The Independent Scientific Group
on Cattle TB
37. The former Independent Scientific Group on Cattle
TB (ISG) was a group of independent scientists who advised Ministers
on how best to tackle the problem of cattle TB. The ISG was set
up following the acceptance by Ministers of the recommendations
contained in the Krebs Report (1997).[54]
Krebs had concluded that there was compelling evidence that badgers
were involved in transmitting infection to cattle, but that a
large-scale field trial of the effects of badger culling on cattle
TB incidence was necessary to quantify the effectiveness of culling
as a control measure. The ISG has said of the Krebs Report:
From this it was clear that the problem of TB
in cattle was extremely complex, still poorly understood and that
previous policies to control the disease had been inadequate.
It recognised that substantial further work was necessary if an
informative framework was to be established that would be adequate
to underpin an effective policy to control the disease in the
future.
The role of the ISG is to provide the scientific
base for such a policy. From the outset we have adopted a holistic
approach, recognising that sustainable control policies could
only be achieved through a better understanding of the epidemiology
of TB in cattle and wildlife reservoirs. Implicit in our approach
is the recognition that the widespread elimination of badgers
from large tracts of the countryside would not be politically
or socially acceptable, hence we have sought to explore a much
wider consideration of the problem and its possible solution(s).[55]
38. The ISG's terms of reference were:
To advise Ministers on implementation of the Krebs
Report on bovine TB in cattle and badgers by:
- overseeing the design and analysis
of the Randomised Badger Culling Trial (RBCT) to test the effectiveness
of badger culling as a means of controlling bovine TB;
- regularly monitoring the progress of, and outputs
from, the trial and assessing any important differences in results
between treatments;
- monitoring data on the Mycobacterium bovis situation
in areas and species outside the trial;
- reporting to Ministers on progress; and
- advising, as requested, on related issues.[56]
39. Ministers explicitly told the ISG that elimination
of badgers over large tracts of countryside was not acceptable
as future policy.[57]
The trial's aim was "not total depopulation of an area; rather
it was to achieve the maximum level of removal that was reasonably
attainable in practice, and, importantly, defensible in environmental,
welfare and political terms."[58]
Therefore, badger welfare was considered essential to the integrity
of the RBCT and taken into account during its design to ensure
that badgers suffered as little as possible. It was considered
important that any culling method should not be perceived to be
cruel by the public as that could lead to public criticism of
the trial and affect any future policy decision on culling.[59]
Consequently, cage trapping and shooting were selected as the
most humane form of culling, and a "closed season" was
called during the times when cubs were usually born and weaned.
40. The trial aimed to compare, under scientific
conditions in the field, the relative impact of two different
approaches to culling as compared to not removing badgers at all.
The two types of culling were:
- "proactive"where
the aim was to remove at the outset as large a proportion as possible
of the badgers resident in the trial area and maintain this population
suppression by subsequent culls, and
- "reactive" where culling was
undertaken only on the occurrence of a confirmed breakdown, with
the aim of removing all badger social groups with access to the
farm where the breakdown had occurred.
41. The third, survey only, area was used as an experimental
control. The trial was designed to ensure that it provided epidemiological
data on both cattle and badgers that could not be gained any other
way.
42. The trial areas, each 100km² in size, were
in groups of three, known as "triplets". There were
ten triplets in the trial which were selected from the areas showing
the highest incidence of TB herd breakdowns. The selection process
aimed for the three areas in each triplet to be as nearly identical
as possible in terms of the number and size of cattle holdings,
breakdown histories, surface areas, landscape characteristics
and badger densities, but this was not always possible. Once the
triplet areas had been selected, the precise boundaries were adjusted
to take into account the boundaries of farms and associated badger
social groups, and features such as roads and rivers.[60]
43. The first culls took place between December 1998
and December 2002. The level of trapping that took place in the
proactive cull was on average 40 nights of trapping (where traps
are set and revisited the next morning when the badgers caught
would be dispatched by gunshot) per square kilometre per year
for five years.[61] There
were 62 reactive culling operations, with an average of 42.6 traps
being deployed per night on each operation.
