Select Committee on Environmental Audit Written Evidence


Memorandum submitted by Biofuelwatch)

1.  What are the possible positive and negative social, environmental and economic consequences of biofuels? How might trade-offs between climate benefits and environmental and social impacts be made? Is there a need to develop a new biofuel strategy for the UK or EU, to balance the environmental, social, economic and climate impacts of biofuels?

  Biofuelwatch (http://www.biofuelwatch.org.uk/aboutus.php) campaigns against the use of bioenergy from unsustainable sources, i.e biofuels linked to accelerated climate change, deforestation, biodiversity losses, human rights abuses, water & soil degradation, loss of food sovereignty and food security. There are many negative social, environmental and economic consequences of biofuels of which we will go into greater detail within our submission. All of these are covered in the following reports: "Agrofuels—Towards a reality check in nine key areas" (http://tinyurl.com/233x7n), "Stop the agrofuel craze!", Special Seedling edition on Agrofuels by GRAIN (http://tinyurl.com/2hkkzp ) and "Agrofuels in Africa—The impacts on land, food and forests" by the African Biodiversity Network (tinyurl.com/yoljmv).

  All of our serious concerns relate to agrofuels, largely those produced from large-scale monocultures. Biofuels from true waste, such as biogas from sewage or manure, or the use of waste vegetable oil from transport can provide a sustainable, albeit limited, source of energy. At the same time, we are very concerned that organic matter which is essential for maintaining the health of soils, for biodiversity, and for allowing water-absorption by soil is widely being classed as "agricultural" or "forestry waste". There is evidence that this is already aggravating the impact of drought and crop losses in Hungary. (tinyurl.com/2acb4q). We therefore define agrofuels as:

    Agrofuels are biofuels made from crops and trees grown specifically for that purpose on a large-scale, as well as biofuels from agricultural and forest residues that should be returned to the natural cycle because they play an important role in maintaining soil fertility and bio-diversity.

  Regarding the term, Agrofuels, it is useful to refer to this description from the Landless Movement of Brazil (MST): "We can't call this a `bio-fuels program'. We certainly can't call it a `bio-diesel program'. Such phrases use the prefix `bio-' to subtly imply that the energy in question comes from `life' in general. This is illegitimate and manipulative. We need to find a term in every language that describes the situation more accurately, a term like agro-fuel. This term refers specifically to energy created from plant products grown through agriculture."

  At present, there is no evidence that the large-scale use of agrofuels can help to mitigate climate change. Quite the contrary: There is substantial evidence that agrofuel production is already causing an acceleration of climate change, for two reasons:

    Firstly, most agrofuels, including the most common types grown in the EU (rapeseed biodiesel, wheat ethanol, maize ethanol and biogas, biodiesel from sunflower oil) are produced from monocultures with the use of fossil-fuel derived fertilisers and pesticides, and with the use of nitrate fertilisers. The Stern Review finds that, globally, the non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gases from agriculture (not including land-use change) account for about 14% of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Carbon dioxide emissions from the loss of soil organic carbon and, of course, from land-use change need to be added to this. Agriculture is the main source of anthropogenic nitrous oxide emissions, linked to the use of nitrate fertilisers and also to legume monocultures (biological nitrate fixation). A recent study by Paul Crutzen et al (http://tinyurl.com/ywbft6) suggests that, if the full direct and indirect effects of nitrate fertilisers are considered, common agrofuels such as rapeseed biodiesel and corn ethanol are worse (up to 1.7 and 1.5 times respectively) for the climate than fossil fuel diesel or petrol.

    Secondly, agrofuel expansion worldwide is leading to significant land-use change, as more natural land, semi-natural land and biodiverse, low-intensity farmland is converted to agrofuel monocultures. A recent paper by Renton Righelato and Dominick Spracklen, published in Science (tinyurl.com/36eqb5), warns that: Clearance results in the rapid oxidation of carbon stores in the vegetation and soil, creating a large up-front emissions cost that would, in all cases examined here, outweigh the avoided emissions." Large-scale land conversion for agrofuel feedstocks for export is happening in many parts of the global South, including in South-east Asia and South America, where rainforests, natural grasslands and mixed farming systems are being converted to agrofuel plantations. Within the EU, there is concern that the planned abolition of set-asides, as demanded by the biofuel industry, will lead to further soil carbon losses, as well as increasing nitrous oxide emissions through the greater use of nitrate fertilisers. For a further discussion of climate impacts, see below.

  Given the strong evidence for large-scale agrofuel monocultures having a negative impact on the climate, on soil and water, on biodiversity and on local communities, we believe that the question of a "trade-off" does not arise.

  We believe that there needs to be detailed independent research into the full-system impact of biofuel production, taking account of all direct and indirect impacts, and that there also needs to be full consultation with the people and communities in the global South who are most directly affected by agrofuel expansion before there can be any credible biofuel strategy for the UK or the EU.

