Select Committee on Transport Written Evidence


Memorandum from Idris Francis (RS 56)

A.  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  A.1  The first step towards improving road safety in the future is to understand what has gone wrong in the past. This submission therefore starts by documenting how the single most significant indicator of road risk, deaths as a function of traffic volume, that fell with almost mathematical precision by 7% pa. from 1950, and probably from the dawn of motoring (excluding WW2) suddenly all-but stopped falling in the mid-1990s. In excess of 8,000 more people have died than would sensibly have been predicted in 1993. While the reasons may, to an extent, be subjective, the facts are a matter of record.

  A.2  The continuing fall in serious injuries (SI) known to the police when deaths were no longer falling, was not only counter-intuitive but also bogus, in the sense that figures represent not real falls in serious injuries, but further falls in already low reporting levels.

  A.3  The figures show how, after decades of being the safest country in the world, Britain's 12% fall in road deaths from 1995 to 2005 was the 5th worst of 33 countries for which data is readily available—far lower than the 43% achieved for example by Germany, 40% by France and 36% by Austria. By the end of 2006 our relative position could only have become worse still.

  A.4  Having documented these tragic failures, this submission then identifies and dissects the single most significant reason for these failures—the absurd, fatally flawed concentration of policy on speed as the be-all and end-all of road safety, and the inherently doomed attempts to improve road safety by penal automated enforcement of speed limits by speed cameras.

  A.5  Both official reports and PR claims have systematically misrepresented what has been achieved and made claims that far exceed what is even theoretically possible. Web sites across the country continue to make inflated claims, even in areas with the worst record in the country, and routinely mislead readers not only about the evidence but about the legal process, their rights and responsibilities.

  A.6  While the potential benefits of even draconian speed limit enforcement have been greatly overstated, the no less important adverse effects of cameras, identified here, have been totally ignored.

  A.7  In its October 2006 report this Committee claimed of speed cameras that "A more cost effective measure for reducing speeds and casualties has yet to be introduced" but both the data and the analysis on which that statement and policy was based have been shown to be bogus, cameras being in reality some fifty (yes 50) times less cost effective than vehicle activated signs. Yet to this day the DfT and this Committee, despite having been forced to admit that signs are 10 times more effective than cameras, still recommend the installation of more cameras, in direct breach of their statutory duty of care to road users and taxpayers. An Independent Accountant's Report (F.42 to F.46) confirms these inexcusable errors.

  A.8  The KSI (Killed and Seriously Injured) parameter is wholly unsuitable as the lead indicator of road safety, and therefore as the main 2010 target. It is unsuitable because (a) there being 10 serious injuries for every death, KSI trends are almost identical to SI trends and tells us virtually nothing about fatality trends (b) unlike fatalities which for obvious reasons are recorded accurately, SI numbers and trends are highly suspect (A.3 above) and (c) allows the authorities to mask dreadful fatality trends behind sound-bite KSI numbers. It is essential that the same "Fatality Equivalent" parameter, K+(SI/10) used by rail safety authorities should replace KSI as the lead indicator.

  A.9  Space does not allow adequate coverage of these important issues, so much more detailed information will be made available in print, on the web and on CD. References in this text relate to that web and CD evidence, except where explicitly referring to other paragraphs in this text.

About the Author

  State Scholarship in Pure and Applied Mathematics 1957, 1st Class Honours B.Sc. in electrical engineering 1960, 30 years owning and running a specialist electronic manufacturing company, including every aspect of design costing, investment, financial planning, sales and accountancy. Queens Award for Export Achievement 1991 and since 2000 several thousand hours studying road casualty data and trends in detail. One million miles of driving experience since 1958 without injuring anyone.

