the figures show that for black people, overall, the chances of being a victim of crime are about the same as for a white person. It is really at what point you get into the circle. On the whole, we would point to the fact that that circle starts a bit earlier in terms of issues around education and the family situation, which then leads them into the street culture, which again leads them into contact with the police. I think, on the other hand, you are right, they clearly then see, as we said in our submission quoting Trevor Philips, that they are more likely to end up in a prison cell than in a university lecture theatre. That in itself lowers their self-esteem and lowers their aspirations and means that, particularly when they are faced with a fork in the road, they are perhaps more likely to head towards the street culture than working hard in the education system. As I said earlier, it is very complex. There are some issues which clearly are affecting it further down the food chain, so to speak, but certainly that disproportionality itself and, as Leroy said, then the criminal role models, do create a vicious circle.

  Superintendent Logan: Young black men are four times more likely to be shot than their white counterparts. For young black men under 20, the incidents have doubled over the last four years.

  Q511  Chairman: Do those high levels of victimisation indicate that these victims are themselves involved in crime and it is that that makes them vulnerable, or are we talking about a classic distinction between the criminal and the innocent victims?

  Superintendent Logan: I would say there is definitely a link between crime, but, unfortunately, there are also these youth affiliations that are so tight that if any person who looks like a stranger challenges them then it may result in violence. So you do not necessarily have to be involved in crime.

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: In London, if we look at homicides and shootings, 85% of our suspects—and we have to be careful about "suspects" I know—are described as black and 75% of our victims are. There is very limited academic research but what there is has shown that the overlap between offenders and victims is quite large and a lot of people who are arrested have already been a victim of gun crime and vice versa—not by any means everybody of course, but there is a large overlap.

  Q512  Mrs Cryer: Could you talk about your sources of information regarding gun crimes and ethnic minority young men. We cannot go into detail on this, I know, but does it appear to you that the recent incidents in Manchester and London are following on the path of what you would have regarded as being the case before? Is it following that same flow?

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: I know more about London than I do about elsewhere, but, if we look at gun crime overall: UK-wide, and most certainly in London, there is a huge overrepresentation of young black people, both as suspects accused and, indeed, as victims. That is recorded crime. If you look at homicides and shootings—which we think we know most about because, by definition, they are the most serious: hospitals, if someone comes in with a shooting injury, will tell us, so the recorded figures probably match the actual figures quite well—we are seeing, as I said, in London this massive disproportionality. That is matched, when we talk to our human sources of intelligence. When we talk to communities, in fact they would probably say it is even more disproportionate than we do. We know there is a lot of gun crime generally which is not recorded and which we are not capturing, but at the high end of the market, the worst offences, we think we have a good picture from the recorded crimes. We are seeing a general reduction, nationally and in London, in the age of offenders. When Trident, which is the London initiative to combat gun crime in the black communities was started, the people who killed people were generally in their late twenties, in their thirties, some were even in their forties, hardened criminals and older people. Now, as you may know, we have had many who are teenagers and young teenagers charged with gun crime in the last two years—homicide, sadly. So for about three years we have been observing this reduction in age and no real change in terms of the overrepresentation of black people with gun crime—particularly in London, but also in Manchester and in the West Midlands, which are the three big gun crime forces.

  Superintendent Logan: Again, this is from a Hackney perspective. For 10-17 year olds, we are seeing an increase in the use of gun-enabled crime, and a decrease for 18-25 year olds. When we say gun-enabled crime, it does not necessarily mean that guns will be used or even seen; it might be if they suggest "If you don't hand over your money I'll shoot you." That would be registered. But picking up a point around under-reporting, I think we need to understand that. When you speak to young people—as recently as yesterday evening I was at a youth independent advisors group and our young people are seeing that they can shape and steer various strategies. When you speak to them and say, "Do you report every single time someone might come up to you and steal your belongings, your mobile phone or whatever?" and they say, "To be quite honest, we need to weigh it up with where we live, the proximity of the suspect, the influence they may have and the value of the item: Is it worth my while?" Unfortunately, on the extreme view there are certain youth affiliations who have a lack of trust in the criminal justice system and so they rely on their street justice, which is faster. Recognising the influence of criminal wrongdoing, that person is saying, "Don't worry, I'll deal with it." We have instances where positive, law-abiding young people are in a dilemma, saying, "Do I wait so long for the criminal justice system to have its way," if they are happy to wait, or "I have this young person saying `I'll deal with it for you'." We need to build that capacity in those young people to make sure they report these crimes in the first instance.

