The events of 2007
The increase in Northern Rock's market share
in the first half of 2007
18. In the first half of 2007, Northern Rock continued
to expand its business at a rapid rate. In that period, its loans
to customers underwent a net increase of £10.7 billion.[67]
The Chancellor of the Exchequer characterised this period as one
in which Northern Rock "had aggressively expanded its market
share".[68] Professor
Willem Buiter of the London School of Economics was critical of
this expansion:
I like healthy growth but it is hard to believe
that the quality of the asset portfolio and the ability to vet
the credit-worthiness of your borrowers does not suffer when you
take 20% of the net increase and 40% to 50% of the gross increase
in activity in this half year period, so I think they were an
organisation that was clearly engaged in high-risk behaviour.[69]
19. Dr Ridley denied that the expansion of Northern
Rock's mortgage lending activities in the first half of 2007 was
a departure from the trend of the preceding decade.[70]
Sir Derek Wanless, Chair of the Risk Committee of the Board of
Northern Rock, also contested the notion that this period of continued
expansion saw an aggressive approach. He claimed Northern Rock
had only 10% of the market in new lending, but conceded that this
was 19% of new lending after repayments.[71]
NORTHERN ROCK'S CHANGE OF STRATEGY
20. Northern Rock's continued expansionary lending
policy required the continued success of its funding strategy
at a time when there were indications of potential problems on
the funding side. In its April 2007 Financial Stability Report,
Sir John Gieve told us that the Bank of England had "identified
the increasing wholesale funding of banks as a potential risk
if markets became less liquid".[72]
When questioned as to whether Northern Rock had acknowledged those
warnings, Dr Ridley told us that both the FSR and similar warnings
in the Financial Service Authority's Financial Risk Outlook had
influenced Northern Rock's board decisions.[73]
Mr Applegarth also told us that in March 2007 the company had
"picked up the warning signs that the US sub-prime position
was meaning a tightening in pricing and therefore we slowed down
the rate of growth and we gave new guidance against our profits
for the year, recognising the tightening in pricing".[74]
Mr Applegarth then outlined to us the change in strategy being
adopted by Northern Rock in the first half of 2007, and announced
in its 2007 interim report. On the asset side, Mr Applegarth stated
that the company was seeking to sell its commercial lending, unsecured
lending and commercial buy-to-let operations.[75]
21. On changes to Northern Rock's funding side, Sir
Derek Wanless pointed out that the company had started obtaining
retail funding from Denmark, and that Northern Rock "had
[retail funding] products in the UK, too, which were being successful".[76]
Mr Applegarth told us that Northern Rock had "increased [its]
liquidity by £2.3 billion at the half-year stage",[77]
in other words by 30 June 2007.
22. Mr Applegarth also outlined the changes over
the last decade that Northern Rock had carried out to try and
strengthen its funding platform:
we have worked very hard over the previous decade
to try and diversify our funding platform by geography and product.
That is why we moved to having four funding platformsretail
cash deposits, covered bonds, securitisation and traditional wholesaleand
it is why in each of those markets we look to diversify by geography.
So for securitisation for example not only did we tap the UK but
we tapped Europe, the Far East and America. If you look at traditional
wholesale, we tapped American, European, Asian and Australian
markets. [For] cash deposits
we moved across to Ireland
and across to Denmark, so we broadened our funding platform to
try and increase stability.[78]
NORTHERN ROCK'S FUNDING CRISIS
23. In the middle of this change of strategy, on
9 August 2007, Northern Rock's traders noted a "dislocation
in the market" for its funding.[79]
This dislocation was the result of a global shock to the financial
system, with the American sub-prime mortgage market as its centre.
We will examine the causes of this dislocation, and its wider
effects beyond the direct impact on Northern Rock, in our forthcoming
Report on Financial Stability and Transparency.
24. Two aspects of this worldwide liquidity squeeze
appeared to surprise Northern Rock, and overcome the attempts
highlighted above to combat the tightening in credit markets.
One was the absence of a so-called "flight to quality".