44. As examined further in Part Three, the ISG found
that reactive culling was associated with an estimated 27% increase
in the incidence of confirmed cattle herd breakdowns. The ISG
recommended that the culling operation be allowed to continue
until the start of the next closed season to allow a further analysis
of the data. However, Ministers took the decision to suspend reactive
culling from November 2003. [62]
Subsequently, the decision to suspend the cull has been questioned.
The Independent Scientific Review of the RBCT and Associated Epidemiological
Research, chaired by Professor Charles Godfray, said that "[f]rom
a narrow scientific point of view that ignores the political and
possibly legal implications of the experiment appearing to cause
increased herd breakdowns, the reactive treatment was abandoned
too soon, before the policy option of reactive culling could be
properly evaluated."[63]
The NFU also expressed its "surprise" at the decision
to end the reactive cull.[64]
45. The proactive badger culling programme ended
in 2005 and since then, in preparing its Final Report, the ISG
completed its final trial surveys and refined its survey analysis.
The ISG prioritised the publication of its findings in leading
peer reviewed scientific journals and concurrently released relevant
data to ensure that a full assessment of its work could be made
by the scientific community. The ISG's work was also subject to
an independent audit.[65]
46. The Final Report was published on 18 June 2007
and the ISG was disbanded on 30 June 2007. The conclusions of
the Final Report are considered in greater detail in Part Three.
Vaccines
47. Tuberculosis is a complex disease and therefore
developing an effective vaccine for humans or animals has proved
to be "at the very edge of our scientific understanding".[66]
In 1997, the Krebs Report had concluded that: "The best prospect
for control of TB in the British herd is to develop a cattle vaccine".[67]
Defra adopted this recommendation and established a vaccination
programme which is overseen by the TB Vaccine Programme Advisory
Group (VPAG), made up of scientific experts, policy makers and
representatives of the animal health industry. It is chaired by
Professor Douglas Young an internationally recognised expert in
human TB vaccines from Imperial College. In 2001, the ISG set
up a Vaccine Scoping Study Sub-Committee which reported to Ministers
in 2003 its advice on future research requirements. Most of the
recommendations from the Study have been taken forward by the
Department and are overseen by VPAG.
48. In addition, Defra's Chief Veterinary Officer
chairs a Vaccine Steering Group (VSG) which is identifying the
administrative and legal processes that need to be followed to
enable a vaccine to be fully tested, evaluated and then used with
minimum delay.
49. Research is underway to vaccinate cattle experimentally
with Bacille Calmette Guerin (BCG) and other vaccine candidates.
Professor Young said that research was aiming to use the existing
BCG vaccine and build onto it to make a more effective cattle
vaccine.[68] Research
has found that BCG works better as a neonatal vaccine.[69]
However, a vaccine based on BCG will make cattle react to the
test as if they were infected and therefore it is incompatible
with the standard test and slaughter policy for disease control
and contravenes EU legislation.[70]
Consequently, alongside the research into a cattle vaccine, a
diagnostic test is also being developed to differentiate vaccinated
from infected animals.
50. Professor Young and Professor Glyn Hewinson (member
of VPAG and head of the TB Research Group at the VLA) provided
the Committee with a timeline of vaccination research. They told
us that real progress has been made in the last three years in
the development of the diagnostic test to differentiate between
vaccinated and infected animals.[71]
It was likely that a suitable test would be available in 2015.
They also estimated that a licensed neonatal BCG vaccine could
be available in 2012 and a licensed cattle vaccine that improves
on BCG could be available from 2015.
51. The VLA told the Committee that it is now reasonably
certain that a licensed injectable vaccine for badgers would be
available for use in 2010, provided it was approved by the EU
Veterinary Medicines Directorate. It would also require a Home
Office Project Licence and a Natural England Licence before use.
A licensed oral formulation of the vaccine for badgers would take
longer, but could be available from 2012.