  Chief Constable Fahy: It is important to highlight the fact that the number of homicides by shooting is coming down. In all the areas that Cressida is talking about there has been a lot of success in bringing that figure down. A lot of initiatives are slowly, slowly working, but, clearly, when we get the series like we have just had now it raises the whole level of public concern. It is fair to say, that about six months ago there was a similar level of concern about knife crime. I think we need to look at the broader picture. Overall, we are having a lot of success, but that general trend of people being involved getting younger is worrying.

  Q513  Mrs Cryer: Is the success of Operation Trident one of the reasons for the age levels coming down. We went to Feltham and met quite a number of very young people. They looked incredibly young. Is that as a result of Operation Trident inadvertently?

  Chief Constable Fahy: In all the big centres, particularly in Manchester and in the West Midlands, in places like Liverpool and Nottingham which have a lot of coverage, they have all had their operations but at the same time put a huge amount of effort into local community initiatives and trying to support those. That has absolutely not been about the police alone by any means: all sorts of agencies have been involved in that. The issue about the age is probably more a factor about other trends out there in society rather than directly a relationship with those operations.

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: I would tend to agree. I know a number of people have said that Trident has arrested a lot of older people and younger people are filling the vacuum. We still are proactively targeting a lot of older people. There are still older people undoubtedly involved in gang/gun crime, if I may put it that way, and many of them are extremely dangerous and many of them are controlling younger people. It is a theory. We do not know whether it is even a major contributor to the age going down. Certainly we do have older people controlling younger people but we also have a lot of other things which tell us, as Peter said, that guns are becoming more acceptable amongst a much wider range of young people. It may be that they are more accessible to younger people than they were. We are getting more casual use of the firearm by younger people and I do not think that can be attributed to Trident's success or Trident targeting more of the older people.

  Q514  Mrs Cryer: Could you talk about your sources of intelligence, about where these guns are coming from and how they can be stopped? Apparently there has been a change in the organisation getting hold of this intelligence and since 2004 it has been taken over by SOCA. Is that appropriate? Would it have been better left with the people who were doing it before, the National Criminal Intelligence Service?

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: Guns are coming from a wide variety of sources. I wish I could give you a very simple answer. There is not a simple answer. I would be happy to put that into our submission later.[1] As I think you will be aware, many of the firearms that are used are not in fact real made-for-purpose; many of them are conversions, some of which have been imported quite recently, some of which have been around for a long time and are now being converted so that they can fire, having previously been non-firing, essentially. Real made firearms are still, in general, quite expensive. The ammunition is very difficult to get hold of. Sometimes it is homemade ammunition but it is very difficult to get hold of, to buy it. There are undoubtedly some coming through our borders. We know this and we have had some great successes—the Revenue and Customs, SOCA, various police services together—but there are a lot of firearms in circulation. If you know who to ask, you may be able to source one fairly quickly. I do not think, as it were, you and I would be able to find a firearm fairly easily, but if you know what you are doing and you know who to ask you can get one, either for hire for a night, which might not be very expensive, or, if you have a lot of money—many hundreds, indeed thousands of pounds if you are looking for a very high powered weapon -you can buy one. In some parts of some of our cities, people will know who to ask, and they will ask and will get to an armourer or a converter or someone who will hire it out fairly quickly. In terms of intelligence, the National Crime Intelligence Service has been subsumed into SOCA. I think SOCA are now giving guns a high priority and doing the same work on intelligence and, indeed, on assisting at the borders with international agencies, which is very important, as NCIS used to do. Certainly we want to support them in trying to do that.

