Select Committee on Environmental Audit Minutes of Evidence


Memorandum submitted by The UK Emissions Trading Group

INTRODUCTION

  This response provides written evidence to the House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee in relation to the inquiry into the roles played by the Climate Change Levy (CCL) and Climate Change Agreements (CCA) in reducing carbon emissions and energy use by the UK business sector. This inquiry follows a new study by the National Audit Office (NAO), prepared especially for the Committee.

BACKGROUND TO THE UK EMISSIONS TRADING GROUP

  The UK Emissions Trading Group (ETG) is a body that represents numerous companies and organisations that are involved in CO2 emissions trading schemes. The ETG has 112 members including individual companies and Trade Associations that represent relevant industry sectors. Both Defra and BERR have had regular input into ETG meetings since the organisation was founded in 1999. The ETG has provided the UK Government with an enormous amount of practical help in relation to the implementation of emissions trading.

  The work of the ETG has included input into 4 important CO2 trading schemes, including:

    1)  The UK ETS.

    2)  The EU ETS.

    3)  CCAs (Climate Change Agreements, which rely on trading for effective operation).

    4)  The proposed Carbon Reduction Commitment.

  ETG membership includes representatives of companies that have over 94% of all UK emissions in the EU ETS and also includes Trade Associations responsible for a large proportion of the companies in CCAs.

  One of the ETG Working Groups (WG 1/2) concentrates on issues surrounding the interaction of CCAs with the other trading mechanism. WG 1/2 has members that have been fully involved in the development and implementation of CCAs since they were first announced by the Chancellor in 1999. This body of expertise is possibly unique, and forms a useful basis for input to the current deliberations of the Environmental Audit Committee. Approximately 40 members of WG 1/2 have debated the NAO report at a meeting on September 19th 2007. This written evidence is based on the key outputs of that discussion.

GENERAL COMMENT ON THE NAO ASSESSMENT OF CCA EFFECTIVENESS

  The general tone of the NAO report was that CCAs have failed to deliver what was originally promised. Members of the ETG strongly disagree with this view. We have had over six years of experience of CCAs and believe that they have been a policy that has had a very positive effect on energy intensive industries in the UK. The establishment of CCAs has led to:

    1)  Tangible energy efficiency improvements well beyond Business-as-Usual (BAU) in many CCA industrial sectors.

    2)  A significantly raised awareness of energy issues at board level. In particular, there has often been a greater involvement of Finance Directors due to the tax saving implications. In many CCA sectors this improved awareness has helped lead to the development of much bigger energy efficiency investment programmes.

    3)  The creation of much improved data in many industrial sectors due to the CCA requirement for annual reporting of energy and production data. In 1999 only a small number of industry sectors had voluntary schemes in place for collection and interpretation of annual energy data. In most cases the datasets only represented a proportion of the whole industry sector. Under CCAs there is now at least seven years worth of annual data for almost all factories in each industry sector. This data provides a powerful platform for improved understanding of energy saving opportunities.

    4)  The creation of strong industry sector networks, based on the requirements for a Trade Association to manage each CCA. These networks have led to improved sharing of energy saving ideas and have formed a new platform for dissemination of new technologies eg via Carbon Trust funded Network Projects.

    5)  Better interaction between Government and each industry sector, through the negotiating process and the on-going reporting of Milestone data. This has provided both Government and industry with an improved understanding of the energy saving potential and has helped industry understand how Government can try to achieve GHG emission reductions.

  The NAO report has not done justice to these positive aspects of CCAs.

