Select Committee on Scottish Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 240-259)

MR RON GOULD, CM AND MR MICHAEL BODA

15 JANUARY 2008

  Q240  Mr Devine: I was in the Republic.

  Mr Gould: The Northern Ireland elections have STV but it is not as complex a formula as it is in Scotland, and without it you would be lucky to get the results in a week, it is so complex, so the e-count really is an adjunct to STV and especially the system that is used in Scotland.

  Q241  Chairman: A low turnout is an issue that has to be addressed. Why do you think that advance voting in person should be used to increase turnout rather than the postal votes?

  Mr Gould: First of all I would like to clarify; in no way do we suggest that postal voting be eliminated, postal voting would remain, but if advance voting either in the office of the returning officer or in shopping centres and so on was carried out, first of all I think you would find that the tendency internationally would be followed here, and you can see the tendency in the postal vote. If you look at the fact that the voting turnout is dropping on the one hand, but on the other hand the advance voting is going up, it means that fewer and fewer people want to go to the polls or are going to the polls, they are going for the advance vote, so all we are saying is that this would supplement the postal vote. My guess is that if that opportunity was available you would find the postal vote would be less because people would take advantage of the advance poll which would reduce the cost, because postal voting costs are huge, and it would speed up the count because you would have less manipulation of all these ballots coming in which have to be checked with the signatures and everything else.

  Q242  Chairman: What you are saying is that you are not discounting the use of postal votes.

  Mr Gould: Absolutely not.

  Q243  Chairman: But at the same time you want another form of advance voting in person, which can help.

  Mr Gould: Giving the voter an opportunity to exercise their vote and to turn out where they may not turn out on polling day.

  Q244  Mr Walker: I am interested, why is turnout going down around the Western world, do you think?

  Mr Gould: There are many, many theories but one of the discouraging factors is that the youth are not turning out. Older people are turning out to vote but the youth, for whatever reason, despite the techniques that have been tried the youth vote and younger people are something that is a real problem and causing the difficulty to a great extent. By the way, there is a proposal in the US to lower the vote to 16 to try to get the youth vote.

  Q245  Mr Walker: That is being floated here, but if they are not turning out at 18 why on earth they would turn out at 16 is slightly optimistic. Very quickly on the youth vote—you are experts in this area—why do you feel that young people do not want to invest in their democracy, the democratic process?

  Mr Gould: Michael is younger than I am so maybe he could answer,

  Mr Boda: I do not think I can answer that properly and I am not sure that anyone can, but why are they disillusioned with politics is a good question. What I would look at is often the question arises as to what institutions are responsible for raising the turnout rate, and around the world you had been seeing a trend to say it is the Electoral Commission that is responsible for raising turnout, but actually when you look at it you need to focus much more on the parties and their ability to get the vote out. There is a whole literature on this and there is no consensus as to how you get the vote.

  Q246  Mr Walker: Just a final point, do you think the war of big ideas has been won, the struggle between the Left and the Right, and as the political parties coalesce around the centre ground there is just less interest, there are less big things at stake to drive people to the polls?

  Mr Gould: I guess one of the fundamental questions is should we continue to approach these elections and democracy in terms of the voluntary turnout of electors, or should we follow the pattern in Australia and other countries where registration and turnout is mandatory, and they have very high turnouts. That then raises the question of quality versus quantity, will people really take the time to learn and understand what the issues are if they are forced to come out.

  Mr Boda: We did talk about this in the context of the local government elections in Scotland and in talking about decoupling the elections we felt that it was important the figure for turnout was not necessarily the issue, although it is important, but it is the engagement of citizens, and that was the argument that we put forward for decoupling the elections, because it was our view in discussion with all the stakeholders that that would be one way that you could allow the citizen to be engaged in local government elections.

  Q247  Mr Walker: This is a semi-serious question; if we had compulsory voting in this country would I be allowed to establish a party called "None of the above" because that would actually in many cases give me a fairly good chance of securing quite a few members of Parliament probably across the country?

  Mr Gould: I will not answer your question directly but I was with Elections Canada for 20 years and for 20 years we tried to convince the government to have a line "none of the above" because we knew that some people were spoiling their ballots because it was none of the above and we could not tell which was which and we could not really advise on the disaffected electorate.