Dr Ridley told us that:
What we did not expect was that there would be
no flight to quality in that process [of a tightening in credit
markets]. In other words, we expected that as markets became tighter
and as pricing for risk changed that low-risk prime UK mortgages
(and we have below half the industry average of arrears on our
mortgage book) and such a low-risk book would remain easier to
fund than sub-prime mortgages elsewhere. That is why we were very
determined to keep the credit quality of our book high, in order
to be able to attract funding.[80]
Mr Applegarth told us that Northern Rock had wrongly
"believed that high-quality assets and transparency [were]
the way to maintain liquidity".[81]
Sir Derek Wanless told us that Northern Rock's "first line
of defence [was] good credit quality".[82]
25. Secondly, Northern Rock had not foreseen all
its funding markets closing simultaneously, as happened after
9 August. Dr Ridley explained:
We deliberately diversified our funding platform
so that we would have
three different types of funding
and indeed a diversified programme within the wholesale funding,
and geographically we had programmes in the United States, Europe,
the Far East, Canada and Australia. That was deliberately so that
if one market closed we would still have access to others. The
idea that all markets would close simultaneously was unforeseen
by any major authority.[83]
The idea of all markets closing to Northern Rock
was repeatedly characterised to us by Northern Rock officials
as "unforeseeable".[84]
26. One aspect of Northern Rock's financing raised
by the Governor of the Bank of England in a speech was Northern
Rock's lack of insurance against the troubles it faced. He referred
to Countrywide, a bank in the United States that had faced difficulties
due to the United States sub-prime crisis:
Countrywide had paid millions of dollars each
year to big banks as a liquidity insurance policy so that, in
the event of difficulty, they would provide it with long-term
loans. So on August 17 Countrywide was able to claim on that insurance
and draw down $11.5bn of committed credit lines. Northern Rock
had not taken out anything like that level of liquidity insurance.
So when it came to the Bank of England for support, it was important
that liquidity was not provided free.[85].
Mr Applegarth explained that Northern Rock had taken
out insurance, but that he felt its wide funding base did not
merit purchasing too much insurance:
I think the first thing to say is that our funding
platform is broader than Countrywide's in that we have the four
funding vehicles. We did have some insurance in place but clearly
it was inadequate to cope with the retail run. It was not the
same volume of insurance as Countrywide had put in place but we
did have swing-line and standby facilities put in place. They
were smaller because we have a more diverse funding platform.[86]
And in his written evidence, Mr Applegarth went on
to outline the size of the insurance taken out by Northern Rock:
Northern Rock had a standby loan facility of
£750 million and a $775 million bilateral swingline facility
in place to support its US Commercial Paper programmemaking
a total of $2.3 billion. This was proportionately slightly greater
cover than Countrywide in the US, given relative size of both
lending programmes and balance sheets, including securitisation.[87]
27. Northern Rock continued to find some funding,
even after 9 August. Mr Applegarth told us that "we were
actually still fundingnot fully funding, and duration was
noticeably shorter, but we were still funding until 13 September".[88]
In fact, Mr Applegarth told us that Northern Rock had, before
13 September, "two or three months' worth of liquidity".[89]
Despite this, on 16 August, the possibility of the Bank of England
giving emergency support was first discussed as a "theoretical"
possibility by the Governor of the Bank of England in conversation
with Dr Ridley.[90] At
this point, the intention of Northern Rock was not to use such
a Bank of England facility, but to have it as a "backstop".[91]
Mr Applegarth explained that "The problem we had was you
could not tell how long the markets were going to be closed and
it was a reasonable and proper thing to do to put a backstop facility
in place".[92] We
consider later the negotiations on the support facility "backstop"
and the attempts to find a "safe haven" or buyer which
were made at the same time. We also consider later the causes
of the retail run on the bank, but one consequence of that run
was set out by Mr Applegarth: "Ironically, it was the announcements
and the leaking of the backstop that caused the retail run and
it was the retail run that reduced our liquidity".[93]
The run thus created a situation in which State support for Northern
Rock was not a backstop, but an everyday necessity, and where
Northern Rock had become reliant on exceptional, State-backed
financing.
