Select Committee on International Development Second Report


2  Emerging epidemics

Emerging epidemics in Asia and Eastern Europe

9. Sub-Saharan Africa remains the region hit hardest by the HIV pandemic. Across the region, HIV prevalence has stabilised at a high 6% (compared with a global prevalence of 1%).[26] The situation in many individual states is dire. Adult HIV prevalence in Swaziland, for example, is estimated at around 33% and some epidemics, including the one in South Africa, show no signs of decline. There are also disturbing signs that other regions could be on the verge of serious epidemics. The number of people living with HIV/AIDS in Eastern Europe and Central Asia has increased almost twenty-fold in less than a decade.[27] In Asia, though prevalence is low, large populations mean that there are significant numbers of people living with HIV/AIDS, including in India which has the largest single such population in the world. The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State told us "on current trends the numbers of people as opposed to the prevalence rates in Asia will be higher than for Africa by 2010 if things do not change."[28]

Lessons learned from Africa

10. Some African countries have put in place innovative approaches to HIV/AIDS. We were interested to hear whether these approaches might offer lessons for countries facing new epidemics. For example, the rate of AIDS testing in Botswana has quadrupled as a result of a policy move to 'opt-out testing'.[29] In 2004, 10% of Botswanan people living with HIV had access to ARVs. Today, a third of Botswanans know their HIV status and 85% of those who need treatment get it.[30] Nevertheless when we visited Botswana earlier this year we were told that the sex trade and homosexuality were illegal and that there were no AIDS programmes for these groups. Evidence from UNAIDS acknowledged the benefits of 'opt-out testing' in generalised epidemics but warned that "we have to be very careful in terms of advocating that approach for every country because situations vary enormously and stigma and discrimination are rife. In many settings there is no confidentiality in the healthcare sector… [but] the Botswana approach holds promise in many high prevalence settings".[31] We also heard about the Ugandan experience, where a relatively successful ABC approach ('Abstinence, Be faithful and use Condoms') has been followed by a less successful abstinence-focused programme.[32] UNAIDS and WHO have noted that "current findings do hint at the possible erosion of gains Uganda made against AIDS in the 1990s".[33]

11. We accept that there is no one-size-fits-all response to HIV/AIDS epidemics. National programmes should be based on careful assessments of local need. Africa has carried the heaviest regional HIV/AIDS burden for decades and has seen a wide range of responses employed. As a key development partner in Africa, DFID has a valuable perspective on these responses and on best practice that most national governments facing new epidemics will not have. As emerging epidemics become more generalised, we recommend that DFID ensure that its experience of best practice in Africa is put at the disposal of governments elsewhere, including in Asia and Eastern Europe.


2 26  6 UNAIDS, 2006 Report Back

27   Memorandum submitted by DFID, para 13 Back

28   Q 23 Back

29   Unless they object, all patients entering a clinic or hospital are routinely given an AIDS test. Figures from the Global Policy Forum, www.globalpolicy.org Back

30   Figures from the Global Policy Forum Back

31   Q 10 [Dr Anindya Chatterjee] Back

32   Qq 14, 15 and 37 [Mr Joseph O'Reilly and Mr Gareth Thomas] Back

33   UNAIDS/WHO, AIDS Epidemic Update, December 2006, p 18 Back


 
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Prepared 1 December 2006