Select Committee on Public Administration Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1-19)

RT HON LORD HURD OF WESTWELL CH CBE, RT HON LORD OWEN CH, RT HON SIR MENZIES CAMPBELL CBE QC MP AND ADAM PRICE MP

3 APRIL 2008

  Q1 Chairman: Let me call the Committee to order and welcome our witnesses this morning. We are delighted to have our colleague Adam Price, Lord Owen, Lord Hurd and Sir Menzies Campbell. I am sure you have had it explained to you why we particularly wanted to have this session and to invite you along. The Committee has been interested for some time in the whole business of inquiries and it produced I think perhaps the first comprehensive report three years ago, called Government by Inquiry, setting out the range of inquiries that governments can hold and saying various things about them. As part of that, it concluded that there was a gap where Parliament should be and it recommended a device, which has been called in that report a "Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry", which Parliament could itself institute and we wanted to link this, if we could, to some of the contemporary arguments about the case for an inquiry into Iraq to see whether this proposition and this demand can be reconciled in some way. Unless any of you particularly want to say something by way of introduction, I think we would feel quite inclined to try you out with some questions, if that would be all right. Shall we do that? Can I ask this to start with, and it goes to the core of the issue, really, I think. What on earth can Parliament do when a government says that it does not want to hold an inquiry, or at least does not want to hold one at the moment, into something of public importance? Is there not something rather odd about the fact that Parliament has to sit around saying there ought to be an inquiry but then looking to the Executive all the time to set it up?

  Lord Owen: I agree, and I think that you have got the power to do it, a resolution of both Houses, set out by a select committee, with the powers that were needed, and if you were clever you could overcome most of the sensible objections that might come, you could ensure that everybody on it was a privy counsellor, you could ensure that the chairmanship was one that was beyond question, acceptable through your own contacts to all the parties, you could design its terms of reference and you could carry it through; and, if you wished, given the controversy at the moment about when to set it up, you could also set a date when they would report, and I would suggest that it should be after the next election, so it should be June 2010 for the report, and there is some merit actually. People will be more honest and it will be more cohesive of Parliament's view as a whole if it does not get dragged into the next election, and the important thing is it should be available for the new government and, if it is sensible, it will be a report that will genuinely draw lessons for the future and, hopefully, draw lessons for a future Prime Minister as to how to conduct and how not to make mistakes. I feel strongly. I went back over the Suez crisis just recently and I think if we had gone seriously, as Parliament, into what went wrong with Suez, and particularly the handling of it through Number 10 by Sir Anthony Eden, as he then was, I think that we might have learned some lessons of value for the handling of the Iraq war.

  Q2  Chairman: There is a quotation from Michael Foot about his pressure to get an inquiry into Suez, where he says it was once the traditional practice of the House that when a disaster occurred, especially a military disaster, the House of Commons should set up an inquiry into the conduct of the Executive, and over history you can look at the precedents for this. Do we have to say, though, now that Parliament has become so enfeebled that the ability to do this has gone and that we have to sit around simply asking the Executive to do it?

  Lord Hurd of Westwell: I come to it from the angle of feeling very strongly that there should be an early inquiry into the Iraq war rather than from the constitutional point of view which, naturally, is top of your mind. We have got a situation where the Government has been pressed by many of us and has moved slowly to a position where, yes, there will be an inquiry but not now, for reasons which you may not want to go into but which I think are bogus. There should be maximum pressure on them to do that, and what you are doing is, at the minimum, a form of pressure. You see it as something more ambitious and constitutional than that. I actually think that an inquiry set up by government is probably the best way because I think then the atmosphere would not be one of trying to force things out of government, out of ministers, out of top civil servants, out of chiefs of staff, it would be something which government itself had acknowledged had to happen, and I think you might get a more fruitful inquiry that way. But if they are not going to do it, if they dig in, I think British troops will be in Iraq in small numbers for a long time, and if they use that as a reason for not having an inquiry, then I think that Parliament should move and should set up, under your guidance, the best form of inquiry it can. I would put it that way.