  The ETG recognises that there are some aspects of CCAs that have caused problems over the last few years. However, these are relatively minor administrative issues that can be attributed to teething problems of a new Government policy. The introduction of other major climate change policies such as the Direct UK ETS and Phase 1 of the EU ETS had far greater initial problems, which actually negated the environmental benefits of these schemes. This is certainly not the case for CCAs. The initial targets for some CCA sectors were found to be too easy to achieve, but this problem was addressed in the 2004 target renegotiation. With the availability of better data (see point (3) above), industry sectors could recognise that they had a greater potential to make savings than had first been thought. At the 3rd Milestone in 2006 most CCA sectors were making adequate progress against the renegotiated targets, and most parties involved in CCAs accepted that the sector level targets were challenging but achievable.

  On balance, most high energy intensity industry sectors feel positively about the structure of CCAs and believe that a similar structure should be adopted after the end of Milestone 5 (in 2010), which is the last Milestone of the existing CCAs. ETG members believe that a number of important changes can be made to reflect the lessons learned over the last 7 years and also the changes that have occurred in the Government's wider climate change policies. However, without the current structure we believe it would be impossible to devise a policy that suits energy intensive industries and that delivers all the benefits described above.

SPECIFIC COMMENTS ON ITEMS IN THE NAO REPORT

A.  Page 4, Key Conclusions Box

  On the opening page of the Summary is a Key Conclusions box that shows the CCL itself had a very positive environmental benefit (3.5 MtC in 2010), but that the CCA mechanism did not deliver as much saving (1.9 MtC). We believe this is wholly unrepresentative of the savings achieved by energy intensive industry. The assessment of CCL savings is made via the work done by Cambridge Econometrics in 2005. The modelling is believed to be flawed as it did not take into account the impact of mild winters. Also, the "announcement effect" of CCAs has been included in the apparent savings achieved by the announcement of the CCL. This leads to an optimistically high figure for the savings from CCL alone. Conversely, the figure for CCAs is believed to be an underestimate as it exaggerates the BAU impact and also does not fully account for factory closures and sector rationalisation.

  There is anecdotal evidence that the CCL by itself is not an effective instrument. It often goes completely unnoticed in non-energy intensive businesses. It provides none of the secondary benefits of CCAs (eg better data, better networking etc.) and provides such a small price signal that it is not surprising that it has little impact in markets with a relatively inelastic response to energy prices (ie low energy intensity businesses).

  There is robust evidence that illustrates the level of engagement in energy efficiency by CCA companies. Almost all eligible companies have signed up to CCAs and the vast majority have managed to achieve recertification at each of the first three milestones, including achieving the often much tougher MS3 targets that are based on the 2004 renegotiations. This could not have been achieved if the majority of companies were not making efforts to achieve savings.

B.  Page 5, 1st Bullet on CCAs

  This states: "It is also the case that some businesses have benefited from the tax discount despite failing to meet their targets: they have done this by relying on the overachievement of others within their sector."

  This statement shows a significant lack of understanding of the way that CCAs work. The vast majority of businesses with a CCA take steps to ensure that they meet their targets, either by achieving the required energy savings or by taking part in emissions trading. Very few businesses are "relying on the overachievement of others within their sector". The NAO have misunderstood the way that emissions trading operates within a CCA. In almost all cases, a business that overachieves against its target retains "access" to this overachievement through emissions trading (either selling the surplus or banking the surplus for future use). In these circumstances the sector does not benefit from the overachievement.

  It is worth noting that a very small number of sectors operate their CCAs in such a way that overachievement is shared amongst all companies in the sector. However, this is the exception not the rule and it is a mechanism originally suggested by Government, not by industry.

  It is also worth noting that the original 1999 design of CCAs gave more emphasis to the sector level target. During 2000 the OFT intervened to ensure that Defra allowed any overachiever to retain its overachievement, via the emissions trading process. This requirement made the sector level target much less important in most CCA sectors.

C.  Page 6, 2nd Bullet

  This states: "Only a proportion of the reported results are actually additional savings achieved by Agreements. . . .. Of the 4.5 MtC annual savings reported to December 2006, revised business as usual projections suggest that only 1.9 MtC can be considered additional savings achieved by the Agreements."

