Select Committee on Health Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 980-999)

LORD HUNT OF KINGS HEATH, MS CLARE CHAPMAN AND MR NIC GREENFIELD

25 JANUARY 2007

  Q980  Mike Penning: First of all, can I say for those of us who have listened to other evidence on this Committee on our deficits inquiry and have had problems with deficits in our own constituencies, and I certainly do not recognise the figures that have been given to this Committee today about redundancies and job losses in my own trust. The chief executives sat at the end of this table and told us there were 750 job losses, in one way or another, going to come from my own trust when they closed the hospital. Can I say to Lord Hunt, at the end of the day you are in charge of this. If you were a chief executive of one of the world renowned companies that your colleague worked for before and you trained a huge amount of staff, got them qualified, invested in those people and then for 40% of them you did not have a vacancy at the end of it, I think your head would be on the block because you would have just wasted a huge amount of your shareholders' money (in this case taxpayers' money) and broke the hearts of many dedicated health workers.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: On the 40% figure.

  Q981  Mike Penning: I was going on your 60%.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I would say to you that my understanding is that approximately, in a normal year, 85% of nurses qualify and would find jobs.

  Q982  Mike Penning: We are not in a normal year, are we?

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: No, but—

  Q983  Mike Penning: You said 60. That means 40% have not, and that money has been wasted and those people's careers have been affected?

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: That is right, but I am trying to make a comparison between what might happen in years previously and the current year. The NHS is a huge organisation, 1.3 million people. Ensuring that everything fits together—

  Q984  Mike Penning: It is your job.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: Absolutely.

  Q985  Mike Penning: Or your predecessor's job, in your case.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: And it is a fantastic job and the NHS overall is getting much better at pulling these things together: training, jobs availability, resources, service, development, but we are talking here about a huge number of separate organisations. We are talking about a lot of individual people. We are talking about a lot of higher education institutions. So pulling all that together and then ensuring—

  Q986  Mike Penning: It is your job.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: It is my job, and I am delighted to do it. What I am saying to you is that it is a very complex job. The Health Service is getting better at it. I am determined that we will get better in the future, but I think that, if I were to look back at our stewardship of the NHS over the last 10 years, my conclusion would be: what was the great problem of the NHS in 1997? It was that we had a huge shortage of staff. We no longer have that problem. So, in terms of the big macro picture, we have dealt with it. We are now dealing with the issue of trying to ensure that long-term planning meets service requirements. We are doing that, we will continue to improve, that is why we are developing our workforce capacity, but I would ask you to reflect on where we are now.

  Q987  Mike Penning: I will say exactly the same to you as I said to the Secretary of State, and it is for the Chairman to stop me if he wishes, that this Committee does not go along party lines, it is not a party political broadcast as to what happened then and what is happening now, it is what is happening today. We are looking at workforce planning. You keep reverting back to 10 years ago.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: With respect, you did ask me to compare the NHS to a large organisation. What I am saying to you is that the big issue the Health Service has faced for many years was a chronic shortage of staff. We have overcome that, and I think that I would much rather be judged on that had we dealt with the mega problems the Health Service faced. I believe we have.

  Mike Penning: 40% of nurses that are trained are not getting jobs.

  Chairman: David, can we move on.

  Q988  Mr Amess: Congratulations, Lord Hunt, on your reappointment and congratulations on overcoming the obstacle that you do not appear to be Scottish!

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I have a quarter Scottish in me.

  Q989  Mr Amess: There we go. Just as an aside, it was ironic that you reminded us about the inquiry into the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence because, unlike my colleague Doug (but we are not going to fall out about it), we were making different remarks about that inquiry, but we will see what happens with the next inquiry. Whether or not the situation is a mess at the moment, the evidence that the Committee has heard, as far as I am concerned, is worrying. Of course, you and your officials will have read the evidence session last week when we had representatives from the midwives, the pathologists and the physiotherapists here. I did suggest how wonderful it would have been to have had a joint session with your good self and them together. It may be that these were three areas we plucked out who were having difficulties, but knowing those three professions, as I do, I am a little concerned. The final thing, before I get on to my questions, I do not know about my two colleagues, but I am not the least bit wounded by your veiled attack on the last Government in the last century. I would simply say that our inquiry is into workforce planning under the present Government and, as such, workforce development confederations were the main means of delivering the goals set out in A Health Service of all the Talents. Given that was the case, why were they disbanded after only three years, a change which was actually opposed by the department's workforce director?

