Supplementary memorandum from HM Treasury
This memorandum responds to the Sub-Committee's
request at the evidence session on 23 January 2008.
IN CSR 2007
The latest population statistics available at
the time of CSR 2007 were the Government Actuary's Department's
2004 based population projections.
These statistics were presented and put in the
context of the wider challenges facing the UK economy in the document
"long-term opportunities and challenges for the UK: analysis
for the 2007 comprehensive spending review", published in
November 2006. The document (paragraphs 3.8-3.11) explains that
the principal projection of the overall UK population was 64 million
by 2017. The document also noted that this projection was subject
to some uncertainty, and that GAD had also produced "high"
and "low" variants (which themselves do not represent
firm upper and lower bounds) which show the UK population at 66
and 62 million respectively by 2017.
Where relevant, departments drew on these GAD
projections to inform their planning for the CSR period.
Following CSR2007 the ONS published updated
2006 based population projections.
The principal 2006 based projection is higher
than the 2004 based projection, but for all years is within the
range of the 2004 based "high" and "low" variants.
|UK population ('000s)