  Q248  Chairman: Do you not worry then that none of the above wins?

  Mr Gould: It is a possibility but, as I say, we could never convince the government on that story.

  Q249  Mr Davidson: The "none of the above" concept is quite a humorous one and so on, but you can see how it can quite easily be open to manipulation by press barons and the like. Can I ask you another question, which is that you do recommend that the returning officer position should be what you call professionalised, but I worry a bit about this on the basis that almost every profession or would-be profession argues that it ought to be made as it were more exclusive, they ought to get more money, they need more qualifications so that it becomes a special language that keeps everybody else out. Is there not a danger of that occurring if we go down your road?

  Mr Gould: As we see it the present situation involves at least the legislative definition of a number of different returning officers, regional, local and so on, plus a registration officer, and what happened in the last election of course is that the functions were combined by agreement and so where we were going in the report was to say why not recognise the status quo and combine the different functions of the different returning officers into one and also take the position perhaps of the registration officer and amalgamate that, because you are paying for that anyway and that will not increase your costs significantly if you have one function that does everything. Secondly, the chief executive of the council is very often the returning officer when an election comes round. The chief executive has a job to do and sometimes they take over and do it, sometimes they delegate it, but their focus is as chief executive officer, not as returning officer, other than as a part-time thing. So our feeling is that in terms of providing the kinds of service and the kinds of response to parties, to participants in the election, it would be much better to have a professionalised returning officer and to apply the same criteria because the reality is that the quality of returning officers across Scotland varies from superb to perhaps adequate. To try to bring some consistency and quality to the whole profession, we think that this would be useful and we would examine it.

  Q250  Mr Davidson: Taking on board the point that some of the returning officers are barely adequate, that is a reflection upon the quality of chief executives in local authorities, which is an interesting point, is it not? I understand your point about combining it with the registration officers and I can see that making the role of returning officer something that runs on throughout the year and they then have a responsibility for registration, but do you draw a distinction between that and this concept of professionalisation though, because my anxiety is that it just becomes a narrow function, only a few people can enter. Is there a distinction there or are you essentially saying that you think the returning officer should also be the registration officer and he proceeds to carry out these functions throughout the year?

  Mr Gould: What I am proposing there is that all of the functions dealing with elections be concentrated in one official, whether it has to do with voter registration, whether it has to do with voter management and all of the functions in combination.

  Q251  Ms Clark: We have already discussed in some detail the issues around overnight counting and you probably understand that moving away from overnight counting would be quite a major cultural shift in Britain. Have you considered what else should be done to ease the burden on returning officers and in particular the staff, which is one of the concerns that you have with overnight counting. Have you considered what else could be done that might at least go some way to addressing your concerns?

  Mr Gould: There is one which we mentioned in here which has other ramifications, but the polls close at ten o'clock here; in most countries they will close at seven or eight o'clock at night. Granted, there are concerns, there are rationales, for closing the polls at ten but if you give yourselves another two hours it really facilitates the overnight count in a number of ways, giving you not only more time but less fatigue and what have you. Then the question is what do you do with the people who normally come in the last two hours? I always hate to use Canada because Canada is not that great in terms of all aspects of elections, but in this one what we have done is that the legislation requires employers to give all employees a minimum of three clear hours before the close, during the polling hours, so if the polls open at seven and they start work at nine, they can have until ten o'clock, if the polls close at seven they would have to get off at four if they normally get off at five, so it is not three hours that they get off, it is just so that they have three hours to vote. That is an archaic provision from when they had to move by horse and buggy and what have you and that window could probably be closed to at least two hours, but there are other avenues that can be explored and of course the objective of the report is to open up that exploration, if the will is there.

  Q252  Mr Walker: I am not sure if you are advocating closing the polls earlier, but I certainly know that in my constituency the turnout would be far lower if we got rid of that eight to ten slot, and giving people two or three clear hours, to some degree they already get that and if we were to shorten the working day you would probably find most people would take it as an unofficial bank holiday and be piling into the pubs in the city. I really would be very reticent to shorten the day from ten at night to, say, seven or eight, but I do think one of the great theatres of democracy is the overnight count, it does involve people, it does create some excitement and the e-counting just regiments it into a very boring, mundane, sterile process. Is that really what we want to do to democracy in this country because personally I think it is something that should be celebrated and lauded and not sterilised.

