Select Committee on Work and Pensions Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 100 - 119)

WEDNESDAY 8 NOVEMBER 2006

MR PATRICK GRATTAN, MR ANDREW HARROP AND MR RICHARD EXELL

  Q100  Chairman: Good morning and welcome. Richard, there are some people who think you are a member of this Committee, you spend that much time in this room! Would you mind briefly introducing yourselves.

  Mr Grattan: I am Patrick Grattan and I run TAEN, The Age and Employment Network, which has been the centre of expertise on this subject and we have been involved with all the major public policy issues in this area. We are a membership organisation and we are part-sponsored by Help the Aged, so I speak for Help the Aged and TAEN.

  Mr Harrop: I am Andrew Harrop, Head of Policy at Age Concern, and I have been leading our work on employment and skills for the over-50s.

  Mr Exell: I am Richard Exell. I am a senior policy officer at the TUC and I am the author of our report, Ready, Willing and Able.

  Q101  Justine Greening: Obviously the Government's aim is to increase the number of over-50s in work by one million, but there is no particular timescale for that. Do you think that is challenging enough given what changes we are going to see anyway in the working population?

  Mr Exell: If you go by what the Pensions Commission report said of course, then it is a very challenging target. When they looked at what they called the `high participation scenario' for labour market outcomes in the medium to long term, they thought it was quite unlikely that there would be a significant increase in employment rates because there would always be large numbers of disabled people who would not get jobs, large numbers of carers and that there would be a continuing desire for early retirement, so in one sense there is an authoritative body saying that it is a very challenging target, but we strongly disagree with that view. There is considerable evidence nowadays that there is a large group of people aged between 50 and state retirement age who are in voluntarily early retired and there is some evidence of employer discrimination, which we may want to come back to later on, which makes it difficult for people in that age group who have lost their jobs to return to employment. On the other hand, the opportunities for the Government here are really quite good. If you look at working age employment rates, between summer 2001 and summer 2006 they only increased by 0.3 percentage points, whereas employment rates for people aged over state retirement age in the same period decreased by 2.5 percentage points, so—

  Q102  Justine Greening: Is it true though that with the over-50s, even if the employment rate stays exactly the same, we will still have that one million extra older workers coming in?

  Mr Harrop: Yes, it is. By about 2016 to 2020, so looking a decade ahead, we would have an extra million just from the growth of the cohort, so we would support the one million target, but only if it is over and above gains just from demographic change so that it is a change in the employment rate for the 50-to-69 age group rather than just the size of that age group.

  Q103  Justine Greening: So in many respects the one million target is not a strategy, it is merely describing what is likely to happen?

  Mr Harrop: It is a welcome aspiration because it has focused attention of the DWP on older workers where they had taken their eye off that particular client group, but it has never been defined either in timescales or in exactly what it means. We think it is really important, as part of the process of refreshing the Department's PSAs at the Comprehensive Spending Review, that a real target in terms of the employment rate for this age group is agreed.

  Mr Grattan: If you can put it in a historical context, we have had an increase of 1.4 million people over 50 in work since 1997 and two out of three of the increase in the workforce have been people over 50, which is pretty encouraging. That is split roughly 800,000, if you like, caused by age population shift and 600,000 by an increase in the actual employment rate, so 800,000 is standing still, if you like, and 600,000. We would support the one million on certain conditions, firstly, that it is one million plus half a million of people off incapacity benefit. Now, the DWP submission does say that those are not the same people, but, as you know, half the people on IB are over 50 and you have done a report on that, so it is one million plus half a million and I would add half a million people over the state pension age. Andrew, in his submission, talks about three million, and we need a timescale for this. One is talking about the workforce increasing by three million of which two million are over 50, sticking to roughly the two out of three, and that is a picture we have seen. We need the timescale because the DWP evidence kind of floats it back towards 2050 when a lot of the world will have changed, and also, as Andrew says, we need to tighten up the PSA target which the DWP currently has which is an extremely modest and unmeasured one of simply decreasing the gap in the employment rate between the under- and over-50s.

  Q104  Justine Greening: Let us assume that we get some clarification and we have a target that is broadly assumed to be challenging and it will be a stretch to reach it. What sorts of things do you think will need to change, if you like, to help the over-50s going forward get into work, perhaps more than we have done in the past, and not just helping them get into work, but helping them to keep jobs?