  Chief Constable Fahy: We think there is room for more action at a European and a G8 level in terms of trying to control the market. Clearly things like the Internet and the fact that it is much easier to travel and to move goods around Europe are clearly encouraging the market as well. The issue about border controls and the ease with which particularly replicas can be bought and then easily converted is a matter of considerable concern to us.

  Superintendent Logan: It is quite clear that not just the availability of firearms but the cost has significantly gone down. That is why younger people can hire a firearm if they are so inclined. Their access to certain people who can say, "Look, I can let you have a gun for a small amount"—

  Q515  Mrs Cryer: What is a small amount?

  Superintendent Logan: £50 to £100 to buy certain calibre weapons. Of course years ago it would have been hundreds of pounds for a similar sort of weapon. Because of that, they have that disposable income, obviously, to use. One of the things I think is really important at a local level is recognising that it is still confined to the minority, a minority of youth affiliations where there is this issue of guns.

  Q516  Mr Winnick: Chief Constable, the Home Secretary has announced that as part of a wider plan to deal with gun violence he is going to lay a parliamentary order to ensure that 18-20 year olds are subject to a minimum sentence of five years for carrying a gun. Presumably your organisation/chief constables are very much in favour of that.

  Chief Constable Fahy: We would say that there needs to be a balance between enforcement and lots of other initiatives—and deterrent is an important part of that. Parliament had made it clear that a minimum sentence would apply in these cases. Those sentencing are allowed to take into account special considerations but we would say there seem to be a lot of special considerations in a lot of cases. We think the deterrent effect is important but also just as important is what happens to those people when they come out of the system at the other end. Clearly there are difficult public policy issues about the balance between sentencing and rehabilitation and also the degree to which public agencies can intervene earlier in the cycle. As is well known, we can identify these people at a very early stage. We would say that it is about the balance, but certainly there does need to be a deterrent effect through the criminal justice system and if Parliament has laid down that there should be a minimum sentence, then we feel the courts should enforce that.

  Q517  Mr Winnick: How effective has been the minimum sentence for 21 year olds onwards? That was introduced, I believe, in 2003—not so long ago. Do you have any information of how many people have been convicted as a result of that?

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: I think we should say that the legislation in this country is as strong as anywhere in the world probably already, and the extra changes which the Government are now looking at are exactly that: they are extra changes on the back of some very extensive controls in terms of firearms legislation. The introduction of the five-year mandatory sentence has led to fewer five-year mandatory sentences being applied than we expected. I know the Home Office can give you the exact figures but it is something like in 60% of cases where a mandatory sentence could have been applied the judges are in fact applying exceptional circumstances.

  Q518  Mr Winnick: Perhaps I could interrupt you, if you do not mind. It does not appear that what Parliament agreed in 2003, a minimum sentence of five years—which I think most of us would agree was necessary—has in any way led to a reduction in gun crime.

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: Firstly, it is not being applied in all cases. In fact, it is not being applied in about 60% of cases when I think it could have been.

  Q519  Chairman: Are the police frustrated by this?

  Deputy Assistant Commissioner Dick: We have commented on it. I know it is being monitored and I know the Home Office are talking to ministers about that. I am sure in lots of individual cases there are very good reasons and the legislation gives indications to judges of the kinds of things they can look at. I can say that we expected a higher proportion to result in it being applied. We also did not realise that there was this loophole, if you like, of the 18-21 year olds. It is slightly controversial, but we did expect it to apply to 18-21 year olds, and clearly it could not have and now it will have. What deterrent effect has that had? Anecdotally, we think it has had a deterrent effect. It is not going to have a huge one overnight, perhaps, but there certainly is talk on the streets. There certainly is talk from intelligence sources which says that people are aware that you could get a five-year sentence just for having a gun in a public place. But it does not seem, you are quite right, to have had a massive impact on gun crime.


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