  Adam Price: Can I say, Chairman, I think the constitutional dimension of this debate is absolutely critical, because the kind of foreign policy calamity that was Iraq also laid bare the huge failings of our machinery of government and our constitutional system, and they are many—politicisation of the Civil Service, the concentration of power in the hands of the Prime Minister side-lining of Cabinet—but also at the core they are about, I think, an imbalance in the power between the Executive and Parliament. There was this debate after Suez as well, you are quite right, Crossland writing in the sixties about the unbalanced constitution, and that was at a time when maybe cabinet government was more liked than it is now; so I think that this is absolutely critical to understanding why the mistake was made and it would be a very, very important step in terms of restoring some of the lost trust and credibility among the public in Parliament in the political process for us to have a parliamentary revolt, if you like, against the Executive on this issue and for Parliament to decide that it wants to initiate its own investigation.

  Q3  Chairman: Can I bring Ming in to pick that up and also what Douglas Hurd said. If the two Houses of Parliament did decide by resolution that they wanted a parliamentary commission, whatever we call it, into Iraq, there would be no question, surely, but that the Government would have to say, "We shall give it every co-operation", so that would not, in fact, be a stumbling block, would it?

  Sir Menzies Campbell: No. If the vote had carried earlier this week on that topic, then it would have been politically impossible for the Government to resist establishing an inquiry. Precisely what the terms of reference would be, because the motion which the House was invited to approve did not actually contain terms of reference except in the broadest general sense about the way in which the responsibilities of government were discharged, but there would have been a political imperative which the Government would have found impossible to resist, and that is why when you said, "We just have to sit around", I am not sure about that: because if opposition parties are willing to use the limited time available to them to put an issue of this kind in front of the House, then there is the opportunity to bring some kind of pressure. Rather like Douglas Hurd, I am afraid I bring quite a lot of baggage to this argument because I was wholly opposed to the military action, and that has consistently been my position for the last five years, so I am not sure I am an entirely objective witness, but can I put this point to the Committee? Throughout those long weary days on Lisbon, a constant refrain for many of the Members of the House of Commons was that Parliament was supreme and that we should not be ceding too many powers to Brussels. If that supremacy really is constitutionally sustainable, then one of the ways in which Parliament can assert it is by holding the Executive to account in a much more systematic way, and a mechanism for that would undoubtedly be an inquiry. I am less concerned about the form of the inquiry. I think one can get caught up in all sorts of discussions about when is a judicial inquiry not a judicial inquiry. I think the principle of Parliament being entitled to hold the Executive to account ought to be sufficiently strong in our constitutional arrangements to allow Parliament to create an inquiry of the kind that pretty well all of us have agreed is necessary.

  Q4  Chairman: When the Inquiry Act was passed recently one of the effects (and this partly prompted our interest in this) was that it took away any role in Parliament under the original 1921 Act to set up these statutory parliamentary inquiries; so Parliament was removed from the picture.

  Sir Menzies Campbell: Worse than that, Chairman, it gave ministers responsibilities or powers in relation to the duration of the inquiry, who might attend it, it allowed ministers to say, "It is time this inquiry came to a conclusion." I think that is a reaction to Saville, and there may be questions of management, but we should not allow questions of management to intrude upon the principle of Parliament being able to hold the Executive to account.

  Q5  Chairman: Are we not stumped by the fact that we now have intense party control, and although in the great days of the nineteenth century we had these inquiries because Parliament was a looser body, and you have mentioned opposition parties putting motions down on this, but, of course, that is guaranteed to produce solidity on the Government benches, more or less, apart from this Committee, so that is the context now, is it not, in which we try to move these things on?

  Lord Hurd of Westwell: The tactical truth is that if this initiative that you are starting really gathered strength and it began to look as if, to use your phrase, both Houses of Parliament were going to insist on this, the Government would move in quickly and try and take charge. You would have pushed them to the final decision to hold an inquiry and to start it soon—maybe a report after the election—and then there would be a discussion between the Executive and the Legislature about terms of reference and how it worked, and that would be a very satisfactory solution. They would move in under pressure and try and organise an inquiry in a more traditional way, in a Falklands type way.

  Q6  Chairman: This is why we suggested a mechanism involving the Liaison Committee here, which is a joint committee of all the select committees, that would kind of trump the channels—

  Lord Hurd of Westwell: Fair enough.

  Q7  Chairman: ---but we have made little progress with that. Lord Owen.