  Mr Harrop: I think it is really important to make a distinction between people in work at the moment and helping them stay in work for as long as they wish to and people who are out of work, which is around one million people, who want to get back into work, over 50, and who are not working at the moment. That group faces quite significant barriers in terms of things like health, poor skills and caring responsibilities and that is where the Government needs to be quite interventionist in the support on offer. When it comes to people in work, it is obviously going to be much more about setting the scene and getting the right employer/employee relationship, particularly in terms of reinvesting in people's skills throughout their careers and in terms of occupational health so that people with emerging health issues are able to stay in the workplace rather than being forced to leave work. There, it is going to be leadership from the Government setting the tone rather than the Government having as many direct levers to influence the outcomes between an individual and their employer.

  Q105  Justine Greening: We will come on to talk about discrimination later, but certainly I had a constituent who came to me for help. He was being made to go into retirement, he had a job doing maintenance at a local sports club, and he was perfectly capable and wanted to stay on. I talked to the board of directors and found that one of them was 67 and still on the board of directors, clearly perfectly capable of doing the job, yet the person who was in the Bank of England Sports Club doing maintenance around the place, apparently when he got over 65, was not. Do you think that is one of the key issues we would need to address?

  Mr Grattan: I think that to achieve this, there are several things. We have to maintain the pressure for change in employment and the work that is going on with the Age Positive Programme, the work of people like the Employers' Forum on age and showing, by good example, that it pays in business terms, we have to maintain that. We have to make the legislation work and not just be a one-week wonder for October 2006, but something that is effective down the road. Most of all, and I am sure we will come back to this, we have to address the world of skills and retraining for everybody, that which will help individuals get back into work. Those are three major things we have to do.

  Mr Harrop: On the specific point of forced retirement, Age Concern and our new membership organisation, Heyday, are judicially reviewing the regulations because of the inclusion of a forced retirement clause in the law which that they do not effectively apply over 65. One of the main reasons we are doing that is because it is being interpreted by employers to mean, "We had better get rid of people over 65 because we might face risks if we don't", so rather than being a rarely used exception, the early evidence seems to be that it is becoming a default that employers do it unless they have a very good reason not to. That is really important for people's opportunities over the age of 65, but it also sets the tone for employment for at least five years before that, possibly longer, because you have a countdown to a fixed arbitrary age rather than it being about the individual employment relationship, how good any one employee is and how long they wish to carry on for.

  Q106  Justine Greening: I am conscious of the time, so I will move on to my final area which is the way in which the calculation is made, this sort of employment rate. The Department for Work and Pensions is thinking of moving to use the OECD measurement which would essentially divide the total number of people working by the 16-to-64 population. Do you think that is a good idea?

  Mr Harrop: Yes, that is what Age Concern has recommended.

  Mr Exell: The TUC does not have an official position on this, but it is a matter of horses for courses. If what we are trying to measure is the total level of slack in the labour market, then the OECD measure is a better measure.

  Mr Grattan: We have made a number of suggestions in our submission for you on this. Of course it is unusual to have a measure where you compare apples with oranges, which is what this is. That is not the normal way statisticians work, I do not think.

  Q107  Justine Greening: Obviously it will exclude people who are working over retirement age.

  Mr Grattan: No, surely the measure is of anybody working over 16 and up to death compared to the population up to 65, so it is apples and oranges in that sense. The advantages of it are, in my view, simplicity and the fact that it does away with an age like 65 and it just lumps everybody in, and I think that there are advantages of it. Just to be clear, we put forward one proposal related to young people and questioned whether this measure should really start at age 25 because actually the overwhelming public policy objectives about people under 25 are to get them all into education and the lower the employment rate for at least the under-20s, the better.

  Q108  Justine Greening: Are you trying to suggest that government policy is not joined up properly?

  Mr Grattan: I will leave you to decide that. That of course makes the target harder to achieve and, in the interests of simplicity, I think it may be better to go with the OECD style, but we need to be very clear about what is happening in the 16-to-25 age group where the employment is now down around 50% or something. The second thing we suggested, which was a different approach, was that there should be a specific focus on the over-65s, the pensioner population, which is currently about one million in employment and we see the potential for at least half a million, as I just said. The third point is let us be very clear in measuring this and what is happening in IB because several of the things in the Government's approach really amount to just saying, "Let time pass, people die off and bring in the younger people which will switch the other lot out at the other end", and, just the same as with the skills objectives, you can do nothing for five years and you have half met your objective.