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I do not know about that, but I do think that it made sense to pull workforce planning right back in the centrality of what leaders of health services are responsible for locally, and now that we have got the new structure of Strategic Health Authorities down to ten, they essentially cover a region. If I think of my own West Midlands region, that is an ideal area in terms of the number of staff employed, the number of higher education institutions and the number of NHS organisations, the links with the medical schools. That seems to me to be the ideal geographical area in which to sort out most of these work planning issues. Should you off-shore it into a confederation or is it better to place responsibility and accountability on the SHA and the chief executive? I think it is much more sensible to place direct responsibility on the Strategic Health Authority. We have to ensure that they do the job properly; we have to ensure that they have the capacity; but to me it makes an awful lot of sense to pull it together with the SHA's role in finance and service delivery and planning. In a sense the question that I was asked by the Chairman at the beginning is: do we pull all these things together? I think the answer is that at the SHA level that is the place to do it. So I do not think we have anything to apologise for in making those changes.

  Q990  Mr Amess: Thank you for your honest answer. I think Mr Greenfield is busting to shed some light on this.

  Mr Greenfield: I was one of the WDC chief executives in the largest one in North Central London and, as the only member of the panel who was there at that time, I think that we have to look back and note that WDCs were a welcome addition to the structure because they brought a new and stronger focus on workforce, but the reality was that they were conceived a year or two before Strategic Health Authorities. Had the Strategic Health Authorities been in place when WDCs were formed, I would have strongly argued (and I know my colleagues would have done the same) that the right place for the workforce was not in a separate silo but was integrated strongly with service and financial planning, and it was that timing of the restructuring which did not enable that at the time. Most of the WDCs were harmoniously co-located or brought together with the SHAs, as indeed I did with mine in North Central London, and they were the stronger for it. I think the Minister's point about the integration of service, finance and workforce planning is the one that we must keep to the fore.

  Q991  Mr Amess: So it was not a mistake disbanding them?

  Mr Greenfield: I think when you use the word "disbanding" that tends to be a little bit misleading. What has happened with many of them is that they have been integrated into the new Strategic Health Authorities, and we are absolutely key that the SHAs are going to have a fundamental role around workforce strategic development.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: To put it very simply, the organisation has changed but the kind of skills that they develop, the experience of working with all these different bodies that have to sort out workforce planning at a local level, has not been lost, but having it clearly the responsibility of the chief executive of the SHA as one of their key priorities, it just makes much more sense to do it that way.

  Q992  Mr Amess: So it would be wrong for us to take the view that in the closure of them, demonstrated by 2004, the NHS had badly lost sight of workforce planning priorities as set out in the year 2000? It would be wrong for us to draw that conclusion.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: Certainly I would not draw that conclusion. I think it is much better to put it in the mainstream management. The last thing we want, and we have seen this before, is you take a specialty function like HR workforce planning and you put it to one side as a kind of silo. This does not work unless it is right there in front of the chief executive as one of their key responsibilities.

  Q993  Dr Stoate: Can I bring you back into the fold and wish you well with your very challenging brief. Looking back over the last few years since I have been in this House, I remember when, at the end of the 1990s, the BMA and others were saying that we were between five and 10 thousand GPs short of what we absolutely needed to provide a good service. The Government responded by increasing the number of registrars and now the BMA is saying, "Oh my goodness, there is an awful lot of possible unemployment amongst GPs." Similarly, we were 400 cardiac surgeons short, so the Government quite rightly upped the training for cardiac surgeons, and now the Royal College of Surgeons tell us that there are unemployed cardiac surgeons and the future looks pretty bleak for them. The question I want to ask is that the Government is open to the criticism that we are too caught up with short-termism and political expedience rather than taking the long-term view. How do you respond to that?

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I am very surprised that you could accuse the Government of that.