  This is why we support a moratorium on EU incentives for agrofuels and agroenergy from large-scale monocultures and would ask that you consider the report compiled by Biofuelwatch, entitled; HOW MEANINGFUL ARE "GREENHOUSE GAS STANDARDS" FOR BIOFUELS IN A GLOBAL MARKET?, which forms part of the submittal after the references.

2.  Should biofuels be regulated to minimise the negative environmental and social impacts, and in what way? How might regulation fit in with international trade agreements and rules? Should there be regulation of the entire carbon cycle of biofuels?

  The answer to the first question would be yes, if the answer to the last question was also yes which should not be a question as surely this has to be the only true way forward, then the case has already been made above (1,2,3) which shows that there is no place for large scale biofuel mono-cultures either to mitigate climate change, or on the other environmental grounds (water resource & quality, soil quality, biodiversity) or social grounds (human rights abuses, workers conditions, pesticide poisoning, food sovereignty and food security).

  The RTFO consultation that closed on 17 May of this year continually refers to the fact that regulation on grounds of sustainability is not permitted by WTO rules:

    43.  As of today, however, there is no internationally agreed definition of a "sustainable biofuel", nor is there any internationally agreed methodology for calculating the precise greenhouse gas savings from biofuels. If, ahead of international standards being developed, the UK Government were to refuse to allow certain biofuels to qualify for the RTFO on sustainability or carbon saving grounds, this may be successfully challenged as a barrier to trade, threatening the continuation of the RTFO.

    45.  Ahead of this, the Government intends to do everything possible to encourage the use of only the most sustainable biofuels with the lowest carbon intensity, in a way which is compatible with international trade rules.

    82.  It might also be possible to specify that, from a given date, only those biofuels meeting certain minimum environmental and social standards should qualify for credits under the RTFO. This may depend to some extent on how quickly standards can be agreed in this area. Work is already under way on this in bodies such as the international Round Table on Sustainable Palm Oil production. The European Commission is also planning to develop a certification scheme. It should be noted, however, that until similar standards and practices are developed in other sectors, there will be an ongoing risk that "sustainable" feedstocks are diverted to use as transport fuels, with "unsustainable" feedstocks being used in other sectors (such as food production). Thus, increased demand for "sustainable" biofuel feedstocks might still lead to deforestation and other adverse environmental effects.

Environmental groups

    There are numerous environmental groups who are concerned with both measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to ensure the sustainability of any biomass used to produce transport fuels. These groups have been engaged with policy development through the Low Carbon Vehicle Partnership (LowCVP)1. A number of environmental groups have argued that the Government should only support renewable fuels which meet certain minimum environmental standards, but WTO rules currently mean that such a requirement would be subject to challenge.

  At the Renewable Energy Association, Bioenergy 2007 Conference there was a very interesting session on transport fuels, chaired by Malcolm Fredrick from Department for Transport. Jessica Chalmers from the Low CVP made the following points:

    —  "There is currently not an international agreed methodology for greenhouse gas emissions savings."

    —  "The information flow from producers is not transparent and the verification procedure has to be robust and credible."

    —  "WTO rules are complex. There is no case law evidence and we're going to have to try it and see."

    —  " . . . following the Cramer Report, the Netherlands would have instigated mandatory sustainability requirements, but dropped plans, because of the WTO."

3.  How successful are existing international structures, such as the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil, at ensuring that imports of biofuels can be obtained from sustainable sources? To what extent is it currently possible to identify the provenance and production standards of imported biofuels?

  There is an important difference to be made between voluntary certification initiatives, such as the Forestry Stewardship Council (FSC), that depend on conscious consumers choosing to pay more for a certified product; and mandatory certification, which is based on setting legally enforced environmental and social standards. Existing initiatives like FSC, RSPO and RTRS (no criteria yet) have generated substantial criticism from civil society in producer countries, or have suffered from failing participation.

  The FSC case gives an example of the lack of effectiveness of such schemes in the global South. FSC is a lot less effective in the South than in North America and Europe. Of all commercial forest area, 58% is certified (by FSC and all other labels together) in Europe, against 2% for Asia and Latin America, and 1% for Africa. This is very important as European agrofuels are increasingly being sourced from timber products—take recent developing agreements between Brazil and Nordic countries for wood pulp biodiesel.4 A voluntary standard applying to only 2% of forestry offers no credible protection of crucial ecological resources.

  The level of credibility failure is evidenced by the recent Norwegian government declaration, following a ruling by the Norwegian Consumer Ombudsman, recently declared: "The government wants to stop all trade with unsustainably or illegally logged tropical forest products. Today there is no international or national certification that can guarantee in a reliable manner that imported wood is legally and sustainably logged"

  The RSPO is not a certification standard and verification procedures have not been agreed. There is no reason to believe it will work, and there is no evidence that the existence of the RSPO has led to an improvement in standards in the industry. There is a serious flaw with the RSPO—carbon emissions from peat drainage are ignored by the RSPO and it therefore does nothing to protect the climate, or encourage sustainability.