  The author formally requests an oral hearing

B.  THE WORST-EVER DECADE OF ROAD SAFETY TRENDS—THE FACTS


  B.1  Ever since Karl Benz demonstrated the world's first motor car at the end of the 19th century, saying that he doubted that more than a handful of people in the world would ever be able to drive them, road safety has improved steadily to an astonishing degree. The -7% pa. trend line in the above graph is known to extend back at least to 1950, what data is available suggests that it extends back to 1926 when UK records began and logic suggests that it extends right back to the second motor car ever made, an improvement on the first.

  B.2  The key feature of the graph—apart from almost clinical adherence to the trend line from 1950—is its sudden divergence in the mid 1990s, a loss of trend that has to date cost more than 8,000 lives. Furthermore, The Association of British Drivers and Safe Speed have repeatedly drawn attention to this adverse change of trend since 2000 or 2001 but have been ignored—and indeed insulted—for doing so. Instead of recognising the significance of the figures and doing something about them, the authorities buried their heads in the sand while claiming success on the basis of spurious falls in SI data.

  B.3  Because 10 "serious injuries" are reported to the police for every 1 death, and because the police definition of "serious" (as opposed to "slight") is strangely wide (including for example even a broken little finger or any suspected serious injury later found not to be serious at all) KSI is not and can never be—even if accurately recorded—a sensible indicator of road safety trends. An immediate change should be made to the same "Fatality Equivalent" parameter used by rail safety authorities, calculated as K+(SI/10), a parameter that can easily be calculated at least from 1950. The problem the authorities then face is of course that it becomes clear immediately that there is no chance whatever of achieving a 40% reduction in K+(SI/10) by 2010, even ignoring the unreliability of police SI figures (below).

  B.4  The DfT have long known that only 40% or so of serious injury accidents become known to the police. It would be difficult to deny that in recent years, when far more drivers have penalty points and fear for their licenses and all that depends on them, and when the numbers of cars cloned, stolen or wrongly registered (usually to avoid speed camera penalties) have risen sharply and when more drugs are taken, that more and more drivers avoid if at all possible involving the police even in serious accidents.

  B.5  In June 2006 The British Medical Journal reported (G.23) that hospital records across the country for serious accident admissions for 2 days or more do not reflect the falls reported in police data and concluded that "The overall fall seen in police statistics for non-fatal road traffic injuries probably represents a fall in completeness of reporting of these injuries". The report also stated that "The findings from hospital admission statistics cast doubt on whether there were reductions in serious road injuries from 1996 to 2004 and on whether the government's targets ... will be met by 2010". (G.25) and report (G.26). They add that, "If the reduction in injuries is real rather than an artefact, it can only have been a reduction in injuries that were not serious enough to warrant hospital admission".

  B.6  The DfT, as might be expected, seem to prefer to believe the police figures, but logic suggests that informed and properly documented diagnosis by hospital staff in controlled conditions is likely to be more accurate than assessments carried out by police officers or others lacking medical training, often in difficult and dangerous conditions. Indeed, Thames Valley Road Safety Partnership recently advised me that the 66% rise in SI numbers from 1999 to 2000 followed " more specific guidance being given to officers". If the necessarily subjective judgement of police officers can change SI numbers by 66% so easily, then it is at least possible for (conscious or unconscious) pressure to meet the 2010 SI target to shift the thresholds back the other way. As cynics increasingly observe, when targets are set, targets tend to be achieved whatever the collateral damage.

  B.7  Recent media reports state that hospital targets lead to rising admission numbers, largely because Accident and Emergency Departments want patients out within their 4-hour deadline. However the BMJ study was explicitly based (G.23 Results, pg.1) on admissions for 2 days or more that would not have been affected.

  B.8  In summary—the figures show beyond any doubt whatever that the speed camera era, the mid 1990s to date, has been by far the worst at least since 1950 (and probably ever in peace-time) in terms of reduction of deaths in relation to traffic volume. Further, the real trend in SI has probably been as bad, if not worse, at least over the last 10 years. It follows that claims of success and progress on a national basis—including hitting the 2010 target in any meaningful way—are no more than wishful thinking in defiance of the evidence. It is time to stop pretending, and get to grips with the facts.

