Select Committee on Health Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 360-379)

PROFESSOR DAME CAROL BLACK, MR GEORGE BLAIR AND DR KAREN BLOOR

8 JUNE 2006

  Q360  Dr Naysmith: Following up on this Hospital Episode Statistics, no matter how crude it is if you use it to measure consultant activity you find huge variations between the amount of "work" that is reported by using that statistic between different consultants. Why does that happen? If it is as crude as that and not of any use, then we should not use. It must be telling us something.

  Dr Bloor: Yes, it does, but it is a very partial picture. At the moment the distributions that we have produced have been on in-patient episodes not including out-patients and not including any real measures of quality or outcome. That is where we really need to focus our efforts in developing better patient outcome measures. There is huge variation. Some of that can be explained, some of that can explained by differences in patients and case mix. Severity of patients differs and I do not think that is always adequately adjusted for. The only adjustment we could make was by HRG and tariffs which is an imperfect adjustment for case mix. There are differences in the consultants, their age, their gender, their contracts, their other interests, their other responsibilities, they might be medical directors, they might be clinical leads, they might be teachers and trainers, they might be researchers. There are differences at consultant levels and there are differences between Trusts, and perhaps the access to operating theatres might create differences in productivity.

  Q361  Dr Naysmith: Do you think it is misleading?

  Dr Bloor: No, it is a basis for discussion.

  Q362  Dr Naysmith: Between whom?

  Dr Bloor: I would not use it as a performance measure, but I would use it if I was a medical director of a Trust. I would use it to have a conversation with my consultants around job planning and appraisal. If there are bottlenecks that are being created that limit consultant productivity in some area, then that would be discussed and hopefully resolved. I would use it if I was involved in job plans and appraisals in that way. I might even use it in clinical excellence awards.

  Q363  Dr Naysmith: You could use it to measure and theoretically increase productivity as a partial measure?

  Dr Bloor: You could use it as a basis for discussion. I do not think it is an overall measure of performance. It is a very partial picture but it does give some transparency.

  Q364  Dr Naysmith: How do the discussions you are talking about begin? "Dr So-and-so, it looks as if you are not doing as many episodes of activity as someone further along. Can you explain to me why?"

  Dr Bloor: Yes. There may well be good reasons why Dr So-and-so is not doing as many episodes and it might be that he is a clinical lead or medical director or something like that.

  Q365  Dr Naysmith: Presumably the management would know that?

  Dr Bloor: Yes. If, for example, you have a group of ophthalmologists and they are all doing a relatively similar amount of episodes per year. If you are then faced with a national distribution that puts all of those in the lower quartile and says that in other hospitals other consultants are doing twice as many episodes per year, that is a reasonable question for a manager or a medical director to ask what is creating these episodes.

  Q366  Dr Naysmith: It is probably useful for that purpose as well, comparing between Trusts.

  Dr Bloor: Yes.

  Professor Dame Carol Black: To add to that and give you a very practical example, if in a Trust where you have surgeons who do transplant surgery or highly complicated surgery where there may be quite a lot of complications post-surgery, the people who look after those complications, because they are usually metabolic, will be the physicians. You might in a hospital like that find, although it is never recorded, your physicians spend all day keeping "Mr Smith" alive and well post-surgery from medical complications but that is never recorded anywhere. That doctor has actually spent that day interacting with and on behalf of their surgical colleagues. You have to know what is the hospital case mix. What is it doing? What might its doctors be asked to do that is not recorded through the data that we do collect? It is about using this data intelligently.

  Q367  Dr Naysmith: Is that why the impression has got around in some quarters that the medical profession is resisting this kind of productivity measure?

  Professor Dame Carol Black: The medical profession does not resist data collected appropriately, in which let us hope they have had some say in what is being collected, if it is related to outcome. Doctors are quite hungry for that sort of data and they certainly are prepared to look at that. They have been quite resistant in some cases to look at HES data, but it depends how you are going to use this HES data. You have to use it intelligently and appropriately and know what its limitations are.

  Q368  Dr Naysmith: Is there any indication that this resistance is likely to increase? Is the situation getting better, in other words?

  Professor Dame Carol Black: I think if we improved our quality of data, it would certainly get better. What frustrates a lot of doctors at the moment is this hoped-for improvement in IT. We would like to get there and we would like to be able to have this data as that would make a difference to what we could look at and what we could do.