52. The Committee were told that the delay in producing
a badger vaccine was in part due to the complex and technical
nature of the science employed, but also due in part to the legislative
and bureaucratic requirements of producing a vaccine. Professor
Hewinson said "We are spending millions of pounds showing
that BCG is safe in badgers and it is being used by more people
than any other vaccine."[72]
53. Other countries are also researching into cattle
and wildlife TB vaccines: New Zealand is seeking a vaccine for
possums; the Republic of Ireland for cattle and badgers; and the
USA for deer.[73] Research
into vaccines in the UK is underpinned by strong collaborative
projects with the Republic of Ireland and New Zealand. The UK
is also participating in a cattle vaccine research project in
Ethiopia.[74]
54. Defra has said that it sees the development of
a TB vaccine for badgers and cattle as a long-term goal and a
substantial part of the Defra research programme focuses on this.
Over the past seven years Defra has invested more than £10.5
million in vaccine development and associated research.[75]
By April 2008, total investment in vaccine development will have
reached more than £17.8 million since 1998, with over £5.5
million invested in cattle and badger vaccine research this financial
year. Of the £5.5 million, approximately £3.5 million
is spent on cattle vaccine research and £2.5 million on badger
vaccine research.[76]
55. Professor Douglas Young warned the Committee
that a vaccine should not be considered a "magic bullet"
that would solve the problem of cattle TB in the UK. He said that
research could produce a range of tools such as injectable BCG
or an improved cattle vaccine, but that the Government would need
to think carefully how it would use these tools as policy options.
For example, would a vaccine be used if it only gave 80%
protection? Professor Young told the Committee that Defra had
only recently taken on board the idea that those undertaking vaccine
research would find it extremely useful if they had some knowledge
of the direction to be taken by Defra's policy on vaccines.[77]
Defra says that consideration is now being given to policy options
for how a vaccine might be used for cattle and badgers, along
with other control measures, with the aim of reducing the incidence
of TB in cattle. A TB Vaccines Programme has been set up within
Defra to bring together the research and policy development. The
policy options will be developed and informed by veterinary advice,
economic analysis and external stakeholder input which will be
sought throughout the policy development process.[78]
56. The ISG Final Report endorsed the need for continued
research, but thought that an effective vaccine should be seen
as a long-term goal owing to the practical obstacles in its development.[79]
It also advised that it was critical that Defra should identify
a policy framework in which a cattle vaccine could be used.[80]
57. Despite Lord Rooker warning that Government expenditure
on cattle TB could not continue at its current levels, he told
the Committee that the funding currently in place for research
on cattle and badger vaccines would continue.[81]
However, the question of who would pay for the delivery of a licensed
vaccine was a different matter: "if we found a vaccine for
the wildlife who would pay for it?"[82]
11 Q 9 Back
12
Q 351 Back
13
Department for Environment, Planning and Countryside, Animal Health
and Welfare Strategy: Welsh Assembly Government Action Plan 2007-08 Back
14
The gamma interferon test is a laboratory based blood test. Gamma
interferon is an immunological hormone that is produced after
the stimulation of blood cells with antigens such as bovine tuberculin. Back
15
"Minister promises a TB policy 'specific for Wales'",
Farmers Weekly, 27 July 2007 Back
16
Rural Development Sub-committee, Inquiry into bovine tuberculosis,
January 2008 Back
17
Ibid, p 1 Back
18
Ibid, recommendation 7 Back
19
Q 538 Back
20
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 57 Back
21
http://www.defra.gov.uk/animalh/tb/pdf/tbinyh.pdf Back
22
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 21 Back
23
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 144 Back
24
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, Regulatory
Impact Assessment: pre-movement testing in England, p 2 Back
25
Q 538 Back
26
See Annex. Back
27
http://www.defra.gov.uk/animalh/tb/premovement/index.htm Back
28
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, TB in cattle
- reducing the risk, Pre-and Post-movement testing in Great Britain,
August 2007 Back