C.  INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS

  C.1  The tragic failures of road safety policy of recent year are evident not only in comparison with our past record—before speed cameras—but also compared to most other countries. In 1995 (with the exception of Malta, too small to be statistically significant) Britain had the lowest fatality rate of the 33 countries listed by the DfT, at 6.2 per 100,000 population, compared to Sweden (6.4), Norway (6.7), Iceland (6.8), Netherlands (8.2), Finland (8.4), Switzerland, (9.3), Australia (9.8) and Japan (9.9) This was a reflection of the historic lead we had for many decades for a wide variety of reasons.

  C.2  Between 1995 and 2005 (J.22) 7 of those 33 countries (Estonia, the Netherlands, Switzerland, France, Portugal and Korea and Germany) achieved reductions of 40% or more. 6 (Japan, Austria, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Slovenia and Greece) 30% to 39%, 8 (Belgium, Latvia, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Italy, Spain, Poland and Hungary and the Czech Republic) 20% to 29% and 6 (the Czech Republic, Australia, Slovakia, Cyprus, Finland and Canada) 13% to 19%.

  C.3  Britain—28th of those 33 countries—achieved a fall of only 12%, an average of 1% pa compared to the 3% pa routinely achieved in earlier decades. Only five countries (the Irish Republic, Iceland 4%, the USA, Lithuania and Malta did worse—and 4 of those are small or very small countries (J.21 to J.29).

  C.4  Given these comparisons and the dreadful national trends how dare the DfT and the Transport Committee talk glibly and complacently about the "considerable progress has been made in reducing the scale of deaths and injuries on the roads of Great Britain"? How dare Jim Fitzpatrick reply (Hansard 7th Feb 2008) that the reason France has been able to achieve a 40% fall in fatalities compared to our 12% is because "they had more to start with"? Does he not understand percentages? Does he not know that over 10 years France cut fatalities by 3,573 compared to our 420, some 9 times the reduction from a starting point only 2.5 times greater?

D.  SPEED CAMERAS—DOOMED TO FAIL

  D.1  The single most significant change of emphasis in road safety policy since 1993 has been the ever-greater emphasis on speed as the most important cause of accidents, and the increasingly automated detection and punishment of speeds above the speed limit. There have of course been other factors, not least the 1984 Home Office instruction that road safety was no longer to be a "core police activity", drink, drugs and other problems, but a billion pounds has been spent on cameras that could never eliminate even 0.5% of K or SI, while police patrols (which, unlike cameras can detect and inhibit all forms of dangerous driving and do it "in real time") have been cut.

  D.2  Throughout these 15 years the authorities who endorsed these substantial changes in policing tens of millions of drivers and vehicles on millions of miles of roads, have never even considered, let alone sought to quantify, the adverse effects of these changes—despite their being the daily experience of all drivers, but particularly of those already on 6 or 9 penalty points. Does the DfT believe that, uniquely, it is immune to the law of unintended consequences? How can making 38m drivers paranoid improve road safety?

  D.3  The once widely used mantra "Making speeding as socially unacceptable as drink driving" implied that in the early years of cameras the authorities expected speed cameras to slow down drivers everywhere. If that was what they intended, they have demonstrably failed—their own speed data (D.21), (automatically obtained by some 200 detection systems across the country) shows clearly that there has been no such general fall in speeds and that whatever else cameras might have achieved, they have failed to slow traffic except at camera sites, which represent only 3% of our road network.

  D.4  It is almost universally accepted that any benefits speed cameras might provide are limited to their sites and routes—any complaints to Partnerships about adverse trends in their wider areas are invariably met by the reply "Nothing to with us". While the report in the 8-area camera trial suggested benefits in the wider areas, that claim was conspicuous by its absence from later reports, which failed even to mention other areas.

