Memorandum submitted by Oxford Analytica
For more than 20 years, Oxford Analytica has
been providing daily assessments of economic, political and public
policy developments across the world to a clientele of leading
corporations, governments and multilateral organisations.
Oxford Analytica's reputation comes from its
ability to harness the expertise of the academic community to
the needs of decision-makers in business and government by providing
timely and authoritative analysis. Drawing on its network of over
1,000 scholars at leading universities and research centres around
the world, Oxford Analytica objectively assesses trends and offers
a forward-looking perspective that is rooted in an understanding
of the antecedents of events. Our analysis often challenges the
consensus that can easily build up in both the public and the
In our work, and particularly in the Oxford
Analytica Daily Brief, the impact of globalisationunderstood
primarily but not exclusively as an economic processhas
been the subject of continuous analysis since the early 1990s.The
Oxford Analytica Daily Brief is designed:
to explore the implications of major
trends, developments and events for business and governments around
to answer the question: "what
to ensure that there are "no
surprises" for our clients.
We achieve these goals through a rigorous system
that each day brings together senior academics in Oxford, our
full-time professional team of editorial analysts, and our global
network of scholar experts. The result, each business day, is
eight analytical articles, each one 2-3 pages, on developments
of major significance around the world, together with a tour d'horizon
of events from the previous 24 hours.
Recent coverage of globalisation and its impact
includes articles on:
Foreign direct investment.
We analysed the recent UN report on globalisation trends, which
showed East Asia and India becoming increasingly significant sources
of FDI in coming years.
Trade multilateralism. We
examined the longerterm consequences of a Doha Round collapse
for the future of the international trading system.
China's role in Africa. China's
demand for raw materials and its global export drive are already
having a significant impact on Africa, where they are largely
welcomed. However, there may well be negative implications for
economic governance in the medium term.
Economic nationalism. The
developed world is erecting new barriers to cross-border mergers
and acquisitions and this is encouraging governments in the developing
world in their questioning of the merits of economic openness.
Globalisation has clearly become harder to sell politically, but
for local and idiosyncratic reasons rather than systemic ones.
Consultancy practice. Our consultancy
practice helps clients assess risks and exploit opportunities
by providing custom-tailored, high value-added analysis. Recently
completed projects include:
Global scenarios. For a leading
international law firm, we developed scenarios for the world in
2015, and examined the implications of each scenario on the market
for legal services. The scenarios considered the interaction of
over forty political, economic and social trends and uncertainties.
The implications were then debated in a facilitated workshop with
members of the firm's senior management team.
India and Britain in 2020.
Undertaken for a government department, a study of the relationship
between India and Britain in 2020 examined the key trends shaping
the development of both countries, developed a vision of an ideal
future relationship in 2020, and assessed the risks and obstacles
to achieving such a relationship. The report presented a series
of policy recommendations on how to achieve the desired relationship.
Oil market outlook. For a
North American financial institution, Oxford Analytica provided
a 10-year outlook for the global oil market.
Innovation systems. For a
government agency we assessed the ten-year outlook for the innovation
systems of India and China.
Global energy sector. For
a government agency we commissioned two experts to address the
same set of questions independently. These questions focused on
the five to 10 year outlook for the global energy sector, and
how that outlook will impact diplomatic relations between key
producer and consumer countries.
Middle East scenarios. For
an international engineering company working in the oil and gas
industry, we developed global scenarios for the future of the
Middle East, and assessed their implications for business in the
UK Confectionery Industry.
For a leading international food company we have developed scenarios
for the UK confectionery industry, examining, among other things,
the impact of social and political factors such as spiraling health
costs and obesity.