  Q369  Chairman: I have a question for Mr Blair. In your submission, you commented on the "complete lack of clarity regarding who is responsible for trying to improve productivity", and you recommend that the NHS trusts should have a dedicated lead for productivity. How would you see this role working and is not productivity, if not a matter for all the workforce in any institution, certainly a matter for the managers of the workforce?

  Mr Blair: Certainly it is a matter for managers, but I think it has not had an adequate focus and I think many of your questions really point to that, that some organisations were historically well resourced, others were poorly resourced and resource in the past was purely incremental, so there were no rewards for improving productivity historically. I think there needs to be more focus on it. I think it is for all organisations to try and answer that question and come up with their own solution. You are quite right that it would vary locally, but my sense is that productivity does not just include financial measures, "How are we doing financially?", but there is a whole wider range of issues and going on to things like hearts and minds, that brings in working practices, it brings in human resources. I think it goes back to what we were hearing earlier about silo mentality and I think there needs to be a productivity group. I think that would be a better way to develop that idea which somebody convenes and is responsible for with all the various inputs. I do not see examples of that, although admittedly some trusts perform very well. When I circulated my paper, one wrote back to me saying, "Oh, we've done this, George", so I do not want to imply that there are not examples of very good practice, but I think a lot more could be done to pull together a whole range of people to look at this in a more consistent way across an organisation.

  Q370  Chairman: Perhaps I could ask the other two witnesses, do you think we should have dedicated people in NHS organisations looking at productivity or should it be managers having time to do this, as it were?

  Professor Dame Carol Black: My personal view is that you have got the people there who should be deeply involved with this. You have got clinical directors, you have got clinical leads, you will have senior nurses and you will have managers, and really if you put another person in there, you take the responsibility away, I think, from the people who should be deeply concerned about productivity, so I would like it to be the people who are delivering the care. Of course that does require time and that might be a factor, but again if we had better data, if Connecting for Health was working well, then that would again help.

  Dr Bloor: I am inclined to agree with Dame Carol on this. I think if you have a person who is director of productivity or whatever, it might feel like it is their job to deal with productivity and not everybody else's. I would be inclined to give it to the medical director.

  Q371  Chairman: We have been taking evidence sort of in this area and a number of written submissions we have had to the inquiry commented on the lack of integration between financial activity and workforce planning in the NHS. Indeed in one of the earlier sessions we had about this was this issue about what has effectively been the over-recruitment certainly beyond targets that were set and now there are the problems that we have in some areas of NHS organisations with over-expending, as it were. Whether these are related or not, we will be looking into at a later stage. Do you think that improving productivity really should be a way of helping to integrate this sort of planning process of workforce planning and the economic activity in institutions as well?

  Dr Bloor: Yes, I think it should actually. I think it should certainly be integrated into the workforce planning, that productivity should be an integral part of workforce planning. I guess it is particularly obvious now that workforce planning and forecasting and financial planning and forecasting have not necessarily been done together when we have got a finance squeeze and also people coming out of medical school and business school and those expansions in the workforce have been substantial, so it has perhaps focused the mind on that mismatch, but yes, I think more attention to productivity, more integration of productivity into workforce planning should help to address that.

  Professor Dame Carol Black: I think had we taken it from the point of view of a pathway of care for a patient and said, "If you have a certain condition, what sort of health intervention do you need? What kind of workforce do you need to create? Do you need a nurse, a physiotherapist, a doctor? What do you need", we might then have been able to start to think together about the shape of the workforce. Rather, we have increased nurses, physiotherapists and doctors, but we never said, "What do you require along a pathway of care?" and I think that would have been a much better way to have approached it. Then we could have employed the workforce that, as far as we can see, and it is always difficult to see what you are going to need 10 years down the road, but we could have surely made it more appropriate to what the pathway indicated. I think we did not do any of that thinking in any of that planning.