  D.5  In September 2006 the DfT published new, more detailed accident causation findings (D.22) showing that 4% of slight, 5% of all, 7% of SI, 8% of KSI and 12% of fatal accidents involve speeds above the speed limit even as one of the many causal factors. "Going to fast for the conditions" (but implicitly within the limit) scored substantially higher while "Driver error" of various sorts showed higher still at 66% or more. Cameras of course detect no dangerous driving other than speeding.

  D.6  The DfT explicitly warns that even eliminating all speeds above the speed limits could not be expected to eliminate even those modest percentages of accidents because the other causal factors, often more significant than the speeding element, would remain. Yet every Press Release, every glossily printed Partnership Report, and even the national reports on Camera Partnerships routinely claim casualty reductions of 30%, 50% and even 70% as camera benefit—even though the speed reductions achieved are relatively modest, of the order of 30% to 50%! In some cases they even claim credit for reductions in accidents where speeds have increased! This is all unadulterated nonsense and it has to stop!

  D.7  The raw data is in any case suspect to an extent—all too often numbers appear that cannot be correct but have nevertheless been missed by error-trapping software. Sudden doubling or halving of traffic is probably due to incorrect entry of one or two-way counting. Speeds, being measured only in free-flow conditions tell us nothing about speeds in the more congested conditions which are inherently the most dangerous. Traffic volume is not usually measured, making it impossible to determine how many drivers—particularly faster drivers—divert to other routes and having their accidents there instead.

  D.8  The two main reasons however that claims are fanciful—to say the least—are that (a) they often ignore the long term downward trend and (b) they ignore regression to the mean, the natural tendency of any parameter to revert to its long term trend after a disturbance. The significance of RTM in this context is that cameras are installed where accidents have been at a high level in the recent past, and are likely to fall naturally even if nothing is done—garden gnomes might well have as much effect as cameras.

  D.9  That the 4th Year Report (D.31)—so often cited as justifying speed cameras—failed to allow for regression to the mean in its headline claims (despite vehement complaints in previous years and despite its own Appendix H), was nothing less than disgraceful. My more detailed analysis (C.0) shows how the claim of 100 lives saved each year was probably overstated by a factor of 4, and how the claimed benefit to cost ratio of 2.7:1 is in reality of the order of 1:1—and even that dismal failure fails to allow for the many adverse effects which were again ignored. That report is a disgrace.

  D.10  The 6,000 cameras sites and routes we now have represent no more than 3% of our road network, but (because they tend to be sited at accident black spots perhaps 10% of accidents). We can therefore estimate the maximum possible benefit of speed cameras: Take the 12% K figure (D.5 above) that involves speeding, halve it to correspond to actual reductions in speeding (D.7) and halve it again because eliminating all speeding would not eliminate all of those accidents (D.6) and then divide by 10 because of the geographical coverage (D.11)—the maximum benefit cameras could ever provide in terms of fatalities is 0.12/(2x2x10) or about 0.3% of the national total, or about 10 lives a year—at a cost of £120m!

  D.11  This is so small as to be invisible within the random fluctuations. The equivalent figures for slight and serious injuries are of course even lower, at 0.1% and 0.2% respectively—and worse, none of these allow for the adverse effects which might well be greater than the benefits. Spending £120 million a year in the hope of solving 0.3% of the problem is not just stupid but a breach of the statutory duty of those in public office to spend public money in a cost effective way.

  D.12  There will always be, of course, those who understand emotion but not logic who reply that there can be no limit to how much is spent to save even one life. The answer to that is that spending inherently limited public funds ineffectively costs the lives of those who could have been saved had that money been spent on more cost-effective measures. We now spending £120 million a year for minimal benefit when hospitals are killing 70,000 patients a year (D.22, D.23), many thousands of them for lack of the most basic provisions as hygiene and proper training. Many thousands more die at home for lack of drugs we are told "we cannot afford". No hospital in its right mind would spend £50,000 a year to save one life every 75 years—don't take my word for it, take the reply of the head of NICE when I asked him!