  We refer you the recent report by Milieudefensie, Lembaga Gemawan and Kontak Rakyat Borneo which looks at the legal, environmental and social practices of the Wilmar Group in Sambas District, Indonesia5.

  The Wilmar Group are one of the largest palm oil companies worldwide and a supplier of bioenergy feedstock. The report reveals that company reporting about their practices bears little resemblance to the reality on the ground, and that, contrary to the company's declarations, illegal land acquisition, burning of land (associated with massive greenhouse gas emissions) and deforestation for new plantations are common procedures. We cannot see how the proposed RTFC verification scheme would do anything to prevent such open abuse of the system, particularly where imports from outside Europe are concerned.

  The Basel criteria for soy suffer similar lack of credibility and are widely opposed of civil society groups.

  The RSPO, RTRS or the Better Sugarcane Initiative do not certify any produce, and none of those stakeholder forums have adopted verification standards. We cannot see how a scheme can be adopted as a benchmark when it has not even been fully agreed and set up. The RTFO credibility is undermined by the proposal that mere membership, together with auditing against principles and criteria should qualify. Membership does not imply adherence to the priniciples and criteria, and no process for independent auditing exists.

  The communities in the global South who will be directly affected by the RTFO have not been consulted. Many of those communities and civil society organisations, however, have spoken out very strongly against some of the standards proposed as benchmark standards for the RTFO. The RSPO, for example, has been rejected by the leading NGOs of Papua New Guinea, whilst the RTRS (Basel Criteria) has been strongly opposed by many civil society organisations in South America, who do not agree with the concepts of voluntary sustainability certification of a monoculture industry which is linked not just to deforestation and biodiversity losses, but also to the dispossession of tens of thousands of small farmers, the poisoning of communities, water and soil with pesticides, to soil erosion, water over-extraction, and the loss of food sovereignty, leading to widespread malnutrition in countries such as Argentina and Brazil. Only one organisation which represented small farmers ever joined the RTRS, and they left the Organising Committee in summer 2005, feeling that they could not influence the process.

  Under environmental standards, it is stated that conversion of high carbon soils, including peatlands, would not be acceptable. However, this is not one of the principles and criteria of the RSPO. If the RSPO is accepted as a benchmark standard, then biofuels such as palm oil biodiesel from Indonesian and Malaysian peatlands can still be classed as "sustainable", in contradiction of the standards.

4.  At what stage is biofuel technology? Is there enough support for the development of biofuel technology? A UN report found that the climate change benefits of solid biomass fuels outweigh those of liquid biofuels. Are current policies promoting the development and deployment of a range of biofuel technologies? How successful have EU strategies and Directives been in stimulating biofuel usage? Will the 2010 biofuel target be reached? How effective are the Government's fiscal arrangements for biofuels?

  This is a mute point, regarding there being enough support for biofuel technology. This question can only be answered after an immediate moratorium on EU incentives for agrofuels and agroenergy from large-scale monocultures including tree plantations and a moratorium on EU imports of such agrofuels. This includes the immediate suspension of all targets, incentives such as tax breaks and subsidies which benefit agrofuels from large-scale monocultures, including financing through carbon trading mechanisms, international development aid or loans from international finance organisations such as the World Bank. This call also responds to the growing number of calls from the global south against agrofuel monocultures, which EU targets are helping to promote. 180 worldwide organisations have called for a moratorium, which is needed to establish the macro impacts of the global market place. Many of these organisations represent the workers of the plantations, the landless, the indigenous communities and subsistence farmers in the global South, who are being adversely affected by EU and UK biofuel policy.6

  A similar statement was made in January of this year by 250 global organisations and key individuals, who called on the European Parliament, European Commission and European Union for an end to targets for biofuels in Europe.7

  A moratorium, is now required, because the fledgling biofuel technology has been implemented with a complete bypass of a pre-implantation public policy debate. The issues that are now emerging about agrofuels are those that should have been considered in public debate and policy setting, upstream of any implementation phase. Instead, events have by-passed this stage, and the issues that should have been discussed upstream are now being discussed belatedly in the downstream phase. The above referenced data on the adverse environmental and social aspects of the unregulated biofuels market we feel convincingly demonstrates that a moratorium is now essential to allow scientists and politicians to gain a greater understanding of the true impacts on the social, human rights, land rights, ecological, climate impact, biodiversity and food security.

