Select Committee on Scottish Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 468 - 479)

TUESDAY 20 MARCH 2007

MR JOHN DICKIE AND DR PAUL DORNAN

  Q468  Chairman: Good afternoon and welcome to our inquiry into poverty in Scotland. Would you please introduce yourselves for the record.

  Mr Dickie: My name is John Dickie, Head of Child Poverty Action Group in Scotland.

  Dr Dornan: I am Paul Dornan, Head of Policy and Research at Child Poverty Action Group.

  Q469  Chairman: Before we start on the detailed questions, would you like to make an opening statement?

  Mr Dickie: Yes, I suppose just to give a wee bit of background to what we do and where our evidence is coming from. We, at CPAG in Scotland, are a fairly small team of seven people involved in various activities, firstly, trying to raise awareness of the issue of child poverty, secondly, looking at influencing policy both at the Scottish Parliament, but also contributing to influencing policy at Westminster here in the interests of children and families experiencing poverty, and finally what most of our staff are involved in doing is providing expert advice on benefits and tax credits to front-line advisers across Scotland, sort of training advice, information and support to ensure that families facing poverty get the full benefit and tax credit entitlements that they are entitled to. We work closely with CPAG in London and mirror the kind of activities that CPAG is involved in. CPAG was established over 40 years ago, so it is a kind of sobering thought for us as campaigners that 40 years on we are still here in a situation where nearly a quarter of Scotland's children are living in poverty, but hopefully sobering for Members of Parliament as well. I think it is particularly useful and we very much welcome the fact that the Scottish Affairs Committee is willing to give this kind of time and interest into looking at how we can tackle that poverty. I think the timing is particularly useful in that we will have a new Prime Minister likely in the summer here at Westminster, but also a new term of the Scottish Parliament.

  Q470  David Mundell: And a new First Minister.

  Mr Dickie: I just said a new Scottish Parliament, but the make-up of that, I do not know. We also have, I think, for the first time a real cross-party consensus that child poverty exists, that it is unacceptable and that it must be eradicated and eradicated within a generation. It is absolutely vital that that new Government, at both UK and Scottish level, understands the policies that are needed to make poverty a thing of the past and understands the different roles that devolved and central government need to play if we really are to bring an end to poverty, so we really hope that the timing of this Committee's report will play an important role in actually contributing to an understanding of those policies and the different roles and the different layers the Government needs to play. Another thing I would like to flag up is that since we submitted our written evidence, we have published, in quite a powerful collaboration with Poverty Alliance, the Scottish Poverty Information Unit at Glasgow University and the Open University, a book, Poverty in Scotland, which was just launched a couple of weeks ago with the First Minister speaking at that event in Scotland. It lays out in quite stark terms the extent, nature and impact that poverty has on people across Scotland, it covers not just child poverty, and it also reinforces some of the key messages and makes clear some of the key issues that we wanted to raise in our previous written evidence to the Committee, issues around needing to tackle the quality of work as well as increasing the numbers of people in employment, the need to balance an emphasis on work as a route out of poverty with a need to ensure that we are investing the right amounts of money in benefits and tax credits to protect those who for a reason cannot work, that we get the balance right between policies that target and policies which are provided on a universal basis, both Westminster policies and devolved policies, and also that we need to be recognising the underlying role that inequality plays in driving down the levels of poverty that we see in Scotland and across the UK. Those messages come out in the book and we have a copy here for the Committee and we can send copies to individual members as well.

  Q471  Chairman: Dr Dornan, would you like to say anything?

  Dr Dornan: No, I will not add to what John has just said.

  Q472  Chairman: I am very pleased to note that in your submission you have praised both the UK Government and the Scottish Executive for their political will and investment which have led to a reduction in poverty, so what are those policies of the UK Government and the Scottish Executive which you think have helped to tackle and alleviate poverty?

  Mr Dickie: Firstly, what has helped is actually the recognition that poverty exists in Scotland and across the UK and that it is unacceptable and it needs to be eradicated, and I do not think we should underestimate the significance of that as we have not always had governments that have recognised poverty in that way and not only recognised it, but set quite specific targets for measuring progress for reducing, and eradicating, child poverty. We do not think those targets are fast enough or that they go far enough, but they are ambitious targets and need to be recognised, and the fact that progress has been sustained towards those targets is important. I think the other particularly important thing is that both have contributed to driving a change in culture perhaps which means that we do have this cross-party consensus on the importance of ending child poverty. In terms of specific policies, the UK Government has recognised policies that have led to rising employment levels, the investment in the New Deals, increased support to people to enter employment, the minimum wage, and increasing in-work support through working tax credits and child tax credit has played an important role in actually seeing the reductions in child poverty that we have seen, but also support to families both in work and out of work through the child tax credit and also the initial increases in child benefit all played an important role at the UK level in driving the reductions in child poverty that we have seen. In terms of the Scottish Parliament, the Scottish Executive, we have seen a complementary focus on employment and employability, and we have seen, I think, some quite interesting and specific initiatives about reaching out to some of those furthest from the labour market through the New Futures Fund which worked through voluntary sector agencies to reach some of those who were most disadvantaged and furthest from the labour market, and it did that by building up trust with those people. It was very much about voluntary engagement, recognising just how far people actually had to travel before work was a serious option for them. More recently, we have seen initiatives around the Working for Families Programme from the Scottish Executive which again is about removing barriers particularly to parents which are stopping them getting back into work and looking at a whole range of barriers, not just childcare, but a whole range of issues that people face who have been out of work for a long time and who maybe face additional barriers to do with health or what-have-you. In fact in the Scottish Executive they do have a strategy for tackling poverty generally and they have actually welcomed outside expertise and involvement in contributing to ideas for tackling poverty. These are the things which we would praise and very much welcome and I hope we will have a chance to get on to say what more we think needs to be done because I think what we are seeing is that these policies in themselves have led to real reductions. We have seen 130,000 lifted out of poverty in Scotland and we should not look away from that, but the scale of the problem, the level of poverty that was there means that to really actually bring about an end to child poverty requires much faster progress and action much further and we are concerned that, if we just rely on current policy alone, we are likely to see progress literally grind to a halt and certainly not go nearly far enough in terms of reaching the target to halve child poverty and to eradicate child poverty.