  The analysis behind this statement requires careful scrutiny. The 4.5 MtC figure is considered an underestimate as it does not fully account for site closures linked to industry rationalisation. These closures are part of the BAU improvements that are taking place in industry. To attribute only 1.9 MtC savings to CCAs is thought to be double counting much of the BAU improvement.

D.  Page 6, 3rd Bullet

  This states: "Not all targets have been as challenging as they could be."

  At the first 2 milestones, in 2002 and 2004, it was shown that some of the targets set were not as challenging as they should have been. In most cases, this was caused by the significant lack of information available for many CCA sectors during negotiations in 1999-2000. Both Government and the sectors themselves did not have a detailed understanding of energy use in each sector. The approach taken to initial target setting was, in some cases, conservative due to the lack of good data. This can be considered as an initial teething problem for CCAs.

  The CCAs had 2 target renegotiations built into the original 10 year timescale. The first was in 2004, at which the targets for Milestones 3, 4 and 5 were renegotiated. The second will be in 2008, at which the target for Milestone 5 will be renegotiated.

  The 2004 renegotiations provided Defra the opportunity to significantly tighten the targets originally set in some sectors. In all cases there was much better data available by 2004 and Defra adopted a tough negotiating policy. The new targets for Milestones 3, 4 and 5 are far more challenging than those set earlier. Hence it is unfair for the NAO report to criticise the targets without reference to the fact that the current targets are quite demanding and that a further renegotiation of targets is due in 2008.

  It should be noted that the lack of data available in 1999-2000 was a common problem but that a small number of sectors already had much better data available via existing voluntary reporting schemes.

E.  Page 6, 4th Bullet

  This states: "Agreements have enabled businesses to achieve efficiency improvements, though business opinion is divided over their effectiveness."

  With over 10,000 sites taking part in CCAs it is almost self evident that business opinion is divided. However, the major companies and sector Trade Associations that are members of ETG are almost all very positive about the impacts of CCAs (the perceived benefits were already described on Page 2 of this document). CCAs are believed to be a good policy mechanism for energy intensive industrial sites.

  It is worth noting that CCAs give equal emphasis to creating efficiency savings for both electricity and fossil fuel (this is achieved by using a weighting factor that recognises the primary energy use involved in the generation of electricity). ETG members believe this to be very important. In many industrial sectors electricity is a significant part of the total primary energy use. "Upstream" climate change policies such as the EU ETS do not give a target to make electricity savings. An important part of the success of CCAs is the inclusion of electricity savings in the targets.

F.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 1st Bullet

  This refers to relative versus absolute targets.

  The ETG believes that climate change policy has moved a long way since the recommendations of the 1998 Marshall report, which recommended energy efficiency targets (ie relative targets). The EU ETS and the proposed CRC use absolute CO2 targets. The majority of ETG members accept that absolute targets may be better for CCAs in the future.

  However, it should be noted that developing a successful scheme with absolute targets is not totally straightforward—as illustrated by severe teething problems in both the UK ETS and the EU ETS. An absolute regime can reward inefficient companies that are losing market share but, perversely, can penalise growing companies that are becoming more efficient.

  CCAs already have an option for absolute targets, but in late 2000 the Government set special rules for these absolute targets because of fears over the impact of site closures. The "absolute targets" in CCAs are actually quasi-relative targets, as they are adjusted if the output of a factory falls by more than 10%. This problem may have been created by allowing companies to choose between relative or absolute targets. If all companies are forced to have an absolute target then the site closure problem would be less severe, although it will not disappear altogether, especially if production is being lost to overseas competition.

  The ETG recommend that great care is taken over the design of a future scheme in relation to the use of either relative or absolute targets, learning lessons from both CCAs and from relevant emission trading schemes.

G.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 2nd Bullet

  This refers to sectors with different energy intensities.