  We would agree with the UN report that found that the climate change benefits of solid biomass fuels outweigh those of liquid biofuels. In fact it is more efficient to use biomass for heat, then CHP, then electricity generation, and finally transport. This descending efficiency hierarchy would suggest that if the aim of government biofuel policy is indeed to mitigate climate change, then land should not be used to grow feedstock's for vehicles as this is quite clearly the least efficient use of the planets land. The UN Millennium Assessment Report warns of catastrophic impact on all ecosystems of increasing agriculture.8 A report published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences9 using data from the UNs FAO on agricultural production in 161 countries to show that nearly a quarter of the energy processed by land plants is either harvested by humans or lost due to our activities. In south Asia, where oil palm plantations are expanding rapidly to satisfy the EU biofuel directive 63% of plant production is used or destroyed by humans.

  The researchers9 said their analysis shows it will not be possible to produce significant quantities of fuel this way without taking more energy away from natural ecosystems achieve this level of bioenergy use would almost double the present biomass harvest and generate substantial additional pressure on ecosystems,".

  Question 4 goes on to ask about the development, deployment and how successful have EU strategies and Directives been in stimulating biofuel usage. Given that biofuels are the least efficient use of biomass a more pertinent question, would and should be has the EU and national government developed, deployed and stimulated truly renewable energy technologies and a modal shift to a sustainable and integrated transport system. In both cases each sector of our economy would have to be tackled so that not only is efficiency increased, but demand is actually reduced.

  All biomass in the heat and electricity sectors would have to be judged on a greenhouse gas emission life cycle against, wind, wave, tidal, geothermal and solar—in particular concentrated solar power. All of these technologies could and should utilise high voltage DC networks to enable the most optimum geographical positioning and economies of scale of infra-structure.

  In the transport sector, carbon emissions from the vehicle fleet can be reduced by higher efficiencies and lower carbon emissions; changes in driving practises' eg, regular servicing; car sharing; lower speeds; congestion charging; road charging; taxation of engine capacity; fuel tax escalator. This would be combined with greater investment in public transport and cycle paths. Most long distance freight should be transferred to the railways and canals.

  The global percentage total for biofuels is 1% and the UK is presently at 0.6% of the RTFO target. So the question: "Will the 2010 biofuel target be reached?" should really be what will be the affects on the climate, biodiversity, human rights, water quality and food security if the target of 5% is reached, since all of these issues are already areas of concern at between a tenth and a fifth of this total. Certainly it looks like Europe's bird, insect and mammal life, will be a casualty in the quest to achieve the 2010 target, if the EU set-asides are converted to biofuel production, as looks increasingly likely.

  Europe's common farmland birds have declined by nearly 50% since 1980, as a result of intensive agriculture, including the grey partridge, corn bunting, turtle dove, lapwing, whinchat, tree sparrow, skylark and linnet10 45% of Europe's butterflies are at risk of extinction and a recent study found 80% declines in bee diversity and 70% declines in the diversity of wild flowers dependent on pollination on hundreds of sites in the UK and Netherlands11. As the authors of the study warned, the future of pollination and of much of our food supplies may be at risk as pollinators are driven into extinction.

  Set-asides were initially introduced for market reasons, but large numbers of our birds, insects and some mammals have come to depend on them for their survival12. The EU have just commissioned a study about the environmental benefits of set-asides and a longer-term review was supposed to look at ways of protecting our wildlife with more targeted farming policies. In the meantime, however, plans to scrap all set-asides for the next two seasons have been announced. Millions of birds could be left without food and nesting sites next spring, and there will be little hope of Europe meeting its commitment of halting biodiversity losses by 2010.

5.  The EU Strategy for Biofuels claims that biofuels "are a direct substitute for fossil fuels in transport and can readily be integrated into fuel supply systems". What proportion of UK domestic transport and energy generation could be fuelled by UK-produced biofuels? Is it possible for biofuels to entirely replace oil for transport purposes? Is there a role for public procurement or public transport? Will biofuels improve fuel security? How secure are biofuel crops from unexpected events such as drought or disease?

  The evidence now shows that biofuels are not "a direct substitute for fossil fuels in transport and can readily be integrated into fuel supply systems".

  The recent paper entitled:

    "N2O release from agro-biofuel production negates global warming reduction by replacing fossil fuels" by:

    P J Crutzen, A R Mosier, K A Smith, and W Winiwarter

    Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 7, 11191-11205, 2007

    Abstract Discussion Paper (PDF, 382 KB) Interactive Discussion

    brings the default values used in the RTFO consultation on carbon and sustainability reporting under the renewable transport fuel obligation into complete doubt. In particular, the details of:

    —  the Oilseed rape to biodiesel (pp.136-142), "Default fuel chain" on page 137, and the "N fertilizer" figures on page 140 in the "Default value tables", and

    —  the Corn to ethanol (pp.133-135), "Default fuel chain" on page 132, and the "N2O emissions from soils" and "N fertilizer" figures on page 136 in the "Default value tables".