  Q473  Chairman: You will be aware that the Government has set the targets to halve child poverty by 2010 and to end it by 2020, but how realistic do you think those targets are?

  Mr Dickie: I think it is important that we do see that they are ambitious, but they are realistic. There is no reason why these targets cannot be achieved with the political will and investment, but I think what we would argue is that it would require perhaps more will and perhaps more investment than we have seen to date, and in fact it will do. If we rely on current policy, then those targets will not be achieved and we do need to see a ratcheting up of investment and a focus on tackling poverty, but it is important to hold on to the fact that these are achievable targets. Other countries have child poverty rates that are, if not zero, approaching zero or they certainly have child poverty rates well below half of what we have in this country, so there is no reason that the successful, modern economy or country cannot have child poverty rates that are close to zero and that they cannot do that by 2020.

  Q474  Mr Walker: Which countries have close to zero?

  Mr Dickie: We are looking mostly at the north European countries, Scandinavian countries, Sweden, Finland and Denmark which have child poverty rates certainly well below 10% and some approaching 5%.

  Dr Dornan: Yes, in that sort of order. I think one of the criticisms that is often made, and I think there was a bit of to-ing and fro-ing in the previous evidence sessions of this Committee, is around how realistic comparisons with the northern Europeans, the Scandinavian countries are. I think we see those as very important aspirational targets to look at, but, even if you were to look at some of the larger countries that we more frequently look at, I still think that other countries do things significantly better than we do, even if you are talking about the Germanys, the Frances, those sorts of larger countries. I think the other point I would add is that we often talk about comparisons in the sense of other countries as things are at the moment, but there is also the historical comparison within the UK. If I recall my figures correctly, at the UK level the after-housing cost and child poverty rate in 1979 was somewhere in the region of 14% and it sky-rocketed to 33% by about 1998. We have done much better in the past and I do not see any argument which logically stands up which says we cannot do it much better than we do at the moment.

  Q475  Mr Walker: Can we look at our comparators, and I know we are talking about Scotland, but Scotland is still part of the United Kingdom, for the moment anyway! I am an English MP, I do not know what goes on up north of the border most of the time under the covers! We are the fourth or fifth largest economy in the world, so let us look at our comparators because we are not Sweden, we are not Finland and we are probably never going to be Sweden or Finland, but we are the fourth or fifth largest economy in the world, depending on which figures you look at, so how do we compare with Germany, Japan, France and the USA?

  Mr Dickie: If we look at Germany and France, they do substantially better than the UK in terms of child poverty rates. I do not have the exact figures off the top of my head of what the child poverty rates are in Germany and France, but they are substantially ahead. In terms of the USA, the child poverty rate is worse. They are the one country, or not the one, but they consistently come out worse than the UK.

  Q476  Mr Walker: They are worse than us at the moment?

  Mr Dickie: Yes, so what this roughly, I suppose, is telling us is where we should look for ideas, what kind of policies will work, what kind of government interventions, policies and employment market we want to promote. The direction we would say to look at is at those countries where the child poverty rates are a lot lower, and that is not to say that you can take the model of the country and implant it completely because obviously the history and the nature of different countries will be different, but in terms of where we look to for lessons and approaches, then I think it makes sense to look to the Scandinavian countries.

  Dr Dornan: One of the issues which dominated the press headlines at least a couple of weeks ago was the UNICEF report on the well-being of children which profiled a series of countries and looked at conditions of various, including measures like income poverty, but various other measures as well. I think John is absolutely right to highlight the difference between where you look for examples because we consistently look often to English-speaking, Anglo-Saxon countries, Australia and America, and those countries were scoring consistently badly, as we were, across a range of different indicators. The northern Europeans, not just the Scandinavian countries incidentally, but I think, if I remember rightly, Holland seemed to do quite well, I am not quite sure why, but it did seem to do quite well, and I think those are the sorts of examples that we would feel are very important to look at. Indeed, if what we do is we narrow our own ambition by saying, "Well, this will always be bad and we must look to countries which also face very significant problems and poor child well-being", then we narrow our own opportunities actually to look at what else does work in those other countries. I accept the point entirely that they are not pure comparators, but I do not think that some of the other ones which fly around in the debate, Japan and France, I do not think they are pure comparators either, and I would not want to narrow our ambition by saying we only have to look at certain examples.