  Lord Owen: One of the problems you face is one of the problems we faced with the Bingham Inquiry, which I established to look at the oil companies, BP and Shell, not keeping to the law over sanctions, supplying oil to, then, Rhodesia. It became obvious that there was a constitutional problem in that Bingham was given access to all the Foreign Office papers, at my instructions, in which, part of them, were the Cabinet minutes and the Cabinet discussions of a previous administration, the Wilson administration in 1967-1968, which were crucial to their deliberations. This was accidental. It happened to be on the files of the Foreign Office, and they ought to have been, apparently, under the precedent, returned to the Cabinet Office and held there. There then proceeded to be a very heated debate inside the Cabinet about how to proceed now that I had allowed these papers to go to the Bingham Inquiry, and I had to go back to Bingham and try and persuade him, which he was amenable to, that he could draw on the findings but not quote from them, which he did. Then, when it came back to the House of Commons, there was a whole question of how to establish a new inquiry because the then Cabinet insisted that they had no right to look at these past papers, and eventually we proposed a commission which was then voted down by Parliament, but you have to deal with this issue because it is crucial, what went on in Cabinet and how government was conducted at Cabinet level, and so that would have to be specifically put into any terms of reference.

  Q8  Mr Prentice: Is that why you want the inquiry to meet in secret? You told us earlier that you would report after the next general election in June 2010.

  Lord Owen: I think that they should be both given powers to meet in private and in secret. I am probably the only person to have given evidence to the Franks Commission on the Falklands, and there is no doubt, in my view, that at that particular time—we were still hostile to Argentina—there were a lot of things that I would not have been able to say if it had been in public. It would have been possible to have had part in public and part in private, but there will be intelligence questions, and that is why we have covered that, as you know, by the conventions with privy counsellors, but I think there is a more important thing. I used, when I sat where you did, to be very much keener on everything being public, and I have grown to believe that actually, personally, you give better evidence if you know that you have got two days to look back on what you have said, and so you may have, without realising it, over-stepped the mark on some intelligence thing which you have got a provision to pull back over two days, three days. I mean, broadly speaking, I am prepared to speak almost always on the record, but I think there is sometimes a little bit of leeway. Anyhow, these are all matters for you and others to discuss, but I think you would get into a lot of Whitehall resistance if you said it had to be in public at all times, and I also think you would not get at the problems, so I think you have got to open up the possibility. In this particular inquiry, but particularly since it would be probably with troops still on the ground in Iraq, I think you have got to be pretty open that quite a lot of it might be semi-private in that you would be able to change your evidence if you had gone over the mark and in two or three days the full transcript would be published, maybe a week.

  Q9  Julie Morgan: Do the others agree with that view that some of it should be in private?

  Sir Menzies Campbell: I think discretion should rest with the Committee or the Commission of Inquiry.

  Lord Hurd of Westwell: I agree with that.

  Sir Menzies Campbell: If they are sufficiently experienced, then they will know, when they have come to a point of the kind that David Owen has described, that it will be better to hear evidence in private and allow the opportunity for subsequent revision.

  Adam Price: Yes. Committees currently have the option of hearing evidence in private, in camera, so I think that should be afforded to any commissioner, whatever is the most likely route to get us closer to the truth. One of the difficulties, or one of the issues that a parliamentary inquiry would have to face would be the Government's rules on access to civil servants, and while the House has never taken a position on this, the Government has its guidance which, although they are often honoured more than breached, do state that civil servants give evidence acting on the instruction of their ministers and, therefore, they are not meant to answer questions in relation to their own conduct. If we do not have a proper comprehensive inquiry into Iraq, then we will have to ask questions about civil servants' conduct as well, including their advice to ministers, which again is meant to be a no-go area. Of course, we would also be in the difficult area if there had been change of government. We have another convention which says that if there is a change of administration, then all the papers, the working papers, are locked away and even the ministers of the in-coming government cannot see them unless prior permission has been given. So, that would be an issue, again, where Parliament would have to simply, I think, assert its supremacy. There is no limit to Parliament's right to call for persons and papers and ask for evidence under oath. I think it would be important as well that any witnesses would be given the same protection, not just the immunity from prosecution which all witnesses of select committees currently enjoy, but also, I think, the immunity from disciplinary proceedings that was given by the Cabinet Secretary to civil servants giving evidence in the Butler Inquiry. I think we would need the same level of protection to all witnesses for any parliamentary inquiry as well.

  Q10  Mr Liddell-Grainger: All of you have spoken of past inquiries, the Dardanelles, the Falklands you have just mentioned, Mesopotamia and many others. There are lots of precedents here where inquiries have taken place sometimes during wars, all mainly at the instigation of the Prime Minister. We have got Bloody Sunday on-going, which is a bit of a shambles, for obvious reasons. Where do we take this? Everything is there to actually create an inquiry, yet we cannot move on. Where do we take this from here?