29
http://www.defra.gov.uk/esg/work_htm/publications/cs/farmstats_web/default.htm Back
30
Regulatory Impact Assessment: pre-movement testing in England,
p 4 Back
31
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, Pre-Movement
Testing In England: updated assessment of costs and benefits,
January 2007 Back
32
Zuckerman, S. (1980), Badgers and Tuberculosis, HMSO, London;
and Krebs, J.R., Anderson, R., Clutton-Brock, T., Morrison, I.,
Young, D., Donnelly, C., Frost, S. and Woodroffe, R (1997), Bovine
Tuberculosis in cattle and badgers, MAFF Publications, PB 3423 Back
33
HC Deb, 22 January 2008, col 1974W; HC Deb, 5 June 2006, col 147-8W;
HC Deb, 27 February 2006,col 261-2W Back
34
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 20 Back
35
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 173 Back
36
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 15 Back
37
Q 539, Ev 167, 173. Note: Animal Health, previously the State
Veterinary Service is the government's executive agency primarily
responsible for ensuring that farmed animals in England, Scotland
and Wales are healthy, disease-free and well looked after. Back
38
Q 539 Back
39
Q 642 Back
40
Q 635 Back
41
Protection of Badgers Act 1992, section 10 Back
42
The "Convention on the Conservation of European Wildlife
and Natural Habitats", agreed in Bern on 19 September 1979,
lists the European badger (Meles meles) as a protected fauna species
(Appendix III) and prohibits "the use of all indiscriminate
means of capture and killing and the use of all means capable
of causing local disappearance" of a species (Article 8);
http://www.coe.int/t/e/cultural_co-operation/environment/nature_and_biological_diversity/Nature_protection/ Back
43
Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee, Bovine TB: badger
culling, Q 49 Back
44
Q 413 Back
45
Q 642 Back
46
Defra, Preparing for a new GB Strategy on bovine tuberculosis,
Consultation Document, February 2004, p 23 Back
47
Q 537 Back
48
Defra, Cost benefit analysis of badger management as a component
of bovine TB control in England, 2005, p 1 Back
49
Defra, Controlling the spread of Bovine Tuberculosis in cattle
in High Incidence Areas in England: Badger Culling, a consultation
document, 2005, p 21 Back
50
"Table valuations don't reflect the market says NFU",
NFU press notice, http://www.nfuonline.com/x2977.xml Back
51
A "pedigree animal" means a bovine animal in respect
of which a pedigree certificate has been issued by a recognised
breed society and presented to the Secretary of State or an agent
acting on his behalf by the day of the assessment of the category
into which the animal falls. Back
52
http://www.defra.gov.uk/corporate/consult/ahw-nextsteps/index.htm Back
53
Q 542 Back
54
Krebs, J.R., Anderson, R., Clutton-Brock, T., Morrison, I., Young,
D., Donnelly, C., Frost, S. and Woodroffe, R (1997), Bovine
Tuberculosis in cattle and badgers, (MAFF Publications, PB
3423) Back
55
Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB, Second Report of the
Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB: An Epidemiological
Investigation into Bovine Tuberculosis, December 1999, p 65, paragraphs
12.0.2-12.0.3 Back
56
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 201 Back
57
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 39 Back
58
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 39 Back
59
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 40 Back
60
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 38 Back
61
Q 25, and Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on
Cattle TB, p 50 Back
62
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 107 Back
63
Independent Scientific Review of the Randomised Badger Culling
Trial and Associated Epidemiological Research, 4 March 2004, p
30. Back
64
http://www.bbc.co.uk/devon/farming/2003/11/badger_cull.shtml Back
65
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 13 Back
66
Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee, Bovine TB,
Q 7 Back
67
Krebs, J.R., Anderson, R., Clutton-Brock, T., Morrison, I., Young,
D., Donnelly, C., Frost, S. and Woodroffe, R (1997), Bovine
Tuberculosis in cattle and badgers (MAFF Publications, PB
3423) Back
68
Q 254 Back
69
Q 254 Back
70
Ev 63 Back
71
Qq 259-60 Back
72
Q 302 Back
73
Q 299 Back
74
Ev 62, 64 Back
75
HC Deb, 19 April 2007, col 434 Back
76
Q 309 Back
77
Q 317 Back
78
http://www.defra.gov.uk/animalh/tb/vaccination/index.htm Back
79
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 181 Back
80
Final Report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB,
p 152 Back
81
Q 660 Back
82
Q 616 Back