Responsibility for the problems
at Northern Rock
Responsibility of the Board of Northern Rock
28. In its evidence to us, the Board of Northern
Rock acknowledged that the company's funding strategy had been
looked at and discussed by the Board. Part of the oversight of
the liquidity strategy of Northern Rock was conducted by its Risk
Committee, chaired at the time by Sir Derek Wanless, a non-executive
member of the Board of Northern Rock.[94]
Sir Derek Wanless told us that "We looked as a Board at the
issues of our funding strategy and what the risks were".[95]
He went on to defend the role of the Board and the Risk Committee,
telling us "The Risk Committee and the Board did [their]
job, in my view, properly through this period".[96]
29. However, several witnesses highlighted to us
the responsibility of the Board of Northern Rock for the events
which engulfed Northern Rock in August and September 2007. The
Governor of the Bank of England told us that "it was the
business strategy that was fatally flawed in this episode where,
once those markets had closed in mortgage backed securities, they
were absolutely unable to finance their wholly illiquid assets".[97]
And Professor Buiter noted in his written evidence that given
that Northern Rock knew the Bank of England's collateral policieswhich
we consider later in this report"its funding policies
were reckless".[98]
30. On 30 August 2007, Sir Ian Gibson, senior independent
director at Northern Rock, asked for, and received, agreement
by each member of the Board of Northern Rock to resign should
such resignations be needed.[99]
These were not used at the time, according to Dr Gibson because
stakeholders in Northern Rock felt that it was more important
to weather the immediate crisis.[100]Dr
Ridley announced his resignation on 19 October 2007 and was replaced
by Mr Bryan Sanderson CBE who joined the Board as Chairman.[101]
Then on 16 November 2007, four non-executive directors, including
Sir Derek Wanless, retired from the Board of Northern Rock.[102]
At the same time, three other directors of the companyDavid
Baker, Keith Currie and Andy Kuipersstood down as Board
members, although they remained as officers of the company.[103]
Mr Applegarth's resignation was also announced, but he was not
then expected to leave the company until January 2008.[104]
However, on 13 December 2007, it was announced that Mr Applegarth
had left Northern Rock, and that Mr Kuipers, who had stood down
from the Board on 16 November 2007, was to replace Mr Applegarth
as Chief Executive.[105]
31. The directors of Northern Rock were the principal
authors of the difficulties that the company has faced since August
2007. It is right that members of the Board of Northern Rock have
been replaced, though haphazardly, since the company became dependent
on liquidity support from the Bank of England. The high-risk,
reckless business strategy of Northern Rock, with its reliance
on short- and medium-term wholesale funding and an absence of
sufficient insurance and a failure to arrange standby facility
or cover that risk, meant that it was unable to cope with the
liquidity pressures placed upon it by the freezing of international
capital markets in August 2007. Given that the formulation of
that strategy was a fundamental role of the Board of Northern
Rock, overseen by some directors who had been there since its
demutualisation, the failure of that strategy must also be attributed
to the Board. The non-executive members of the Board, and in particular
the Chairman of the Board, the Chairman of the Risk Committee
and the senior non-executive director, failed in the case of Northern
Rock to ensure that it remained liquid as well as solvent, to
provide against the risks that it was taking and to act as an
effective restraining force on the strategy of the executive members.
Responsibility of the shareholders
32. The shareholder base of Northern Rock reflects
Northern Rock's demutualisation in October 1997. At that time,
500 "free shares" were issued to both 'borrower' and
'saver' members of Northern Rock.[106]
A significant number of Northern Rock's employees were also represented
in the shareholder base of Northern Rock: Dr Ridley told us that
around 75% of employees at Northern Rock were also shareholders.[107]
33. The Board of Northern Rock emphasised to us that
the business model of Northern Rock had been transparent to shareholders.