  Mr Gould: If I can respond, Chairman, your conclusion about lower turnout if the poll was brought back to seven o'clock may or may not be valid, and then there is the question if advance polling was available would that offset it, and this is where we are saying all of this stuff should be studied. If you are looking at reducing the hours or moving the hours back, there is time to carry out research to see whether it really is valid to do this or whether it would have a negative impact, that kind of thing.

  Mr Walker: It staggers me, it really does stagger me—maybe I am just an old fuddy-duddy—and I do not know the reasons why people cannot get off their backsides and walk no more than ten minutes, fit adults—admittedly there are people who are disabled or whatever—but fit adults who cannot be fagged basically to walk to a polling station and cast their vote. I personally think that we are indulging these people, perhaps, with this early opening, with these postal votes, with this proxy voting. Look, democracy is something to be treasured and if you do not want to take part in it, that is fine, but actually we are not just going to amend the whole thing to suit you.

  Q253  Chairman: Mr Gould, while we all want to see more turnout I think it would be detrimental and turnout would be less if we reduced the number of hours. I have experienced that between eight and ten there is a good turnout at the polling station. It is not the case that there is hardly anybody turns out at those times, but at the same time, regardless of the tradition and culture in the United Kingdom, to wait for the elections and the votes to be counted the same night—people stay awake until two or three o'clock in the morning and then go to sleep; the excitement I think will disappear. If the elections are decoupled in Scotland, the local government elections and the Scottish Parliament elections, do you still think there is a need for the counting to be done the next day?

  Mr Gould: If the polls close at ten and depending on the system and so on, the answer could be yes or no. According to the media, their frustration is that people go to sleep and do not even follow what is going on when the count runs to after midnight so they lose their audience and where they gain it is the next day—some of the media say that. Obviously, this is an argument that cannot be won either way, it is one that needs to be examined in terms of the interests of the candidates, the parties, the voters and those who have to administer the elections, and there is lots of time to do this.

  Q254  Mr MacNeil: Mr Gould, this is the first I have heard of your report and your recommendations, but earlier you mentioned the buck stopping and the lack of accountability, but you have said that the Scottish Government would be the logical institution for looking after the Scottish elections. Is that still your view and, firstly, why was it your view that the Scottish Government is the most logical?

  Mr Gould: This was just raised in the context of a chief returning officer. The concept here was that if there is going to be accountability there needs to be a point of focus, not 32 points of focus in terms of the overall management of the election, with similar and consistent standards and coordination and so on. The recommendation that the jurisdictional responsibility for that management of the election be located in Scotland was because if you look at the process and divide it in two parts, you cannot really effectively manage the Scottish elections from Wales or from London or from wherever, it has to be managed from Scotland, so it is a management process here. Where you are looking at the legislative process the legislative process is a matter of jurisdictional negotiation and if the legislation remains in Westminster for the parliamentary elections that is fine, but the guidance and the tools and the direction will go to the chief returning officer to manage the election using that legislation, so we were not talking about the legislative responsibility, that is a matter for political negotiation. What we were focusing on here was that the management of the process needs to be located in Scotland.

  Q255  Mr MacNeil: Would you say that was one of the most important recommendations that you have for the future, that that management be done in Scotland as opposed to anywhere else?

  Mr Gould: Yes.

  Chairman: I am glad you asked that question, Angus. Jim.

  Q256  Mr Devine: You have suggested decoupling the local government link with the Scottish Parliament; I would actually disagree with that for a whole variety of reasons such as territory, time awareness of the elections coming up. Hopefully we have learned the lessons of the problems with the two different systems because eventually what we could be talking about is one year local government elections, the next year the Scottish Parliament, the next year MP elections, the next year a European election, so we could be into the realm of literally every year having elections. Do you think that is a good idea?