  Q477  Mr Walker: A lot of it is tied up in the social-political model and the UK has a completely different social-political model, it seems, than Sweden, Finland and Norway have. I do not see any political party on the horizon that would change that significantly, the model we have. As you know, the main political parties are coalescing around the centre ground and the debate over taxation is really at the margins, and perhaps to go down the Swedish/Finnish route, we would have to have a sea change in society's view on how it felt about wealth redistribution and so on to support that. I am not saying that will not happen, but it does seem unlikely, given where we are in the political cycle at the moment, for that to happen.

  Mr Dickie: I suppose part of our job is about changing attitudes, changing minds, and not just addressing politicians, but addressing wider society and saying, "What kind of country do you want to live in? Do you want to live in one where we continue to tolerate and accept the fact that a quarter of our children are living in poverty and are being excluded from the social activities and the opportunities that the majority take for granted?" We are saying that we need to really force people to think about that and that then needs to translate into pressure on politicians of all parties to try and set the tone and set the direction of how much we are willing to invest and what kind of investments we are going to make in particularly children and families in the case of tackling child poverty.

  Q478  Mr Walker: I think you have absolutely crystallised the problem because I think that the message we seem to be getting back from the British public, despite what they may say, is that the answer seems to be yes, they are willing to tolerate it because, if they were not willing to tolerate it, things would be changing more quickly, and I am just playing devil's advocate here, but you must be very frustrated.

  Mr Dickie: I suppose the positive side of it is that we have the Government and politicians of all parties now who obviously see that there is value in standing on a platform which says, "Yes, poverty does exist in the UK. Yes, that is unacceptable and yes, that can be eradicated within a generation", and politicians and different parties might have different approaches as to how to do that, but to have got that consensus, I think, suggests a shift not just in terms of political thinking, but a shift in terms of wider social thinking and a sense of what wider society thinks is acceptable.

  Dr Dornan: If I could just add two things to that answer, the first is the reaction to the UNICEF report. There is lots of discussion about just exactly what the UNICEF report was, but I think that a lot of the press reaction to that was reflecting a genuine sense that actually conditions in which children were growing up in the UK were not acceptable. Now, if you try to crystallise that down to particular aspects, say, 60% of median income, that is very dry, that is much harder to defend, but I think there is a genuine appetite there and I think some of the reaction to UNICEF demonstrated that. The other point of evidence which I would draw to your attention which you may have seen is the work which was done by the Fabian Commission on life chances a little while ago. I think one of the most interesting things about that was deliberative research with members of the public about what their views were on children's chances, and what that showed is exactly the situation that you outline in the sense that there is a great deal of resistance, there is a great deal of blaming parents, saying, "Well, poverty does not exist and, if it does exist, it is for this, this and this reason", but actually, if you start unpicking some of the reasons why children found themselves in poverty, some of the drivers for that, and also when you started showing what positive things could be done and that there was actually a target and there was some political consensus behind making that work, actually you get into quite a different discussion. I think this is exactly John's point about leadership, that there is a lot that can be gained and I would not accept for one moment that we have reached a sort of stalemate where we are where we are and we cannot make more progress; I think there is much more that can be done in building that public consensus.

  Q479  Mr McGovern: In answer to the question about the targets to halve child poverty by 2010 and to eradicate it by 2020, John, you said that you felt that the targets were ambitious, but achievable. Can I just ask how you think the Government is doing so far?

  Mr Dickie: I think as I said, progress has been made and in Scotland the target to reduce child poverty by a quarter was reached, as it was across a lot of the regions of England as well, although across the UK as a whole the target to reduce child poverty by a quarter by 2004-05 was missed, which just makes it more important that we do actually get the policies right in the next few years to make sure that we are on track and that we do hit that 2010 target. A core to the Government's approach has very much been about work and work being the route out of poverty and I think we very much recognise that work is a key route out of poverty, but providing parents with opportunities and support to get into work and not just get into work, but, once they get into work, to sustain that work is vital. I think we do have an anxiety that an emphasis on work and work alone without looking at necessarily the wider issues and the quality of that work means that there is a danger of progress kind of being undermined in the future if we are just looking at getting people into jobs. There are three areas or issues that we are concerned about, and one is the quality of work. It is important that we look at that, not just the headline employment rate which is high in Scotland and the UK, but international comparisons demonstrate that just having a high employment rate does not actually mean you will have a low child poverty rate because we have one of the highest employment rates and we also have one of the highest child poverty rates, so tackling some of the issues around the quality of work and making sure that moving into work is not just a route out of workless poverty into in-work poverty, but it is a genuine route out of poverty. We also need to address some of the issues around ensuring that we get the balance between parents' ability to access work and also their ability to parent and to take their caring responsibilities on board.


 
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