  Lord Owen: Parliamentary procedure is eminently flexible, and were there to be an all-party agreement, official opposition can give time maybe—I think it has been offered by William Hague—to the Labour people to put a motion down, if they wish to, so there are lots of ways in which you could overcome this; but as Douglas Hurd has said, I think the reality is that once Parliament shows muscle, either through a straight-out vote or a vote generated perhaps by your committee on a resolution, government would start to co-operate and you would probably end up with some form of inquiry. It is almost inconceivable that an inquiry would work unless the Government had confidence in the Chairman. I think we have got to get out of this business that we cannot have an inquiry unless they are a High Court judge—this is really ridiculous—and we have seen some pretty awful reports from judges, and, frankly, successive Lord Chancellors have not wanted judges to do it. In the Bingham Inquiry, which I think was extraordinarily well conducted, the then Lord Chancellor, Elwyn-Jones, was against having a judge, and they would prefer judges kept out of these political things and, by and large, they are well aware that they do not know enough about the machinery of government.

  Lord Hurd of Westwell: It should not be a judge, but there is a further point. It is not just the chairmanship. I think this has been a major disaster for the foreign policy of this country and also actually for our Armed Services. So, far from being hostile to an inquiry, my feeling is that they would greatly welcome one for that reason, so that it could not happen again, but that means that it is not an ordinary matter of, as it were, legitimate party warfare. If you went ahead and produced a plan, which all of us would support, I think you would need to be clear not to fall into the Marconi trap. The reason why parliamentary inquiries were discredited was because of the Marconi Inquiry. At the end it was voted simply along party lines, so this carried no conviction, and therefore to let purely party considerations appear to dominate, whether it would be whipping in support of a government or actually party antagonism to a government, those things should not be allowed to dominate, and that affects who you appoint as Chairman, who you have on. I am in favour of privy counsellors. You can make privy counsellors for this purpose. The position is extremely flexible. You can get people, and I can think of two or three people, from outside Parliament, and outside party, who would be very good members, and they could be made privy counsellors for the purpose if that was needed to get access to things. It is a very flexible system, but I hope as you proceed you bear in mind this has to be removed, as it were, from party favours of any kind, so far as that is possible.

  Chairman: Going back to David Owen's point, it is worth recording the fact that when we were talking evidence on this two or three years ago it was the judges, in fact it was Lord Woolf, in particular, who was Lord Chief Justice at the time, who was emphatic that judges should not be brought into these politically contentious kinds of inquiry. So we kind of documented that, and I think that kind of makes the point.

  Q11  Mr Liddell-Grainger: Can I follow it down, because the picking of the chairman is the crucial part to all this, and it has got to have, as you say, government approval. Yet it is the Government, as we have seen in the Butler and the other inquiries, who have picked it with a very narrow remit. How do we get round the picking of the chairmen? What are your thoughts on that?

  Lord Owen: I think it is the usual channels and, broadly speaking, that produces a better choice than just the Prime Ministers on their own.

  Q12  Mr Liddell-Grainger: Should it be Parliament's final decision, the picking of the chairmen?

  Lord Owen: Let us come back to the only one I really know about, which is the Falklands Commission. The decision to establish an inquiry was made during the war, by Margaret Thatcher, quite early on and it was crucial, and it was made very implicit to her that, if she did not concede this, it would be very difficult to abandon the party political arguments as to whether the war should have been prevented. From the moment she agreed that there would be one set up after the war, the party political criticism of the early part of the war was completely stopped and everybody focused on one thing, which was having a successful outcome, and I think that was very successful. Then, after the war, it came to establish the inquiry and discussions were conducted through the usual channels, and Lord Franks' name came up and it was accepted. I cannot remember talking to different people, but I think it was accepted by everybody as being a good choice, and she did not choose a Conservative, and it was not a lawyer, it was a distinguished civil servant. That met only in private, and there were a lot of limitations about that commission, and I personally think that there are some lessons from that, but it was ideal in every other respect.

  Adam Price: As a general principle, I do not think you can allow the Government to choose the chairman of an inquiry whose principal focus is to investigate the conduct of the Government or the previous conduct of their policy. We have a classic example from the United States with the 9/11 Commission, which was set up as Bush's response to the congressional pressure for a congressional inquiry. He appointed Philip Zelikow as the head of the 9/11 Commission and it subsequently emerged that Zelikow had written the 31-page Bush doctrine on pre-emptive attack, and then Zelikow, who was the head of the Commission, had to give evidence to his own commission and was recused from actually being part of some aspects of the inquiry because Bush had put his own man at the head of the inquiry. That was an extreme example but I think it sheds light on the basic principle that, if an inquiry is looking at the conduct of government, including government ministers, some of whom are still in Cabinet, then you cannot allow the chair of that inquiry, the membership and the remit, to be decided by the Executive.