  Mr Blair: I would like to come in about the planning process, my experience of previous local delivery planning processes. We get central guidance from the Department, there is a finance bit, an activity bit and a workforce bit and there is this sense that they are experts providing for their needs. Then it comes at strategic health authority level and they think, "How can we pull this together? How can we make this meaningful and easier for our trusts to contribute to?" and then each of them will try to come up with some sort of approach and some produce quite good spreadsheets and then they cascade that down. Then you get somebody in finance usually, somebody looking on the service side and somebody in the workforce all with their own spreadsheets, all trying to communicate. I have had quite a lot of experience of budgets now being cut for whatever reason, so finance reduce their figures, but the message has not gone through to HR because it is done in such a fragmented way that that particular trust passes on to the strategic health authority and the Department the demand for staff that even then it cannot afford, so that whole planning process lacks integration all the way through. I know that there have been attempts to change it, but I think we need a lot smarter thinking. It is very easy to write software nowadays where you can feed information in, and I think what is necessary is for them to be planning software where, if you have got this money, you reduce the budget and, therefore, you have got to reduce the staff accordingly and you cannot just send effectively three different submissions stapled together.

  Q372  Chairman: We had one submission to this inquiry which said that the alignment between workforce and financial planning was "woeful". I assume from what you have said, Mr Blair, that you would agree with that?

  Mr Blair: Yes.

  Q373  Chairman: Not in all cases obviously.

  Mr Blair: That is right, but there are too many cases of that, yes.

  Q374  Dr Taylor: Going back to improving productivity, Carol, you said that the people on the ground who do this are the clinical directors and the clinical leads. How well do you think they are prepared for this job?

  Professor Dame Carol Black: I would have hoped that somebody who takes on the role now of the clinical director, a medical director or a clinical lead would certainly have got some of the necessary training to be able to think and do this. I think it is about sitting down together. I do not think there is magic in this. If you think of productivity as quality as well as just efficiency, then I think you will engage doctors, so I think it is about getting people to work together.

  Q375  Dr Taylor: One thing, I think, some of us were quite impressed with in California where we have been is that they pick out what they call `emerging medical leaders' early on and actually train them. Are we actually doing any formal training in medical management because, I quite agree with you, in my day you picked it up as you were going along, but I am not sure that is the best way to do it?

  Professor Dame Carol Black: That is an exceedingly good question and it is something that we have all been very aware has been missing in the training of the average doctor. I think, for example, BAMM has done a very good job of training at the level of people who are committed—

  Q376  Dr Taylor: The British Association of—

  Professor Dame Carol Black: Yes, the British Association of Medical Managers, when people have committed to becoming a medical director or a clinical director and they are already down that road, but what we have not been good at, and it is now changing, is how you get into both undergraduate and postgraduate education the skills that will allow you to be a clinical leader and to have medical management skills so that this is spread much more across, I would not say all consultants, but that you are getting this ability into the consultant body. There is the emerging leaders network which has just been set up in the Department of Health which is now seeking to identify such people and we have all been asked to offer names, so there is a young emerging leaders network, there is work from the NHS Institute for Improvement and Innovation with the Academy of Royal Colleges to really now start getting programmes out there. It is perhaps a bit late in the day and we should have done it earlier, but it is—

  Q377  Dr Taylor: But it is coming.

  Professor Dame Carol Black: We have had a very good programme with middle managers and young consultants going for the last year in which they have done problem-solving together. They have come from the same trust, the clinician has identified the manager and together they have had to bring a problem that needed a solution, so they had to do some systems reform. It has been actually riveting in showing how people can work together and they have increased productivity in each of those projects. There was, almost without exception, increased productivity if you put quality into that, so I think a lot is happening now.

  Q378  Dr Taylor: Will this help to cut down the barriers between the silos because this is one of the awful things, that there are so many barriers?

  Professor Dame Carol Black: Yes.

  Q379  Dr Taylor: Obviously clinical directors and doctors in management have got to work very closely with managers. Do you think central targets have driven a split between managers and doctors where they contrast? I think it was Dr Fielden who said that doctors and managers would work well together as long as the aims were the same. Have government targets tended to drive these apart?

  Professor Dame Carol Black: Well, quite a few of those targets would be things that a lot of doctors would think were not unreasonable. We might not have designed them in quite the same way and we might have wished to modify them, but I think managers and doctors do have the same aims which are to improve the care for the patients in their institutions. I think managers are under quite different constraints from the centre and I think it adds tension, but one would hope it might enable doctors and managers to understand each other better and perhaps to be able to work together more effectively.


 
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