  The report was highlighted in the Times13:

    . . . that rapeseed and maize biofuels are calculated to produce up to 70% and 50% more greenhouse gases respectively than fossil fuels from new calculations of the emissions of nitrous oxide. Scientists, including Nobel prize winner Paul Crutzen, have found that the use of fertilizers in biofuel production released twice as much as nitrous oxide as previously realised. The research team found that 3-5% of the nitrogen in fertiliser was converted and emitted. See also:14

  This paper brings the carbon balance issues around biofuels into further doubt. It is clear also that rape seed oil which accounts for about 80% of the biofuel production in Europe and was previously thought to be less damaging than Palm Oil, can also accelerate climate change as Palm Oil does, and is well documented as doing from associated deforestation and peat destructionion.15

  As regards: "What proportion of UK domestic transport and energy generation could be fuelled by UK-produced biofuels?"

  The Guardian16 article calculated that: road transport in the United Kingdom consumes 37.6 million tonnes of petroleum products a year.17 Based on the most productive oil crop grown in this country—rape seed, the average yield is between 3 and 3.5 tonnes per hectare.18 One tonne of rapeseed produces 415 kilos of biodiesel.19 Therefore, every hectare of arable land could provide 1.45 tonnes of transport fuel. These figures do not take into account the latest paper from Crutzen et al, highlighted above, which explained that rapeseed and maize biofuels are calculated to produce up to 70% and 50% more greenhouse gases respectively than fossil fuels from new calculations of the emissions of nitrous oxide.

  In order to operate the existing UK road transport would need 25.9m hectares. There are 5.7m in the United Kingdom.20 In order to satisfy existing demand, the UK requirement, would exceed four and half times the UKs arable land. Or to answer the question, if none of our land that is used for food and animal feed production was converted to biofuel production (and not taking into account the Crutzen figures) approximately 20% of transport could be met. This would obviously not be allowed to happen as our food security and sovereignty would be non-existent. Already the macro affects of displacing UK rapeseed production from food to biofuels has led to an increased importation of palm oil from Indonesia to account of this displacement practise.

"Is it possible for biofuels to entirely replace oil for transport purposes?"

  No. There is simply not enough land on the planet to feed 6.5 billion people, and 800,000 motor vehicles. In 2006, world cereal reserves fell to their lowest level in more than two decades, and FAO has reported a disturbing food supply situation, with demand surpassing supply both in grains and oilseeds, and has called for closer monitoring of the world food situation.

  Forecasts for the 2006-07 marketing year confirm a tight supply situation for coarse grains and oilseeds, where production may not be sufficient to satisfy global demand, thus necessitating a sizeable reduction in stocks.21 In six of the last seven years, humans worldwide consumed more grains and oilseeds than were produced.22

  The EU is already the world's largest importer of food, and its massive imports of animal feedstuffs (75% of its proteins needs for feed are imported) are the main reason for the existence of its animal and cereal surpluses.23 In 2005 the EU imported half of its total oilseed requirements, while in 2006 the FAO reported that, "after two years of exceptional expansion, imports are expected to continue growing strongly because domestic oilseed production is not sufficient to satisfy both, demand for food uses and for biofuel production."24

  The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that rain-dependent agriculture could be cut in half by 2020 as a result of climate change.25

  In a presentation at the Renewable Energy Association Bioenergy 2007 a slide showed that the University of Leeds has predicted there will be 2,000 million cars on the road and according to the US Energy Information Administration, energy demand will have increased by 50%. The number of cars will have doubled to two billion and the number of people on the planet increased by two billion when rain fed agriculture could have already halved.

"Is there a role for public procurement or public transport?"

  Yes. Other than short journeys that most people can undertake by walking or cycling (a quarter of all car journeys are less than two miles26) mass public transport can replace the private motor vehicle. In fact this is necessary if the county is to meet reduction targets of 90% by 2030, which are necessary and urgent. This move would be to the use of coaches as developed by Alan Storkey27, which does not involve the use of biofuels. Please note that National Express (coach service operator), have decided not to use biofuels based upon environmental concerns over carbon savings, based on advice from the University of Surrey.28

  The cost of motoring has fallen whereas bus and coach fares have risen by 66% in real terms since 1975, and train fares by 70%—the cost of owning and running a car fell in the same period by 11%.26

"Will biofuels improve fuel security?"

  This question is presumably asked in light of the present situation in the Middle East and Latin America. The answer must be no, as demand will far out way the amount of fuel that can be grown in the UK for biofuels. The Department for Transport predicts traffic to grow by 26% between 2000 and 201029, whereas UK targets are 5% by 2010 and these will actually increase greenhouse gas emissions, due to the macro effects of global distribution of feedstock's.