E.  ADVERSE EFFECTS OF CAMERAS THAT HAVE BEEN IGNORED

  E.1  It is extraordinary that the police and the Department of Transport made a fundamental change to road safety policy by automating speed limit enforcement, knowing that it would affect 30 million vehicles and drivers and 5 billion vehicle miles a year, without ever considering, let alone quantifying, the adverse effects—and have still not done so even 15 years later despite the appalling casualty trends.

  E.2  In 2005 the DfT did invite tenders (E.21) for research work including such effects but then cancelled the project before it got under way (E.22) apparently on the grounds that no such effects could exist—and despite millions of drivers being only to well aware of them every day they drive -and this after they published TRL595 (E.25) showing that Gatso type cameras on motorways increase accidents by 31% to 55%!

  E.3  As we have seen (Section D) it is arithmetically impossible for cameras to cut even 0.5% of K or SI. The tragic loss of trend in the speed camera era serves only to confirm that cameras have been a disaster. Indeed as long ago as November 2003 Autocar, with the RAC Foundation, published an article entitled "The £150m Failure" (E.26) Nothing changed since then, except that it is now the £1 billion failure and thousands more have died because of speed camera policy based on naive ideas and wasting of public money that could have been spent to much better effect, either on other road safety measures or elsewhere entirely.

F.  GROSS DISCREPANCIES IN COST EFFECTIVENESS COMPARISONS OF CAMERAS AND VEHICLE ACTIVATED SIGNS

  F.1  In January 2003 the Department for Transport (DfT) published but then ignored (F.21) TRL548 "a large-scale evaluation of vehicle-activated signs" (VAS) carried out by the Transport Research Laboratory (TRL). The benefits identified in TRL548 were at least comparable to and arguably better than those routinely claimed for speed cameras while the installation costs quoted of about £5,000 compare to well established figures of £40,000 or more for a camera, with very substantially lower running costs.

  F.2  In 2006 Dr Stephen Ladyman told this Committee (F.22) that funding partnerships direct from fines would end because "partnerships (were) minded to look first for a road camera based solution rather than a better and perhaps more cost effective solution". (paragraph 116 page 40, Q345 page EV112, Q345 pararagraph 18 page EV156). The Committee then asked for cost effectiveness comparisons of those alternative methods.

  F.3  The DfT response (F.24, page EV156 onwards) failed to mention TRL548. Having first claimed—wrongly—that no such comparison was possible Dr Ladyman submitted one—based on single-figure and therefore statistically meaningless accident data from only one camera site and one VAS site. Using that accident data and wildly inaccurate cost figures (F.24 page EV157 onwards) the DfT calculated a 12% cost effectiveness advantage for cameras over signs. Despite this self-evidently flawed data, analysis and comparison, this Committee accepted the figures and called for more cameras on the basis that "A more cost effective measure for reducing speeds and casualties has yet to be introduced". (F.24 paragraph 118 page 40).

  F.4  In reality the DfT figures and analysis (F.24 pages EV157 and EV 158) skewed the comparison in favour of camera by a factor of about 50 to 1 (Auditor's Report F.42 to F.46) as follows:

  F.5  (a)  The cost of the camera installation was given as £7.500, ignoring not only the £32,000 cost of the camera itself and its maintenance but also the costs of the penalty system.

  F.5  (b)  The £14,000 cost of the sign site was implied to be for 1 sign but was actually for 2, although this did not affect the bottom line comparison—the later adjustment by Dr. Ladyman was just another basic error.

  F.5  (c)  Only the first year costs were compared, ignoring the massive disparity in annual operating costs of £30,000+ pa. for a camera but only £200 for a sign. (F.24 )

  F.5  (d)  The effectiveness of the camera versus the signs was overstated by 85% by a basic statistical error.

  By these various means what was in reality a cost effectiveness benefit of at least 50 to 1 in favour of signs was transformed into a 12% benefit in favour of cameras.