  Mr Exell: One point that is worth adding is that of course we are going to see over the coming years significant changes in retirement ages and, without a change like this, it is going to be really quite difficult to compare one year with another.

  Q109  Justine Greening: Do you think we might be trying to force-fit a strategy into a calculation and actually what we ought to do is not get so hung up about this particular calculation, but actually get an overall strategy for getting the over-50s back into work, maybe sub-divided into different groups, and perhaps even for the under-25s, as you said, and actually tailor some measurements which fit the strategy rather than trying to force-fit the strategy into this possibly, as you say, quite blunt instrument of a measurement?

  Mr Exell: I have not considered that, but it is an attractive idea, on the face of it.

  Mr Harrop: I think the simplest way to look at it is to go back to the numbers. What we all want is an extra three million people in work and many of those should be over 50, and we do not need to argue too much about whether it is two thirds or a half, but the overall outcome should be higher employment than we have today and that will be a success.

  Q110  Justine Greening: We just had people in talking about lone parents and one of the issues that came up was that often they have informal care. Are you aware of any evidence that suggests to what extent informal care might be compromised by having a successful strategy for over-50s, that there simply are not those people in the broader family to take care of children because they are now working too? Have you any assessment of that?

  Mr Grattan: Again we are not talking about a large homogenous group of people. There are people who want to be very ambitious, people who want to combine caring for elderly relatives and people who want to combine grandparenting and work. Flexible working and changing patterns of work is one reason why the retail sector has managed well in this area, that they can offer in the 7-24 scheme of things. You only need to go to a supermarket and observe which age group is on the cash-out at different times during the week and on different days of the week, it is fascinating, you see those patterns revealed, so I think that it is about combining those things.

  Q111  Greg Mulholland: Andrew, you mentioned barriers to employment and the question for all of you we ought to ask is: how big a problem is age discrimination and how widespread do you think it is?

  Mr Harrop: Age discrimination is interesting compared to other types of discrimination because up until now employers have been quite open about admitting it. Even last year a survey had 1 in 10 saying that they discriminate in recruitment and I suspect a lot more who do not own up to it still have those sorts of attitudes in their recruitment practice. The latest evidence is that a third of people in the course of a year say they have experienced age discrimination which is extraordinarily high. We have also just done some qualitative research with people over 50 looking for work and they mentioned age discrimination early and consistently throughout the research as the major barrier that they were facing. These were not people that you would in any way think of as difficult to employ. They were capable, they had done a wide range of jobs, they had the sort of life skills that employers cry out for and they just were not getting a chance. That was a consistent message from six different focus groups.

  Mr Exell: Most of the evidence we have about age discrimination against older workers is indirect, but it is quite persuasive. It is very common for older people to report age discrimination. Our Chesterfield Unemployed Centre did a survey in a very depressed part of north Derbyshire and found in this survey of people outside the labour market that age discrimination was by far the commonest form of discrimination to be reported, and there were other surveys which have come up with similar results. We also have lots of evidence of stereotypical attitudes amongst employers. The evidence about the actual discrimination is harder to come by, but those two pieces of evidence together are very suggestive indeed.

  Mr Grattan: There is of course a huge overlap between age, gender, disability and geography and that is one of the reasons why we are moving to a single equality body. If you look at the data by geography, so age is not a kind of thing you just put in a silo by itself, in looking at employment policies, the crucial issue here is how employment policies are multi-targeted, including on age, and I am sure we will come back to that.

  Mr Harrop: Age discrimination is as significant in influencing under-employment, people being employed beneath their capabilities and skills, as it is to just getting into the labour market at all.

  Q112  Greg Mulholland: How confident are you that the new age discrimination legislation will be effective and do you also think that more needs to be done in terms of engaging employers? Is that really what needs to be done?

  Mr Harrop: I have already mentioned our concerns about forced retirement ages and the message that sends out. Apart from that, there are two key issues. One is adequate test cases to get the interpretation of the law sorted out clearly and robustly. There is an awful lot that is not yet clear in the legislation particularly about how easy it will be to justify direct discrimination. In other areas of discrimination law, you cannot justify direct discrimination, but with age you can, so the early test cases on what that means in practice will be crucial. Secondly, it is about awareness both for employers and employees. Obviously it is high in the public's mind at the moment because of the launch of the legislation, but what will be happening a year or two years from now? There is going to have to be sustained awareness-raising, including from the new Commission for Equality and Human Rights.