  The ETG believes that the proposed CRC is only applicable to industrial or commercial sectors with very low energy intensity. CCAs are more applicable to sectors with higher energy intensity as the CCA process:

    a)  Provides a framework for taking sector specific differences into account, and

    b)  Provides a vital tax incentive that helps protect the competitive position of businesses spending a lot of money on energy.

  The best "change-over" threshold between CCAs and the CRC is hard to judge. Most CRC companies have an energy intensity of below 1%[9] whilst most CCA companies are in the 3% to 10% range. A few CCA sectors have energy intensities above 10% and a few fall below 3%. The current "energy intensity" CCA eligibility criteria are considered to be set at too high a level, especially for businesses that are not subject to international competition.[10] ETG would prefer to see slightly wider eligibility for CCAs that would be achieved by allowing any industry sector with an energy intensity above 3% to be eligible.

H.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 3rd Bullet

  This refers to overlap between CCAs and EU ETS.

  This is definitely an important issue requiring further consideration. About 500 out of over 10,000 CCA sites are in both a CCA and the EU ETS. Although the number of sites are small, these 500 sites represent a significant proportion of all the energy in CCAs as they are amongst the 500 largest industrial sites in the UK.

  For these sites participation in the EU ETS is mandatory and is likely to remain that way for at least the next five years and probably beyond the end of Phase 2 of the EU ETS. Participation in CCAs is voluntary, but the CCL discount is vital for financial reasons, hence almost all eligible sites are in both the EU ETS and a CCA.

  A fairly complex "double trading adjustment" has been agreed with Defra to avoid emissions trading benefits for the same emissions in both the EU ETS and the CCA trading scheme (based on the UK ETS). Many CCA companies would prefer a simpler mechanism that avoided the same energy use being in two separate schemes, as this would ease the administrative burden. However, it is of greater importance that the CCL discount is maintained.

I.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 4th Bullet

  This states: "From the perspective of the taxpayer and competitive rivals, is it right that some businesses can be given a tax discount despite failing to achieve their Agreement targets?"

  This is considered by ETG to be a highly "inflammatory" statement that actually undermines one of the main pillars of both UK and EU climate change policy ie emissions trading. Alternatively it shows that the NAO report authors do not understand how CCAs actually work.

  The statement " . . . .some businesses can be given a tax discount despite failing to achieve their Agreement targets" is incorrect. Companies are only recertified for the discount if they meet the target in one of 3 ways:

    1)  Direct company level achievement of the target by saving energy within the company.

    2)  Indirect company level achievement of the target by use of emissions trading with a company that has over-achieved their target.

    3)  Indirect achievement of target via the sector target (this only applies to a very small number of CCA sector).

  The use of emissions trading is an intrinsic part of the CCA mechanism, aimed at ensuring that the overall emission reduction targets are met at the lowest cost to the UK economy.

  The option of sharing savings amongst companies within a sector is effectively an alternative to trading that is an acceptable alternative within the current structure of CCAs although it is only adopted by a small number of sectors.

J.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 5th Bullet

  This refers to target renegotiations in 2008.

  The statement implies that the 2004 renegotiation was unsuccessful. The ETG strongly disagree. The 2004 renegotiation has already put most CCAs onto an achievable but challenging set of milestone targets. The 2008 renegotiation simply needs to apply fine tuning to take into account any changes in circumstances since 2004.

K.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 6th Bullet

  This refers to improved estimates of savings.

  We would welcome more thorough research into this issue.

L.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 7th Bullet

  This refers to CO2 trading in CCAs.

  As already stated, trading is a vital element of the way CCAs are structured. It is accepted by ETG that the current price of CO2 Allowances in the UK ETS is too low. This was caused by imperfections in the design of the direct UK ETS in 2001-02. Although these imperfections were partly addressed through the voluntary retirement of Allowances by some direct participants there is still an excess of supply over demand, leading to a low CO2 price.

  It is worth noting that "learning by doing" was a clear Government objective in the set up of the UK ETS. Teething problems were likely and we can now build on the lessons learned.