  Mr Gould: The timing obviously is anybody's guess and has to be negotiated around what is already fixed in law because the timings for some of these elections are already fixed. What you have just described I think gives a strong argument for a fulltime professionalised returning officer because they are going to be moving from A to B to C to D, so they then can transfer those skills, knowledge and experience from one election to the other and their contacts, discussions and meetings with the political parties and candidates and know the areas that they are responsible for much better than doing this on a part-time ad hoc basis.

  Q257  Chairman: I am not opposed to decoupling of the Scottish parliamentary and local government elections but there were local government and Scottish Parliament elections in 1999 and there were elections in 2003; they were quite successful and there was no problem of vast numbers of spoilt ballot papers. The reason for this is the combined ballot paper and the probable change in the system of electing councillors, so my fear is that some people might think that decoupling of the election is the answer to all the questions. It is very important that people know that there needs to be some awareness campaign and we need to do no more than just decoupling the election.

  Mr Gould: Let me clarify something here because we did not recommend decoupling the elections because of the problems because those elections do not have to be decoupled, they can be managed without all of these problems. The reason that I suggested the elections be decoupled was to give recognition to local candidates and local issues because they just get buried on a parliamentary election, they just disappear as far as the elector is concerned, from my experience.

  Q258  Mr Wallace: Following on from that there are two things. One is that in the past where we had a cross for one election and a cross for the other, you could have had three elections on the same day—indeed, in 1999 we had the MEPs on the same day. But if we want STV and complicated PR systems and all sorts of things, and a vote overnight result, something has to give—you know, a result within a few hours—and that is either the decoupling or the systems you select, because it seems to me that the difference between 2003 and 2007 was along came this ridiculous STV system—which I think is a ridiculous system anyway—and combined ballot papers and everything else, and at the same everyone wants, which I think is slightly peculiar, this instant result that only weirdo anoraks and politicians—who in the public's view are just above a rat and below a journalist in the rankings—want. We are so in love with ourselves as politicians we think the world is waiting for our result but, frankly, I do not think they are. We like it because we have pounded the streets for six weeks and it is a nice way to finish, but actually I do not think the public really lose any sleep over it—they think we are all the same half the time anyway. Do you think it is the case that either we select more simplified electoral systems in order to keep multiple votes on the same day, or we say that something has got to give? Is that what you think is the difference?

  Mr Gould: From our review of the rejected ballots the main problem that caused all of these rejected ballots was very clearly the two ballots on the combined paper, not 1,2,3 versus X, that was very minimal. That was very minimal in a context where there was a new system introduced, limited voter education but it was carried out and a voter encountering all of this brand new approach—a combined ballot paper and the 1,2,3 versus X—at one time. My expectation is that if this was continued exactly as is and the two ballot papers were not combined, there were two separate papers, and you had the X and you had the 1,2,3 and you had decent instructions on the ballots and lots of time for voter education, I do not think the problem would really be significant at the next election.

  Mr Walker: I am going to ask my honourable friend from Lancaster & Wyre to step outside and take his jacket off in a minute.

  Mr Wallace: You take your anorak off.

  Q259  Mr Walker: But before we step outside, Mr Gould, you have travelled the world looking at elections and monitoring elections and you have seen conspiracy and you have seen cock-up—and I am sure this is just cock-up. On a scale of one to ten, with ten being the biggest cock-up and one just being sort of getting there, where would you say this ranks in your many decades experience? It is a slightly loaded question, but I am sure you are diplomatic enough to answer it.

  Mr Gould: If I remove the contentious political issues from this and I look at it strictly as an election manager, my assessment of this is that it is not a major cock-up in the sense that it is one that can easily be resolved—there was not fraud, there was not manipulation, it was just one of these things where there was too much done without sufficient time, lack of coordination and fragmentation. It was basically a managerial problem, if you look at the bottom line, and it is fixable. In terms of the number of electors that lost their votes because of invalid ballots, it was serious, because it was somewhere around three times too high in terms of the average around the world, but apart from that it is an election which will never happen again like this, if I can put it that way. It was just a blip in the normal election process in Scotland.

  Chairman: The future structure of Scottish elections, Jim Devine.



 
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