  Mr Grattan: I think my short answer would be that this autumn has been different than if we had not been having age legislation. It has clearly raised the profile of the issue and I think it will be very like gender and race, that in 25 years' time we will be saying that it is not the whole answer, but without a doubt it is part of the answer. The work with employers is just an ongoing thing. The continued effort for the Age Positive campaign has been a good feature of the DWP's work in this area and there is already quite a lot of change, but there is a heck of a lot more.

  Mr Exell: The international evidence from countries that have already introduced age discrimination legislation suggests that the effect is positive, but that it is not going to be enough by itself, which is why, in addition to campaigning for age discrimination legislation, in our recent report we have also put a great deal of emphasis on developing the business case for not discriminating and some of the facts to use against stereotypes.

  Q113  Miss Begg: You mentioned the need for flexible working because of caring responsibilities and you have just talked about age discrimination being a barrier to getting older people into work. What are the other significant barriers, as you see it, and, as you are answering that, can you maybe pick up Patrick's point where he said that age is not in a silo on its own and there may be an inter-relationship between all the different barriers? How common is that and are multiple barriers the biggest issue rather than the single barrier?

  Mr Grattan: I think it is veow How Howry important to recognise, and perhaps we did not when we started out, that there are barriers created by employer attitudes and barriers created by ourselves and our own attitudes and clearly those are most focused in those who have multiple barriers. One of the things we would say is absolutely essential, and this takes us over to DfES, Education and Skills, is that we move forward on changing attitudes towards advice and career change and development and that we have better adult careers services. If we are going to be having longer, more varied working lives which means having people returning at all sorts of stages to the workforce and retraining, what you did when you were 20 is not exactly very significant in training terms and at the moment there are very, very few opportunities, so a big barrier is the absence of opportunities to train and the motivation and skills and working on motivation and skills to help people make a fresh start because I think it is very important to emphasise the huge socioeconomic diversity. There is a vast difference between people with qualifications and skills who may have some capacity to step out in a new direction and many people who have no qualifications and have no relevant experience of tackling this and who will just accept that their time has passed. It is a very common attitude, especially in areas of low employment. In inner London and inner Manchester only just over half of the over-50s are in work. If that is the case, then your conclusion is that you are not likely to get a job, so why try.

  Q114  Miss Begg: Can I follow up on that? SWOOP argue that a lack of skills is often seen as a barrier to employment, which you have just argued, but they say that in their experience "absence of formal qualifications in no way reflects an absence of skills", and they describe the portrayal of older people as poorly skilled as being inaccurate and unhelpful. That seems to contradict what you have just said.

  Mr Grattan: Our view is that the skills strategy is not fit for purpose for this age group; it is all about formal full level 2s. We have a big argument going on with the DfES—and Andrew is involved and others—that in the Leitch Review this has to change because our common approach is saying: "Here is a qualification designed for an 18-year-old and you over 55-year-old should do it." If you want to go back into nursing, shall we say, or start as a nurse and you have had 30 years as an adult, is that the right kind of qualification? So it is not fit for purpose, and the stats show it.

  Mr Harrop: In the research we have just done people talked about a range of training needs and, as Patrick said, it is a one-size-fits-all policy. At one end people with a lot of skills, possibly with qualifications possibly not, often leave a career and do not have the skills, or the piece of paper to show that they have got those skills, to get a new job or a new career. They do not necessarily need a full level 2 or a full level 3; what they need is bite-sized, tailored training to meet the particular skills gaps they have got. At the other end, some people changing career say they are very frustrated that they are getting an offer of quite low-level training but, actually, what they want to do is take part in a substantial challenging qualification, which means they have got something to show. They do not feel that is on offer either.

  Mr Exell: There are economic studies that suggest that one of the effects of a combination of being older and having low levels of qualifications is that the low level of qualifications exacerbates the age penalty, so that men with qualifications start facing real difficulty in getting jobs in their late-50s; men without qualifications started facing the same problems in their early-50s. You were asking about multiple barriers. We also know about the relationship between age and disability. We know that at all ages disabled people are less likely to be in employment than non-disabled people and we know that older people, whether they are disabled or not, are less likely to be in employment than people in prime age—as it is insultingly called. What is particularly noticeable is when you look at the older age groups and make the comparison between disabled and non-disabled people because then the employment rates for disabled people in that age group are half what they are for the non-disabled people, whereas the difference is about a third or a quarter in younger age groups. So there is a very strong combined effect of disability and age.

