Poverty
Reduction Budgetary Support
35. Another potential vehicle for increasing
aid provision without requiring significant additional Departmental
staff is spending via Poverty Reduction Budgetary Support (PRBS).
PRBS is a form of financial aid in which funds are provided directly
to a partner government's central exchequer, to spend using its
own financial management, procurement and accountability systems
and in support of a government programme typically focusing on
growth, poverty reduction, fiscal adjustment, and strengthening
institutions, especially budgetary processes.
[48]
36. The DFID DR shows that in 2005-06 PRBS was
a significant funding mechanism for DFID. 25% of the total DFID
bilateral programme was delivered through PRBS. It was provided
to fifteen countries, including nine countries in Africa, five
in Asia and one in Europe. [49]
37. As with multilateral aid, however, PRBS has
risks in terms of its sustainability. Our predecessors' Report
on DFID's DR 2004 stated:
"While we understand the department's enthusiasm
for PRBS, it must be applied using appropriate risk considerations
to determine whether it is the most suitable way of delivering
aid, and whether the potential development benefits outweigh the
risks that are being taken. Most importantly, future decisions
about PRBS must be based on evidence of whether or not PRBS has
produced the developmental benefits expected of it. Any future
roll-out of PRBS must be evidence based". [50]
38. Earlier this year, an evaluation of budget
support was commissioned by a consortium of donors, led by DFID.[51]
The report concluded that PRBS can be an efficient, effective
and sustainable way of supporting national poverty reduction strategies
and played a clearly positive role in five of the seven case study
countries (Burkina Faso, Mozambique, Rwanda, Uganda and Vietnam).
However, it also pointed out that PRBS, "as presently designed,
is vulnerable to a number of risks, including political risks.
These threaten its ability to operate as a long-term support modality.
Its sustainability depends on making it more resilient."
39. The vulnerability of PRBS to political risks
was demonstrated when DFID withdrew PRBS in Uganda[52]
and Ethiopia[53] because
of concerns about political governance and human rights abuses.
In Uganda, PRBS was cut by £20m and £15m was reallocated
to humanitarian assistance in the north of the country. In Ethiopia,
the UK approved £94 million for a new Protection of Basic
Services Grant to support education, health care and water and
sanitation. The Secretary of State said that the very act of withdrawing
budget support was a deterrent to poor governance and rights abuses:
it "sent a very strong message about what we regard as acceptable
conduct, and I think that is worthwhile in itself".[54]
However, questions exist around the effectiveness of the measures
DFID is putting in place to help these countries get back on track
(particularly in Uganda): the sending of political signals
signals that are perhaps partly aimed at bolstering UK taxpayers'
support for development interventions should be part of
a restorative process rather than a stand-alone gesture.
40. We note from DFID's written evidence that
the Department's expenditure in Ethiopia will increase to £130
million in 2007-08, making Ethiopia the largest DFID programme
in Africa.[55] Whilst
we support this effort to address the obvious need in Ethiopia,
it is unclear how this scaling-up of resources sits with the political
message of PRBS withdrawal.
41. An Overseas Development Institute Opinions
Paper argues that these cases show that PRBS may be limited as
a tool to encourage good governance amongst states: "Donor
pressures and threats to cut aid are less important than internal
control over the levers of power, especially in countries with
weak democratic institutions and traditions".[56]
The paper also suggests that DFID needs to clarify the political
conditionality of aid and form a more robust assessment of the
sustainability of PRBS:
"As a number of commentators have pointed out,
Zenawi's [Prime Minister of Ethiopia] and Museveni's [President
of Uganda] democratic credentials have only been established relatively
recently [...] Political and historical analysis could have led
to a much sounder appraisal of the likelihood of such crises taking
place, possibly avoiding today's need for such drastic measures.
Such analysis should inform the shape of the aid agreements that
donors sign with recipient countries, spelling out the boundaries
of 'acceptable behaviour' that both undertake to respect. In existing
agreements, governance issues tend to get excessively watered
down". [57]
It is our view that identifying institutions and
processes required for effective PRBS will decrease any risk of
personalising decisions over budget support.
42. The OECD DAC Peer Review considered that,
"A further clarification of the UK's approach to political
conditionality in light of recent events (e.g. Ethiopia) could
also help harmonize donor approaches". [58]
However, the Secretary of State told us that he believed donors
were already co-ordinating effectively over PRBS, and gave the
example of how a number of donors had come behind the decision
to divert PRBS to Ethiopia to the new Protection of Basic Services
Grant.[59]
43. The criteria listed in DFID's policy paper
for gauging the appropriateness of PRBS include: "the country's
planned budget priorities in support of poverty reduction; the
status of administrative, technical and financial systems; and
the specific costs/benefits of PRBS against other types of aid".[60]
These criteria do not explicitly mention political governance
issues, which formed the main reasons for withdrawing aid from
Uganda and Ethiopia.
44. The Ethiopia and Uganda cases also flag up
the importance of having contingency plans in place in case budgetary
support is withdrawn. The cases raise the question of whether
the logical corollary to cutting PRBS is the need for all PRBS
countries to have contingency plans in place in case the government
goes off track. If so, the creation of such contingency plans
which would exist as an alternative way of delivering
the same benefits to poor people surely needs to be taken
seriously as a reciprocal arrangement by which the 'added value'
of PRBS can be assessed. Uganda's contingency plan turned out
to be a redirection of DFID funds to UNICEF. However, when we
took evidence from DFID in July, UNICEF had yet to disburse the
funds.[61]
This again supports the need for effective and sustainable
contingency plans to be in place before PRBS is withdrawn.
45. In the case of Ethiopia, the UK approved
£94 million for a new Protection of Basic Services Grant
to maintain and expand such services as primary schooling, basic
health care, water supply and sanitation and agricultural extension.[62]
The Grant carries more comprehensive monitoring burdens than PRBS
arrangements, and for the first time requires detailed budgetary
information to be made available to citizens.[63]
We were pleased to hear that
Ethiopia's Protection of Basic Services Grant provides for regular
financial monitoring, including the provision of detailed budgetary
information to citizens for the first time. However, we recommend
that these monitoring arrangements particularly making
detailed budgetary information available to citizens are
extended to all PRBS arrangements to enable improved transparency
and accountability. We
plan to visit Ethiopia early in 2007 as part of our Water and
Sanitation inquiry and will follow up on these points during the
visit.
46. One World Action notes that PRBS also brings
new challenges for NGOs who wish to track aid effectiveness:
"DFID could increase action in the following
areas:
- Identify and institute clear
mechanisms for tracking policy commitments in new aid modalities,
especially poverty reduction budget support,
- Greater transparency on levels of poverty reduction
budget support.
- Support to Southern CSOs [Civil Society Organisations]
and especially gender aware organisations, to strengthen their
capacity to engage in national budget processes and monitor expenditure."[64]
47. We
recommend that DFID examines the long-term viability of budgetary
support before it is introduced in order to reduce the likelihood
of withdrawal and that it includes political governance where
appropriate in the criteria for PRBS. We also recommend that DFID
considers immediate follow-up measures to assist countries in
getting back on track, puts contingency plans in place prior to
PRBS being withdrawn and builds NGOs' capacity to track the effectiveness
of PRBS.
7