Select Committee on Transport Written Evidence


Annex B

POINTS MADE TO COMMISSION OFFICIALS

ASSURANCE

  We see significant value in independent scrutiny of the project business case at key decision points. This allows decision makers some confidence in the information presented and seeks to reduce the likelihood of future cost increase and/or delays. For a project of the importance of Galileo, we would ideally expect such scrutiny to cover the costs, revenues, benefits and delivery strategy.

  We understand that the Commission are concerned that it may be difficult to find suitably qualified and independent experts in the time available. An alternative approach could be to request formal assurance letters from the financial, legal and technical advisers that (i) the project is appropriately structured to achieve its objectives, (ii) the costs, revenue and risk assessments are appropriate for the stage of development of the project, (iii) the delivery strategy is realistic, (iv) the commercial aspects of the project are sufficiently mature, (v) the timetable is realistic, and (vi) that the technical specification is appropriate and optimised to the strategic requirement.

PROCUREMENT MODELS

  The original PPP model had been designed to deliver some key benefits, namely (i) transfer of systems integration risk to the private sector, (ii) commercial incentivisation to reach full service commencement, (iii) optimisation of design and revenue generation potential, (iv) optimise whole life costs, (v) gain the benefits of third party funder scrutiny, (vi) have a single point of accountability for the project delivery, (vi) to transfer any inherent design or latent defect risks to the private sector and (vii) provide a strong financial incentive to continue to provide a fully functioning system for the contract duration.

  We believe that these objectives are still appropriate and, to varying degrees, achievable in a new procurement structure. To the extent that the Commission is proposing a different commercial structure we are very keen to understand how these features are being replicated or compensated for and would expect this to be set out in any forthcoming analysis.

  We also believe that there remains considerable potential for value for money in an availability based PPP concession structure, although removing the link, at least initially, to revenue generation. In particular the ability to incentivise successful service delivery rather than asset deployment must be a key goal.

  With regard to the model currently favoured by the Commission, we suggest its ability to deliver the project depends on a number of key factors (i) the ability to have genuine and ongoing robust competition in all elements of the supply chain. To the extent that single or noncompetitive supply for any material part of the programme is the only option then this would present huge obstacles to the viability of the approach proposed that it may not be possible to overcome; (ii) the ability to incentivise ESA to act as efficient procurement agent when it has no obvious ability to take and manage risk, and (iii) the need for a very strong client function in the Commission/GSA to oversee the process, in particular to ensure that the costs are being controlled properly and design is optimised in terms of value for money and compliance with the high level requirements. Again we would expect the approach to these challenges to be explicit prior to approval.

  On (ii) we would suggest that the introduction of a commercial "risk integrator" into the structure could add significant value and make the approach more appealing. Such a body would need to be independent of the supply chain and experienced in specifying and managing complex system projects.

  The more we reflect on this matter, the greater the need that we perceive for a clear and detailed procurement strategy to be set out in advance of any further decision. As has been seen in the past this aspect has the ability to both drive increases in cost through inefficiency and introduce delay for non-project reasons.

COSTS, RISKS AND REVENUES

  On costs we welcome the intention to proceed with an independent review of the underlying costs and would ask you to ensure that it covers not only the unit cost elements but also the necessary risk premia to come to a price for a delivered and functioning system.

  On revenues, in the absence of any new external work, I would suggest that it would be helpful if revenues were presented as a range of outcomes to assist in communicating the material uncertainties that exist in the underlying business case.

  Overall, we would repeat that the absence of a quantified risk assessment is a major deficiency in the robustness of the business case and we would urge you again to consider if this could be addressed appropriately.

GOVERNANCE

  We support the objectives of seeking an efficient and proportionate governance structure. The key features of this could include a reduction of the "distance" between the GSA and Commission, alongside a unification of the member state oversight groups. But changes in member state involvement in programme decisions could only be assessed if there was a robust underlying business case, clearly defined project delivery parameters bounding the freedom of the delivery agent and transparency of process to member states with escalation rights back to the appropriate Councils.

  In the absence of ESA funding, we think there would be no need for any ESA member states decision making roles although it may be considered appropriate to include the additional member states in the single oversight body as appropriate.


 
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Prepared 12 November 2007