  F.6  Having been aware of the correct comparison since TRL548 was published in 2003 I wrote on 8 November 2006 (F.25) to this Committee to point out that these figures were nonsense and copied that letter to Dr Ladyman and the DfT. I received a dismissive reply from Mrs Dunwoody (F.24) dated 4 December 2006 stating that the Committee "did not feel it had been misled by the Government over the relative cost effectiveness of speed cameras and flashing signs., On 17 January 2007 Mark Magee, head of the Speed Management branch of the DfT, wrote to tell me (F.25) that "the department does not accept that misleading information was contained in the memorandum".

  F.7  On 17 March 2007, using data obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, I wrote again (F.30) to this Committee and to all its members, providing irrefutable evidence (F.26, F.27, F.28, F.29) that the data and comparison were wildly wrong and copied that letter and information to Dr Ladyman and the DfT. On 20 March Mrs. Dunwoody replied (F.31) to tell me that she had "forwarded a copy of (my) letter to the Clerk for our records . . ." and by implication that she would took no other action. On 3 April I wrote again to Mrs Dunwoody (F.32) and Dr Ladyman (F.33) to protest, but Mrs Dunwoody failed to reply then or since.

F.8 On 23 April Dr Ladyman wrote to the Committee (F.34) finally admitting that (a) his £7,500 figure for the camera site had failed to include the £32,000 cost of the camera itself (b) his £14,000 figure had paid for two signs, not one (c) the cost effectiveness comparison was not 12% in favour of cameras but 920% in favour of signs! He continued however to ignore the nonsense of comparing only the 1st year figures and the error in effectiveness comparison.

  F.9  Dr Ladyman also claimed that the figures had been given "in good faith" and that "we (he and the DfT) could not reasonably have known" that the figures were wrong! The man in the street knows that speed cameras cost tens of thousands of pounds, but Dr Ladyman and the DfT (and this Committee) "could not reasonably have known"! Despite having the relevant information on file!

  F.10  Dr. Ladyman then claimed that signs being nine times more cost effective than cameras need make no difference to the Committee's recommendation for more cameras but not for signs, because the two systems "are used in different circumstances, cameras for "excessive speeds", and signs for "inappropriate" speeds". This is semantic, self-serving tripe! It is impossible to justify spending £50,000 a year for a camera when 50 signs paid for by the same money would prevent 50 times as many deaths and injuries!

  F.11  On 26 April, astonishingly, Mrs Dunwoody replied to Dr Ladyman (F.35), accepting his explanation and figures, being either unable or unwilling to recognise them for the nonsense they were. Mrs Dunwoody and Dr Ladyman have both failed to respond at all to my further letters (F.37, F.38, F.38 and F.36) respectively while the DfT have still failed to recognise Dr Ladyman's new error of a factor or 2 (F.40).

  F.12  The massive discrepancies in Dr. Ladyman's figures and analysis far exceed anything in my long experience—far worse that the costings even of the Millennium Dome, the London Olympics or hold-plated pigs named Galileo. The conduct exposed here amounts not only to gross incompetence but also arguably to breach of statutory duty of care, maladministration and/or misfeasance in public office and breach of the Perjury Act of 1911 relating to false information in public documents. All the detailed documentation, including correspondence with all concerned, relating to these astonishing errors have long been in the public domain on www.safespeed.org.uk/VAS.html and are on the accompanying CD in Directory F, which also contains an Independent Accountant's Report (F.41 to F.46) confirming these cost discrepancies.

G.  MISLEADING STATEMENTS AND CLAIMS

  G.1  Space does not allow me to document here even a small proportion of the errors of camera benefit, legal process and "advice" contained on virtually every Camera Partnership web site across the country. Apart from clearly spurious claims of camera benefit, whether explicit or implicit, these sites routinely ignore worsening trends in their overall areas, mislead readers about their rights, obligations and the legal process in ways clearly intended to secure the maximum number of penalties with the minimum effort, regardless of guilt or innocence. In many cases the "advice" risks charges of attempting to pervert the course of justice (for example G.2).

