Select Committee on Public Accounts Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1-19)

DEPARTMENT FOR COMMUNITIES AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT, TRANSFORM SOUTH YORKSHIRE & LIVERPOL CITY COUNCIL

19 NOVEMBER 2007

  Chairman: Good afternoon and welcome to the Public Accounts Committee where we are today considering the Comptroller and Auditor General's Report on housing market renewal. We welcome Peter Housden from the Department for Communities and Local Government, who will introduce his team.

  Peter Housden: Good afternoon. On my right is Mike Gahagan, who is the Chair of the Transform South Yorkshire housing market renewal pathfinder. On his right is Siobhan McCoy, who is the housing market renewal initiative manager in Liverpool city council. On my left is Richard McCarthy, Director General for housing and planning in the Department for Communities and Local Government.

  Q1  Chairman: Mr Housden, you will see that we have quite a large Committee. My colleagues' time for questions is limited, so I hope that you and your colleagues can keep your answers brief and to the point, so that Members of the Committee do not feel that their time is being eaten into.

  As you know, the Report on the Thames Gateway programme was published last week. It was quite a critical Report, and many of the features that we saw there are replicated in this National Audit Office Report: lack of leadership, uncertainty about responsibility in Government and uncertainty over funding. Reading the Report before us, frankly, it does not seem that you have any more of a grip on the housing renewal programme. Is your Department just not fit for purpose, like the Home Office?

  Peter Housden: Chairman, I am happy to talk about the Thames Gateway—

  Chairman: No, you do not need to. I am just using it as an example.

  Peter Housden: It is worth bearing in mind that the field work on which the Thames Gateway Report was based was done in 2005-06. As we had the opportunity to discuss with your Committee earlier in the year, we were and remain on course to undertake the transformation that the Report referred to. In terms of housing market renewal, our sense is of a radical and innovative programme that is on course to meet its targets. That, in one sentence, is my conclusion.

  Q2  Chairman: All right. That is a very clear answer. Let me put an alternative point of view to you and you can answer. You have committed £2.2 billion of taxpayers' money and demolished 10,000 houses, but you are apparently unable to measure what impact that programme is having on housing markets. Do you think that stacks up to a good programme?

  Peter Housden: We are able to measure its impact on housing markets. On its two key indicators—vacancy rates and the relation to regional house prices—the pathfinder areas are demonstrably succeeding in their objectives. One would preface all that by saying this is a long-term programme. Right at the outset, I think everybody accepted that you could not reach short-term judgments, but in terms of a programme this far into its 15-year life, those are positive indications.

  Q3  Chairman: Yes, but as paragraph 3.14 makes clear, there are so many factors that can influence demand for housing. There is no clear evidence that the £2.2 billion that you have spent has made a significant difference. I am not denying that house prices may have increased, but that may be due to many other factors.

  Peter Housden: If I may say so, I think you have gone right to the heart of the issue for us here. In regeneration schemes in general, where you are involving markets—here, the housing market—it is methodologically possible only in the most rarefied circumstances to identify a direct relationship between a cause and an outcome, and the separation of this range of factors is a key thing. What struck me as really important, however, was that if you look at the key indicators of vacancy levels and prices in the areas of low demand that were not selected for housing market renewal intervention—they were not selected because the position there was less severe than in the nine areas that were originally chosen—those areas have performed less well than the housing market renewals areas. Intuition would take you to the opposite conclusion—that areas that were more advantaged in a rising market, with advantageous demographics, would accelerate more quickly than areas of acute need. So, for us, there is a strong correlation between housing market renewal intervention per se and rising relative house prices and reductions in vacancy levels.

  Q4  Chairman: Other colleagues can pursue that point. I just note what you have agreed in the Report. In paragraph 3.15, you agreed with the Comptroller that: "it is difficult to identify the extent to which the increases in house prices in pathfinder areas since the establishment of the programme have been due to intervention by the pathfinders themselves or due to general trends in the housing market". However, others can come in on that point if they wish to.

  The problem of speculators cashing in at taxpayers' expense is mentioned in paragraph 3.16. The figure mentioned is an average of £10,000 per house. Could you not have done more tackle that?