  Sir Menzies Campbell: You have to put it down in a resolution in the House of Commons, which says "nominate Mr X, Y, Z to be the chair and the following to be members", and then that resolution has to carry through the House. If the House is dissatisfied, it can turn it back.

  Q13  Mr Prentice: In 2003 you originally called for a judicial inquiry. Given what you have just heard, have you changed your mind on that?

  Sir Menzies Campbell: I am not as opposed to judges as some of my colleagues. Saville, I think, is an aberration, and I think there are management questions about Saville.

  Q14  Mr Prentice: Have you changed your mind—that is the question?

  Sir Menzies Campbell: I am a lawyer; I take a while to answer your question! The Billy Wright Inquiry is proceeding, I understand, under the chairmanship of my erstwhile colleague now Lord McLean, and I am told that is moving expeditiously, quickly and has drawn its management, as it were, from the failures of Saville. So, I think judges in certain circumstances are entirely right, particularly if it comes to the weighing up of contradictory evidence where you have questions of credibility, because that, after all, is what their primary function is. Having looked again, the word "judicial" is not a term of art here, it is a general description.

  Q15  Mr Prentice: I understand that, but you did not call for a judicial inquiry into any old thing. You called for a judicial inquiry into Iraq, and there are political considerations.

  Sir Menzies Campbell: I think I fell into the trap.

  Q16  Mr Prentice: Can I just finish the point. Tony said just a few moments ago that when Lord Woolf was before us way back in 2005, he said that for issues perhaps like Iraq, where there are political considerations, it is not really always clever to have a judge chairing the inquiry. My question quite simply is, in view of everything you have heard, are you still pressing for a judge?

  Sir Menzies Campbell: No, with the benefit of hindsight, it seems to me that, if the issues are as political as the issues surrounding the decision to take military action against Iraq, then I think the interposition of a judge is inappropriate.

  Q17  Mr Liddell-Grainger: Can we follow that along then. We had the Butler and the Hutton Inquiries, two very different men, two very different briefs. They were seen as a safe pair of hands, they were under a lot of criticism because they were appointed by the Prime Minister to get the answer he wanted, and all the rest of it. Do you see any of that as being a problem? Could an inquiry have been better, could it have been broader? What are we all feeling, because they, both of them, came in front of this Committee and I think at the time we felt there were a lot of things that could have been done, and should have been done, but were not. Were they the right men to conduct those two inquiries?

  Lord Hurd of Westwell: I think they were the right men. I think the terms of reference were narrow. What we are talking about is something much broader which focuses, in particular, I would think, on something which has simply not been properly examined at all this side of the Atlantic, although it has been thoroughly examined the other side, namely the totally false assumptions on which the planning of a major exercise proceeded or the absence of valid assumptions. That is a huge issue. It encompasses to some extent, of course, the things which at any rate the Butler Report covered and, as Butler himself said, there may be more to come on that than was available to him, particularly from across the Atlantic, but this is a huge enterprise and, therefore, I think, not to be completely compared to the earlier ones as if it is a re-run of them; it is not; it is something much bigger.

  Lord Owen: I gave evidence to the Butler Inquiry. I think it should not be a civil servant who is chairman of the inquiry, and I think it particularly should not be previous secretaries of the Cabinet. I give you an example of where I think the Butler Inquiry got off to a very bad start. The day that I appeared before them in order, potentially, to give evidence, it was announced that Sir John Scarlett was going to become the head of MI6, and they started it as if it was obvious that I would give evidence to them, and I said, "Look, before we go any further, I have not yet decided whether I am going to give evidence to you because I need an assurance that this committee is not going to be inhibited in their inquiry by the fact that one of the most substantial issues has been pre-empted by the Prime Minister by appointing Sir John Scarlett already to the head." I must say, I think that Lord Butler was not aware of how serious this was, and I said had to say, "I think you should discuss it first", because I already had a press statement ready that, if they did not give me a satisfactory answer to this, I was not going to give evidence. I think that we do need to realise that a parliamentarian would have no problem with this at all, they would have sensed immediately that this was a serious problem. Their whole authority was being challenged by the Prime Minister while the inquiry was under way. They did recess and discuss it, and they came back with an answer which was just about satisfactory as far as I was concerned, but it was never really clear as to how much the chairman had been consulted—he had been notified, but how much he had given a nod and a wink that this would be acceptable—and I think that a parliamentarian would have told the Prime Minister it is not acceptable to be establishing an inquiry on the intelligence and have the most important aspect of it, the conduct of the JIC[1], in effect, pre-empted during their whole inquiry. This goes on behind the scenes but people should know that an important issue like that was able to be done, and it demonstrates that, unless there is a very strong resolve of particularly the chairman, you can have it manipulated by the Prime Minister actually while it is being set up.