  G.2  Lt Col Tex Pemberton of Sussex SCP claimed in evidence to this Committee (F.22 Q251 page EV90) in March 2006 that "we have had some very significant success" but seems oddly unaware (a) that Sussex fatalities rose in the first three years of his "success" from 88 to 100 to 107 to 114, (b) that the more meaningful three-year rolling average of fatalities, 107 in both 2005 and 2006, is now higher than at any time since 1992 and (c) that SI rose in 2005 from 748 to 889 and again in 2006 to 929—far worse than the national trend! Just how much more of this "success" can Sussex be expected to endure?

  G.2  Most sites give the impression that the requirement to identify drivers is absolute, and ignore paragraph 4 S172 1988 RTA "(4) A person shall not be guilty of an offence by virtue of paragraph (a) of subsection (2) above if he shows that he did not know and could not with reasonable diligence have ascertained who the driver was". Parliament rightly decided that defendants should not be convicted of failing to do what they are unable to do—but the authorities (and indeed the courts) are now riding rough-shod over this protection by ignoring it on their web sites when giving advice about procedures, rights and responsibilities. Similarly some web sites and police correspondence claim there is a legal requirement for the Registered Keeper to know at all times who is driving the vehicle. This is simply untrue—there is no such requirement in law, except perhaps for heavy vehicles According to law, the police (and only the police) are entitled only to ask for the identity of a driver—no more than that. Yet the authorities routinely use threats and improper duress, including knocking on doors to obtain confessions. Improper duress and misinformation is the order of the day in the dash for cash.

  G.3  In May 2007 Meredydd Hughes, Chief Constable of South Yorkshire and then ACPO's head of roads policing (The Times H.39) to threaten drivers who defend themselves in court with the costs of many thousands of pounds of a special squad of prosecutors and expert witnesses if they lose. His actual words were "Come and get us if you think you are hard enough" (H.41). Defendants have a common law right to a fair trial and a proper defence, and it is simply not acceptable that police officers threaten defendants with costs quite out of proportion to the penalties to secure convictions.

  G.5  How ironic that Mr Hughes had to resign from his road safety responsibilities after being convicted of driving at 90 mph in a 60 mph area, and that his predecessor Mike Hedges wrote of speed cameras "I believe we have lost a tremendous amount of goodwill from the public. I think the biggest mistake we have made is getting some money back. I am most uncomfortable with the focus on the taxation view which goes with it . . . There is a place for them but I think we have lost the argument on that. I think the police service has really suffered some really serious confidence problems, and support from the public, as a result".

H.  RECOMMENDATIONS

  H.1  Stop pretending that road safety is improving—it isn't.

  H.2  Stop pretending that cameras save lives—they don't. Scrap them.

  H.3  Admit that vehicle activated signs are massively more cost effective than cameras and should therefore not only replace them but be installed in far greater numbers, while saving money.

  H.4  Call for more specialist police patrols to monitor, inhibit and penalise all forms of dangerous driving, not just speeding, and to do so with a degree of judgement and discretion. Call also for proper training for police patrol drivers—their accident rate has quadrupled in only a few years.

  H.5  Insist on the use of K+(SI/10) in all assessment of road safety progress.

  H.6  Call for a review of the definition of "serious injuries" which includes too many minor injuries.

  H.7  Call for a Public Inquiry into the entire speed camera programme and the conduct of all involved, including those who have wilfully misrepresented the benefits of cameras, or wilfully refused to act when gross errors of fact and analysis have been reported.

  H.8  Recognise that motor vehicles and speed have been essential to the great improvements in our standards of living over the last century and save far more lives than they cost—so include in road safety policy the negative effects on GDP—and hence resources of all kinds—of slowing down traffic.

February 2008





 
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