  Peter Housden: Speculation is an emotive term. All the transactions are private sales between residents or landlords and other third parties; they are not regulated by the Government. That is the obvious point. The second point is that increasing land and property values are a feature of regeneration schemes, and the more successful the schemes are, the stronger a feature they will be, so as confidence increases, those purchases look more and more like rational investments. My last point is that in relation to the compensation terms, there is, as you will know, a code of practice, which dictates effectively what local authorities are obliged to give in compensation to both residents and landlords. That has a minimum stipulation of at least a year's occupancy, which is relevant to this issue.

  Q5  Chairman: I again quote from paragraph 3.16: "Pathfinders estimate that this form of speculation has added an average of £10,000 to the cost of acquiring a property," and that is on relatively low-value houses. Again, other colleagues can come into the debate if they wish.

  Your action is based on theoretical analysis. We have so much experience of house clearance since the second world war. Is basing your action on theoretical analysis the best way of proceeding, or would you have been better to have involved local communities more in what you were doing? That would have saved a lot of anxiety and stress, would it not?

  Peter Housden: I do not believe that what the programme has done is based on theoretical analysis. It is worth reminding the Committee that the genesis of the programme was not in a ministerial office, but based on a range of practitioners on the ground identifying a striking and socially really significant issue in areas of low demand. That led the Government, backed by the Select Committee of the day, to move into a careful exploration, in the most severe areas of low demand, of what range of strategies would work, and it was very clear from the beginning, as had been learned from all previous programmes, that engagement with local communities was crucial.

  We will no doubt talk more this afternoon about how that has been undertaken in different contexts. The key thing, however, is that the locality-based neighbourhood is where the problems are experienced; it is not where they are resolved. The basic design of the pathfinders, as you will recall, was across local authority areas to correspond with housing markets. That was the focal point of the programme and is why the governance arrangements are as they are, but there is no trade-off between that and community consultation and engagement. We have had a range of positive affirmations from the Audit Commission and others as to how that is proceeding.

  Q6  Chairman: May I introduce the subject of affordability? That is mentioned in paragraph 4.9, which says that: "on average, there is a gap of £35,000 between the amount of compensation existing homeowners receive for their home when subject to a Compulsory Purchase Order and the cost of buying a suitable alternative property." That is what worries me. You are supposed to be helping those communities, but there is that gap of £35,000. People may find their house is demolished and they cannot afford to move back to the area.

  Peter Housden: Mike Gahagan may want to talk about specific examples relating to this issue in Yorkshire. It is a consequence of rising values, and the programme has always been mindful of the need to provide careful and individually tailored support to people in those circumstances. Whether to move into a new home with finance or to move into a socially rented tenancy has been the stuff of individual tenant care in these programmes.

  Q7  Chairman: Are you worried about the sub-prime crisis in America? What work has your Department done in that regard? The situation in America is about dodgy mortgages, giving credit to people who perhaps have limited creditworthiness. Will that impact on people's ability to afford these houses?

  Peter Housden: We had the opportunity a few months ago to discuss the low-cost home ownership programme in the round and, as I said then, we are always very careful in those circumstances to ensure that the individuals are being offered loan products that they can afford on a sustainable basis.

  Q8  Chairman: But you take my point that with the crisis in sub-prime mortgages, it might be more difficult for people to obtain mortgages.

  We shall move on. You were going to build 60,000 houses a year in the north and the midlands; you are now going to build 70,000 houses a year. Will not that impact on the scheme? It might make a lot of these schemes redundant, because you are building so many more houses.

  Peter Housden: This is a very important point. The context is changing significantly, in that many areas in the north and the midlands are experiencing a rising demand for growth and form an important part of the Government's overall housing strategy. In terms of the way this programme moves forward, that linkage into the broader growth agenda will be critical. The Report properly picks that up—for example, in the way in which the planning system and regional spatial strategies will need to accommodate housing market renewal, and there are already some good examples of the way in which housing market renewal objectives are being taken into account properly as regions debate how to move forward. We are confident that that risk is acknowledged and will be managed.

  Q9  Chairman: Okay. Look at figure 7 on page 14, which sets out the hugely complex system. Some people argue that this is once again a step from letting local government get on with it—yet another tier of unnecessary bureaucracy in an already crowded field of regional and local regeneration. Is that a fair criticism?

  Peter Housden: No, but there is a real issue at the bottom of what you say, in the sense that the co-ordination of those programmes is fundamental. Housing market renewal sought to bring to local regeneration strategies an added dimension that had been absent, and because housing markets do not respect local authority boundaries, it was important to be able to draw in the local authorities, which retain statutory and important functions, and to connect them to the wider regeneration strategies. In housing market renewal, we have seen good governance at the level of the nine pathfinders, and good integration, and as we go forward the department will look for still stronger aspects of that in terms of knitting this with the regeneration effort.