  Sir Menzies Campbell: I must say how strongly I agree with what David Owen has just said. There is also some anecdotal evidence now emerging in various sets of memoirs for that period that at least one member of the Butler Committee fought long and hard against others in relation to conclusions which they might have reached which might have been thought to be critical of the Government, so one cannot, I think, look at Butler as if it were a perfect illustration of an inquiry into a sensitive area. I think there is no doubt, in the minds of some at least, that some of the opinions being expressed there had a very strong political bias.

  Q18  Mr Liddell-Grainger: Do you agree with that, Adam?

  Adam Price: Yes. The key problem with Butler was the narrowness of its remit, focusing on the competence of the intelligence services, et cetera, but then it was used by the Executive to exonerate the administration. Exactly the same thing happened in the United States in the Silverman-Robb Commission, set up by the Bush administration, and that actually was the catalyst, if you recall, for the decision to set up the Butler Inquiry. We were pushing in Parliament for that inquiry; indeed I think there was a motion by the Liberal Democrats and discussion on the floor of the House. The Government were resisting that. Suddenly Bush decides to set up his own commission and, hey presto, we have an exact equivalent here and a very narrow remit. Yet on both sides of the Atlantic they did exonerate, by and large, the intelligence community, but that exoneration was actually used by the members of the Executive and the Butler Inquiry was not set up to do that. We need an inquiry which looks at the conduct of policy and policy makers. We have not had that to date.

  Chairman: It is interesting that when Lord Butler himself gave evidence to us in our inquiry on inquiries we discussed these matters with him and the fact that he led a privy councillor inquiry, but he thought it could equally well, and probably better, have been a parliamentary inquiry because, in effect, all the privy counsellors, I think apart from one, were Members of Parliament anyway, so the status and legitimacy of this enterprise would have been much greater if rooted in Parliament, something also which Richard Scott said to us about his Scott Report as well, and so there is a sort of history to these arguments.

  Q19  Paul Flynn: The main point that this Committee's report came out with and also looking at the inquiries that had taken place, was that we needed to have inquiries that were initiated by the power of Parliament rather than by the property of the Executive. Looking back, Lord Owen mentioned the Suez crisis, and if anything is comparable to Iraq it is Suez, it brought many people onto the street and it was unpopular at the time in many ways and unpopular in retrospect. Do you see merit in the committee's proposal and, if you look back at, say, the Suez Inquiry and the others, if there would have been a superior inquiry into that time that was based on this rather than the political power of the Executive at the time?

  Lord Owen: You have to look at the political timing of Suez. It was 1957, just after the 1955 election, so the then Prime Minister Harold Macmillan faced a problem which is somewhat analogous to the situation of the now Prime Minister Gordon Brown. Firstly, if you set up an inquiry how much is that objected to by your predecessor, how much are you seen to be undermining him? In this particular case, MacMillan had been a very controversial participant in aspects of the Suez crisis. Did he want to have to reveal his particular hand—first in last out, according to Harold Wilson's summary of MacMillan's position? The Prime Minister of the day had a real dilemma about setting up an inquiry, and I think to some extent those problems are there for Gordon Brown, which, again, is an argument for taking it out of the Prime Minister's hands and giving it into Parliament's hands, and maybe he might not be too unhappy about that, to be frank about it. Then, you also come to the question: it would have been difficult to postpone that until the next election, so it was bound to come out in the time of the Conservative Government, and by then Suez, which had started off as bi-partisan—Hugh Gaitskell broadly supported military action—but by the time, of course, the debacle had occurred and the clandestine nature of it, became very, very partisan, so an inquiry established by a Prime Minister would have been to establish an inquiry that was likely to report before the next election and be embarrassing for him and, by and large, politicians do not do that.


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