  Mr Harrop: Can I add to that that disability, age and poor qualifications is the most significant driver of that relationship Richard has just talked about. If you do not have level 2 qualifications and have a disability you only have a one-in-three chance of being in work. It is higher if you are disabled but have skills, and it is very high indeed if you are non-disabled and have skills. Age is not much of a barrier; for this group.

  Q115  Miss Begg: Can I explore with Andrew and Richard the point that Patrick picked up about the individual's attitude to work? What I have noticed since I turned 50 is that most of my friends are now counting the days until they can get retirement. They may be a different group inasmuch as they are in well-paid employment and they will have a good pension. Is there a different attitude from people who have been forced out of the workplace—so-called taking early retirement when, in fact, it is really a disguise for redundancy? Are you sure that the older workers really do want to work?

  Mr Exell: Beattie and Fothergill found that there was a really important breakdown into at least two distinct groups here, certainly amongst men (we have got better evidence for men than we have for women). There seems to be a small group, about 12%, who are what you could call "early retired"; generally speaking worked in well-paid jobs during their careers, have good occupational pensions, maybe looking for a little bit of work to supplement their retirement income but, on the whole, they are voluntary early retired. For a majority of older non-employed people, even when they are describing themselves as early retired, actually it was not a voluntary decision; they have got very low levels of income, they are heavily reliant on state benefits and most of them say that it is not what they had planned for their future.

  Mr Harrop: In addition to that, the Turner Commission pointed out there is a group of people slightly above that for whom it would be in their own best interests to be working for longer even if they are just about getting by—in their best interests now but also because they have not necessarily planned their retirement income adequately. Working for a few more years would increase their income for the rest of their life.

  Mr Grattan: I trust you are not counting the day until you are deselected, Anne!

  Q116  Miss Begg: Certainly not. I am odd amongst my age group!

  Mr Grattan: Let us make a distinction between the desire to retire and the desire for change. Anybody who has done anything for 30 years—goodness knows, surely they desire to retire. It is right that people are counting the days and the right to retire is hugely important, but if you look at the stats there is a huge socio-economic angle, as has been said, and it is about giving more people the choice to retire from a first career and find an alternative and do something else. If you look at the stats there is something totally bizarre about them; people with degrees, on average, retire earlier but the population that is working—one million—past State Pension Age has a high representation of people with degrees. So the stats do not add up. What do we mean by "when do we retire"? So it is a desire for change, and we are talking about a world where we move towards the American picture of people doing bridging jobs and change, but of course that is a privilege of only part of society at the moment.

  Q117  Miss Begg: Are there barriers to making that change? Certainly one of the issues raised when we were looking at pensions and the development of pensions was that what people want is not to retire but a new job. However, the fact that you have pensions based on final salary schemes means there is almost a pressure to retire because that is the only way you can maximise your income through your pension; in the way that pensions are configured at the moment, there is no encouragement to change career and retain all the pension benefits.

  Mr Grattan: In the public sector.

  Q118  John Penrose: I would like to thank Anne for the insight into one or two of her colleagues' attitudes when they are over 50. I just wanted to pick up on the point about skills, and not just the point you made about appropriateness of skills training for people over 50 but also ask you about the quantity of skills training for people over 50. I am a governor of my local FE college and, basically, if it is not level 2 or lower and you are not under 19 or, at a pinch, under 25 the money available for retraining anybody is being slashed. What are your views on the availability of training, whether or not it is actually appropriate?

  Mr Exell: Older workers are getting hit from two directions because there is the change in the priorities for publicly provided education, although of course there are older people who will gain from the guarantee of up to NVQ level 2 training. Also, there is the reluctance of many employers to provide training for older workers, and sometimes that is an economically rational decision because the worker is not going to be with them for long enough to guarantee a sufficient return on the investment in their training. We would say there is a strong case for a public subsidy for employers providing training to older employees to get over that problem.

  Q119  John Penrose: I am sorry, are you saying that older employees are more likely to leave work sooner? There is a faster rate of turnover?

  Mr Exell: If you have got a set retirement age then there is a limited number of years till they are going to be moving on, is there not?


 
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