  Reduction in demand will improve fuel security, as will efficiency measures and one simple example: The RTFO report says: "Renewable fuels are one of the few options identified in the transport sector that can achieve cost-effective carbon savings." Throughout the report we are told that the RTFO would be the equivalent, in carbon terms, of taking a million cars off the road. That is 4% of our cars. In 2005 a review from defra30,31 reducing carbon emissions, showed that enforcement of the 70 mph speed limit would save 890,000 tonnes of carbon a year or 9/10 of the RTFO. This measure is described as "politically difficult", as is car-sharing and road user charging. The same (restricted) report states that changing speed limits would save 1.7 million tonnes of carbon and car sharing between 0-0.5 million tonnes. This amounts to removing 1.7 million cars from our roads or between 70 and 75% more savings than the RTFO (if the figure of one million was correct).

"How secure are biofuel crops from unexpected events such as drought or disease?"

  Biofuel crops are no more secure from unexpected events such as drought or disease, or for that matter floods all of which affected so many of our arable crops this summer.32,33,34

6.  What impact would an expansion of UK production of biofuels have on the ability of the UK to produce its own food? How might this impact on greenhouse gas emissions from international trade patterns? What impact might the expansion of biofuels have on international food security and prices?

  We hope to have shown above, that the two are mutually exclusive and incompatible. Due to the nature of the free market this will have an adverse effect on greenhouse gas emissions.

"What impact might the expansion of biofuels have on international food security and prices?"

  In the case of soya, for example, an FAO June 2006 report (presumably not considering recent increase in targets) estimates that the main producing countries (USA, Brazil and Argentina) would need to triple production in order to supply the agrofuel market and that "a near doubling of the area under cultivation would probably be required, even assuming future yields matched the highest yield encountered currently in rain fed cultivation under high input technology in the USA."35 Taking into account that the USA already uses all the suitable land for soya, and that demand for ethanol and rising prices in cereals are expected to cause an increase in land devoted to grains in this country at the expense of soya, it seems that the only available "surplus" is to come from southern producers. The expansion in soya cultivation for export in Brazil and in Argentina has already taken a tremendous toll in these countries. Not only has it spurred deforestation and destroyed valuable ecosystems, driving indigenous peoples and small farmers from their territories, it has also displaced small farmers and local production oriented towards meeting domestic food needs. As Grupo de Reflexión Rural comments: "The export model exemplified by soya seriously threatens food sovereignty in Argentina . . . In recent years, soya has replaced the production of food staples, which are now being imported."36

  The rapid expansion of oil palm plantations in Indonesia, Malaysia and other developing countries, encouraged by expectations of a huge agrofuel market, is also having devastating impacts not only on the environment but also on local farming economies and food sovereignty. In addition to the expansion of agricultural land, rising agrofuel demand is to be met by an increase in crop yields, with increased inputs in order to maximize production. According to the European Fertilizer Manufacturers Association: "Over the next ten years . . . nutrient use for oilseeds will increase by 35% and even by 49% for oilseed rape. This is due to an increase in biodiesel production."37 On the other hand, the rapid development of agrofuel markets is encouraging investment in farming operations by the agrofuel industry, already prospecting developing countries for suitable land for energy crops.

  Small farmers in these countries will not be able to compete with large-scale, export oriented, intensive productions managed by industry. Many are forced—sometimes through the use of violence—to abandon farming and migrate to cities, adding to the significant fraction of world population already living in precarious situations in urban peripheries, extremely vulnerable to rising food prices. The escalating demand for agrofuels will encourage small farmers to plant energy crops rather than crops cultivated to meet family needs and/or supply local markets. This will increase dependency on purchased inputs and on distant markets that communities are unable to control, and threaten local subsistence and food security. In addition to significant environmental, social and economic damage, intensification of agriculture and the displacement of small farmers is bound to entail a dramatic loss of local crop varieties and associated knowledge, further undermining local agricultural sustainability and food sovereignty.

7.  How might farm viability in both developed and developing countries change with an expansion of biofuels? What implications are there for poverty in developing countries? Should we be concerned about large monopolies forming in the biofuel sector?

  Regarding implications on poverty in developing countries, they are myriad and they are already being exhibited:38,39,40,41,42

    "To benefit local communities, agrofuel production would need to be part of a diverse farming system. But development is focused on large centralized monocultures for economies of scale and a consistent product. The impact of monocultures such as sugar cane in Brazil, is a clear example of the lack of benefit for the poor and marginalized. This is reinforced by experiences from other countries, including Paraguay and Argentina, Ecuador and Indonesia and South Africa, where communities have reacted to government agrofuel strategies. In Europe, the EC has claimed that agrofuels can provide opportunities for farmers as well as creating jobs and rural regeneration. However EU sources are highly contradictory, especially regarding the number of jobs that will actually be created, not simply replaced or displaced."