Sir Ian Gibson told us that:
the risk information about [Northern Rock's]
model was very clearly in the market and has been for a very long
time. It is a very clear presentation of the company that is given
in our annual report. It is a very straightforward business. It
is essentially a UK mortgage-only business, which some would see
as a weakness, others would see as a strength. It depends on your
point of view. The data surrounding that has been transparent
to all for a considerable period, not just this year but year
on year. [108]
34. When questioned as to whether there should have
been an earlier announcement from Northern Rock on the state of
its business model, Sir Ian Gibson was swift to point out that
Northern Rock had taken advice both from the FSA as the UK Listing
Authority and from Northern Rock's own legal advisers, and that
Northern Rock was "fully satisfied that we did follow the
best advice and follow[ed] it to the letter".[109]
The business model of the Board of Northern Rock was clearly
stated. It is unfortunate that the shareholders who acquired their
shares as part of demutualisation and the staff of Northern Rock
have suffered significantly from the fall in the value of Northern
Rock shares. However, it is not possible to make a distinction
between types of shareholders in the circumstances of Northern
Rock. In a market environment shareholders as a whole must be
viewed as taking a risk from which they sought a reward and for
which they are now paying a price.
33 Northern Rock, Annual Report 2006, p 31 Back
34
Northern Rock, Annual Report 2006, p 72 Back
35
Northern Rock, Community Report 2006 Back
36
Northern Rock, Annual Report 2006, p 31 Back
37
Q 531 Back
38
One NorthEast, News Article, 18 September 2007 Back
39
Northern Rock Foundation, Accounts of the Trustees, p 9 Back
40
Northern Rock, Annual Report 2006, p 33 Back
41
Northern Rock, Annual Report 2006, p 33 Back
42
Northern Rock Foundation, Accounts of the Trustees, p 6 Back
43
Northern Rock Foundation, Accounts of the Trustees, p 7 Back
44
Qq 716-717, Northern Rock, Annual Report 2006, p 93 Back
45
Northern Rock Annual Report 1998, p 25 Back
46
Northern Rock Annual Report 1998, p 31 Back
47
Northern Rock Annual Report 2006, p 59 Back
48
Q 684 Back
49
FTSE Press Release, 'FTSE confirms Regular Reshuffle',12 September
2001 Back
50
Northern Rock, Community Report 2006 p 9 Back
51
Northern Rock, Annual Report 2006 p 82 Back
52
Q 423 Back
53
Q 424 Back
54
Q 393 Back
55
Q 195 Back
56
Q 1696 Back
57
Q 524 Back
58
Q 694 Back
59
Ev 223 Back
60
Q 524 Back
61
Bank of England, 'Proposals to modify the measurement of broad
money in the United Kingdom: a user consultation' Stephen Burgess
and Norbert Janssen, Quarterly Bulletin, Q3 2007, pp 409, 411
Back
62
Q 516 Back
63
Northern Rock Annual Report 1998, p 48 Back
64
Northern Rock Annual Report 2006, p 91 Back
65
Alliance & Leicester 2006 Annual Report and Accounts, page
49 and Bradford and Bingley 2006 Annual Report and Accounts, page
43 Back
66
Q 401 Back
67
Q 244 Back
68
Q 749 Back
69
Q 854 Back
70
Q 445 Back
71
Qq 465-471 Back
72
Q 37 Back
73
Qq 412-413 Back
74
Q 427 Back
75
Qq 690-692 Back
76
Q 447 Back
77
Q 491 Back
78
Q 463 Back
79
Q 429 Back
80
Q 402 Back
81
Q 693 Back
82
Q 656 Back
83
Q 403 Back
84
Q 648, 656 Back
85
Speech by Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England at the
Northern Ireland Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Belfast on
Tuesday 9 October 2007 Back
86
Q 501 Back
87
Ev 232 Back
88
Q 585 Back
89
Q 488 Back
90
Qq 574-575 Back
91
Q 585 Back
92
Q 490 Back
93
Q 529 Back
94
Q 631 Back
95
Q 633 Back
96
Q 650 Back
97
Q 1696 Back
98
Ev 329 Back
99
Q 536 Back
100
Q 536 Back
101
Northern Rock Press Release, 19 October 2007 Back
102
Northern Rock Press Release, 16 November 2007 Back
103
Northern Rock Press Release, 16 November 2007 Back
104
Northern Rock Press Release, 16 November 2007 Back
105
Northern Rock Press Release, 13 December 2007 Back
106
Northern Rock website, http://companyinfo.northernrock.co.uk/shareholders/unclaimedShares.asp Back
107
Q 605 Back
108
Q 744 Back
109
Q 744 Back