  Had the CCA trading mechanism existed by itself (ie without the links to the direct UK ETS) it is likely that a more realistic CO2 price would now prevail. However, in the early years of CCAs (ie at Milestone 1) there would have been no market liquidity because no CO2 would have been available for sale until after the first milestone was completed. This would have caused great problems.

  A future design needs to take these factors into account. It is also important to consider the impact of the time period between milestones on an emissions trading market. For CCAs the milestones are once every two years, whereas as the UK ETS (direct) and EU ETS operate on an annual cycle. From a trading perspective this is highly preferable—under CCAs the trading profile is very erratic, with almost all trades being completed in a two-three month period once every two years.

M.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 8th Bullet

  This refers to the long-term future of the Levy and Agreements. It also states: "Businesses see long term uncertainty in government policy as a barrier to improving energy efficiency"

  This is a crucial issue. Business is very keen to start discussing the future of CCAs and have asked both Defra and HM Treasury to start this process during 2007. The 5th and last CCA Milestone in the current Agreements is in 2010. If a new regime of targets is to follow on directly after Milestone 5 we have relatively little time to agree new rules and new targets.

  Business investment cycles are relatively slow—an early agreement of future targets is considered essential. On-going uncertainty about the future of CCAs could cause UK industrial investment decisions to be delayed or cancelled.

  The ETG has written to both Defra and HM Treasury urging an early start to discussions about the future of CCAs, but we have not yet received any response indicating when such discussions will begin.

N.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 9th Bullet

  This refers to conflicts for energy intensive products with low life cycle carbon emissions (eg insulating glass).

  The ETG recognises that there could be perverse impacts via both the EU ETS and CCAs for some products of this type. We welcome further discussion of ways to avoid such impacts.

O.  Page 7, Issues for Committee Scrutiny, 10th Bullet

  This states: "Does it matter that econometric estimates of policy impact can vary widely due to changes in business as usual projections, even if policies are working as expected? In the case of the Agreements, what are the implications of the fact that taxpayers are receiving less value for the tax foregone?"

  We do not agree that taxpayers are receiving less value for the tax foregone. CCAs were introduced to avoid competitive distortions for companies of high energy intensity. When the CCL was introduced it was made fiscally neutral through the reduction of employers NI contributions. This mechanism clearly does not work for businesses with very high energy costs and relatively low numbers of staff. The CCA tax discount was not aimed at giving a specific level of environmental cost effectiveness—it was given to provide fiscal neutrality for energy intensive companies.

FURTHER COMMENTS ON ITEMS IN EAC INQUIRY ANNOUNCEMENT

1.  Is it right for the Levy and Agreements to target energy use, or should they be reformed to target carbon emissions directly? If so, how should they be changed?

  For the future of CCAs it will be important to consider the scope of emissions. It is important to recognise that CCAs affect a much larger number of UK sites than the EU ETS and that many sites are quite small. For effective operation CCAs must retain administrative simplicity, which will be hard to achieve if emissions from sources other than energy are included

  As stated in Comment 5 in the previous section, we believe it is very important to include indirect electricity emissions as well as direct fossil fuel emissions. This provides much better coverage of industrial emissions than would be provided by an upstream approach like the EU ETS.

  Large process emissions from non-energy sources (either process CO2 or non-CO2 emissions) are well covered by the EU ETS. Trying to incorporate further non-energy emissions from CCAs with small factories could add unnecessary complexity. Non-energy emissions might be better dealt with under other instruments (eg F-Gas emissions such as HFCs are already covered by a new EU Regulation).

2.  With the advent of UK-wide carbon budgets from 2008 (proposed under the draft Climate Change Bill), how valuable is the focus of the CCL and CCA on the efficiency with which business consumes energy? Would it be better to have an instrument which enforced absolute caps in energy use (or CO2 emissions)?