  Q10  Chairman: Perhaps if you just let them get on with it in the first place, we might have avoided some of that duplication. In any event, let us ask the last question to the Treasury.

  In order to get around the VAT problem, pathfinders schemes are demolishing perfectly good houses rather than refurbishing them. Is that a good idea? Is this value for taxpayers?

  Paula Diggle: There is a policy choice for the Chancellor to make. We have limited room for policy manoeuvre on VAT rates: we cannot broaden any zero rating of VAT, and there is a limit to what we can do about 5% VAT. The only way we could equalise the rates of VAT would be to equalise upwards.

  Q11  Chairman: Is that right, National Audit Office? I thought that in the briefing just given to me, it said that it is possible to vary VAT.

  David Corner: We were told that it was possible and that certainly European legislation was not a barrier.

  Chairman: Right. We will have to investigate that further, because it seems that the taxpayer is not getting good value if we are demolishing rather than refurbishing perfectly good homes. Thank you very much.

  Q12  Keith Hill: Perhaps I ought to declare a sort of interest. When I was a Minister in the former Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, although I did not have direct responsibility for the pathfinder programme, I was nevertheless the sponsor of the Merseyside pathfinder that features quite heavily in the NAO Report, which, by the way, Chairman, seems to me relatively benign as NAO Reports go, though I am very new at this business.

  Mr Housden, the NAO concludes that: "low demand is now less severe in pathfinder areas, the gaps in the housing market between these and their surrounding areas have started to close, and there are clear physical improvements in many neighbourhoods." Is that not a presumption that the pathfinder programme seems to be working pretty well?

  Peter Housden: Yes, the vital signs are essentially positive. Again, I repeat the caveat about early days, but essentially, there is good progress.

  Q13  Keith Hill: The NAO makes a certain amount in its Report about relationships with local communities. It calls them "vibrant", although when I was touring Anfield in Liverpool and Bootle in Sefton, I observed miles and miles of abandonment and not much by way of vibrant communities where the pathfinder programme was in place. But the NAO says at the beginning of part 4 of the Report that: "The risks of increasing community stress can be high", and it draws attention to the Pendle case, which is extremely well known. Other than Pendle, is there any evidence that the pathfinder process has increased community stress?

  Michael Gahagan: You have to accept that when you are going through the demolition process there is, for a while, an increase in community stress. There is no doubt about that, because it is quite a stressful process. You have to make the judgment that, at the end of the day, it is worth doing—and, of course, not doing anything, over time, will lead to considerable stress in those communities, as you have said, with a lot of vacant houses.

  Can I just correct something on the Pendle case? Although it concerns my colleagues in East Lancashire, I do not think that that was the pathfinder scheme. I think that the pathfinder helped to sort that out.

  Q14  Keith Hill: It is cited in the NAO Report as an example of a failure in terms of pathfinders, so if you are correct in saying that, it is a helpful correction.

  I note that the Audit Commission, which, in my experience, is never entirely easy to please, has praised the progress made by pathfinders on, precisely, community engagement, but what do you make of the criticisms by the Empty Homes Agency and the Sustainable Development Commission, which are cited in the NAO Report?

  Peter Housden: There will always be, as Mike indicates, some short-term issues. The thing that struck me in visiting, as you have done, the Liverpool pathfinder was that people—residents—in those areas are in very different situations. They have different interests and wishes, and they can change over time. We have all come across, I suppose, people who have been vehemently opposed to demolition and to being rehoused, who, once in a new home in Liverpool, often with people they have lived with for many years, have become strong supporters of the programme. They can change over time. People have different interests and it is clearly the role of local government to reconcile those interests to the long-term advantage of the communities. I hope that the pathfinders add value by giving that housing market connection, but at the end of the day those issues have to be reconciled.

  One of the other things that strikes anyone who looks at this seriously is that a citizen or resident with fundamental concerns has not only the ballot box, if you like, in their local area, for taking a view about things, but also a series of statutory protections. If you take, for example, compulsory purchase orders and the public inquiries that those result in if they are contested, citizens have the opportunity for the case to be heard, and are protected against irrational or unfounded decisions being made in their community. There is an array of mechanisms that provide protection for individual citizens in these difficult areas.