  Q994  Dr Stoate: I did not accuse the Government, I said the Government was open to the charge of that.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I think I need to get back to the House of Lords, Chairman! It is interesting, the comments of the BMA, which probably one would expect from the BMA but it does show one of the issues. Why workforce planning is not easy is simply the huge long lead-time and the years it takes to train a consultant. How do you ensure that we know today what kind of Health Service we need in 15, 20 years' time? Of course the answer is that we have some ideas but no-one here could predict, could they, the exact type of Health Service we are going to require in two generations time given the pace of medical science and technology. We can make assumptions and we have to have a system which keeps in touch with what is happening and can make adjustments, and that is what we have now got in place, but, with hand on heart, I cannot say to the Committee that I can guarantee for all time that the decisions we make now will ensure you have absolutely the right number of GPs or pathologists or midwives in 10 or 15 years' time. That cannot be done, no one could do it, but what we can do is try and get it as accurate as possible and that is what we are really seeking to do. That is why we are continuously getting figures from the Health Service about future trends so that, where you do identify either potential shortages or surpluses of staff, you do try and make adjustments as quickly as possible. The traditional NHS route has been to wait for the crisis to happen, then make the adjustment, the adjustment is too sharp and then you have an opposite reaction in another five or six years, and that is what we have got to stop. We are always going to have, there are always going to be, some discrepancies between people available and places, but what we have got to try and do is get those discrepancies as small as possible.

  Q995  Dr Stoate: I appreciate that obviously, that predicting exact future workforce requirements is an impossible task, but just to go further in being devil's advocate, last week Sir Jonathan Michael, CEO of Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, actually told us that we should not be going down this road of central planning at all, but we should leave it entirely for local organisations and in that it should be entirely led by the market. He put forward what sounded a perfectly reasonable case for saying, "Let the market decide. Chief executives up and down the country will work out their own needs, will recruit according to need and the market will provide those needs". He made that case. Personally, I do not agree with that case, I think that is a recipe for very great difficulties, but I just wonder what you think about it.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: Well, I have got great respect for Sir Michael and he has done a great job, but I do not agree with him on this matter. I do not think you can simply have a free-for-all where I suppose you would depend on the universities to decide how many people they were prepared to train and then it would be up to each individual organisation to simply do the best they could. I do think that very rigid centralised planning is not appropriate. Actually, the NHS has tried that. Historically, it has tried it and it has not worked, so what you have got to do is to establish a national strategy with a lot of accurate information and then you have got to get ownership at local level, and that is why the role of the Strategic Health Authority working with the individual trust is so important. My job essentially is to make sure that Strategic Health Authorities do look at the long term, that they do not get into short-termist approaches, and to ensure, as far as possible in terms of, say, training commissions, that we do forecast as exactly as possible the numbers that are required. I do think of course you need to give individual trusts flexibility, and that is our problem with a guarantee, for instance, that every nurse who is qualified or physio could be guaranteed a 12-month job because I do not think it is right for us to sit in Whitehall and to determine that the individual trust has to do it, but I do think that, as part of the National Health Service where we want much more devolved authority, actually workforce planning is one of those bits of the architecture that sits in terms of national leadership and it is essential to carry on with that.

  Q996  Mike Penning: Lord Hunt, we have seen evidence and we have been given evidence that planning is poorly integrated with financial planning and the service planning when it comes to workforce planning. Do you accept this criticism?

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I think there are clearly going to be instances where it has not been as good as it should have been. I believe that it is getting better and I hope, from what I have said this morning, that you will understand that I want to make sure that the three elements are pulled together as tightly as possible. That is what the Strategic Health Authorities are charged with doing.

  Q997  Mike Penning: The NHS as a whole and the Department you are a Minister of are partly responsible for this poor planning?

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I do not think I accept your word "poor" planning. I think I said that there clearly may be instances where workforce planning, finance and services do not completely dovetail together.

  Q998  Mike Penning: That is fascinating because in the Department's evidence on workforce planning and education planning, it actually says there that workforce planning lacks integration with finance planning, so your own Department's document agrees with me, not you.

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: I am not sure that I read it that way. I think clearly we have identified that we need to do better and I am not running away from that at all. What I am really saying here is that workforce planning in the Health Service is in a hell of a better state than it has been before. Of course there are instances where it is not working as well as we would want it to work and we know that people have had to make some short-term decisions this year because of the financial deficit. That is not in question, but the—

  Q999  Mike Penning: Let us help you a little bit, Minister. Would you agree that the Department of Health is equally to blame for failing to accurately predict the workforce planned expansion and the cost of it, especially when it comes to central negotiation of contracts? Are you going to take any blame in the Department at all for the contracts which were imposed on the trusts which has cost them so much money?

  Lord Hunt of Kings Heath: Well, the Department clearly played a major role in the contracts and of course I accept responsibility for what the Department has done.


 
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