  This is dealt with in Comment F in previous section

3.  How well do the Levy and Agreements fit together with other existing and proposed climate change policies, and what can be done to ensure maximum impact from complementary policies with minimum administrative burden and overlap?

  This is dealt with in Comment H in previous section

4.  Businesses are able to use carbon trading to meet their targets under the Climate Change Agreements. What have been the impacts of trading so far? Should trading be allowed in this way, or how should it be controlled?

  This is dealt with in Comment L in previous section

5.  What have been the economic impacts of the CCL and CCA on the organisations subject to them, and the wider UK economy?

  This is impossible to answer without undertaking a wide-ranging study.

6.  Should the Climate Change Agreements be reformed in any way? For instance, should the Agreements be simplified, or the sectoral targets made more stringent?

  As already discussed in the previous section the ETG is a strong supporter of the CCA mechanism. We recognise that the current CCAs were a ground breaking policy when they were set up in 1999-2000 and that with hindsight it will be possible to create a better design that eliminates some administrative burden and that maximises the future environmental benefits. Examples of improvements include widening the "90/10 rule" to capture more energy savings and changing the rules applied to absolute targets under a mechanism referred to as CCA 16.

  The ETG has many CCA and emissions trading experts and can provide a useful forum to discuss the future of CCAs with Government. We welcome the early start to such discussions.

7.  What are the main barriers to accelerating energy efficiency in the business sector? How can these be overcome?

  This is another question that requires a "report sized" answer! Some historical barriers are being removed with the significant increase of realisation that climate change is such an important issue to address. A massive change of attitude in both the general public and in business leaders has been evident over the last two years. For many industry sectors this changing attitude will lead to much more investment in energy efficiency.

  However, it should be noted that for the most energy intensive industry sectors that energy forms such a large percentage of production costs that energy efficiency has already received massive investment over many years. Some of these processes are already reaching the thermodynamic minimum energy consumption. For processes of this type energy efficiency is no longer an effective option—the only way of making further CO2 emission reductions in such circumstances is to use methods other than energy efficiency, eg renewable energy supply, nuclear power, CCS etc.

8.  Products which can increase energy efficiency (such as insulating glass for windows) can be energy-intensive to manufacture. Policies such as the CCL and CCA can penalise manufacturers for making such products. How big an issue is this, and what, if anything, should be done about it?

  This is briefly dealt with in Comment N in previous section. This requires more investigative work.

9.  Alongside the CCL, the Government introduced the Enhanced Capital Allowances, to further encourage firms to make energy saving investments. How well is this scheme working? How well does it fit with other existing or proposed climate change instruments?

  In the original CCL package announced in 1999 a significant sum of money was allocated to ECAs. However, it is not clear how much ECAs have actually cost HM Treasury and whether they have been widely adopted. A more direct and transparent method would be preferable. ECAs on some major systems such as CHP are believed to be helpful, but they have limited financial impact on many types of energy efficiency investment (and no impact for companies making a loss or organisations in the public sector).

10.  The Levy exempts electricity from renewables, though so far this appears to have had little impact. Should it play a greater role in incentivising the growth of renewable electricity, and, if so, how?

  The ETG believe that the Renewables Obligation and the EU ETS should remain the main policy tools to encourage use of renewable energy. Heat only renewable energy is already incentivised via CCAs. Any on-site generation of renewable electricity is usually used to sell ROCs—with current ROC prices this is more financially attractive than using the electricity as a way of meeting a CCA target.

26 September 2007






9   Energy intensity is usually defined as the ratio of the annual cost of energy to the annual turnover of the business. Back

10   The eligibility for CCAs is either based on PPC processes or uses one of two energy intensity thresholds. Any sector with an energy intensity of over 10% is eligible. Sectors falling between 3% and 10% are only eligible if they also meet a high international competition threshold (50% of the UK market for the relevant product must be imported). Back


 
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