  Richard McCarthy: Can I briefly add, Mr Hill, that both the Sustainable Development Commission and the Empty Homes Agency are national agencies? The Empty Homes Agency is seeking to minimise the level of properties left empty, and we agree with that. The Sustainable Development Commission is seeking to ensure that we retain those properties, wherever possible, for the environmental benefits that that brings.

  As a starting position, we would agree with that, and it is noticeable that the level of demolitions identified by the pathfinders has fallen as different technical solutions have been identified and people have responded to residents' concerns, and as the economics have changed, but it is worth noting that other national agencies like English Heritage also recognise—as does the Commission for Architecture and the Built Environment—that in some areas it is appropriate to demolish homes that are no longer useable. It does not make environmental sense to sustain those properties, and it is better to replace them with properties of much higher environmental performance, mixing tenures and size of homes.

  Michael Gahagan: Can I add one thing?

  Chairman: I am not in favour of this adding, adding, adding: it is not fair on the Member concerned. It is his time.

  Keith Hill: But I am very happy to allow it, Chairman.

  Michael Gahagan: I just want to say that the issue of demolition or improvement is very difficult and I do not think that we have quite bottomed it out fully yet. The Building Research Establishment and the pathfinders are all together looking at precisely this and the carbon footprint. We also have the Sheffield competition for designers to try to tackle terraced houses: what can you do for £50,000? There is still a lot going on, on this front.

  Q15  Keith Hill: Okay, fine. Let me just ask one final question then: what I found really interesting in the NAO Report—I think that you have already alluded to this, Chairman—is that there will be a net reduction in housing in only three of the pathfinder areas, which was, I think, absolutely contrary to our initial expectation. Why the change?

  Richard McCarthy: We have rising household numbers, which we have identified only this year, within the areas. So what you have is quite a dramatic change going on. There are changes in household numbers and populations in the northern and west midlands regions, to an extent that was not recognised at the beginning of the programme. By improving those areas, the housing offer and the environment, we can bend in and encourage private sector developers to invest in new housing and properties and in converting and improving properties in those areas, so that they are part of the offer to meet the needs of our rising population and the rise in households, rather than being part of the problem. That process is in transition, but it is happening.

  Q16  Mr Curry: I am sorry that you are going to get a procession of former Housing Ministers, Mr Housden.

  Have you read Jane Jacobs?

  Peter Housden: Jane Jacobs?

  Q17  Mr Curry: Are you aware that "The Death and Life of Great American Cities" is the most important book on regeneration ever written?

  Peter Housden: I have not read it.

  Q18  Mr Curry: I am almost inclined to say that the fact that you have not read it makes you unsuitable for the job. Jane Jacobs said that what makes communities work are mixed functions and neighbourhoods—I think that Mr McCarthy probably has read it, because he is nodding. She talked about having informal surveillance, such as elderly people living in the street who can keep an eye on the children playing there, and about having employment, residential and retail areas together, so that mixed functions are operating. One thing wrong with regeneration was that we tore all of that up and made people live in one place and go somewhere else to work and somewhere else to shop, thereby destroying all the informal communities and socialising that made places work. That is a summary of the book; do you not think that it should be the bible for the regeneration programme?

  Peter Housden: That is absolutely at the heart of the mixed community strategies that have formed part of the Government's approach for a considerable while, yes.

  Q19  Mr Curry: Let us hope that that is the case. I recommend the book to you; it is quite short and very well written.

  You said that areas next to pathfinders have not performed so well. Could that be because of the pathfinders? Is it possible that pathfinders have a depressing effect on neighbouring areas? Mike Gahagan might want to say something on this. If you are pouring money into one area, people are likely to say, "I'm not going to live there, because it is a much better bet to live somewhere else instead, as there is much more aid going into that area." Is not it possible that the reason why they are being outperformed is that there is a perverse, depressive effect on the neighbours? Do we have any work on that? If that is the case, what do we do about it, short of making everywhere a pathfinder area, which defeats the object of the exercise?

  Peter Housden: Two quick points before passing over to Mike: my point was not about neighbouring areas, but about what would be shown if you drew a table of the areas of the most acute low demand in England. The housing market renewal pathfinder initial challenge cut off at nine; I was making the comparison that the ones that followed were not necessarily geographically proximate, and in many cases were not.

  Your second point precisely illustrates the importance of having local authorities concerned with the governance arrangements of pathfinders, so that, across the housing market as a whole, they can take those balances into account in shaping the housing market renewal programme.



 
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