  Human rights violations have already resulted from soya, sugarcane and palm monocultures in Latin America and Asia, and these are likely to intensify through the production of agrofuels. Impacts on health arise from deforestation and pesticide spraying. Another major issue involves historical and intense land conflicts, due to monoculture expansion. Production of agrofuel crops may involve violent evictions and murders. Examples are given here from Colombia and Paraguay.43,44,45,46

"Should we be concerned about large monopolies forming in the biofuel sector?"

  Yes. Isn't the monopolies and mergers commission concerned about large monopolies in any market? Quite clearly the present large companies make life for the plantation workers extremely unpleasant, which is putting it rather delicately. Powerful players are already forming allegiances in the biofuel market. Eg BP and D1 with jatropha in India nad South Africa; BP and British Sugar; Tesco—Cargyle—Greenergy; Northeast Biofuels47—including Monsanto, who are seeking to overcome British public concerns about GM food, by introducing GM biofuel feedstock.

  There is a very large and powerful lobby forming that includes: Fossil fuel companies, biofuels suppliers and refineries, food manufacturers, farmers, GM & car manufacturers. In Germany the car lobby backed by Ms Merkel is said48 to have successfully stopped the EC introducing tougher regulations on reducing cars carbon emissions by lobbying for higher EU biofuel targets.

REFERENCES

1.  "Agrofuels—Towards a reality check in nine key areas" http://www.biofuelwatch.org.uk/docs/agrofuels_reality_check.pdf

2.  "Stop the agrofuel craze!" GRAIN http://tinyurl.com/2hkkzp

3.  "Agrofuels in Africa—The impacts on land, food and forests." http://www.biofuelwatch.org.uk/docs/ABN_Agro.pdf

4.  http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/09/10/europe/EU-GEN-Finland-Brazil-Silva.php

5.  http://www.foeeurope.org/publications/2007/Wilmar_Palm_Oil_Environmental_Social_Impact.pdf

6.  Moratorium Call http://www.econexus.info/biofuels.html#org

7.  Open Letter http://www.biofuelwatch.org.uk/2007Jan31-openletterbiofuels.pdf

8.  (Overview of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005, http://www.millenniumassessment.org/en/About.aspx

9.  http://www.scenta.co.uk/Engineering/1700681/humans-use-or-abuse-quarter-of-all-energy-from-plants.htm

10.  tinyurl.com/2ezulh

11.  tinyurl.com/yojh9w

12.  tinyurl.com/3yrw6y and tinyurl.com/2mu2a4

13.  Times article http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/science/article2507851.ece

14.  http://www.rsc.org/chemistryworld/News/2007/September/21090701.asp

15.  http://www.wetlands.org/publication.aspx?ID=51a80e5f-4479-4200-9be0-66f1aa9f9ca9
Page, S E, F Siegert, J O Rieley, V Boehm Hans-Dieter, A Jaya, and S Limin. 2002. The amount of carbon released from peat and forest fires in Indonesia during 1997. Nature 420: 61. 65

16.  Guardian, http://www.monbiot.com/archives/2004/11/23/feeding-cars-not-people/

17.  Department for Transport, 2004. Petroleum Consumption: by Transport Mode and Fuel Type. http://www.dft.gov.uk/stellent/groups/dft_transstats/documents/page/dft_transstats_031767.pdf

18, 19.  Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, Crops for Energy Branch, 7 November 2004. Pers comm.

20.  Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, 2004. Agriculture in the UK 2003. http://statistics.defra.gov.uk/esg/publications/auk/2003/chapter3.pdf

21.  FAO. Food Outlook. Global Market Analysis. N 2. December 2006. www.fao.org/docrep/009/j8126e/j8126e14.htm

22.  D Qualman, Biodiesel and ethanol can't fuel this civilization. Union Farmer Monthly. Vol. 57 Issue 1. Jan 2007. www.nfu.ca/ufq/newsletter/uf_january_2007.pdf

23.  FAO Sumario de estadísticas agrícolas y alimentarias mundiales 2005Coordination Paysanne Européenne. For a legitimate, sustainable and supportive Common Agricultural Policy. November 2003. www.corporateeurope.org/docs/AgrofuelsRealityCheck.pdf

24.  EUCAR/JRC/CONCAWE. Well-to-Wheels analysis of future automotive fuels and powertrains in the European context. European Commission Research Centre. December/2005. FAO. Food Outlook Reference3. www.corporateeurope.org/docs/AgrofuelsRealityCheck.pdf

25.  http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2007/aug/29/food.g2

26.  Department for Transport, Transport statistics Great Britain, 2005, October 2005, pg 121
http://www.dft.gov.uk.uk/stellent/groups/dft_transstats/documents/downloadable/dft_transtats_609987.pdf

27.  "A Motorway-based National Coach System", 2005, Alan Storkey www.bepj.org.uk/wordpress/wp-content/2007/03/motorway-based-coach-system.pdf

