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Mr. Hanson: A group chaired by Professor Lord Patel has been established to consider options for the streamlining of funding and commissioning arrangements for prison drug treatment. I refer the hon. Member to the written ministerial statements laid jointly with the Minister of State my right hon. Friend the Member for Bristol, South (Dawn Primarolo), Department of Health on 17 March 2008, Official Report, column 49WS and 13 June Official Report, column 34WS. I intend shortly to make a further written ministerial statement giving an update of progress made.
John McDonnell: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice what the average cost was of accredited programmes delivered in (a) prisons and (b) probation services in the latest period for which information is available. 
Mr. Hanson: The National Offender Management Service (NOMS) offers a range of programmes to meet different needs and risks of offending. The cost of delivery varies across programmes and by prison establishment and probation area, depending on factors such as the nature, length and intensity of the programmes, volume of delivery and the existing infrastructure.
The average cost per individual completing programmes run by prison and probation services varies from £1,500 to £10,000. The small number of completions for the more intensive programmes for serious violent offenders cost more to deliver.
Mr. Maude: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice whether under the proposed new election trigger rules, the local candidate spending limit will be reset if a candidate withdraws their candidature after they have triggered. 
The candidate expenditure limit applies to all expenses used on regulated matters by an individual who does so in order to promote his election as a candidate. The spending limit applies to the individual in the event that they contest that election as a candidate.
Should an individual withdraw their candidature, their actions would not affect anyone else who may then stand in their place. Each individual candidate can spend up to the spending limitthat is to say the spending limit is personal to the individual and is not transferable between candidates. This is not affected by the amendments to the 1983 Act proposed by clause 10 of the Political Parties and Elections Bill (Bill 141).
Mr. Garnier: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice which factors his Department (a) deems relevant and (b) incorporates when making projections for the future prison population in England and Wales. 
Mr. Hanson: There are many factors and data which are incorporated into the prison population projections to greater or lesser degrees. The most significant factors which the Department deems relevant to and incorporates into the projections are:
Trends in sentencing behaviour, such as sentence lengths and custody rates.
Trends in crime, incorporated through the Criminal Justice System model.
Legislative impacts, such as the Criminal Justice and Immigration Act 2008.
Procedural impacts, such as the Simple, Speedy, Summary Justice (CJSSS) scheme, and measures to increase offences brought to justice contributing to PSA24.
Factors which are deemed relevant but cannot be incorporated are those for which there is no agreed timetable, or those for which the effects cannot be projected with reasonable confidence, such as the effects of increased numbers of European arrest warrants resulting from the UK's involvement in the Schengen Information System 2.
Mr. Hanson: The models used to calculate the current prison population projections are described in Appendix C of the Ministry of Justice publication, Prison Population Projections 2008-2015, published on the Ministry of Justice website in September 2008. There are four elements to the modelling. In the short term (and the first two years) most segments of the population are modelled by a combination of stock-and-flow modelling and the use of the X12-ARIMA method developed by the USA Census Bureau. The X12-ARIMA method is available at:
In the longer term (between two and seven years) most segments of the population use the Grove-Macleod model. This has been published in OR Insight Vol. 11 Issue 1, January-March 1998, pp. 3-9, Forecasting the prison population. More detail is also available in Occasional Paper 80, Modelling crime and offending:
recent developments in England and Wales published on the Home Office website in 2003. The population on indeterminate sentences are not projected by these methods, and these segments instead use a system dynamics model developed by the Dangerous and Severe Personality Disorder Programme. In addition to these models, the impacts of some changes in legislation and operational procedures are estimated using the Criminal Justice System Model and, if necessary, one-off bespoke calculations.
Mr. Garnier: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice what account his Department takes of (a) sentencing behaviour and (b) crime rates when making projections for the future prison population in England and Wales. 
Mr. Hanson: The Ministry of Justice publication Prison Population Projections 2008-15 provides data for three different scenarios (high, medium and low), each of which is generated by a different trend in sentencing behaviour. These are described in section 3 of the publication, and in more detail in Appendix C.
Trends in crime rates are incorporated through the Criminal Justice System Model, which in turn uses data generated from the Home Offices Crime Trajectory Model. This is described in appendix C of the publication.
Mr. Amess: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice on what occasions courts have departed from the sentencing guidelines in each of the last three years, broken down by (a) court and (b) reason for departure. 
Maria Eagle: The Sentencing Guidelines Council is responsible for framing and revising sentencing and allocation guidelines. The number of departures from guidelines and the reasons for those departures are not recorded.
Mr. Amess: To ask the Secretary of State for Justice what (a) representations he has received and (b) discussions he has had with the police on sentencing policy since May 2008; and if he will make a statement. 
Maria Eagle: My right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Justice and Lord Chancellor (Mr. Straw) and departmental Ministers regularly meet with the police to discuss a wide range of criminal justice issues.
Mr. Hanson: The number of prisoners released from young offender institutions following the completion of a determinate sentence between April and September 2008 was approximately 6,400. These data are provisional until final data are published in the Ministry of Justice statistical bulletin Offender Management Caseload Statistics (OMCS).
Mr. Hanson: All probation areas support offenders in improving access to employment opportunities and make significant financial investment to employment interventions. Specialist employment staff are also directly employed by probation areas or engaged through partnership arrangements with the voluntary and community sector.
In 2007-08, a total of 16,823 offenders supervised by the National Probation Service gained employment and sustained it for at least four weeks during the year, exceeding the performance target of 13,200 by 27 per cent. It is not possible to separate figures for young offenders only.
Mike Penning: To ask the Secretary of State for Health (1) how many (a) national and (b) regional meetings were conducted during the course of his Departments policy consultation on alcohol strategy; and who (i) was invited to and (ii) attended each; 
Dawn Primarolo: A series of national meetings were held during the consultation period with 88 representatives from stakeholder organisations covering crime and disorder, health, young people and the alcohol industry. The stakeholder organisations invited to these meetings and those that attended are listed as follows. In addition, officials met industry chief executives at the alcohol industry public affairs directors meeting on 20 August 2008.
Association of Chief Police Officers
Police Superintendents Association
Association of Police Authorities
British Transport Police
Society of Local Authority Chief Executives and Senior Mangers
Local Government Association
Local Better Regulation Office
Local Authorities Coordinators of Regulatory Services (LACORS)
Association of Town Centre Management
Trading Standards Institute
Royal College of Physicians
St. GeorgesUniversity of London
North West Public Health Observatory
Royal Pharmaceutical Society for the UK
University of Central London
South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust
Royal College of General Practitioners
National Treatment Agency
University of Kent
European Association for the Treatment of Addiction
Royal College of Psychiatrists
Royal College of Nursing
National Association of Cider Makers
Association of Convenience Stores
Advertising Standards Authority
Association of Licensed Multiple Retailers
The Voice of the Nighttime Economy (Noctis)
Guild of Master Victuallers
Society of Independent Brewers
British Beer and Pub Association
British Institute of Inn Keepers
British Retail Consortium
Gin and Vodka Association
Scotch Whisky Association
Wine and Spirits Trade Association
The Advertising Association
Federation of Licensed Victuallers Associations
Marks & Spencer
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