28.  http://www.checkbiotech.org/green_News_Biofuels.aspx?infoId=15265

29.  Department for Transport, The Future of Transport: Modelling and Analysis, 2005, pg 10
http://www.dft.gov.uk/stellent/groups/dft_about/documents/downloads/dft_about_036814.pdf

30.  "Government sets out challenge for greener Britain", Guardian, 14 November 2005
www.politics.guardian.co.uk/green/story/0,9061,1641967,00.html

31.  "Speed limit crackdown to cut emissions' Guurdian, 14 November 2005
www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2005/nov/14/travelandtransport.carbonemissions

32.  http://www.planetark.org/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/42836/story.htm

33.  http://www.planetark.org/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/42814/newsDate/27-

34.  http://www.planetark.org/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/42816/newsDate/27-

35.  FAO. World agriculture: towards 2030/2050. Interim report.
www.fao.org/es/esd/AT2050web.pdf

36.  L Joensen & S Semino. Argentina: A Case Study on the Impact of Genetically Engineered Soya". Report published by Grupo de Reflexión
Rural (Argentina) and the GAIA Foundation (UK), October 2004.
www.corporateeurope.org/docs/AgrofuelsRealityCheck.pdf

37.  Owing to the development of energy crops, the overall use of nitrogen fertilizer in the European Union is forecast to increase by 2,5% in coming years after a decade of decline. S Shamsie. Despite general decrease of fertilizer consumption in the EU, nitrogen fertilizer consumption will increase modestly, says EFMA's 10-year forecast. EFMA press release December 2006. European Fertilizer manufacturers Association. Forecast of food, farming and fertilizer use in the European Union 2005-15.
www.cfi.ca/files/press_releases/CFI_Biofuels_Discussion_Paper_Feb07.pdf

38.  Agribusiness and biofuels—an explosive mixture. The impacts of monoculture expansion on bioenergy production in Brazil, Energy Working Group of the Brazilian Forum of NGOs and Social Movements for the Environment and Development (FBOMS), 2006
www.boell-latinoamerica.org/download_pt/Agronegocio_e_biocombustiveis_EN_folder.pdf

39.  The Development Model for Soy in Paraguay- Irresponsible, Unsustainable and Anti-Democratic, Asuncion, August 2006,
http://www.wervel.be/content/view/663/310/

40.  Rural communities express dismay—"land grabs" fuelled by Biofuels Strategy, March 2007, signed by 29 South African organisations.
www.biofuelwatch.org.uk/files/pressrelease2007-06-27.pdf

41.  Ethical Sugar, Social and Communitary impacts on biofuels markets; the ethanol case, presentation on World Biofuels Market, 6 March 2007,
www.regenwald.org/international/englisch/news.php?id=644Brussels

42.  Ghosts on our Own Land: Indonesian Oil Palm Smallholders and the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil, by Forest Peoples Programme and SawitWatch
www.forestpeoples.org/documents/prv_sector/bases/oil_palm.shtml,

43.  "Oil Palm and Other Commercial Tree Plantations, Monocropping: Impacts on Indigenous Peoples' Land Tenure and Resource Management Systems and Livelihoods", Victoria Tauli-Corpuz and Parshuram Tamang, report to the United Nations Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues, May 2007, http://www.un.org/esa/socdev/unpfii/documents/6session—crp6.doc. Also the statement to the press: http://www.checkbiotech.org/green_News_Biofuels.aspx?infoId=14672 Gasparri et al. "Deforestación en la zona de transición entre Yungas y Chaco en la provincia de Salta. Región Parque Chaqueño, período 1984-2001". November 2003. República Argentina, Ministerio de Salud, Secretaría de Ambiente y Desarrollo Sustentable, Dirección de Bosques, http://www2.medioambiente.gov.ar/documentos/bosques/publicaciones/deforestacion_ACRB_chaco.pdf

44.  Paraquat Kills! There is no antidote for it! Don't lift the ban on Paraquat! Pesticides Action Network Asia and the Pacific/2007
http://www.panap.net/48.0.html?&no_cache=1&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=50&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=13&cHash=1c9fa533a0

45.  Malaysian government lifts ban on paraquat: Pesticide Action Network Updates Service (PANUPS) http://www.panna.org/resources/panups/panup_20061012.dv.html
22) En Europa, en Brasil y en Colombia Cuestionamientos a biocombustibles http://www.rebelion.org/noticia.php?id=48176

46.  El fujo del aceite de Palma Colombia-Belgica/Europa acercamiento desde una
media/archivos/flujoPalma/informe_es.pdf
http://www.hrev.org/hrev/media/archivos/flujoPalma/informe_es.pdf

47.  http://www.northeastbiofuels.com/whoarewe/whoarewe_home.htm

48.  http://www.ft.com/cms/s/62bf7762-b0d0-11db-8a62-0000779e2340.html





 
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